Tampa Bay angle..not my write up

[moneymario]

Interesting stat on Tampa, they are 13-4-ATS, 76.5% ATS when they play a team that averages 7.5+ yards per pass attempt. Most likely this is attributable to the cover 2 defense of DC Kiffin that takes away the long/vertical pass game. Rams pass attack right on the number at 7.5-per-att. St. Louis capable of running the ball but still primarily a passing team with 70% of their offense coming via the pass averaging 270-PY-per game. T[font=Arial,Helvetica]his is why TB has had Ram's number over recent years with Martz 0-3-SU versus. [/font][font=Arial,Helvetica]Bucs pass defense allowing only 144-PY per game and have allowed only more thatn 138-PY once this season and have held 4 of 5 opponents to 138-PY or less including the Saints to 108-PY last week. Bucs are a step down from recent year teams but so are the Rams. Two unimpressive wins over Arizona and San Fran and the improbable comeback LW against Seattle and have losses to Saints and Falcons. TB 1-4 SU but three of those losses by a combined 13-points and and only one loss by more than 6-points on the season. Bucs offense has fared poorly but did show signs of breaking out in last game and Rams have allowed three of past four opponents 27+ points. QB-Griese gets the start and faces a weak pass (allow 225-per) Ram defense. He played a MNF game in St. Louis against the Rams when with Denver in 2000 and passed for 307-yards and 2-TD's. [/font][font=Arial,Helvetica]RB-Pittman who was suspended for first three games has improved the running game. [/font][font=Arial,Helvetica]All things considered think TB can hang within the number and give Rams a game.

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[mansiu777]

I agree mario. TB will cover the pts to win in the ATS, but Rams will take the win!!

 

[moneymario]

Trend: The Buccaneers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams that average 7.5 yards or more per pass attempt. The Rams are averaging 7.9 yards per attempt, sixth-best.
Outlook: The point of the Buccaneers' famed cover-2 defense is to prevent big gains in the passing game by keeping the play in front of the defensive backs. That's why the Bucs have had success against the Rams, winning and covering in their last three meetings. Though the Bucs have struggled offensively, their four losses have come by an average of just 5.8 points. And they have their defense to thank.

 

[moneymario]

Brian Griese now gets a start for the Buccaneers. He played well last week in relief of the injured Chris Simms so I expect him to play one more good game before he goes back to lacking a passion and discipline needed for the game. The Rams may find themselves in first after this win with Seattle playing New England the day before. St. Louis better make the most of it because they won't be there for long. I expect the Rams to win this game and I will go with 31-17 as my score. For those scoring at home that would be 48 total points for your Monday Night tiebreaker scenarios.

 

[mansiu777]

Well,

i think Brian Greaise will have a chance to bomb the ball out there, he have good arm and good power!! I think Bulger will get sack few times and he will go down!! I would love to see the Rams collaps!!