Take this tip, or not

Frankinho · Feb 28, 2009

Hey all, I just wanted to share some strange odds in my opinion.
There are two games in the Bosnian league for today and I really wonder what the bookies are thinking here.

Velez Mostar vs. FK Laktasi, 5.40 @ Laktasi
This is the weirdest out of both. Velez Mostar is 16th out of 16 teams in the league and has only gained 11 points so far this season. Laktasi on the other hand is 3rd with 27 points out of 15 games. Sure Laktasi lost their last match 4-1 against 4th ranked Sloboda Tuzla, but won the four games before that, either home or away. Last season they lost 12 of their 15 away games, but they ended on the 10th position in the league, 9th for Velez. This season things seem to be different with their 3rd and 16th positions. Velez does win some of their home games, but they are not a solid home team either. With only 3 wins this whole season that's also not what you can expect from them.

Siroki Brijeg vs. Slavija Sarajevo, 6.60 @ Slavija
Slavija is second in the league with 29 points, while Siroki is sixth with 22 points. OK, not much of a difference, but still 7 points in favour of the visiting team. Siroki lost four of their last five games, two of those were at home. Slavija is on a 6-game non losing streak and also performs pretty well in away games.

So, if you see what the bookies see in these games, tell me, but I am definitely on the away teams here.

:toast:

SportGrinder · Feb 28, 2009

There is alot of value in the "strange" leagues.

Frankinho · Feb 28, 2009

True, but not seen it much like this before.

SportGrinder · Feb 28, 2009

The Sarajevo one is as high as 8.50 at Bet365... Also, of the 6 games listed there, 5 of them is in the range of 1.25-5.00-8.00 odds range... home team advantage that high? Perhaps there is some golden value here! :8money:

SportGrinder · Feb 28, 2009

Lol, they all suck at away games.

Code:

Pos.	Team	G	W	D	L	Score	P
1. 	Zrinjski Mostar	7	3	2	2	11:11	11
2. 	Sarajevo FK	8	2	3	3	10:12	9
3. 	Laktasi FK	7	2	2	3	7:11	8
4. 	Slavija Srpsko Sarajevo	7	1	4	2	8:11	7
5. 	Sloboda Tuzla	8	1	3	4	6:9	6
6. 	Zvijezda Gradacac	8	0	4	4	10:14	4
7. 	Borac Banja Luka	8	1	1	6	5:14	4
8. 	Siroki Brijeg NK	8	1	1	6	3:12	4
9. 	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	7	0	2	5	5:12	2
10.	Posusje NK	7	0	2	5	5:14	2
11.	Travnik	8	0	2	6	3:17	2
12.	Orasje NK	7	0	1	6	2:13	1
13.	Celik Zenica	7	0	1	6	1:15	1
14.	Modrica Maksima	7	0	0	7	3:16	0
15.	Velez Mostar	8	0	0	8	2:17	0
16.	Leotar Trebinje	8	0	0	8	2:20	0

Sorry for a messed up code.