Over 2.5 set at -150 while under 2.5 at +120
Totals for both the other to games (Liverpool-Swansea and Tottenham-Norwich) are set at o/u 3. This seems real fishy to me. United and Chelsea met on the weekend in what was an entertaining 3-2 affair. So why is the line set at just 2.5? Everyone would be expecting 3, even 3.5 goals in this one. So 2.5 is a steal right? Why not jump all over this?
That's exactly what they want you to do. By setting it a 2.5 they lure in square bettors and the majority of the public. Everyone and their mothers will be on this over. Juicing the over is another way for them to lure in the public. They see the line set at 2.5 -150 and think it's the right play because it's juiced. Plus money is the easiest way to scare away square bettors. The line has not budged all week either. Public hammering the over and it remains at 2.5, but why?
I'll tell you why. Both teams fielding weaker lineups and in a cup game like this, neither team will be as motivated to win as they would for a league game, or even an FA Cup game. The Capital One Cup however is the least popular tournament in England, a spot where many top flight teams look to get a few new faces into the lineup. Of course both teams will field at least a few first team players, but how motivated will they be?
I expect a sluggish game of sorts and while both teams should have their chances, expect a serious lack of finish in front of goal. This isn't an official "tracked" play for me, but I'll be betting on the under 2.5 goals in this one without a doubt. I see a 2-0 finish for either side, even 1-1 forcing the game into extra time/penalties (which does not count towards this bet, the side bet or o/u strictly applies to the first 90 minutes).
UNDER 2.5 goals for me at +120
Totals for both the other to games (Liverpool-Swansea and Tottenham-Norwich) are set at o/u 3. This seems real fishy to me. United and Chelsea met on the weekend in what was an entertaining 3-2 affair. So why is the line set at just 2.5? Everyone would be expecting 3, even 3.5 goals in this one. So 2.5 is a steal right? Why not jump all over this?
That's exactly what they want you to do. By setting it a 2.5 they lure in square bettors and the majority of the public. Everyone and their mothers will be on this over. Juicing the over is another way for them to lure in the public. They see the line set at 2.5 -150 and think it's the right play because it's juiced. Plus money is the easiest way to scare away square bettors. The line has not budged all week either. Public hammering the over and it remains at 2.5, but why?
I'll tell you why. Both teams fielding weaker lineups and in a cup game like this, neither team will be as motivated to win as they would for a league game, or even an FA Cup game. The Capital One Cup however is the least popular tournament in England, a spot where many top flight teams look to get a few new faces into the lineup. Of course both teams will field at least a few first team players, but how motivated will they be?
I expect a sluggish game of sorts and while both teams should have their chances, expect a serious lack of finish in front of goal. This isn't an official "tracked" play for me, but I'll be betting on the under 2.5 goals in this one without a doubt. I see a 2-0 finish for either side, even 1-1 forcing the game into extra time/penalties (which does not count towards this bet, the side bet or o/u strictly applies to the first 90 minutes).
UNDER 2.5 goals for me at +120
