Swing States Trends 11/1/24

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A crusher of a week for Harris has her now losing NV as well as PA, which has Trump sitting comfortably on the plus side of the EC. That said, looking at the numbers below, my FAKE polls puts the race at too-close-to-call, while I’m sure, the Nobody’s-Ever-Heard-Of polls have Trump winning by a landslide – so we’ll just have to wait. I’ll post the final polling results of my first-ever averaged polls aggregation on Monday.

pudA3vy.png
 

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"In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less, they all, every time a pollster [says] 'Oh, every state is is just +1, every single state's a tie,' No! You're f***ing herding! You're cheating! You're cheating!"

"Your numbers aren't all going to come out at exactly 1-point leads when you're sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying! You're putting your f***ing finger on the scale!"


-- Nate Silver

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Duh, ya think?

This is blindly assuming they are doing any "surveying" at all. Has anyone actually ever gotten a call from a pollster? Didn't think so.

What a scam. 500k fee to make up numbers. Nice gig if you can find it.

More of that SillyBoy "science" we've come to know and love.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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LOL

Too close to call

Damn Silly Boy

Maybe your brainwashed ass will finally wake up in the near future......I dont think you are a bad guy, but you are ODMF!!!!
 

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"In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less, they all, every time a pollster [says] 'Oh, every state is is just +1, every single state's a tie,' No! You're f***ing herding! You're cheating! You're cheating!"

"Your numbers aren't all going to come out at exactly 1-point leads when you're sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying! You're putting your f***ing finger on the scale!"


-- Nate Silver

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Duh, ya think?

This is blindly assuming they are doing any "surveying" at all. Has anyone actually ever gotten a call from a pollster? Didn't think so.

What a scam. 500k fee to make up numbers. Nice gig if you can find it.

More of that SillyBoy "science" we've come to know and love.
Hey – Silver is like me, a poll aggregator (ie. he surveys dozens of polls – good ones and bad ones - every day, weights them, and post what his model makes of it. If I was smarter and less lazy maybe I’d have model too, but all I do is average what polls I sneak from Silver’s SB, 538, and RCP – polls I’ve dug into to see what biases they may have – then do an average. Best I can do. I mean, it’s football season for Chrissake, and, God help me, I care more about who gets in the super bowl than this clown show of an election. Still, it’s fun watching all the idiots who really think it matters a bird-dropping who wins, and take the time to call me names.
 
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Hey – Silver is like me, a poll aggregator (ie. he surveys dozens of polls – good ones and bad ones - every day, weights them, and post what his model makes of it. If I was smarter and less lazy maybe I’d have model too, but all I do is average what polls I sneak from Silver’s SB, 538, and RCP – polls I’ve dug into to see what biases they may have – then do an average. Best I can do. I mean, it’s football season for Chrissake, and, God help me, I care more about who gets in the super bowl than this clown show of an election. Still, it’s fun watching all the idiots who really think it matters a bird-dropping who wins, and take the time to call me names.
I'm happy you're contributing your aggregate work to the board. It's welcomed.

But it matters a lot who wins. A whole lot.
 

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I'm happy you're contributing your aggregate work to the board. It's welcomed.

But it matters a lot who wins. A whole lot.
Republican or Democrat, Trump or Harris – whoever wins, the truth for Americans is that the rich will get richer, and the poor will get poorer; it’s as inevitable as the rising sun, death and taxes. But I have to say, I DO like the election game; watching the MAGA morons find always better ways to kiss Trump’s ass, while demonizing Harris; or a few who are always searching for ways to do the reverse. The fact is, whoever wins, AMERICANS WILL GET THE GOVERNMENT THEY DESERVE.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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LOL Polls


Post from Joe Lange

Don’t follow the polls. They are just for headlines.

All of them poll more democrats than republicans because they have a built in bias that the electorate is 50/50 and Trump is hated. Instead, watch what the campaigns are actually doing.

That will tell you the state of the actual race and where the accurate internal polls actually are. Trump had a huge rally in New York. He just had a rally in New Mexico and recently had one in California. In the final week, Trump is actually going after “democrat” voters. Why? All the evidence, even in the fake polls, show democrat voters leaving the party and voting for Trump.

Many across the country are declaring it publicly. All you have to do is compare Kamala’s numbers with Biden’s numbers in 2020. She is way behind him in every demographic. So much so, that the Obama’s are giving angry speeches trying to guilt trip their lost supporters from abandoning Kamala. The “joy” was always fake, but now it is completely gone and turned into panic.

And what is Kamala’s campaign doing? She held her biggest rally in Washington DC. A place that any democrat should win by 95%. And they have every celebrity they can think of speaking at rallies and doing hostage videos to support her. It’s like a turnstile for Diddy accomplices and panicked pedophiles. They are 100% catering to their base voters to try to “motivate” them to vote. Why? Their own internal polls are showing Kamala “losing” democrat support in this last week before the election.

The media knows it and have resorted to blatantly pulling “single lines” out of any Trump speech and purposely lying about what he said. That’s not a winning strategy.

They aren’t going to win a single “new” voter that way. It’s even more evidence that they are just desperately trying to scare their own voting base to turn out and stop abandoning them. There has always been one thing that decides elections. It’s why the media spends so much “ammo” trying to paint Trump as Hitler. Likability. The more people hear Trump, like in the Joe Rogan interview, the more they like him.

That’s why the media was feverishly trying to paint the Madison Square Garden rally as a Nazi rally. They don’t want their viewers to actually watch it. They just want them to hear the sound bite descriptions that they feed them. This is why Trump works so hard campaigning. He’s everywhere. He knows that the more people actually hear his common sense, the more support he gains. His numbers grow every single day. The opposite is true for Kamala. You can’t “teach” likability. Hillary found that truth out in 2016. There is nothing they can do to make Kamala more likable. The more people hear her, the more they are turned off. In the end, the American people aren’t stupid.

They saw four years of Trump and are comparing it to four years of Kamala. Two issues have ALREADY decided this election. Inflation and the border crime infesting the entire country. Kamala failed on both and Trump has proven already that he can fix them. Trump will be the next president and we will be sure of that on election night. Remember, it took over 20 million fraudulent votes to beat Trump in 2020 and they had nationwide mail in ballots. They don’t have all those mail in ballots anymore. They will need way more than 20 million votes this time and they are ALREADY acting like the election is over. They are already going ahead with plan B.

As Q said in drop 1585 Jun 21, 2018 “We stand. We fight. TOGETHER. Organized riots being planned. COUNTER measures in place. Resistance far smaller than portrayed by MSM. Attacks will intensify. You, collectively, are a massive threat. Censorship applied to scale down impact/reach. It’s failing. Trust yourself. Public awakening. Q” We’re taking back our country from these evil occupiers.
 

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Polls are designed to manipulate public opinion not measure it. That and to justify the fraud.

They keep telling us this race is close but...

20241101_232114.jpg


:rolleyes:
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Republican or Democrat, Trump or Harris – whoever wins, the truth for Americans is that the rich will get richer, and the poor will get poorer; it’s as inevitable as the rising sun, death and taxes. But I have to say, I DO like the election game; watching the MAGA morons find always better ways to kiss Trump’s ass, while demonizing Harris; or a few who are always searching for ways to do the reverse. The fact is, whoever wins, AMERICANS WILL GET THE GOVERNMENT THEY DESERVE.
Dont worry Big Dummy, your life and the life of your fellow morons will get better despite your wish to be controlled by Demons.
 

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