Super Bowl Pick! (pending outcome of nfc but write up goes for either outcome)

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Russell rarely makes mistakes though and I see at least 2 Manning INTs.

The key for me is special teams. Holliday vs. Harvin. Who makes the bigger impact? My money is literally on Percy.
 

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Russel does not make mistake but he gets sacked again and again and refuses to take chances. This is the big stage, he's gonna have to take off that skirt to win
 

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Percy Harvin factor is a concern, Denver does not trust Holliday beyond KO returns which he does not get a chance in Denver but might in Jersey.
 

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Russel does not make mistake but he gets sacked again and again and refuses to take chances. This is the big stage, he's gonna have to take off that skirt to win


Nah. How you think they got here in the first place? Russell doesn't need to do anything different. Don't mistake a non throw and a sack for a bad play when the alternative is a prayer pass that gets picked and changes the game. Some of the best plays of the game for winning teams are mistakes that aren't made no matter how underwhelming they look at the time.
 

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Imo the key here is to shut down beast mode and force Wilson to make the plays. Den does not really have a good pass rush, but in this case it may work to their advantage if they can just keep Wilson in the pocket and force him to throw into windows which he does not like to do. Wilson like to run around until the play breaks down and then throws it deep. The bottom line is to force a Manning vs Wilson game, if they can do that then Den wins.

Interestingly Den didn't face a Wilson-type QB except for RG3. They struggled with him at times especially in first half. Wonder if we don't seem the same early lapses by Denver D here.
 

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Agree with all of this.

Still trying to find a deciding factor on Denver's side to play my own devil's advocate, but it all lines up in Seattle's favor in my opinion. It can't be this easy.

Only thing on my end for Denver is my bias towards Peyton. I really want him to win another one. I just don't see it here.

devil's advocate (pro denver reasoning)
1. broncos and manning will get the reffing in their favor. refs probably in awe of manning and will give him benefit of doubt via roughing the passer calls, no offensive holding calls, and defensive pi and holding on seattle. seattle is the most penalized team in the league this year, i'm sure the refs know that
2. eli has informed peyton of the nuances of playing in that stadium
3. quick passes and completions by den frustrate seahawks pass rush, wear the defense out
4. super bowl lights too bright for wilson, he throws a couple picks, maybe a pick 6. seattle gets down by double digits and has to abandon the run, creating more bad play by wilson
5. john fox previous super bowl experience vs carol. the order of events in the 2 weeks leading up to super bowl. advantage fox
6. sherman distraction works in dn favor and against seahawks.
7. lynch gets dui the friday night before sb
8. harvin, having not played most of the year, makes a mistake like a fumble boneheaded penalty

that's all i can think of at the moment. i dont put too much weight into any of these factors (obviously) or i would not have picked seahawks.
 

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added under 24 1st half for 1/10 of my superbowl play, really more of an action play than anything.
1. teams will both probably start slow and cautious, settling for fg, then in the 4th q start trading td's
 

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over 90.5 lynch rushing yds. small action bet only. i figure he will be bottled up 1st half and start to wear out defense 2nd half.
 

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took seattle for 1k which is 5 times my reg season bet
 

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don't know why den didn't kick that fg and went for it on 4th and 2, but i'm glad they did. won the action bet on un 24 1st half.

small action bet, parlaying seattle +6.5 and over 23.5. when i say small i mean small, only 10 to win 29.
 

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good ending to this season, can't wait until next year!

2013 Regular season record
sides 30-16-1
6 pt teasers 4-7-1
halftime bets 5-11

2013-14 Playoff/SB record
3-1-2 sides
1-0 in game
1-1 halftime
2-0 moneyline
 

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