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****** Friday's Bet Early [ analysis on my Friday's thread. My Bet the Commanders, I snagged this bet at -$600 X 10 the Press... I want to make this bet early as possible for me. This money line will only go up!!!!
Tennessee Titans (2-8) vs Houston Texans (6-4)
I will be betting Texans. On Monday Houston posted 391 total yards (250 passing) and 21 first downs in a pretty nice overall effort against a struggling Dallas squad. The Texans' defense gave up points in only the second quarter and the whole team finished strong with a couple of unanswered fourth-quarter scores to cap things off. Titans have an average scoring margin of -9.3 points per game and have lost six straight against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points per game, compared to an average line of 40.4.
Heading into week 12, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17, and rank 25th in yards per game with 295.4. Tennessee ranks 27th in passing yards per game (178.4) on 30.7 attempts per game, and they are 18th in rushing yards per game (117) on 26.8 attempts. On third down, they rank 26th with a conversion rate of 33.6%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 48.3% of their trips, which ranks 7th in the league. That makes 22 or more points in seven of the last eight games for Houston, and it was a nice bounce-back after a tough loss to Detroit.
As for Tennessee, they’re coming off a sloppy game against the Vikings with 13 penalties for 91 yards. The Titans mustered 294 yards on offense (33 rushing) with just 11 first downs and a tepid 6-of-15 on third-down conversions. Tennessee hasn’t gotten past 20 points for six straight games, a 1-5 stretch. It’s hard to imagine the offense waking up for this one.
In week 11, C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards (23/34) in a win over the Cowboys. Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Before Dell’s 54-yard game, John Metchie III had 74 yards in week 10, and Dell recorded 126 yards in week 9. The Texans’ defense played well in their 34-10 win over the Cowboys, recording five sacks and holding Dallas to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 324 passing yards on 33 completions, they limited the Cowboys to just one passing touchdown. Houston’s run defense was also effective, allowing only 64 yards on 18 attempts. My Bet Texans -6 1/2 [Buying a full Point] & Hedging the Money Line -$380 X 6 [Press ]. 6 Point 2 Team Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4.
Denver Broncos (6-5) vs Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
The Raiders may not have their top two running backs here, which would push Abdullah into the starting role. Their receiving corps is mediocre at best as outside of Bowers, there isn’t a target you can count on to move the chains with any regularity. This game is going to be lower scoring. The Broncos are averaging 21.4 points per game, and they aren’t going to run up the score here. I believe they might score 20 points, but they aren’t going to go higher than that here. The Raiders offense overall has been a major issue, and they are going to really struggle to get anything going here. They might struggle to get seven points. Denver had a massive showing in their win over Atlanta as Nix had a career day. The Broncos already dusted the Raiders by double figures at home last month. While Denver is 0-4 in Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium since the Raiders moved, that trend comes to an end here as the Broncos roll to a win. Broncos Money Line -$260 X 2 [ Press] With a 2 Team 6 Point Teaser Broncos Even & Commanders -4
My Bets & Teasers
Commanders -$600 X 10 the Press.
6 Point 2 Team Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4.
My Bet Texans -6 1/2 [Buying a full Point.
Texans Money Line -$380 X 6 [Press ].
2 Team 6 Point Teaser Broncos Even & Commanders -4.
Broncos Money Line -$260 X 2 [ Press]
3 Team 6 Point Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4 & Broncos Even
****** Friday's Bet Early [ analysis on my Friday's thread. My Bet the Commanders, I snagged this bet at -$600 X 10 the Press... I want to make this bet early as possible for me. This money line will only go up!!!!
Tennessee Titans (2-8) vs Houston Texans (6-4)
I will be betting Texans. On Monday Houston posted 391 total yards (250 passing) and 21 first downs in a pretty nice overall effort against a struggling Dallas squad. The Texans' defense gave up points in only the second quarter and the whole team finished strong with a couple of unanswered fourth-quarter scores to cap things off. Titans have an average scoring margin of -9.3 points per game and have lost six straight against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points per game, compared to an average line of 40.4.
Heading into week 12, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17, and rank 25th in yards per game with 295.4. Tennessee ranks 27th in passing yards per game (178.4) on 30.7 attempts per game, and they are 18th in rushing yards per game (117) on 26.8 attempts. On third down, they rank 26th with a conversion rate of 33.6%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 48.3% of their trips, which ranks 7th in the league. That makes 22 or more points in seven of the last eight games for Houston, and it was a nice bounce-back after a tough loss to Detroit.
As for Tennessee, they’re coming off a sloppy game against the Vikings with 13 penalties for 91 yards. The Titans mustered 294 yards on offense (33 rushing) with just 11 first downs and a tepid 6-of-15 on third-down conversions. Tennessee hasn’t gotten past 20 points for six straight games, a 1-5 stretch. It’s hard to imagine the offense waking up for this one.
In week 11, C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards (23/34) in a win over the Cowboys. Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Before Dell’s 54-yard game, John Metchie III had 74 yards in week 10, and Dell recorded 126 yards in week 9. The Texans’ defense played well in their 34-10 win over the Cowboys, recording five sacks and holding Dallas to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 324 passing yards on 33 completions, they limited the Cowboys to just one passing touchdown. Houston’s run defense was also effective, allowing only 64 yards on 18 attempts. My Bet Texans -6 1/2 [Buying a full Point] & Hedging the Money Line -$380 X 6 [Press ]. 6 Point 2 Team Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4.
Denver Broncos (6-5) vs Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
The Raiders may not have their top two running backs here, which would push Abdullah into the starting role. Their receiving corps is mediocre at best as outside of Bowers, there isn’t a target you can count on to move the chains with any regularity. This game is going to be lower scoring. The Broncos are averaging 21.4 points per game, and they aren’t going to run up the score here. I believe they might score 20 points, but they aren’t going to go higher than that here. The Raiders offense overall has been a major issue, and they are going to really struggle to get anything going here. They might struggle to get seven points. Denver had a massive showing in their win over Atlanta as Nix had a career day. The Broncos already dusted the Raiders by double figures at home last month. While Denver is 0-4 in Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium since the Raiders moved, that trend comes to an end here as the Broncos roll to a win. Broncos Money Line -$260 X 2 [ Press] With a 2 Team 6 Point Teaser Broncos Even & Commanders -4
My Bets & Teasers
Commanders -$600 X 10 the Press.
6 Point 2 Team Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4.
My Bet Texans -6 1/2 [Buying a full Point.
Texans Money Line -$380 X 6 [Press ].
2 Team 6 Point Teaser Broncos Even & Commanders -4.
Broncos Money Line -$260 X 2 [ Press]
3 Team 6 Point Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4 & Broncos Even
