Sunday Spain La Liga and Italy Serie A

KidA · May 3, 2008

Spain La Liga

-Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca-
Both teams have it in the back of their mind that reaching Europe is possible, and Mallorca has the better chance of the two teams. With Depor's loss today, Mallorca can grab the Interto Cup spot if Almeria and Espanyol both fail to win their matches. With a couple injury problems to Bilbao and a almost a full strenth squad for Mallorca, I feel that they will have the upper hand here.
2 units
Mallorca Pk, +1/2 ... -101

-Almeria vs Real Betis-
This is the same situation for Almeria as it is for Mallorca, it is their chance to grab an Interto cup spot and creep up for the automatic spots for Europe. With a full strength squad to choose from, we should see the solid Almeria we have been watching all season long to get the job done against Betis.
1 unit
Almeria Pk, -1/2 ... -114

-Osasuna vs Real Madrid-
Osasuna HAVE to get a result here against Real Madrid. They are sitting in 18th place tied with Huelva but due to their h2h they are the ones who will be relegated if it stays that way. Osasuna have to get at least a draw here and it is very possible as Real Madrid might want to win the title at home against Barcelona, which would be insane for the fans and the team itself. On top of that, I find the line to be very weird to me. Real are Pk, -1/2 which seems a bit low to me. Osasuna are sitting in the relegation zone and Real is that small a favorite? Real is bigger favorites against teams who are doing even better than Osasuna. I would have thought that Real Madrid is at least a full -1/2 spread with some juice to lay on as well.
2 units
Osasuna Pk, +1/2 ... -131

Italy Serie A

-AC Milan vs Inter Milan-
This game is huge for AC Milan, and I don't see them losing. They have to get a result since they are sitting 2 points back of Fiorentina and if Fiorentina lose to Cagliari than AC Milan will take that Champions League spot. The juice is a little high for this game and I usually try to keep my plays with a lot better juice than this, but I really don't see them losing this one.
1 unit
AC Milan Pk ... -146

-Sampdoria vs Roma-
I wouldn't have thought Roma would be small undie's for this game but a win is crucial if they want any chance in beating Inter to the Scudetto this season. I see the Pk as a lot of value and I feel that there will be goals in this game. With Sampdoria missing players in defense, it should give Roma an easier time finding the back of the net, and if there is an early goal, we should see a very open game.
2 units
Roma Pk ... +100
1 unit
Over 2.5 ... -120

257-217-25
54.22% (+66.12 units)

2white · May 4, 2008

I don't think Roma thinks about scudetto, although anything can happen,...but i believe a draw is a possibility. remember cassano takes this match personally. Overall Roma is far superior they only need to keep focused and calm. Samp might have also Montella's card to play. Best of luck

rolltide · May 4, 2008

Kid A said:
I find the line to be very weird to me. Real are Pk, -1/2 which seems a bit low to me. Osasuna are sitting in the relegation zone and Real is that small a favorite? Real is bigger favorites against teams who are doing even better than Osasuna. I would have thought that Real Madrid is at least a full -1/2 spread with some juice to lay on as well.

very true but I would wait until after the Villareal match to really take this game. If Villareal do not beat Getafe, Real are already champions and will most likely field a weak lineup to save players for the Barca match.

too true about the odds...basically the same odds as when RM visited Santander a few weeks back, and they are in 5th place. Against relegation zone teams RM were priced away at 1.3 (Levante), 1.5 (Murcia), and 1.75 (Recreativo) yet can be had for 2.40 today??? Almost like the books are begging you to bet on RM

chriscol · May 4, 2008

if everything goes well in villareal game Real needs just a point + they dont have good history at ossasuna at all...those are reasons why line is only -0.25.

rolltide · May 4, 2008

chriscol said:
if everything goes well in villareal game Real needs just a point + they dont have good history at ossasuna at all...those are reasons why line is only -0.25.

actually Madrid have won 3 straight in Pamplona and not lost there in more than 5 years

chriscol · May 4, 2008

ok, i just heart it somewhere on TV , but then it was wrong...villareal is doingthe job , so real needs a win to clinch

rolltide · May 4, 2008

yes villareal up 2-0 so now the osasuna bet does not look so great. oh well...GL Kid

word is Ruud may be back today and he scored 4 at Osasuna last year

themadactuarian · May 4, 2008

Kid A said:
Spain La Liga

-Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca-
Both teams have it in the back of their mind that reaching Europe is possible, and Mallorca has the better chance of the two teams. With Depor's loss today, Mallorca can grab the Interto Cup spot if Almeria and Espanyol both fail to win their matches. With a couple injury problems to Bilbao and a almost a full strenth squad for Mallorca, I feel that they will have the upper hand here.
2 units
Mallorca Pk, +1/2 ... -101

-Almeria vs Real Betis-
This is the same situation for Almeria as it is for Mallorca, it is their chance to grab an Interto cup spot and creep up for the automatic spots for Europe. With a full strength squad to choose from, we should see the solid Almeria we have been watching all season long to get the job done against Betis.
1 unit
Almeria Pk, -1/2 ... -114

-Osasuna vs Real Madrid-
Osasuna HAVE to get a result here against Real Madrid. They are sitting in 18th place tied with Huelva but due to their h2h they are the ones who will be relegated if it stays that way. Osasuna have to get at least a draw here and it is very possible as Real Madrid might want to win the title at home against Barcelona, which would be insane for the fans and the team itself. On top of that, I find the line to be very weird to me. Real are Pk, -1/2 which seems a bit low to me. Osasuna are sitting in the relegation zone and Real is that small a favorite? Real is bigger favorites against teams who are doing even better than Osasuna. I would have thought that Real Madrid is at least a full -1/2 spread with some juice to lay on as well.
2 units
Osasuna Pk, +1/2 ... -131

Italy Serie A

-AC Milan vs Inter Milan-
This game is huge for AC Milan, and I don't see them losing. They have to get a result since they are sitting 2 points back of Fiorentina and if Fiorentina lose to Cagliari than AC Milan will take that Champions League spot. The juice is a little high for this game and I usually try to keep my plays with a lot better juice than this, but I really don't see them losing this one.
1 unit
AC Milan Pk ... -146

-Sampdoria vs Roma-
I wouldn't have thought Roma would be small undie's for this game but a win is crucial if they want any chance in beating Inter to the Scudetto this season. I see the Pk as a lot of value and I feel that there will be goals in this game. With Sampdoria missing players in defense, it should give Roma an easier time finding the back of the net, and if there is an early goal, we should see a very open game.
2 units
Roma Pk ... +100
1 unit
Over 2.5 ... -120

257-217-25
54.22% (+66.12 units)

Absolutely phenomenal performance in the "A" league. Kudos to you! (Milan win was worth a ton of Euro cash for their drive for next year Champions League aspirations). Foolish of Inter to play the way they did today. IMO, Balotelli had to start the game, not come in as a sub in the second half. Mancini failed to respect AC on home turf, and paid the price.)

KidA · May 4, 2008

Thank MA, that def means a lot coming from a Serie A expert like yourself :toast:

Did anyone watch the Osasuna game???? Really thought Osasuna had that game in the bag. Up a man and up a goal with only 3 minutes left in relegation time only to lose it outright, how the hell did that happen? 4-2 on the day with a profit of +2.81 units.

261-219-25
54.38% (+68.93 units)