Sunday Service Play Thread 9/18/2022

[BuzzKill]

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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[rockland]

Potato Kmish

Dolphins +4

 

[dough]

Burns NFL

5% Jax

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 1:00PM
CAR/PIT

(-120)William Hill 273 CAR vs 274 NYG triple-dime bet

Analysis:
3* Panthers +8.5/Steelers +7.5 -120 (Widely available)


I am at Pittsburgh -1 in this game. As 1.5 point dogs, usually that does not give us value going through zero, but for a teaser it absolutely does.

I am continuing to fade New England after a horrible preseason, training camp/joint practices (reportedly), and a 13 point loss in week one to Miami. Now Mac Jones is dealing with a back injury, and long time Patriots observers have mentioned Jones looked like he could not get much velocity on his passes against Miami due to the injury. It's entirely possible this injury is a lot worse than we are led to believe, and New England's offensive line has struggled to protect their quarterback this entire summer.

I made the Carolina game PK as well, and I am not expecting that we see a +3 in that game, which has me grabbing the teaser now. Quite simply, I have Carolina rated better due to them having the superior quarterback, passing game weapons, and defense (with a similar offensive line/running back). I thought the Giants come from behind win was more indicative of the Titans being a sell team rather than the Giants being a buy on team.

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 1:00PM
WAS/MIN

(-120)William Hill 267 WAS vs 268 DET double-dime bet

Analysis: 2* 6 PT TEASER: Washington +8.5/Vikings +8.5 (Widely available)

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 8:20PM
287 CHI / 288 GBP UNDER 42.0 BetOnline double-dime bet

Analysis: Good down to 41

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 4:05PM
279 SEA / 280 SFX UNDER 41.5 BetOnline double-dime bet

Analysis: Good down to 41

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Sep 15 2022 8:15PM
CEH U

(-115)BetOnline 103 LAC vs 104 KAN single-dime bet

Analysis:
Clyde Edwards Helaire (KC) U2.5 Receptions -115

Good to -140. Widely available.


CEH came into the league as a very solid pass catching prospect, and early in his career he went over this number quite a bit. Recently, it's been a different story. CEH has went under this number in 14 of his last 19 games.

Nothing has changed recently, with Jerrick McKinnon being the Chiefs pass down back. CEH played only ran a route on one third down snap last week.

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 4:25PM
283 HOU / 284 DEN OVER 45.0 BetOnline double-dime bet

Analysis:

Short and sweet: Houston had last weeks 4th highest pass rate over expectation, and Denver has preached playing fast all off season with Wilson now at QB. Denver is missing stud safety Justin Simmons from a defense that struggled mightily against Geno Smith

 

[betfusion]

Guru

Falcons vs. Rams U 47
Colts vs. Jaguars U 45.5
Cardinals vs. Raiders O 51.5
Seahawks vs. 49ers U 41.5
Aces vs. Sun O 162.5

 

[betfusion]

Larry Hartstein

NE -2
Carolina Panthers +2
Denver Broncos -10

 

[betfusion]

ADAM CHERNOFF

Rams -10
Packers -9
49ers -9
Texans/Broncos Over 45
Commanders Over 23.5 Team Total
Panthers Over 20.5 TT

 

[JayGrace]

Jeff Ma- 3-2 last week
saints +2.5
Patriots-2
cowboys +7.5
Seahawks +9
Vikings +2

 

[dough]

Lawrence NFL

Caro
Ariz

 

[poly]

Marc Lawrence​

Washington Commanders +1½
Panthers +2
Titans +11

 

[poly]

Lawrence NFL

Caro
Ariz

Arizona ?

 

[poly]

AAA Sports​

Dolphins +3½
Washington Commanders +1½
Titans +10½

 

[dough]

Arizona ?

Ur kidding right it's says Lawrence NFL

 

[abanglao]

Joe D'Amico
Tampa Bay -2.5

 

[crawdads2424]

ROOT:

Contrarian: 49ers -9.5
Chairman’s: Jaguars +4.5
Reserve: Saints +4
Gold Standard: Cowboys +7.5
Pinnacle: Patriots -2.5