Sunday Service Play Thread 7/03/2022

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Andy Lang

Formula 1 Play
Game: Formula 1 Play
Date/Time: Jul 3 2022 9:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: E%
Play: Max Verstappen to WIN British Grand Prix

Max Verstappen has been on a tear as of late, and is the clear best combination of driver and car right now in Formula 1. He had reliability issues early in the season, but going into the race in Italy on April 10th, the team made updates to the car, and he’s proceeded to win five out of the last six races with the race he didn’t win being at Monaco where passing is impossible, and he settled for third. He went on to win at Azerbaijan and Canada in very confident fashion. At Canada, there was a late caution that bunched the field together to make the final gaps between positions seem much closer than they really were. Make no mistake, Verstappen was in a class by himself. At Azerbaijan, without a late caution, Verstappen won by just over 20 seconds over his teammate. I believe we’ll see similar domination by Max again at Silverstone at the British Grand Prix. This is a race that has been dominated by Mercedes recently, but these are new cars with new setups this year and Red Bull has separated. Their closest competitors are Ferrari, and we saw reliability issues derail them at Azerbaijan, and at Canada Carlos Sainz was closest to Verstappen, but even with a late caution that got him right on the back end of Max, and with the DRS advantage in the last 13 laps he couldn’t really get close to passing Max. Leclerc ran well at Canada after making engine changes and he had to start in the back, and battled back up to 5th, but I don’t see anyone competing with Max at this race unless there is a crash or engine issues for Verstappen. Red Bulls advantage this year is on the long straights, and Silverstone has several of them that should suit their cars well. If Max gets out in front at the beginning he should pull ahead of the pack easily, and even if he doesn’t get the lead at the beginning he will have the faster race pace, especially on the straights, allowing him to catch and pass all the cars that might get in front of him.

Released June 19, 2022 9:42 PM EDT
NASCAR Prop
Game: NASCAR Prop
Date/Time: Jul 3 2022 7:21 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C%
Play: Chase Elliott TOP 3

Getting +160 on this play is incredible. I played this on Bovada at this price, it's worth playing at any plus money. Elliott is the road course master in NASCAR right now. He dominated this race last year, and is one of the few cars that can drive through the field if he has a bad qualifying run or runs off track or has a bad pit stop. If he doesn't have any of those, he'll be up near the front and will be next to impossible to pass. Along with winning this race last year, I took the average finishes at the last two races at COTA, Watkins Glen and Sonoma and he has the best average finish by far at 2.7. The next closest driver with the best average finish is Ross Chastain with an average finish of 9.3. I don't like playing outrights, so I'll just take him to finish top 3 at his great price. If he qualifies well, this line will drop well below even money.

 

[BuzzKill]

Ziti Sports

MLB
Kansas City Royals +115 Detroit Tigers (12:05 PM)
Oakland Athletics +130 Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM)

TENNIS
ATP Wimbledon - R16- Frances Tiafoe -108 David Goffin (7:30 AM)
ATP Challenger Luedenscheid - Final- Hamad Medjedovic vs. Zhizhen Zhang OVER 21.5 -119 (8:30 AM)
WTA Wimbledon - R16- Marie Bouzkova vs. Caroline Garcia OVER 22 -107 (6:00 AM)
ITF Women Montpellier - Final- Kateryna Baindl vs. Oksana Selekhmeteva OVER 20.5 -112 (11:00 AM)

SOCCER UNDER SYSTEM
Sweden - Allsvenskan- Djurgardens IF vs. Hammarby UNDER 2.5 +110 (9:00 AM)
Norway - Eliteserien- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK UNDER 3 -111 (2:00 PM)
Brazil - Serie A- AC Goianiense GO vs. Sao Paulo FC SP UNDER 2 +108 (3:00 PM)
Belarus - Premier League- Gomel vs. Neman Grodno UNDER 2.5 -144 (1:00 PM)

SOCCER OVER SYSTEM
Norway - Eliteserien- Kristiansund BK vs. Lillestrom SK OVER 2.5 -132 (12:00 PM)
Norway - 1st Division- Mjondalen IF vs. Stabaek IF OVER 2.5 -112 (9:00 AM)

 

[bribux]

mlb-undertips info
Detroit Tigers – Kansas City Royals
Under 7.5

 

[bribux]

romariogoals eu
NORWAY: ELITESERIEN
Ham Kam – Molde
Over 3

 

[bribux]

23goals
SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN
Varberg – Varnamo
2 or 3 goals

 

[bribux]

TeamRonaldinho

USA: MLS
Nashville SC – Portland Timbers
Nashville SC Over 1.5 goals

 

[aaroncraft]

FristSetSherm

Sinner 1st Set ML
Ostapenko vs. Maria U 9.5

 

[dough]

Essler 3* NL GOY

Phil

 

[dough]

Nover 3* WNBA

Conn

 

[Sleez]

Jimmy Adams 4%
(925) Texas Rangers at (926) New York Mets
Texas Rangers +125 J Gray (RHP), C Carrasco (RHP) Must Start

 

[Sleez]

kelso

15 giants
15 rangers
15 phillies

 

[Sleez]

KEVIN THOMAS



Game: MLB 07/03/2022 7:13 PM St Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: St Louis Cardinals 128 for 10 units

 

[Sleez]

Sunday MLB Sharp Report

1:37 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (42-36) at Toronto Blue Jays (44-35)

These AL East rivals have split the first four games of this rare five-game series, with the Jays taking the first two games and the Rays bouncing back with a pair of wins on Friday and Saturday. In this afternoon's series finale, Tampa Bay hands the ball to righty Shane Baz (0-1, 3.38 ERA) and Toronto counters with fellow righty Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.12 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -125 home favorite and the Rays a +110 road dog. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Toronto, steaming the Jays up from -125 to -135. Toronto is 36-25 as a favorite, 25-17 at home and 37-27 against righties. The Jays hold a sizable edge at the plate, hitting .258 while the Rays sit at .234. Stripling has been fantastic in the month of June, sporting a minuscule 1.59 ERA. Toronto went 5-1 in Stripling's six June starts.

1:40 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (58-21) at Cleveland Guardians (39-36)

The Yankees have taken the first two games of this series, sweeping yesterday's doubleheader 13-4 as -290 road favorites and then winning again 6-1 as -188 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, New York starts lefty Jordan Montgomery (3-1, 3.27 ERA) and Cleveland taps righty Triston McKenzie (4-6, 4.03 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a -155 road favorite and the Guardians a +140 home dog. Pros seem to be thinking "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and have steamed the Yankees up from -155 to -165. Non-division road favorites are 147-78 (65%) this season. New York is 54-20 as a favorite, 24-12 on the road and 39-14 against righties. The Yankees are 5-0 against the Guardians this season. New York also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8).


2:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (37-43) at Houston Astros (50-27)

The Astros have dominated the first two games of this AL West series, winning the opener 8-1 as -175 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 9-1 as -167 home favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Los Angeles taps lefty Jose Suarez (1-2, 4.36 ERA) and Houston sends out fellow southpaw Framber Valdez (8-3, 2.65 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -200 home favorite and the Angels a +185 road dog. Sharps are banking on Houston to complete the sweep, driving the Astros up from -200 to -220. Home favorites -200 or more are 118-45 (72%) this season. Favorites who made the playoffs last season against opponents who did not are 308-162 (66%).The Angels are just 5-20 as a dog this season. Meanwhile, the Astros are 43-18 as a favorite, 15-8 against lefties and 23-11 at home. Houston leads the season series 6-3. The Astros are 8-2 in Valdez's last ten starts.
_______________

 

[Sleez]

The Winners Circle – Sunday Sports Plays

MLB BASEBALL
Play Los Angeles Dodgers -190 over San Diego
Play Houston -230 over Los Angeles Angels

 

[daveykbook]

IC Golf
D play - Mark Hubbard over Patrick Kizzire -120 - John Deere Classic

 

[daveykbook]

Docsports MLB

D play - Giants
C play Orioles

 

[Sleez]

Godfatherlocks july 3rd picks

mlb

2 massive 10k unit picks



*** massive 10k unit picks ***



#1 - tampa bay rays +115



#2 - colorado rockies +100

 

[kickback.1]

FERRALL

HOU
NYM
MINN
MIL
NYY
TOR
ATL
SF
ARI
PHI
MIA
DET
SEA
SD
CUBS

 

[skippy79]

Bob Balfe
Diamondbacks/Rockies under 11.5