Sunday Service Play Thread 12/12/2021

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BuzzKill

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Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Thursday, Dec 9 2021 8:20PM
101 PIT +3.5 (-110)BetOnline vs 102 MIN double-dime bet

Analysis: I am at 2.5 on this one. Minnesota's roster is decimated injury wise, and this was a team with very little depth to begin with.
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Dec 12 2021 4:25PM
126 TAM -3.0 (-115)Southpoint vs 125 BUF double-dime bet

Analysis:
Tampa has had an underrated HFA since the bye week last year when Tampa figured their offense out. Since that bye, at home, Tampa is 7-1 ATS, 8-0 SU, and the fewest amount of points they have scored was 26. Buffalo's defensive metrics look good on paper, but it has been against a laughable schedule of opposing quarterbacks that include Big Ben, Tua, Mills, Lawrence, White, Siemein. Against Wentz and Tannehill led offenses, they gave up 34 and 41 points.

The loss of star cornerback Tredavious White did not show in last weeks game against the Patriots, but against Tampa's high flying offense, it will likely show here. Buffalo's run game is likely to be non existent against Tampa's dominate defensive front, and Josh Allen has not played near the level that he had played last season.

One has to wonder if there is something going on in Buffalo's locker room as well, as HC Sean McDermott seemed disgruntled after the loss against New England about his teams offense. Safeties Jordan Poyer and Myca Hyde made it a point to mention that their defense held New England to 14 points in their post game press conference as well.
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 12 2021 4:25PM
125 BUF / 126 TAM OVER 53.5 Circa Sportsdouble-dime bet

Analysis:
Two offenses playing at a lightning-fast pace, who are also both top three in the league in passing rate

Tampa is passing at the highest rate in the NFL and playing at the leagues second fastest pace. This will be the Bills first game without Tredavious White, and Buffalo's statistically excellent defense has struggled this season against better competition, including two games where they allowed 35 and 41 points to Ryan Tannehill and Carson Wentz led offenses.

Buffalo entered last weeks game throwing at the 3rd highest rate in the NFL, and Tampa's secondary is also slightly overvalued from facing a weak schedule of opposing quarterbacks. Bills games are averaging 52 total points over the past four weeks when you remove last weeks wind driven under game against the Patriots
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Dec 12 2021 4:25PM
126 TAM -3.0 (-115)Southpoint vs 125 BUF double-dime bet

Analysis:
Tampa has had an underrated HFA since the bye week last year when Tampa figured their offense out. Since that bye, at home, Tampa is 7-1 ATS, 8-0 SU, and the fewest amount of points they have scored was 26. Buffalo's defensive metrics look good on paper, but it has been against a laughable schedule of opposing quarterbacks that include Big Ben, Tua, Mills, Lawrence, White, Siemein. Against Wentz and Tannehill led offenses, they gave up 34 and 41 points.

The loss of star cornerback Tredavious White did not show in last weeks game against the Patriots, but against Tampa's high flying offense, it will likely show here. Buffalo's run game is likely to be non existent against Tampa's dominate defensive front, and Josh Allen has not played near the level that he had played last season.

One has to wonder if there is something going on in Buffalo's locker room as well, as HC Sean McDermott seemed disgruntled after the loss against New England about his teams offense. Safeties Jordan Poyer and Myca Hyde made it a point to mention that their defense held New England to 14 points in their post game press conference as well.
 

GalenThomas

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Collins Blazin 5 ( 3-2 last week) Browns -3, NY Giants + 9.5, 49ers -2, Bills + 3 & AZ -2.5
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Dec 12 2021 1:00PM
Robinson O

(-115)William Hill 111 JAC vs 112 TEN single-dime bet

Analysis:

James Robinson (JAX) O48.5 Rush Yards -115 (DK/SuperBook/365)

Good up to 56.5
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Dec 12 2021 4:25PM
Singletary U

(-115)BetOnline 125 BUF vs 126 TAM single-dime bet

Analysis: Devin Singletary (BUF) U31.5 rush yards -115 (Consensus)
 
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