Sunday 7/6/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bonus Plays

#1 Sports

Sunday's free selection: San Diego Padres - 120


Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY :Take PHILADELPHIA (Burnett) +145 over Pittsburgh


Totals4U

Sunday's Free Selection: Toronto Blue Jays/Oakland Athletics over 7 1/2


Atlantic Sports

Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Los Angeles Angels - 180


Computer Sports

Free Selection MLB: Oakland -154


Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Atlanta Braves w/Wood -165 Over Arizozna


Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Sunday Selection CLEVELAND w/Kluber -135


Nevada Sharpshooter

Free Selection MLB Baltimore +115 over Boston


Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Cleveland Kluber -140


Huddle Up Sports

Free Winner: LA Dodgers Beckett -139


Dr. Vegas

Free Selection MLB: Atlanta -165


The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: MILWAUKEE/CINCINNATI UNDER the total of 7½ runs


High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Sunday: Toronto Blue Jays + 145


Kenny Towers

Free Selection MLB Un 9 Bal/Bos


John Anthony Sports

Sunday's Free Selection: St Louis Cardinals - 115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

MLB Comp Pick for Sunday, July 06, 2014: 1:35 PM ET

MLB (953) CHICAGO CUBS VS (954) WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Take: (953) CHICAGO CUBS

Reason: Your free pick for Sunday, July 6th, 2014, comes in baseball as Cubs and the Nationals meet in Washington. The Cubs have a very good arm in Jake Arrieta going, a guy who struggled in April but is on a roll at 5-1 with a 1.81 ERA. The team is 5-1 his last six starts. Arrieta held the Red Sox hitless until Stephen Drew singled with two outs in the eighth inning, and the Chicago Cubs beat the Boston Red Sox 2-0 on Monday night in the opener of only the second series between the teams at Fenway Park since 1918. In his previoueus start he lost a perfect game on a leadoff single in the seventh inning against Cincinnati! Arrieta is 4-0 with a 0.94 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his last 4 starts. He's taken a no-hit bid into the 5th inning in 3 of those 4 starts. Washington is no offensive force, 19th in runs scored, 21st in batting average, on base percentage and slugging. Jordan Zimmermann is favored, but Washington is just 4-4 his last nine starts. He's been a better pitcher on the road this season, with a higher ERA at home where opponents are hitting .292 off him. And the last three years the Cubs have had his number, going 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA against Chicago. Play Chicago.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Sunday Bonus Play 1:05 PM MLB

(967) KANSAS CITY ROYALS at (968) CLEVELAND INDIANS

Take: (968) CLEVELAND INDIANS -137

This is a bigger chalk piece than you’ll generally see me getting involved with. But a nice record with Corey Kluber and what is apparently a good feel for this series based on the last two nights has me willing to bite the bullet even at what is clearly not a bargain price.

Fact is, I could easily find a way to make a case for the Royals as a value option here. Danny Duffy has been okay, the offensive data when factoring in lefty/righty splits favors the road team, and KC is a good road team to boot. But there are some other numbers that are more meaningful to me, and having enjoyed lots of success with Kluber has me trusting that data the most.

There are three sets of stats that I put more weight on than old school numbers such as ERA. I find these numbers to be far more revealing in determining exactly how well a pitcher is really doing. In the case of Kluber, his key analytical numbers are even better than his 2.92 ERA would indicate. This is a totally legit ace at this point, and I don’t think there can be any question Kluber rates a spot on the American League All-Star staff.

Duffy, on the other hand, has a 2.60 ERA that I would have to consider misleading. His peripherals tell me there’s some regression coming here. Duffy has a very low BABIP, his fly ball rate is elevating, his swing and miss rate is dropping, and his BB rate is inching up. I’m not suggesting Duffy is going to fall apart. But I’d be surprised if he’s able to maintain what he’s done for the most part since taking a regular rotation turn for the Royals.

One other note worth mentioning. The Indians have done most of their offensive damage against righties this season. But of late that has turned to some extent, with the Tribe finally starting to dent some opposing southpaws. Thus, while I’d become extremely reluctant to try the Indians against lefties for most of the last couple months, I’m now more willing to do so.

Mostly, this is all about backing a pitcher who has gotten me paid almost every time I’ve played him this season. If you’re just showing up at the Corey Kluber party, there’s always the possibility you missed the best part. But if you’ve been getting those Kluber dividend checks all season, it makes plenty of sense to just keep riding him. That’s what I’ll be doing today with a second straight Bonus Play call on the Indians.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

MLB

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers

Edges - Brewers: Gallardo 34 strikeouts and 6 walks last six starts, and 5-1 day team starts this season, and 5-1 last six team starts vs Cincinnati. Reds: Latos 3-6 career team starts vs Milwaukee. With Latos' 7.94 home ERA more than seven runs per game higher than his 0.90 away ERA this season, we recommend a 1-unit play on Milwaukee.