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Vegas Money Moves - Week 9
By Micah Roberts

The Las Vegas sports books don't have to worry about the public cash cow this week with the Patriots having a bye. However, large amounts of small money has turned its attention to a few other teams beginning with the Cowboys (-7) at winless Cleveland as Dallas rides a six-game win and cover streak. Fortunately for the books, they've gotten some help to help balance things out.

"We've got three games where we have a sharp and square divide," said South Point sports book director Chris Andrews. "Sharps like the Jaguars, Browns and 49ers while the masses are on the Chiefs, Cowboys and Saints."

The line movement on the Saints might not suggest sharp play, but Andrews has been working that game hard since the beginning of the week.

"I opened the Saints -3.5 early in the week when most books were at -3 and we took a big bet on the 49ers, and since then its been all Saints money that's forced us to move higher, but when I got to -4.5 we immediately saw more 49ers action. We're in real good shape in the game, I like where we're sitting. I wish all the games looked like that."

Kansas City is without starting QB Alex Smith and back-up Nick Foles takes over. The Chiefs opened as 9-point home favorites against Jacksonville but it's down to -7 as of Friday afternoon. Cleveland getting +7.5 at home was the attractive number against sharps took against Dallas.

"We got another one of those games with sharps liking the Bills (Monday night) at Seattle where we've seen sharp Bills play, but I think by game time that the public money is going to overpower what we have early on the Bills."

Translation: If you like Buffalo getting maximum points possible, wait closer to kickoff on Monday. Most books are currently showing Seattle -7 (EV) with the South Point showing -6.5 because they're the only book in town that uses exclusively flat numbers.

"Two of the games the public are real strong on are the Panthers and Packers and there's been no resistance from the wise-guys," Andrews said.

The Packers are 7-point home favorites against the Colts at the South Point with most other book either showing -7.5 (EV) or -7 (-120).

The Panthers have the same type of deal at Los Angeles laying 3 (-120) or -3.5 (EV). Carolina ended a four game losing streak last week against Arizona while the Rams come off a bye riding a three game losing streak. "The Rams are one of those teams that look real good at times, but in other spots they look awful," said Andrews.

"Then we have a couple games where the public is split on with good way action, but the sharps like one side -- the Raiders and Eagles."

Denver has gone 8-1-1 ATS against the Raiders over the past five seasons, but Oakland won the last meeting and both are tied atop the AFC West. Oakland is as high as -1.5 at a few books. Sharps liked the +3 with the Eagles at the Giants and it's a steady -2.5 everywhere.

Another big concern Andrews and the other books have to deal with this week that wasn't prominent last week because of low point spreads is teaser risk where he's already heavy on the Chiefs, Cowboys, Packers and Seahawks combination.
 
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Bills travel to Seattle

NFL Week 9 Monday Night Football Betting Preview

Buffalo (4-4 SU; 4-4 ATS) vs. Seattle (4-2-1 SU; 3-4 ATS)

Odds: Seattle (-7); Total set at 43.5

Two slumping teams from different conferences meet on MNF this week and both would love to come away with the victory to revitalize their spirits heading into the second half of the season. Buffalo has lost two in a row after winning four straight and the euphoria from that four-game winning streak got slapped right out of Bills fans last week when Tom Brady and the Patriots dominated them from start to finish.

Seattle is 0-1-1 SU in their last two, but both of those games came on the road and being back at home should sooth some of the pain. The Seahawks still have a major concern with the play of their offensive line, and offense in general, but this Bills team has allowed 28+ during their two-game losing streak and facing this Bills defense might be exactly what the Seahawks need to see right now.

Yet, the biggest issue when breaking down this game is whether or not Bills RB LeSean McCoy will take the field. McCoy is 6th in the NFL in rushing yards with 598, but he's also missed a game plus and has put up those numbers on just 112 carries. Every RB ahead of him in total yardage has at least 153 rush attempts, so it's not hard to see just how important McCoy is to this Bills offense.

McCoy averages 5.34 yards per carry which is the best average for any RB that's been the starter the entire year (Jay Ajayi in Miami is at 6.29 but only recently became the starter), and as a team the Bills get 5.5 yards per rush attempt on the year. That's a solid number overall, but the bulk of that is because of McCoy and if he can't go, the Bills could be in trouble.

Seattle has their own injury concern as well that is directly correlated with McCoy and Buffalo's running attack with DE Michael Bennett on the shelf for the next couple of weeks. Bennett is by far the Seahawks best defensive player on that front line and not having him out there does mean that the Bills should be able to find a few more holes at the line of scrimmage, regardless of who's playing RB.

While these two injuries will have an impact on the game, I wouldn't be in a hurry to conclude that those absences equate to very few points scored like nearly 75% of the bettors already have. Yes, that ugly 6-6 tie by Seattle is still somewhat fresh in everyone's minds, but the Seahawks did manage to put up 20 on New Orleans last week in a loss and the Bills defense has been playing just as soft of late.

Buffalo is 4-0 O/U in thier last four games overall, and their lone trip to the West Coast this year already produced an 'over' in a 30-19 win over the Rams. The Bills offense with or without McCoy has to be willing to take some shots against this Seattle defense and the signing of Percy Harvin to help bolster the WR corps should force Seattle to respect the deep ball if nothing else. Furthermore, Buffalo is on a 8-2 O/U when coming off a loss and are 6-2 O/U in their last eight appearances on MNF.

Meanwhile, Seattle is hoping to get their own offense back in gear after some sluggish weeks and the success they saw Tom Brady have last week against this Bills defense has to help. Tight ends have killed the Bills for the most part this year with Gronkowski having a huge day last week and Seattle's got one that's eerily similar in Jimmy Graham.

Graham could be poised for a big night against this defense and that's something to keep in mind. Another thing to keep in mind is the fact that while these teams don't play each other often, the 'over' is a perfect 8-0 in their last eight meetings and that play has become a contrarian play this week.

Best Bet: Over 43.5 points
 
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'Toothless Colts in Tough Versus Packers'

The Indianapolis Colts may be headed for the glue factory. They're in third place in the AFC South at 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS, saddled with one of the worst defenses in football – and a former Pro Bowl quarterback who's performing like a league-average quarterback. Andrew Luck and the Colts are 7-point road dogs at press time for Sunday's game against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers (4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS), kicking off at 4:25 PM ET on CBS.

There's been a lot of talk this year on how Rodgers hasn't been playing like his usual Pro-Bowl self, but Luck largely managed to avoid criticism, up until last week's 30-14 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs (–3 away). Luck was 19-of-35 for 210 yards, connecting on just one of seven deep throws, and he got sacked six times behind an offensive line that's been much better at run blocking than pass protection.

The Packers’ defensive line, meanwhile, has been tremendous at stuffing both the run and the pass. As for Rodgers, he's only been sacked 14 times through Week 8, and the Colts’ front seven might not add to that total on Sunday.
 
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Broncos visit the Black Hole

NFL Week 9 Sunday Night Football Betting Preview

Denver (6-2 SU; 6-2 ATS) vs. Oakland (6-2 SU; 5-3 ATS)

Odds: Oakland (-1); Total set at 44

First place in the AFC West is on the line in primetime as the Black Hole gets a national showcase spotlight for the first time in awhile. Oakland hasn't been in a position to fight for 1st place in this division this late in the year forever, and with the move to Vegas looming over the Raiders this year, you know the Coliseum will be in a frenzy all day long.

The defending Super Bowl champion Broncos will have to deal with that atmosphere and will be out to prove that the AFC West is still their division. QB Trevor Siemian has already seen some hostile environments this year, but I don't believe anything will compare to what he'll have to deal with in terms of noise and hatred on Sunday night.

Siemian's lone road division game this season didn't go well as the Broncos fell 21-13 to San Diego on TNF a few weeks back and this game could end up with a similar result for Siemian and the Broncos. Thankfully for Denver fans the Broncos defense is carrying this team to success again this season and they'll likely have to rely on them this week to come out of the Black Hole with a win.

When breaking down this contest, it's nearly impossible to ignore the public perception of these organizations and so far we've already seen plenty of money bet in part because of that. Nearly 80% of the money bet has already come in on the defending champs here as the long-standing belief that the Raiders are a poor organization is still fresh in everyone's minds.

However, despite all those tickets being written for Denver, this line has flipped from the Broncos opening as a one-point favorite to becoming a one-point dog and that is a significant move that can't be ignored. While the majority of bets have come in on the visitors here, most of the bigger wagers have been on Oakland to cause that line move and it's moves like this that are typically better to follow than go against.

Five of Oakland's six victories this year have come by seven points or less as they've been one of the league's best team in that regard. The Raiders managed to escape Tampa Bay with a 30-24 OT win despite a NFL record 23 penalties last week, as penalties and poor defensive play have been a concern for Oakland all year long.

But the fact that the Raiders have continually found ways to win these close games speaks volumes about the confidence HC Jack Del Rio has in players and that began in Week 1 when he went for a 2-pt conversion to win the game, rather than tie it, late in New Orleans. All the Raiders players know how important this week's game is and we should see a more disciplined side ready to come out on top.

The other good news for Oakland this week is the fact that they've mainly been torched on the ground by opponents and Denver's running game isn't nearly as good as it was a year ago. That Broncos loss in San Diego that was referenced earlier saw Siemian throw 50 pass attempts and that's definitely not a path to success for this Broncos team. If the Raiders can get up early and force Denver to beat them through the air, Oakland's got a higher chance for success this week and that has to be the gameplan going in.

So, while the majority of bettors have come in on the Broncos already, I believe the better play is going against the grain there and taking the home side. If Oakland wants to be taken seriously as a contender this year, beating the defending champs at home is a must. The Raiders have a very favorable home schedule the rest of the way as this is the first of four straight at home for Oakland (five straight weeks without travel as they've got a bye week too) and they can start things off right with the W here.

As a franchise, they've not beaten Denver in this building since before the 2011 campaign – tying in to that perception that the Raiders have, and will always be a sub-par organization – and ending that streak on SNF this week could propel the Raiders the rest of the way to a division title. I've got no problem going against the majority here and backing the Raiders to come away with yet another close victory.

Best Bet: Oakland -1
 
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'AFC West Showdown'

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders November 6, 8:30 EST

The eyes of most NFL fans as well as those with a penchant for sports gaming with be on the prime-time AFC West Sunday night showdown between Oakland Raiders (6-2, 5-3 ATS) and defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos (6-2 SU/ATS). According to opening odds at Sports Interaction the Raiders were -1.5 point home favorite but the number has inched up to -2.0. after Aqib Talib was announced OUT for the Broncos.

Raiders guided by QB Derek Carr tossing 2321 yards, 17 TD, 3 Int and RB Latavious Murray grinding out 279 rushing yards, 5 TD sport the leagues 6th best scoring offense (26.9) but their 22nd-ranked defense (25.4) is a work in progess. The Broncos behind QB Trevor Siemian chucking 8 TD, 4 Int on 1487 yards are racking up 24.2 points/game but unlike Raiders the Broncos have a top notch 5th-ranked scoring defense allowing a lowly 17.0 points/game.

Raiders with their frenzied home crowd behind them along with top spot in the AFC West up for grabs will certainly be out to prove they belong in the AFC West race. However, trusting this undicipllined Raider squad (86 penalties, 728 YDS) can be costly. Raiders have yet to cover this season in front of the home audience (0-3 ATS), have failed to cash in seven consecutive (0-7 ATS) at the Coliseum. Even more eye-opening, Raiders, haven't been a peg to hang your hopes as faves. The last nine times laying points, the result has been 2 cashed tickets, 7 tossed in the trash can.

Add the fact Raiders have struggled at home against the betting facing Broncos going 0-5 ATS recently, 1-7 ATS last eight the numbers point towards Broncos who enter a sparkling 10-1 ATS on the road vs a division opponent. As always best of luck.
 
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SuperContest Picks - Week 9

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

This year's contest has 1,854 entries, which is an all-time record.

Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

Week 9

1) Denver PK (695)
2) Pittsburgh PK (604)
3) New Orleans -3.5 (575)
4) Carolina -3 (525)
5) Philadelphia +2.5 (474)

SuperContest Week 9 Matchups & Odds
Away Team Selections Home Team Selections
Atlanta (-4) 163 Tampa Bay (+4) 100
Jacksonville (+7) 206 Kansas City (-7) 422
Detroit (+5.5) 351 Minnesota (-5.5) 358
Philadelphia (+2.5) 474 N.Y. Giants (-2.5) 371
Dallas (-7) 406 Cleveland (+7) 404
N.Y. Jets (+3.5) 310 Miami (-3.5) 332
Pittsburgh (PK) 604 Baltimore (PK) 193
New Orleans (-3.5) 575 San Francisco (+3.5) 253
Carolina (-3) 525 Los Angeles (+3) 306
Indianapolis (+7.5) 319 Green Bay (-7.5) 176
Tennessee (+5) 422 San Diego (-5) 329
Denver (PK) 695 Oakland (PK) 334
Buffalo (+6.5) 236 Seattle (-6.5) 296


Weekly and Overall Consensus Records
Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
1 3-2 3-2 60%
2 0-5 3-7 30%
3 0-5 3-12 20%
4 1-4 4-16 20%
5 3-2 6-14 30%
6 1-3-1 5-19-1 21%
7 3-2 8-21-1 28%
8 3-2 11-23-1 32%
 
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Total Talk - Week 9
By Chris David

Week 8 Recap

You can’t spell overtime without ‘over’ – right? Three games saw an extra session last weekend and not surprisingly, all three went ‘over’ their totals and that helped the high side go 9-4 in Week 8. The scoreboard operator was consistently busy in Week 8 as every team posted at least 10 points and only four were held below 20. Through eight weeks of the regular season, the ‘over’ has gone 64-55-1 (54%).

Divisional Action

We’ve got five divisional games on Sunday and when you check out the latest standings you can see that all of these matchups have high stakes. Outside of the Vikings-Lions number, the point-spread on the other four games is less than a field goal and the totals are hovering between 41 and 44 points.

Detroit at Minnesota: From what we’ve seen in the first-half of the season, the NFC North has turned into a low-scoring division with the ‘under’ going 4-1 in the first five divisional games. The oddsmakers are expecting another ugly affair with a total of 41, the lowest on the board. Four of the last five in this series have gone ‘under’ but Minnesota scored 26 and 28 points in the two meetings last season. The Vikings remain a solid ‘under’ bet (5-2) and the Lions enter this contest with two straight ‘under’ tickets due to an offense that has scored 20 and 13 in their last games.

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants: When Chip Kelly was coaching the Eagles, these teams had totals ranging from 49 to 54 and Philadelphia averaged 27.6 PPG in those games. Now that Kelly is gone, we’re staring at a total of 43 this Sunday. Why? The offense in Philadelphia has simmered but the bigger factor is the Eagles scoring defense (16.7), which has improved by more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Giants offense (19 PPG) remains a complete mystery and their inconsistent production has led to a 5-2 ‘under’ record. Despite those statistics, Philadelphia has seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 on the road and it’s 2-0 to the ‘over’ in divisional games.

N.Y. Jets at Miami: The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of the last 10 encounters in this series but the ‘over’ is 2-1 in the last three and those results were helped by the Jets, who posted 38, 27 and 37 points. New York has posted 55 points in its last two games but only managed 36 in their four previous outings. Coincidentally, Miami has looked sharp offensively in its last two games (58 points) as well but are those numbers misleading? The Dolphins are ranked 18th in total offense, 17th in scoring and most importantly, second to last in third-down conversions. The Jets defense isn’t as good as previous seasons and the Dolphins have a mediocre unit as well. Miami has watched the ‘over’ go 3-1 at home this season while New York has leaned ‘under’ (3-2) on the road.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore: Tough total to handicap due to the injury situation for Pittsburgh, in particular the status of QB Ben Roethlisberger (questionable). The Steelers scored 15 points when he first got hurt at Miami in Week 6 and just 16 in his absence at home versus New England two weeks ago. Both teams enter this game with rest and for what it’s worth, Pittsburgh has allowed 39 and 35 the last two seasons off the bye and Baltimore has averaged 31 PPG in its last eight games after a bye. The ‘under’ went 2-0 in last year’s regular season meetings.

Denver at Oakland: (See Below)

Fifty Something

Based on our closing consensus numbers, we’ve seen 15 games this season close with a total listed at 50 or higher and the ‘under’ owns a slight 8-7 edge. There are two matchups in Week 9 that have numbers in this neighborhood and they both take place in the late session on Sunday.

New Orleans at San Francisco (52 ½): All of the totals for the Saints have closed in the fifties this season and the ‘over’ has gone 4-3 in those games but two of the ‘under’ tickets took place on the road. San Francisco’s scoring defense is horrendous (31.3 PPG) and this unit actually posted a shutout in Week 1.

Indianapolis at Green Bay (54 ½): This number clearly based on the weak Colts defense (402.5 YPG, 28.8 PPG) because Green Bay’s offense has been very sluggish this season. However, the unit has averaged 30 PPG after its two setbacks this season and they just lost at Atlanta last Sunday. Indy has gone 6-2 to the ‘over’ this season but the ‘under’ tickets came when they total was listed above 50.

Coast-to-Coast

The purpose of this piece and other columns on VI is to inform, entertain and hopefully point you in the right direction to win your wager/s. For those following and playing the “West Coast” total angle this season, congrats! After watching Arizona-Carolina and Oakland-Tampa Bay go ‘over’ their numbers last week, the high side is now 10-0 when a West Coast team plays in the Eastern Time Zone. If you include the records from last season, the ‘over’ is 21-5 (81%) in this situation.

There aren’t any pending matchups in Week 9 but we do have two East Coast clubs playing in the Pacific Time Zone.

Carolina at Los Angeles
Buffalo at Seattle: (MNF - See Below)

As noted last week, the ‘over’ has gone 4-3 in these situations with all three ‘under’ tickets taking place in Arizona.

Under the Lights

Atlanta and Tampa Bay combined for 71 points this past Thursday and the ‘over’ (49 ½), which was steamed down from 51 ½, easily connected. That’s two straight Favorite-Over tickets on the midweek game and something to keep an eye on. Including that result, the ‘under’ has gone 14-10-1 (58%) in primetime games.

Denver at Oakland: First place in the AFC West will be on the line Sunday as the Broncos and Raiders enter with identical 6-2 records. If you believe Oakland’s offense vs. Denver’s defense is a wash, then handicapping this total comes down to the other two units. While Denver isn’t a juggernaut (24.2 PPG) offensively, Oakland’s defense (410 YPG, 25.4 PPG) can’t stop anybody consistently. Based on what we’ve seen from the Raiders, their offense has struggled against quality defensive units in the Titans and (17) and Chiefs (10). Denver is still a little banged up but the total (44) makes you believe that a shootout doesn’t seem likely on Sunday night. The ‘under’ went 2-0 last season and Oakland hasn’t scored more than 17 points in its last six meetings against Denver.

Buffalo at Seattle: The Bills have seen the ‘over’ cash in four straight and six of their eight games this season, which is a little surprising considering Buffalo coach Rex Ryan would likely to prefer mucking it up. Seattle’s offense is struggling this season and it’s been settling for field goals (14) instead of touchdowns (12). QB Russell Wilson said he’s finally healthy and it should be noted that Seattle has gone 9-0 at home versus AFC foes since he arrived while posting 28.2 PPG. The ‘under’ has gone 6-2-1 on MNF this season and that includes five straight tickets to the low side.

Fearless Predictions

After managing to stay in the black for seven weeks, the pendulum finally swung the other way in Week 8 and we posted the bagel ($430). I could provide reasons for the losses but those are often looked at as excuses in the betting world. We’re down 20 cents ($20) on the season as we approach the midway point. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Dallas-Cleveland 49

Best Under: N.Y. Jets-Miami 44

Best Team Total: Under 26 ½ Kansas City

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 40 Dallas-Cleveland
Under 48 ½ Detroit-Minnesota
Under 61 ½ New Orleans-San Francisco
 
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SNF - Broncos at Raiders
By Micah Roberts

The last time the Raiders were favored over the Broncos, quarterback Tim Tebow ran wild for the win and Denver didn't need the seven points as they notched a 38-24 road win in the 2011 season.

After that, the Broncos went on to win seven straight (6-0-1 ATS) as favorites over Oakland until the Raiders snapped the streak last December with a 15-12 win as six-point road 'dogs.

But Sunday night's meeting at Oakland figures to be a little different. First of all the Raiders are favored. Both teams are tied at 6-2 atop the AFC West and Oakland is on the verge of having their first winning record and playoff appearance since 2002.

The Broncos are still figuring out their offensive identity, but feature one of the most feared defenses in the league. It's almost the same situation that led Denver to a Super Bowl win last season, just with more questions offensively.

Oakland comes in with one of the more liberal defenses, ranked 31st in total yards (410 YPG). However, they have one the most exciting offenses led by quarterback Derek Carr and a pair a wide receivers who routinely find themselves open. Carr, with 17 TDs and only three interceptions, has made it clear that the Raiders are never out of a game and routinely erases fourth-quarter deficits. The team has a confidence level not seen since 2002 when the franchise earned a trip to the Super Bowl.

The glaring stat that stands out for this one is that the Raiders have failed to cover their last seven home games. The Broncos have also won and covered their last five games at Oakland.

This should be a terrific match-up between long time rivals. The football season just seems better overall when the "Silver and Black" actually matter.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Broncos -1 on Sunday night and after bouncing from pick 'em to -1 a few times through Tuesday, on Wednesday they stayed at pick 'em and then were pushed to Oakland -1 on Thursday and as high as -2 on Friday until settling at -1.5. The total dropped from 44 down to 43.5 on Thursday.

WHO DO THE SPORTSBOOKS NEED?

South Point sports book director Chris Andrews said this game falls into the category of having "a couple games where the public is split on with good two-way action, but the sharps like one side -- the Raiders and Eagles."

ROBERTS RATING

I have the Broncos only 1-point higher than the Raiders on a neutral field and I'll give the home field a value of only 2-points because the Broncos are better and Oakland hasn't covered expectations (point-spread) in their last seven home games. That still comes out to Raiders -1 as a starting point and that's where sharp money pushed it.

RECENT MEETINGS

The Raiders ended an eight-game losing streak against the Broncos with a 15-12 win at Denver last December while gaining only 126 total yards. QB Brock Osweiler would lose his first game as a starter after four straight wins, despite throwing for 308 yards and no interceptions. The star of the game was Raiders linebacker Khalil Mack with five sacks on the day. Both games stayed 'under' the total last season.

MACK ATTACK

Denver knows first-hand just how dominant Mack can be and it looks likes he's starting to heat up on the edge after a sluggish start to 2016. After just one sack in his first five games, he's had four in his past three.

WEATHER

This is the time of year to start paying real close attention to the weather conditions before wagering, especially in eastern and midwest locations. Oakland will be mostly cloudy at 63 degrees Sunday night with wind coming from the west at 6-11 mph.

KEY INJURIES

Denver will be without Pro Bowl CB Aqib Talib (lower back) and RBC.J. Anderson (knee). Back-up RB Devontae Booker is questionable with a banged up shoulder. The Raiders have two question marks with CB Sean Smith (shoulder) and WR Michael Crabtree (leg).

TRENDS

-- Denver 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games.
--Denver Under total in last six games against winning teams.
-- Denver Over total in last four Week 9 game.

-- Oakland 3-7 ATS in last 10 games against AFC West.
-- Oakland Over total in last six Week 9 games.
-- Oakland 8-3-1 to Over in its last 12 home games.

SUNDAY NIGHT PROPS (WESTGATE)

-- Total completions by Trevor Siemian: 20.5
-- Total receiving yards by Emmanuel Sanders: 76.5
-- Total passing yards by Derek Carr: 258.5
-- Total TD passes by Derek Carr: 1.5 UN -120
-- Total receiving yards by Amari Cooper: 74.5
-- Total QB sacks by both teams: 4

NEXT WEEK

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook posted Week 10 odds on Tuesday with Denver a 1-point favorite at New Orleans. Oakland is one of six teams with a bye week.

UPDATED AFC WEST ODDS (WESTGATE)
Broncos 3/2
Chiefs 8/5
Raiders 9/4
Chargers 40/1

UPDATED SUPER BOWL ODDS (WESTGATE)
Broncos 12/1
Raiders 20/1
 
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Gridiron Angles - Week 9
By Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Ravens are 10-0 ATS since Sep 30, 2001 on a grass field off a loss where they had at least 10 fewer rushes than their season-to-date average.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Titans are 0-11-1 ATS since Oct 31, 2010 after scoring at least 30 points in a win.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- The Chargers are 0-7 OU since Nov 25, 2012 after a road game where Philip Rivers threw at least two interceptions.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Vikings are 0-10-1 OU since Oct 01, 1989 as a home favorite off a game as a road favorite where they scored at least seven points less than expected.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Giants are 11-0-1 OU since Nov 12, 2006 at home after a game that went under by at least 14 points.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Packers are 19-0 OU vs a non-divisional opponent when they are not more than a two-point dog and they are off a game as a dog of six points or less.
 
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'Toothless Colts in Tough Versus Packers'

The Indianapolis Colts may be headed for the glue factory. They're in third place in the AFC South at 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS, saddled with one of the worst defenses in football – and a former Pro Bowl quarterback who's performing like a league-average quarterback. Andrew Luck and the Colts are 7-point road dogs at press time for Sunday's game against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers (4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS), kicking off at 4:25 PM ET on CBS.

There's been a lot of talk this year on how Rodgers hasn't been playing like his usual Pro-Bowl self, but Luck largely managed to avoid criticism, up until last week's 30-14 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs (–3 away). Luck was 19-of-35 for 210 yards, connecting on just one of seven deep throws, and he got sacked six times behind an offensive line that's been much better at run blocking than pass protection.

The Packers’ defensive line, meanwhile, has been tremendous at stuffing both the run and the pass. As for Rodgers, he's only been sacked 14 times through Week 8, and the Colts’ front seven might not add to that total on Sunday.
 
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NFL Odds: Week 9 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews

You hear of teams changing coordinators all the time, but it's when said team is struggling. The Detroit Lions replaced their offensive coordinator during last season, for example. The Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars have done it this year. What those teams had in common was they were all struggling.

That's what made Wednesday's announcement that Vikings offensive coordinator Norv Turner, a very highly-regarded guy, was quitting immediately so shocking. Granted, the Minnesota offense has been stuck in the mud in back-to-back ugly losses, but the team leads the NFC North at 5-2. Apparently this decision was entirely Turner's and he wasn't forced out by Coach Mike Zimmer, a defensive guy who is pretty much hands off when it comes to the offense. Zimmer said he was "very, very surprised." It was so out of left field that most players found out about it through the media.

Turner simply said things weren't working. What's interesting is that Turner said he wasn't retiring, but why would any team hire him after quitting on a Super Bowl contender? Plus, he did it with Minnesota on a short week after losing in Chicago on Monday. This is the last thing the Vikings need after already losing offensive guys like QB Teddy Bridgewater, RB Adrian Peterson and left tackle Matt Kalil to season-ending injuries.

Tight ends coach Pat Shurmur has been promoted to offensive coordinator. He formerly held that role in St. Louis and Philadelphia and thus knows quarterback Sam Bradford as well as anyone. He was one of the guys who recommended the Vikings trade for Bradford on the eve of the season. Bradford started this season great but has had his two lowest-rated games the past two weeks. In his defense, the Vikings' offensive line is a problem and they can't run the ball, either. Minnesota is -6 against visiting Detroit on Sunday.

Here are some line moves or potential game-changing injury notes for Week 9.

Jaguars at Chiefs (-7, 44): I touched on this in Monday's Opening Line Report and the line was 8.5 then and the total 45.5. No doubt both have dropped because Chiefs starting quarterback Alex Smith has been officially ruled out with a concussion. This has to be tough on Smith because the last time he missed time with a concussion, he lost his starting job on the 49ers to Colin Kaepernick. I do think backup Nick Foles has a higher upside than Smith but also is more likely to make mistakes. Foles is a favorite of Coach Andy Reid's as when the Eagles drafted Foles in 2012, Reid was their coach. Frankly, the Kansas City offense was better when Foles replaced Smith last week in the win over the Colts. It's still not clear if No. 1 running back Spencer Ware will play due to his own concussion. It doesn't look good. And top receiver Jeremy Maclin is dealing with a groin injury that must have happened during practice. I'd be nervous if you have the Chiefs in your Survivor Pool.

Saints at 49ers (+4.5, 51): Line has risen 1.5 points and the total two. The Saints are taking a huge lean. And their terrible defense is expected to get a major boost on Sunday with the NFL debut of first-round pick Sheldon Rankins, a defense tackle out of Louisville who will really help against the run. Rankins fractured his fibula in August, was placed on injured reserve and designated as the Saints' player to return this year. Top cornerback Delvin Breaux also might play for the first time since sustaining a broken fibula in Week 1. San Francisco could get back No. 1 tailback Carlos Hyde. He is tied for third in the NFL with six rushing touchdowns despite missing the team's previous game against the Buccaneers. Hyde is easily the team's best offensive player but might be a game-time call with an AC joint injury in his shoulder.

Cowboys at Browns (+7, 48.5): This line has dropped a half-point and the total jumped up two. I would have taken Cleveland at 7.5 as I think this could be a trap game for Dallas, but I'd most likely give the 7. A few books still have it at 7.5. The big question here is who starts at quarterback for Cleveland. Rookie Cody Kessler missed last week's loss to the Jets with a concussion and Josh McCown returned from a shoulder injury to start. Coach Hue Jackson still hasn't announced his guy, but with the Browns being winless I would imagine it's Kessler if healthy so the team can determine whether he's the future. Cleveland actually pondered taking Cowboys rookie QB Dak Prescott in the third round of this year's draft but opted for Kessler. Looks like yet another draft mistake for Cleveland, although Kessler has been pretty solid. Prescott has been fantastic. The Browns are expecting their 2016 first-round pick, receiver Corey Coleman, to return this week. He has missed six games with a broken hand.

Jets at Dolphins (-3.5, 44): Miami is pretty healthy off its bye week, although starting tight end Jordan Cameron, who suffered a concussion against the Browns in Week 3, hasn't returned to practice. His season/career might be over. The big story line here is Fins running back Jay Ajayi as he is the fourth player in NFL history with back-to-back 200-yard games and none of the previous three -- O.J. Simpson, Earl Campbell, Ricky Williams (with Miami) -- were able to do it a third straight time. The Jets lead the NFL in run defense but could be missing defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson (ankle, game-time decision), linebacker Darron Lee (ankle, doubtful) and cornerback Buster Skrine (knee, missed last week). Center Nick Mangold is likely to miss another week with his ankle injury.
 
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Pick Six - Week 9
By Kevin Rogers

Week 8 Record: 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS
Overall Record: 24-24 SU, 21-26-1 ATS

Review: The Patriots and Panthers cruised to victories as a favorite, while the Packers cashed as a road underdog in Atlanta. Both Seattle and San Diego fell apart in road losses.

Lions at Vikings (-6, 41) – 1:00 PM EST

Detroit
Record: 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 160/1

The Lions saw their three-game winning streak disappear in last Sunday’s 20-13 setback at Houston as Detroit was held to its lowest point total of the season. Detroit’s defense did its job by allowing 270 yards to Houston, but a pair of second quarter touchdowns by the Texans were enough to send the Lions back to .500. The Lions fell to 1-3 away from Ford Field, as Detroit has lost eight of the last 10 meetings in Minnesota, including a 26-16 setback last September.

Minnesota
Record: 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 15/1

It’s been a tumultuous run for the Vikings since a 5-0 start as Minnesota’s offense has posted 20 points in two road losses at Philadelphia and Chicago. Norv Turner is out as offensive coordinator as the Vikings try to get back in the win column at U.S. Bank Stadium, where they haven’t lost in three contests this season. Minnesota’s defense continues to step up by allowing 21 points or less in all seven games this season, while finishing UNDER the total in five of the past six. Points come at a premium between these teams as the UNDER has hit in four of the previous five meetings.

Best Bet: Minnesota -6

Eagles at Giants (-2 ½, 43) – 1:00 PM EST

Philadelphia
Record: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, 4-3 OVER

Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Eagles flew out of the chute with a perfect 3-0 record, but Philadelphia has been grounded recently by losing three of its past four games. The most disappointing defeat of them all came last Sunday night in a 29-23 setback at Dallas in overtime as Philadelphia couldn’t hold onto a 10-point second half lead. The Eagles have dropped three straight games away from Lincoln Financial Field while rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has thrown for over 300 yards only once this season. The good news for Philadelphia is the Eagles have owned the Giants recently by winning four straight meetings since 2014.

New York
Record: 4-3 SU, 3-3-1 ATS, 5-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 38/1

The Giants have gone through an up and down first seven games, starting 2-0, then losing three, following by back-to-back wins over the Ravens and Rams. New York is fresh off the bye week following a 17-10 victory in London over Los Angeles as the Giants erased an early 10-0 deficit to cash as 2 ½-point favorites. In the last four losses to the Eagles, the Giants have allowed 35, 27, 34, and 27 points, while New York has lost four of the past five home matchups with Philadelphia.

Best Bet: New York -2 ½

Cowboys (-7, 48 ½) at Browns – 1:00 PM EST

Dallas
Record: 6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

The Cowboys started the season with a one-point loss to the Giants, but Dallas has rolled to six consecutive victories and covers. Rookie Dak Prescott posted his second-worst quarterback rating of the season in last Sunday’s 29-23 victory over the Eagles, but he connected on a game-winning touchdown pass to Jason Witten in overtime. Dallas is unbeaten in three road contests, while being listed at its highest favorite price of the season regardless of venue. The Cowboys have won five straight as a favorite against AFC opponents, while posting a 3-2 ATS record in this span.

Cleveland
Record: 0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS, 6-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 9999/1

There has been plenty of heartbreak recently with Cleveland’s sports teams after the Indians blew a 3-1 lead in their World Series defeat to the Cubs. The Browns haven’t had much luck either as they try to win their first game since Week 14 of last season as Cleveland is the only winless team in the league. Cody Kessler will start at quarterback for the Browns after missing last week’s loss to the Jets with a concussion. The former USC standout can only do so much as the Cleveland defense has been shredded this season by allowing an average of 421.5 yards per game and nearly 30 points per game.

Best Bet: Dallas -7

Saints (-4, 52 ½) at 49ers – 4:05 PM EST

New Orleans
Record: 3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

The Saints have come back to life following an 0-3 start by winning three of their last four games. New Orleans has taken advantage of playing in the underdog role recently by knocking off Carolina and Seattle at home, capped off by last week’s 25-20 victory over the Seahawks. Now, the Saints are listed in the favorite role for the third time this season as Sean Payton’s team hasn’t won when laying points this season by going 0-2 SU/ATS. Since 2014, New Orleans has covered just three times in 14 opportunities as a favorite, while going 1-2 SU/ATS in this span as a road favorite.

San Francisco
Record: 1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS, 5-2 OVER

Super Bowl Odds: 8500/1

The Browns own the worst record in the NFL, but the 49ers haven’t been competitive in most of their defeats during a six-game losing streak. San Francisco blanked Los Angeles in the season opener, but the Niners have slipped up recently by dropping five games by double-digits, while scoring 18 points or less five times during this cold streak. Chip Kelly’s squad hasn’t covered a game since Week 1, as the Niners are riding a two-game home OVER streak following a 9-1 stretch to the UNDER at Levi’s Stadium dating back to Week 1 of the 2015 season.

Best Bet: San Francisco +4

Panthers (-3, 44 ½) at Rams – 4:05 PM EST

Carolina
Record: 2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, 5-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The defending NFC champions have yet to win a game away from Bank of America Stadium this season, sitting at 0-3 SU/ATS on the road. Carolina snapped a four-game losing streak in last Sunday’s 30-20 home triumph over Arizona in an NFC title game rematch as Jonathan Stewart rushed for a pair of touchdowns. Two of Carolina’s three road defeats have come by three points or less, while the Panthers have failed to cover in each of their past six opportunities as an away favorite. The Panthers are playing their first ever game in Los Angeles as the Rams moved to St. Louis the same year (1995) Carolina entered the NFL.

Los Angeles
Record: 3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 150/1

The Rams were a September surprise by winning three of their first four games, but L.A. has spun out of control recently by losing three straight contests. Quarterback Case Keenum was intercepted four times in the Rams’ London loss to the Giants two weeks ago in spite of Los Angeles holding New York to 232 yards of offense. The Rams have split a pair of games at the L.A. Coliseum, both in the underdog role by beating the Seahawks and losing to the Bills. Running back Todd Gurley has yet to rush for 100 yards in a game this season, while scoring just one touchdown at home.

Best Bet: Los Angeles +3

Colts at Packers (-7, 54 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Indianapolis
Record: 3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS, 6-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 80/1

The Colts have lost consecutive games only once this season, as Indianapolis has alternated wins and losses in each of their last seven contests. The offense produced only 14 points in last Sunday’s 30-14 home setback to the Chiefs as three-point underdogs, while Kansas City put up 334 yards through the air. The Colts have lost three of four games away from Lucas Oil Stadium this season, while all four road contests have sailed OVER the total. Indianapolis knocked off Green Bay in its last matchup back in 2012 with a 30-27 victory as 6 ½-point home underdogs.

Green Bay
Record: 4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

Thanks to Minnesota’s recent struggles, Green Bay is well within first place in the NFC North by sitting one game out heading into Week 9. The Packers didn’t help themselves last Sunday by dropping a 33-32 decision at Atlanta, but Green Bay cashed as three-point road underdogs. Green Bay’s biggest problem this season has been their offense drying up in the second half as the Pack mustered only eight points after halftime in Atlanta. The Packers have won three of four contests at Lambeau Field this season, while each of the last three home games have finished UNDER the total.

Best Bet: Indianapolis +7
 
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Pick Six - Week 9
By Kevin Rogers

Week 8 Record: 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS
Overall Record: 24-24 SU, 21-26-1 ATS

Review: The Patriots and Panthers cruised to victories as a favorite, while the Packers cashed as a road underdog in Atlanta. Both Seattle and San Diego fell apart in road losses.

Lions at Vikings (-6, 41) – 1:00 PM EST

Detroit
Record: 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 160/1

The Lions saw their three-game winning streak disappear in last Sunday’s 20-13 setback at Houston as Detroit was held to its lowest point total of the season. Detroit’s defense did its job by allowing 270 yards to Houston, but a pair of second quarter touchdowns by the Texans were enough to send the Lions back to .500. The Lions fell to 1-3 away from Ford Field, as Detroit has lost eight of the last 10 meetings in Minnesota, including a 26-16 setback last September.

Minnesota
Record: 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 15/1

It’s been a tumultuous run for the Vikings since a 5-0 start as Minnesota’s offense has posted 20 points in two road losses at Philadelphia and Chicago. Norv Turner is out as offensive coordinator as the Vikings try to get back in the win column at U.S. Bank Stadium, where they haven’t lost in three contests this season. Minnesota’s defense continues to step up by allowing 21 points or less in all seven games this season, while finishing UNDER the total in five of the past six. Points come at a premium between these teams as the UNDER has hit in four of the previous five meetings.

Best Bet: Minnesota -6

Eagles at Giants (-2 ½, 43) – 1:00 PM EST

Philadelphia
Record: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, 4-3 OVER

Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Eagles flew out of the chute with a perfect 3-0 record, but Philadelphia has been grounded recently by losing three of its past four games. The most disappointing defeat of them all came last Sunday night in a 29-23 setback at Dallas in overtime as Philadelphia couldn’t hold onto a 10-point second half lead. The Eagles have dropped three straight games away from Lincoln Financial Field while rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has thrown for over 300 yards only once this season. The good news for Philadelphia is the Eagles have owned the Giants recently by winning four straight meetings since 2014.

New York
Record: 4-3 SU, 3-3-1 ATS, 5-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 38/1

The Giants have gone through an up and down first seven games, starting 2-0, then losing three, following by back-to-back wins over the Ravens and Rams. New York is fresh off the bye week following a 17-10 victory in London over Los Angeles as the Giants erased an early 10-0 deficit to cash as 2 ½-point favorites. In the last four losses to the Eagles, the Giants have allowed 35, 27, 34, and 27 points, while New York has lost four of the past five home matchups with Philadelphia.

Best Bet: New York -2 ½

Cowboys (-7, 48 ½) at Browns – 1:00 PM EST

Dallas
Record: 6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

The Cowboys started the season with a one-point loss to the Giants, but Dallas has rolled to six consecutive victories and covers. Rookie Dak Prescott posted his second-worst quarterback rating of the season in last Sunday’s 29-23 victory over the Eagles, but he connected on a game-winning touchdown pass to Jason Witten in overtime. Dallas is unbeaten in three road contests, while being listed at its highest favorite price of the season regardless of venue. The Cowboys have won five straight as a favorite against AFC opponents, while posting a 3-2 ATS record in this span.

Cleveland
Record: 0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS, 6-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 9999/1

There has been plenty of heartbreak recently with Cleveland’s sports teams after the Indians blew a 3-1 lead in their World Series defeat to the Cubs. The Browns haven’t had much luck either as they try to win their first game since Week 14 of last season as Cleveland is the only winless team in the league. Cody Kessler will start at quarterback for the Browns after missing last week’s loss to the Jets with a concussion. The former USC standout can only do so much as the Cleveland defense has been shredded this season by allowing an average of 421.5 yards per game and nearly 30 points per game.

Best Bet: Dallas -7

Saints (-4, 52 ½) at 49ers – 4:05 PM EST

New Orleans
Record: 3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

The Saints have come back to life following an 0-3 start by winning three of their last four games. New Orleans has taken advantage of playing in the underdog role recently by knocking off Carolina and Seattle at home, capped off by last week’s 25-20 victory over the Seahawks. Now, the Saints are listed in the favorite role for the third time this season as Sean Payton’s team hasn’t won when laying points this season by going 0-2 SU/ATS. Since 2014, New Orleans has covered just three times in 14 opportunities as a favorite, while going 1-2 SU/ATS in this span as a road favorite.

San Francisco
Record: 1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS, 5-2 OVER

Super Bowl Odds: 8500/1

The Browns own the worst record in the NFL, but the 49ers haven’t been competitive in most of their defeats during a six-game losing streak. San Francisco blanked Los Angeles in the season opener, but the Niners have slipped up recently by dropping five games by double-digits, while scoring 18 points or less five times during this cold streak. Chip Kelly’s squad hasn’t covered a game since Week 1, as the Niners are riding a two-game home OVER streak following a 9-1 stretch to the UNDER at Levi’s Stadium dating back to Week 1 of the 2015 season.

Best Bet: San Francisco +4

Panthers (-3, 44 ½) at Rams – 4:05 PM EST

Carolina
Record: 2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, 5-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The defending NFC champions have yet to win a game away from Bank of America Stadium this season, sitting at 0-3 SU/ATS on the road. Carolina snapped a four-game losing streak in last Sunday’s 30-20 home triumph over Arizona in an NFC title game rematch as Jonathan Stewart rushed for a pair of touchdowns. Two of Carolina’s three road defeats have come by three points or less, while the Panthers have failed to cover in each of their past six opportunities as an away favorite. The Panthers are playing their first ever game in Los Angeles as the Rams moved to St. Louis the same year (1995) Carolina entered the NFL.

Los Angeles
Record: 3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 150/1

The Rams were a September surprise by winning three of their first four games, but L.A. has spun out of control recently by losing three straight contests. Quarterback Case Keenum was intercepted four times in the Rams’ London loss to the Giants two weeks ago in spite of Los Angeles holding New York to 232 yards of offense. The Rams have split a pair of games at the L.A. Coliseum, both in the underdog role by beating the Seahawks and losing to the Bills. Running back Todd Gurley has yet to rush for 100 yards in a game this season, while scoring just one touchdown at home.

Best Bet: Los Angeles +3

Colts at Packers (-7, 54 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Indianapolis
Record: 3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS, 6-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 80/1

The Colts have lost consecutive games only once this season, as Indianapolis has alternated wins and losses in each of their last seven contests. The offense produced only 14 points in last Sunday’s 30-14 home setback to the Chiefs as three-point underdogs, while Kansas City put up 334 yards through the air. The Colts have lost three of four games away from Lucas Oil Stadium this season, while all four road contests have sailed OVER the total. Indianapolis knocked off Green Bay in its last matchup back in 2012 with a 30-27 victory as 6 ½-point home underdogs.

Green Bay
Record: 4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

Thanks to Minnesota’s recent struggles, Green Bay is well within first place in the NFC North by sitting one game out heading into Week 9. The Packers didn’t help themselves last Sunday by dropping a 33-32 decision at Atlanta, but Green Bay cashed as three-point road underdogs. Green Bay’s biggest problem this season has been their offense drying up in the second half as the Pack mustered only eight points after halftime in Atlanta. The Packers have won three of four contests at Lambeau Field this season, while each of the last three home games have finished UNDER the total.

Best Bet: Indianapolis +7
 
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Total Talk - Week 9
By Chris David

Week 8 Recap

You can’t spell overtime without ‘over’ – right? Three games saw an extra session last weekend and not surprisingly, all three went ‘over’ their totals and that helped the high side go 9-4 in Week 8. The scoreboard operator was consistently busy in Week 8 as every team posted at least 10 points and only four were held below 20. Through eight weeks of the regular season, the ‘over’ has gone 64-55-1 (54%).

Divisional Action

We’ve got five divisional games on Sunday and when you check out the latest standings you can see that all of these matchups have high stakes. Outside of the Vikings-Lions number, the point-spread on the other four games is less than a field goal and the totals are hovering between 41 and 44 points.

Detroit at Minnesota: From what we’ve seen in the first-half of the season, the NFC North has turned into a low-scoring division with the ‘under’ going 4-1 in the first five divisional games. The oddsmakers are expecting another ugly affair with a total of 41, the lowest on the board. Four of the last five in this series have gone ‘under’ but Minnesota scored 26 and 28 points in the two meetings last season. The Vikings remain a solid ‘under’ bet (5-2) and the Lions enter this contest with two straight ‘under’ tickets due to an offense that has scored 20 and 13 in their last games.

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants: When Chip Kelly was coaching the Eagles, these teams had totals ranging from 49 to 54 and Philadelphia averaged 27.6 PPG in those games. Now that Kelly is gone, we’re staring at a total of 43 this Sunday. Why? The offense in Philadelphia has simmered but the bigger factor is the Eagles scoring defense (16.7), which has improved by more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Giants offense (19 PPG) remains a complete mystery and their inconsistent production has led to a 5-2 ‘under’ record. Despite those statistics, Philadelphia has seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 on the road and it’s 2-0 to the ‘over’ in divisional games.

N.Y. Jets at Miami: The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of the last 10 encounters in this series but the ‘over’ is 2-1 in the last three and those results were helped by the Jets, who posted 38, 27 and 37 points. New York has posted 55 points in its last two games but only managed 36 in their four previous outings. Coincidentally, Miami has looked sharp offensively in its last two games (58 points) as well but are those numbers misleading? The Dolphins are ranked 18th in total offense, 17th in scoring and most importantly, second to last in third-down conversions. The Jets defense isn’t as good as previous seasons and the Dolphins have a mediocre unit as well. Miami has watched the ‘over’ go 3-1 at home this season while New York has leaned ‘under’ (3-2) on the road.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore: Tough total to handicap due to the injury situation for Pittsburgh, in particular the status of QB Ben Roethlisberger (questionable). The Steelers scored 15 points when he first got hurt at Miami in Week 6 and just 16 in his absence at home versus New England two weeks ago. Both teams enter this game with rest and for what it’s worth, Pittsburgh has allowed 39 and 35 the last two seasons off the bye and Baltimore has averaged 31 PPG in its last eight games after a bye. The ‘under’ went 2-0 in last year’s regular season meetings.

Denver at Oakland: (See Below)

Fifty Something

Based on our closing consensus numbers, we’ve seen 15 games this season close with a total listed at 50 or higher and the ‘under’ owns a slight 8-7 edge. There are two matchups in Week 9 that have numbers in this neighborhood and they both take place in the late session on Sunday.

New Orleans at San Francisco (52 ½): All of the totals for the Saints have closed in the fifties this season and the ‘over’ has gone 4-3 in those games but two of the ‘under’ tickets took place on the road. San Francisco’s scoring defense is horrendous (31.3 PPG) and this unit actually posted a shutout in Week 1.

Indianapolis at Green Bay (54 ½): This number clearly based on the weak Colts defense (402.5 YPG, 28.8 PPG) because Green Bay’s offense has been very sluggish this season. However, the unit has averaged 30 PPG after its two setbacks this season and they just lost at Atlanta last Sunday. Indy has gone 6-2 to the ‘over’ this season but the ‘under’ tickets came when they total was listed above 50.

Coast-to-Coast

The purpose of this piece and other columns on VI is to inform, entertain and hopefully point you in the right direction to win your wager/s. For those following and playing the “West Coast” total angle this season, congrats! After watching Arizona-Carolina and Oakland-Tampa Bay go ‘over’ their numbers last week, the high side is now 10-0 when a West Coast team plays in the Eastern Time Zone. If you include the records from last season, the ‘over’ is 21-5 (81%) in this situation.

There aren’t any pending matchups in Week 9 but we do have two East Coast clubs playing in the Pacific Time Zone.

Carolina at Los Angeles
Buffalo at Seattle: (MNF - See Below)

As noted last week, the ‘over’ has gone 4-3 in these situations with all three ‘under’ tickets taking place in Arizona.

Under the Lights

Atlanta and Tampa Bay combined for 71 points this past Thursday and the ‘over’ (49 ½), which was steamed down from 51 ½, easily connected. That’s two straight Favorite-Over tickets on the midweek game and something to keep an eye on. Including that result, the ‘under’ has gone 14-10-1 (58%) in primetime games.

Denver at Oakland: First place in the AFC West will be on the line Sunday as the Broncos and Raiders enter with identical 6-2 records. If you believe Oakland’s offense vs. Denver’s defense is a wash, then handicapping this total comes down to the other two units. While Denver isn’t a juggernaut (24.2 PPG) offensively, Oakland’s defense (410 YPG, 25.4 PPG) can’t stop anybody consistently. Based on what we’ve seen from the Raiders, their offense has struggled against quality defensive units in the Titans and (17) and Chiefs (10). Denver is still a little banged up but the total (44) makes you believe that a shootout doesn’t seem likely on Sunday night. The ‘under’ went 2-0 last season and Oakland hasn’t scored more than 17 points in its last six meetings against Denver.

Buffalo at Seattle: The Bills have seen the ‘over’ cash in four straight and six of their eight games this season, which is a little surprising considering Buffalo coach Rex Ryan would likely to prefer mucking it up. Seattle’s offense is struggling this season and it’s been settling for field goals (14) instead of touchdowns (12). QB Russell Wilson said he’s finally healthy and it should be noted that Seattle has gone 9-0 at home versus AFC foes since he arrived while posting 28.2 PPG. The ‘under’ has gone 6-2-1 on MNF this season and that includes five straight tickets to the low side.

Fearless Predictions

After managing to stay in the black for seven weeks, the pendulum finally swung the other way in Week 8 and we posted the bagel ($430). I could provide reasons for the losses but those are often looked at as excuses in the betting world. We’re down 20 cents ($20) on the season as we approach the midway point. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Dallas-Cleveland 49

Best Under: N.Y. Jets-Miami 44

Best Team Total: Under 26 ½ Kansas City

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 40 Dallas-Cleveland
Under 48 ½ Detroit-Minnesota
Under 61 ½ New Orleans-San Francisco
 
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NFL Week 9 Essentials
By Tony Mejia

We’re into the second half of the season, so some teams are going to start pulling no-shows as sure as a few people in your fantasy league have given up the ghost. We’ll start to see who has staying power, but often times, players and coaches who have held up well up to this point begin to fall back and start running out of gas. This always makes for interesting results as the holidays approach and letdowns occur due to checking out and lack of focus. Injuries, too. Here’s what you need to know about the potholes lie before wagering on Week 9:

Sunday, Nov. 6

Jacksonville at Kansas City: The Chiefs will have Nick Foles at the reins on their opening possession after he came in last week after Alex Smith suffered a head injury and threw for 223 yards and two touchdowns. Smith won’t dress, so this will be an opportunity to create a QB controversy for Foles, an Andy Reid favorite who struggled last year with the Rams and hadn’t looked as effective as he did last week since Chip Kelly’s first season with the Eagles. Although the Jaguars pass defense isn’t overwhelming, they are better than the woeful Colts, who rank among the league’s worst in most categories defending the aerial attack. The Jags come off consecutive losses and are playing back-to-back road games for the first time since Nov. 15 of last season, beating Baltimore in that situation. Jacksonville suffered a disappointing end to October with Blake Bortles pressing and the defense getting gashed, playing so poorly that ownership had to come out and say head coach Gus Bradley wouldn’t be fired. This will be a great test to see whether his team has responded to him over an extended period since they last played in Nashville on Oct. 27.

Detroit at Minnesota: After that 5-0 start, it feels like the sky is falling for the Vikings, who have managed just 10 points in each of the last two games as Sam Bradford keeps missing hot reads and getting hit. In his defense, offensive line play has been atrocious, which could be an issue since the Lions pressure the quarterback well and have a healthy Ziggy Ansah hunting for his first sack of the season. A breakthrough here has the potential to single-handedly swing this game, especially since getting loose would ease the burden on a secondary that has made some key interceptions to close games this season but has surrendered the NFL's highest opposing QB rating, completion percentage and second-most passing touchdowns. Getting RB Jerick McKinnon back to run the football and offer a different look via the wildcat should be invaluable for Minnesota since he was badly missed in Monday night’s loss to Chicago. With Ronnie Hillman also better acclimated, the Vikings are better equipped to run the football and improve on what is currently NFL’s second-worst rushing output, but the biggest boost should come from returning to their fancy new building since they’ve gone 3-0 there, outscoring opponents all currently sporting winning records by a combined margin of 72-37. A victory will ease the current tension after Pat Shurmur was elevated to offensive coordinator after Norv Turner “resigned” earlier this week. Minnesota swept last year’s meetings and is looking to maintain an NFC North lead it has held since Week 2.

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants: The Eagles have owned divisional rival New York over the last eight years, winning 13 of the last 16 meetings. Three different head coaches, Reid, Chip Kelly and Shurmur (interim) have beaten the Giants, but a new chapter opens with first-year head coaches Doug Pederson and Ben McAdoo squaring off. Donovan McNabb, Michael Vick, Foles, Mark Sanchez and Bradford have all won duels against Eli Manning in that span, so Carson Wentz gets his initial crack at joining that club while looking to prevent Philadelphia from falling to .500 for the first time under his watch. The Giants are coming off their bye week while the Eagles are on the road for the second straight week, so NYG should ideally be fresher and better prepared. Odell Beckham had time to heal a hip injury and declared himself at 85-90 percent earlier this week, although the boost they expected in the secondary with safeties Darian Thompson (foot) and Nat Berhe (concussion) potentially returning now hinges solely on Berhe being cleared since Thompson was ruled out Friday. Philly’s major injury concerns lie up front, even with WR/KR Josh Huff getting himself cut. If you didn't get enough of Joe Buck during the World Series, you'll hear him here alongside Troy Aikman.

Dallas at Cleveland: Tony Romo practiced 11-on-11 for the first time, so he’s getting closer to being ready, perhaps as early as next week. Rookie QB Dak Prescott further secured his hold on the position by leading a comeback overtime win over the Eagles last Sunday night and will look to improve to 4-0 on the road against a Browns defense that has allowed the most yards per game and surrenders 29.8 points, ranking 30th. In other words, he’s got a chance to really impress again, working with an offense that has helped produce over 28 points per game during Dallas’ current six-game winnings streak. Defensively, Dallas will be without CB Morris Claiborne and S Barry Church, who were both injured against Philly and face extended absences. Cleveland rookie QB Cody Kessler will look to take advantage as he returns to the lineup after overcoming a concussion. He’ll have speedy WR Corey Coleman (hand) back as the 15th pick in this past draft joins Terrelle Pryor in the lineup for the first time since Week 3, so Hue Jackson could have some tricks up his sleeve for this one. The Browns are 0-8 for the first time since 1975 season after blowing a 20-7 halftime lead against the Jets on Sunday. They’re 2-11 over their last 13 home games.

N.Y. Jets at Miami: New York had given up 51 of 58 second-half points entering Week 7, so it has been surprising to see them rally from halftime deficits in consecutive weeks, albeit against the banged-up Ravens and winless Browns. We’ll see if the unexpected rise from the dead continues on the road in South Florida, where the Jets have gone 4-1 since 2010. The Dolphins are on a three-game losing streak against their AFC East rival and in the midst of their own resurgence, riding RB Jay Ajayi’s rise to consecutive wins before enjoying a bye week entering this one. Ajayi, looking to become the first player in NFL history to run for 200 yards in three straight games, will encounter a Jets run defense that is among the league’s most formidable, allowing a single 100-yard rusher (David Johnson) this season in becoming the stingiest in yards per game (74.0). They’ve got injury-related issues at linebacker, but didn’t trade Sheldon Richardson and are therefore deep enough to effectively square off against a Miami offensive line that has impressed greatly since becoming whole. Speaking of which, the Jets are banged-up there too, listing All-Pro center Nick Mangold as doubtful after he missed action last week, while Breno Giacomini, Ryan Clady and Brent Qvale all harbor injury concerns. This will be New York’s final road game until Dec. 11.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore: Terrell Suggs wholeheartedly believes Ben Roethlisberger will play after undergoing knee surgery on a torn meniscus less than three weeks ago and it’s starting to look like he’ll be proven correct. Oddsmakers initially installed the Ravens as a 2.5-point favorite, but it’s been available as a pick’em for much of the week and several books now favor the Steelers on the road. Backup Landry Jones finished 29-for-47 in his lone start at New England, but should have a better shot at success if he is pressed into duty since Pittsburgh is coming off its bye week. Sammie Coates, who has struggled with a hand injury since racking up 139 receiving yards and two TDs in a win over the Jets, is expected back at full strength to serve as the deep threat for whoever is under center. Antonio Brown, who was battling a hip issue, also benefited greatly, which doesn’t bode well for the Ravens’ injury-riddled secondary. Although they’re 6-2 coming off a bye under John Harbaugh, they lost to the Jags at home last season in that situation. Baltimore has won five of six in this rivalry and hasn’t lost at home to the Steelers since 2010, but is currently experiencing its first four-game losing streak in eight years under Harbaugh.

New Orleans at San Francisco: These former NFC West rivals surrender the most points per game of anyone thus far, the only teams giving up over 30. That makes it a bit surprising to see that the total opened at a relatively modest 50.5 before being bet up a few points. Although Drew Brees matched a season-low with just one touchdown pass last week, he’s thrown eight touchdowns against just two interceptions against the Panthers, Chiefs and Saints, getting rid of the ball quickly and giving his team life after an 0-3 start. The 49ers are coming off their first bye week under Chip Kelly, so we’ll see what he’s comes up with in the lab. His record post-bye in Philadelphia was a solid 2-1, producing an OT win over Dallas and a split with Arizona, but he’s now working with Colin Kaepernick, who just celebrated his 29th birthday on Thursday and hopefully wished for his first productive game in over a year. The 49ers are 1-8 in his last nine starts and haven’t seen him complete over 60 percent of his passes twice in that span. He did run for 84 yards in the pre-bye loss to Tampa Bay and could be more dangerous in the read option game if he gets talented RB Carlos Hyde back from a shoulder sprain suffered Oct. 16. He’ll be a game-time decision.

Carolina at Los Angeles: The Panthers put together a great effort out of their bye week with a wire-to-wire win over Arizona, so they find themselves across the country looking to keep hope alive. It’s going to take a significant run for them to crawl out of the huge hole they’ve dug, but since Carolina’s next two games are at home, there’s room for optimism. Health will play a key role since center Matt Kalil and LB Luke Kuechly, two of the NFL’s best at their positions, are both listed as questionable. With LB Shaq Thompson and left tackle Michael Oher ruled out, Carolina could be at a huge disadvantage if either Kalil or Kuechly is unable to play. The Rams stumbled into their bye week on a three-game losing streak suffered in part due to their defense being besieged by injuries, so their pause came at a perfect time. Top corner Trumaine Johnson hopes to play after being sidelined by a high ankle sprain. Cam Newton failed to account for a touchdown last week for the first time since Oct. 2014, so he’ll be looking to rebound against a unit that is stingy when whole. The Panthers are 0-3 as a road favorite this season after going 6-1 in that role last season.

Indianapolis at Green Bay: Andrew Luck will make his Lambeau Field debut with his team’s season and head coach’s job potentially on the line, so there’s no pressure here at all. He won his first duel against Aaron Rodgers as a rookie back in ‘12, connecting with Reggie Wayne in the final minute to post a memorable fourth-quarter comeback as the Colts rallied from a 21-3 halftime deficit. The Colts will need that type of magic to overcome their massive defensive shortcomings, but since their offensive line play has been so awful, it will likely be left to Luck to continue his superb play despite the piano strapped to his back. He’ll have T.Y. Hilton in there despite a hamstring injury suffered in last week’s loss at Kansas City, but his already porous line will be without starters Joe Reitz and Jack Mewhort the defense could be forced to try and contain the Packers without top corner Vontae Davis if he can’t clear concussion protocol. Green Bay is 3-1 at Lambeau Field after uncharacteristically slumping at home down the stretch last season, so its hoping to bounce back there after blowing a late Week 8 lead at Atlanta. It should help to have LB Clay Matthews and CB Quinten Rollins back to aid the cause on defense since both expect to play. Versatile WRs Randall Cobb and Ty Montgomery also have a shot to be out there, though both will likely be game-time decisions..

Tennessee at San Diego: Over the past four games, the Chargers have played defending champ Denver twice in addition to road games at Oakland and Atlanta. The combined record of that group is a healthy 18-7 entering Sunday, so the Bolts have certainly been tested, faring extremely well in splitting that monster slate. Will they have enough in the tank to hold off a Titans team looking to get over .500 this late in a season for the first time since 2011? It doesn’t help matters that rookie playmakers Hunter Henry (TE) and Jatavis Brown (LB) have already been ruled out, as has second-year CB Craig Mager. Standout LB Denzel Perryman and key safety Jahleel Addae appear doubtful, so the Chargers could have a hard time stopping a Marcus Mariota-led Titans offense that has helped average 30 points over the last four games and will have NFL rushing leader RB DeMarco Murray in there after suffering a toe injury in their Oct. 26 win over the Jags. Standout TE Delanie Walker will be a game-time decision, but Tennessee’s defense should be healthy. Since relocating from Houston, the Titans are 1-8 against the Chargers and are 0-5 in San Diego.

Denver at Oakland: Sunday night matchups have actually been the NFL's go-to games thus far this season, with attractive matchups typically resulting in good games with a few exceptions. Hopefully this lives up to billing, because it's a beauty on paper. Whether great or a stinker, this showdown will produce a 7-2 team and AFC West leader upon completion. It offers great contrast, since Denver will be looking to ride its defense in stopping a potent Raiders attack that has scored 30 or more in three of the last four games, riding emerging star QB Derek Carr, who comes off his second four-touchdown game of the season, throwing for 513 yards in an OT win in Tampa. He's up to 17 TD passes while throwing just three picks. The Broncos will have to contain him without top corner Aqib Talib, who will miss his second straight due to back trouble. Reigning AFC Defensive Player of the Week Bradley Roby will start in his place. Broncos QB Trevor Siemian hasn’t looked sharp since returning from a shoulder injury, missing passes and looking more rattled behind shaky offensive line play than he did while looking like a natural in winning his first three starts. It will definitely help that C Matt Paradis and rookie RB Devontae Booker should be available. The Broncos had won eight straight in this series before Oakland pulled a 15-12 upset at Mile High last December. The Raiders are looking for their first home win in this series since 2010. These teams meet again in Denver on Jan. 1 in the regular-season finale.
 
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Free NFL Picks: Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders Odds and Expert Predictions
by Alan Matthews

I think the fairly new NFL overtime rule is much better than the one in college, where each team gets a possession at the opponent's 25. Of course in the pros, if the team that gets possession first kicks a field goal then the game isn't over. The other team gets a shot to tie and if it does, then it's sudden death. But if the club first possessing the ball scores a touchdown or the opposing defense scores, the game is over.

I want to bring this up as I thought I was going to be wrong on last Sunday's marquee pick here at Doc's of Dallas -4.5 over visiting Philadelphia when that game went to overtime. Most OT games are still decided by a field goal, and I was resigned to the fact that Eagles-Cowboys would too. Except Dak Prescott threw a touchdown pass on Dallas' first possession of OT to win it 29-23 and cover! We have seen chip-shot field goals to win in overtime miss the past two weeks and lead to ties (Redskins-Bengals and Seahawks-Cardinals), so coaches should play aggressive in the extra session when possible. That's my two cents.

This Sunday night is one of the best on NBC's schedule as first place in the AFC West is on the line with Denver (6-2) visiting Oakland (6-2). Yes, the Raiders are finally relevant again midway through a season. They haven't finished with a winning record or made the playoffs since losing the Super Bowl in the 2002 season. The loser here could technically fall to third place in the division because Kansas City (5-2) should beat Jacksonville on Sunday and is unbeaten in the AFC West, including a win over Oakland (hasn't played Denver yet). It does look to me that both wild-card teams may come from the AFC West because the other three divisions in the conference are so mediocre. Denver is +155 to win the division for a sixth straight year with the Chiefs at +150 and Raiders are +275.

Broncos at Raiders Betting Story Lines

Oakland completed its Florida Swing -- no trip to Miami, however -- this past Sunday at 2-0 with a wild 30-24 overtime win at Tampa Bay. The Raiders have been one of the most undisciplined teams in the NFL this decade and lead the NFL in penalties again in 2016. It's part of the reason they weren't winning before this year. And Oakland had an NFL-record 23 penalties for 200 yards against the Bucs (13 on offense, six on defense and four on special teams; four other flags were declined or offset). However, a Tampa Bay defensive holding call late in the fourth quarter inside the Bucs' 10 on fourth down kept a Raiders drive alive, and Derek Carr hit Mychal Rivera on a 7-yard TD to tie the game.

The Bucs quickly went three-and-out and the Raiders had shot to win at the end of regulation on a 50-yard field goal from Sebastian Janikowski, the greatest long-range kicker in league history, but he missed left. He then missed a 52-yard kick on Oakland's first possession of OT, but the Tampa Bay offense couldn't move the ball in the extra session. Finally, Carr won it on a 41-yard TD pass to Seth Roberts with 1:45 to go. Carr finished with a franchise-record 513 passing yards along with four scores. He joined Y.A. Tittle (1962) and Ben Roethlisberger (2014) as the only QBs in NFL history with at least 500 yards, four TDs and no picks in a game. Carr deserves some MVP consideration, and he would have broken the single-game record of 554 passing yards if not for a couple of penalties on completions. That was Carr's seventh career game with at least three TDs and no picks, tying Dan Marino the most such games by a player in his first three seasons.

This is Oakland's biggest home game since the AFC title game following the 2002 season. The team might be without top cornerback Sean Smith as he's questionable with a shoulder injury. Smith was one of the team's big free-agent acquisitions this offseason and is one of the league's tallest defensive backs at 6-foot-3.

The Broncos began life without starting tailback C.J. Anderson, who was placed on injured reserve last week and hopes to return for the playoffs, with a 27-19 home win over San Diego on Sunday. Rookie Devontae Booker made his first start and had 19 carries for 54 yards and a TD while catching five passes for 30 yards. He did injure his shoulder but played through it. He should be good to go.

Denver's defense was the real story of that game with three picks, including one returned for a score by Bradley Roby, and four sacks of Philip Rivers. D-coordinator Wade Phillips left the game on a stretcher after hitting his head but was back at work Monday. If there was one negative from Sunday it was that the Broncos surrendered their first 100-yard rushing game to an opposing back since Week 2 of the 2015 season. The Broncos haven't been good at stopping the run this year but rank No. 1 against the pass. Top cornerback Aqib Talib missed the Chargers game with a back injury, and linebacker Brandon Marshall was out with a hamstring problem. They are both questionable for this one but likely to play.

Broncos at Raiders Betting Odds and Trends

The game is a pick'em with a total of 43.5. Thus, no moneyline (or both at -110 at other books). On the alternate lines, the Raiders are -1 (-110) and -1.5 (-105). Denver is 6-2 against the spread (2-1 on road) and 4-4 "over/under" (1-2 on road). Oakland is 5-3 ATS (0-3 at home) and 6-2 O/U (2-1 at home).

The Broncos are 9-4 ATS in their past 13 vs. the AFC West. The Raiders have the same mark in their past 13 vs. the division. But they are 0-7 ATS in their past seven overall at home. The under is 6-0 in Denver's past six vs. teams with a winning record. The over is 12-3 in Oakland's past 15 following a win. The over is 7-3-1 in the Raiders' past 11 vs. teams with a winning record. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their past five on Oakland.

Broncos at Raiders Betting Prediction

These clubs played two pretty ugly games last year, with each winning a low-scoring one on the road. In Week 5 in Oakland, the Raiders lost 16-10. Denver's only TD was a Chris Harris 74-yard TD interception return with about seven minutes left in the game. In Week 14 in Denver, the Raiders won 15-12 despite Carr going just 12-for-29 for 135 yards. He did throw for two scores. Khalil Mack had five sacks, including one for a safety.

When two teams are fairly even, I generally lean the club with the better QB, and that's clearly Carr over Denver's mediocre Trevor Siemian. So the Raiders are the pick here despite Oakland' recent ATS failures at home. Go over the total.
 
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Week 9 NFL

Sunday Games

Jaguars (2-5) @ Chiefs (5-2)— Jax coach Bradley still has job, despite being outscored 47-6 in first half of last two games. QB coach Hackett was promoted to OC this week; old OC was canned in large part due to QB’s poor play. Go figure. Jags are 1-2 in true road games, losing 38-14 in San Diego, 36-22 in Nashville- they won in Chicago, rallying from down 13-0 in 4th quarter. Chiefs are 3-0 since their bye, winning by 16-6-16 points; they’re 1-2 as home favorite, winning at home by 6-21-6 points. QB Foles gets first start for Chiefs here. KC won last two series games, by 22-26 points, but last meeting was in 2013. Teams split four meetings here. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-4 vs spread, 4-4 at home. AFC South underdogs are 4-7, 3-4 on road. Five of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.

Lions (4-4) @ Vikings (5-2)— Nikes’ OC Norv Turner quit Wednesday morning; former Browns’ HC Shurmur takes over. Minnesota was +11 in turnovers during its 5-0 start, but they’ve lost last two games, scoring only two TDs on 20 drives (even in TOs). Bradford was sacked 11 times in last two games (only 5 times in first five), Vikings are 3-0 at home, winning by 3-14-18 points (3-0 as home favorite). Detroit is 1-3 on road this year, losing last three away games by 7-3-7 points; they’re 2-1 as road underdogs this year; since 2010, Lions are 9-15 as road dogs. All eight Detroit games have been decided by 7 or less points. Minnesota is 5-3 in last eight series games, winning both meetings by 10 points LY. Lions are 2-15 in last 17 visits here, 2-3 in last five after an 0-12 drought. Home teams are 3-1 in NFC North games this year (HF 1-1). Under is 5-1 in Minnesota games this season.

Eagles (4-3) @ Giants (4-3)— Philly scored 10 TDs on 33 drives during their 3-0 start; they’ve scored 5 TDs on 40 drives in 1-3 skid since, losing last three road games by 1-7-6ot points. Giants are 2-1 at home, with three games decided by total of 9 nine points- they’ve run ball for only 39 yds/game in last three games, but outscored last three opponents 37-19 in second half. Iggles are 13-3 in last 16 series games, winning last four, three by 8+ points. Eagles won last three visits here, by 15-8-5 points, scoring 35 pts/game. NFL-wide, home favorites are 9-12-1 vs spread in divisional games; they’re 1-3 in NFC East games. Giants are 5-3 vs spread as favorites in post-bye games- they lost 40-24/20-14 in last two. Three of last four Philly games went over total; three of Giants’ last four stayed under.

Cowboys (6-1) @ Browns (0-8)— Trap game for Dallas after OT win over rival Eagles last week; Cowboys are 3-0 on road this year, winning by 4-7-14 points. Pokes ran ball for 180+ yards in each of last five games, but are 7-25 on 3rd down in last two. Browns allowed 193 rushing yds/game the last three weeks; they are 1-1-1 as home underdogs, losing home games by 5-20-3 points- they led Ravens/Jets at halftime at home. Addition of former Pats’ LB Collins raises Cleveland talent level; they need more players like him. Dallas won last three series games, by 7-18-3 points; they won 28-10 in last visits here, in ’08. Since 2014, Cowboys are 6-1 as road favorites (1-0 this year). NFL-wide, non-divisional home dogs are 11-11 vs spread. Over is 6-1 in Browns’ last seven games, 1-3 in last four Dallas games.

Jets (3-5) @ Dolphins (3-4)— Miami showed life before its bye with home upsets of Steelers, Bills; Dolphins are 3-1 at home, with loss to Titans- dogs covered all four of their home games. Over last 9 years, Fish are woeful 11-28 vs spread as home favorites. Jets are 2-3 on road, 1-2-1 as road dogs, with losses by 21-18-25 on foreign soil. Gang Green is 9-13-3 in last 25 games as a road dog. Home side lost six of last seven series games; Jets won four of last five, with all four wins by 13+ points- they won last three visits to Miami by 3-13-13 points. This is only 2nd time Miami is favored in its last 12 post-bye games- they’re 6-12 in last 18 SU. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 9-11-1 vs spread. Under is 3-1 in Jets’ last four games, 2-4 in Miami’s last six games.

Steelers (4-3) @ Ravens (3-4)— Both teams are coming off a bye; Steelers lost 35-32/39-30 in last two post-bye games, Baltimore is 11-3 in its last 14 post-bye games. Seven of last ten series games were decided by 3 or less points. This is actually a battle for first place in AFC North. Big Ben is expected back at QB for Steelers; hard to believe he would be 100% already. Pitt lost last two games before its bye, scoring 15-16 points, with Jones playing QB last game. Baltimore lost its last four games after a 3-0 start; they have 3 offensive TDs on 35 drives in last three games- changing OC’s has not helped. Ravens won five of last six series games; Pitt lost last three visits here, by 2-20-3 points. Five of last six Steeler games stayed under; under is 4-3 in Raven games.

Saints (3-4) @ 49ers (1-6)— New Orleans rallied to win three of last four games after 0-3 start; this is trap game coming off Seattle upset, vs 49er squad that lost its last six games but is off their bye week. NO is 1-2 on road, with three games decided by total of 10 points. Kelly was 1-2 in post-bye games with Eagles; 49ers scored 11.7 pts/game in losing last three post-bye games, by 1-3-16 points. Niners won three of last four series games; four of last five in series were decided by 4 or less points. Saints are 3-2 in last five visits here, but last one was in 2011. In last five games, Saints are 44-76 on 3rd down; in their last two games they’ve run 37 more plays than their opponents. Niners were outscored 81-20 in second half of their last four games. Five of 49ers’ last six games went over total.

Panthers (2-5) @ Rams (3-4)— Panthers beat Arizona 30-20 LW, ending 4-game skid; curious if Newton’s whining about late hits on him has any impact with refs here. Carolina is 0-3 on road, allowing 36.7 pts/game- they were favored in all three games, are 5-12 in last 17 games as a road favorite. Rams lost last three games before their bye, all games that were tied in second half. LA is 3-0 when it gets 2+ takeaways, 0-4 when it does not. Rams are 7-2 vs spread in last nine post-bye games, 3-1 under Fisher; unsure if rookie QB Goff will see time here- he is taking more reps in practice. Carolina won five of last six series games; they were 6-4 vs Rams in St Louis. Over is 5-2 in Carolina games this year. This is only 3rd home game for Rams, who scored one offensive TD on 20 drives in splitting their first two.

Colts (3-5) @ Packers (4-3)— Underdogs are 5-1-1 vs spread in Green Bay games this year; Packers are 3-1 SU at home, with home wins by 7-7-16 points- they’re 5-6-1 in last 12 games as a home favorite. Colts are 2-3 in their non-divisional games, losing by 4-14-16 points; they’re 7-4-1 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Indy has only three takeaways in its last five games (-1)- they’re 16-49 on 3rd down in last four games. Packers are 49-95 on 3rd down for season. Hard to stop Rodgers if you don’t turn him over (7 TO’s/3 losses)- they score 28.4 pts/game when they turn ball over less than 3 times (4-1). Home side won last six series games, with average total in last five series games, 62. Colts lost last three visits here by 4-2-20 points; their last win here was in 1988. Over is 6-2 in Indy games this year, 1-3 in last four Packer games.

Titans (4-4) @ Chargers (3-5)— Titans fired Ken Whisenhunt (3-20) as their coach before halfway point of LY; he is now San Diego’s OC. If he is human, this game means little more to him than it usually would. San Diego won nine of last ten series games, last of which was in 2013. Tennessee lost last six visits here, with five of six by 8+ points- their last win here was in 1990. Titans had three extra days to prep after Thursday night win LW; they’re 2-1 as road dog this year, 11-18 in last 29 such games. San Diego is 11-16 in last 27 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year; Bolts are 10-7 vs spread in last 17 non-divisional home games. AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 4-7 vs spread, 3-4 on road. AFC West favorites are 6-4, 4-4 at home. Over is 6-2 in Charger games, 5-0 in last five Titan tilts.

Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (6-2)— Denver defense continues to be dominant; in last two games, they allowed only two TDs on 25 drives, while scoring one of their own- they had 11 takeaways in last five games (+5). Raiders scored 28+ points in six of eight games; they allowed 11.1/9.3 yds/pass attempt in their two losses. Not sure Denver QB Siemian is up achieving to those numbers. Broncos are 7-1-2 under Kubiak in games with spread of 3 or less points; Raiders are 4-1 in those games this year, after being 4-15 in previous 19. Oakland is 5-0 at home, 1-2 at home; this game is for top spot in AFC West. Denver won eight of last nine series games; Raiders won 15-12 in Denver LY. Broncos won last five visits here, with four wins by 13+ points. NFL-wide, home teams are 19-14-1 vs spread in divisional games this season.

Bills (4-4) @ Seahawks (4-2-1)— Bills are 2-14 in game before their last 16 byes (5-4 vs spread as an underdog); they’re 4-1 this year when allowing less than 20 points, 0-3 when giving up 20+- they allowed 28-41 points in losses to Dolphins/Patriots last two weeks. Seahawks’ offense is struggling, with one offensive TD on 20 drives in last two games. Wilson is a great QB when he is mobile; he is playing hurt now, had 3 rushes for 11 yards in Superdome LW. Seattle is 23-13 in last 36 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year; they’re 7-5 in this series, hammering Bills 50-17 in last meeting, which was in Toronto four years ago. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 2-5 vs spread. NFC West favorites are 3-5, 2-3 at home. Six of last seven Bills games went over total; under is 4-3 in Seattle games.
 
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Tech Trends - Week 9
By Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Nov. 6

JACKSONVILLE at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jax 1-5 vs. spread last six as visitor, also "over" 5-2 this season and 13-6 last 19 on board. Chiefs only 1-5 vs. line last six at Arrowhead.
Tech Edge: Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

DETROIT at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Into last Monday at Chicago, Vikes on 19-4 spread uptick even after recent loss vs. Eagles. Zimmer has covered last six as host. Vikes have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.
Tech Edge: Vikings, based on team trends.

PHILADELPHIA at NY GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Giants now undefeated last three vs. line TY after winless vs. spread first four of season. But G-Men have failed to cover last three at home vs. Birds. Philly has won and covered big last 4 and 5 of last 6 meetings. Last four meetings at Met Life Stadium all "over" as well.
Tech Edge: Eagles, based on series trends.

DALLAS at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Hue Jackson teams at Oakland (2011) and Cleveland TY are "over" 12-3 last 15.
Tech Edge: "Over," based on "totals" trends.

NY JETS at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Miami rallying with wins and covers last two TY. Jets have covered last five and 8 of last 10 in series. Though Jets 1-6-2 vs. spread last nine away from Met Life.
Tech Edge: Slight to Jets, based on series trends.

PITTSBURGH at BALTIMORE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens now no covers last four TY, 7-16-2 last 25 reg.-season games on board. But did beat Steel twice LY in a pair of 3-point games. Ravens have won SU last three at home vs. Steel. Steel "under" 20-9 last 29 on board.
Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Ravens, based on "totals" and recent series trends.

NEW ORLEANS at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Niners no cover last six TY, and Chip Kelly Philly & SF teams 3-11 last 14 on board. Chip teams also "over" 10-3 last 13. Saints "over" 25-15 last 40.
Tech Edge: "Over" and slight to Saints, based on "totals" and team trends.

CAROLINA at LOS ANGELES (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Rams no covers last three TY but Panthers just 2-6 vs. points since Super Bowl. Rams "under" 16-7-1 last 24.
Tech Edge: "Under," based on "totals" trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at GREEN BAY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Colts "over" 7-2 last nine since late 2015 and "over" 15-7 last 22 away from Lucas Oil. Colts also 2-6-1 as dog since 2013.
Tech Edge: "Over" and Colts, based on Indy trends.

TENNESSEE at SAN DIEGO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bolts 5-10 last 15 as chalk (1-1 TY). Bolts also "over" 7-2 last 9, while Titans now "over" five in a row. Mularkey has covered last three this season.
Tech Edge: -"Over" and Titans, based on "totals" and team trends.


DENVER at OAKLAND (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Broncos haven't lost SU or vs. line at Coliseum since 2010. Denver 15-1 SU, 14-2 vs. line last 16 on AFC West road. Broncos 8-1 vs. line last nine in series and 10-4-1 vs. points last 15 away from home. Raiders 0-3 vs. line at home TY, 2-9 vs. spread at Coliseum since LY.
Tech Edge: Broncos, based on series and team trends.


Monday, Nov. 7

BUFFALO at SEATTLE (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Buffalo 2-5-1 last eight vs. line away from Orchard Park. Bills however are 12-6-1 as dog since 2014. Hawks "over" 6-2-1 last nine as host.
Tech Edge: Slight to "over" and Bills, based on "totals" and team trends.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Post: 7:48 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$18000 - 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER COLTS, STALLIONS & GELDINGS NW 7 EXT. PM RACES OR $70,000 LIFETIME PA PREFERRED MOHEGAN SUN POCONO DRIVER`S CHOICES: MATT KAKALEY #4 OVER #7
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 TOM HILL 9/2
# 5 MICHAEL'S VICTORY 3/1
# 4 DON'TCALLMEFRANCIS 4/1

Look no further than TOM HILL as the bet in this one. Should compete sharply in this contest as his style of running fits well in this grouping. Win percent for this driver-trainer is a sparkling 39 percent - excellent probability. Napolitano is racking up the wins in recent times. Terrific win statistic makes this nice horse our contender. MICHAEL'S VICTORY - A formidable play in here as he has one of the highest winning clips in the grouping as well as tremendous credentials all around. Could provide us a win based on great recent speed ratings - earning an average of 89. DON'TCALLMEFRANCIS - The handicapping team always likes a proven performer. This horse's high winning rate is confirmation of that. Starters win from this position at Pocono Downs with better than average regularity, suggesting this tremendous wager.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5750 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 5, 2016 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 4 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 6 CLASSIC CHARLIE 5/2

# 9 MY HONEY LAURIE 9/2

# 2 LA PLATANERA 10/1

CLASSIC CHARLIE is my choice. Should best this group here, showing very good numbers of late. Players should take a good look at this one as this mare has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Must be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last contest. MY HONEY LAURIE - Garcia is trying to score with this horse by bringing her back so soon. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This horse ranks at the top in this group. LA PLATANERA - Is worth careful consideration and may be a bet - strong speed figs (67 average) at today's distance and surface as of late.
 

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