Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services
Sunday NFL Free Pick: 1:00 PM (267) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (268) CINCINNATI BENGALS
Take: Over the Total
Reason: A pair of good offenses teams with star QBs. The 2014 Ravens offense has been impressive, 9th in passing (255 yards pg), 7th in rushing (131 pg) behind 29-year old QB Joe Flacco (14 TDs, 5 INTs), RB Justin Forsett (503 yds, 6.0 ypc), 35-year old WR Steve Smith (640 yds, 18.1 ypc) and WR Torrey Smith (308 yds). The over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 road games. Cincy is home, where they play their best offense, but the defense has really slumped of late: 30th against the run (146), 27th vs pass (270 yds pg). The over is 14-4 in the Bengals last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, plus 13-6 over after a loss. Play the Ravens/Bengals Over the total.
Sunday NFL Free Pick: 1:00 PM (267) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (268) CINCINNATI BENGALS
Take: Over the Total
Reason: A pair of good offenses teams with star QBs. The 2014 Ravens offense has been impressive, 9th in passing (255 yards pg), 7th in rushing (131 pg) behind 29-year old QB Joe Flacco (14 TDs, 5 INTs), RB Justin Forsett (503 yds, 6.0 ypc), 35-year old WR Steve Smith (640 yds, 18.1 ypc) and WR Torrey Smith (308 yds). The over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 road games. Cincy is home, where they play their best offense, but the defense has really slumped of late: 30th against the run (146), 27th vs pass (270 yds pg). The over is 14-4 in the Bengals last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, plus 13-6 over after a loss. Play the Ravens/Bengals Over the total.
Mr. Vegas
Free Sunday NFL Play from Mr. Vegas: 1:00 PM (267) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (268) CINCINNATI BENGALS
Take: Over the Total
Reason: A pair of good offenses teams with star QBs. The 2014 Ravens offense has been impressive, 9th in passing (255 yards pg), 7th in rushing (131 pg) behind 29-year old QB Joe Flacco (14 TDs, 5 INTs), RB Justin Forsett (503 yds, 6.0 ypc), 35-year old WR Steve Smith (640 yds, 18.1 ypc) and WR Torrey Smith (308 yds). The over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 road games. Cincy is home, where they play their best offense, but the defense has really slumped of late: 30th against the run (146), 27th vs pass (270 yds pg). The over is 14-4 in the Bengals last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, plus 13-6 over after a loss. Play the Ravens/Bengals Over the total.
Free Sunday NFL Play from Mr. Vegas: 1:00 PM (267) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (268) CINCINNATI BENGALS
Take: Over the Total
Reason: A pair of good offenses teams with star QBs. The 2014 Ravens offense has been impressive, 9th in passing (255 yards pg), 7th in rushing (131 pg) behind 29-year old QB Joe Flacco (14 TDs, 5 INTs), RB Justin Forsett (503 yds, 6.0 ypc), 35-year old WR Steve Smith (640 yds, 18.1 ypc) and WR Torrey Smith (308 yds). The over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 road games. Cincy is home, where they play their best offense, but the defense has really slumped of late: 30th against the run (146), 27th vs pass (270 yds pg). The over is 14-4 in the Bengals last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, plus 13-6 over after a loss. Play the Ravens/Bengals Over the total.
Jimmy Boyd
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Free Pick on Oakland Raiders +
There’s definitely some value on Oakland in this matchup. Prior to the season the Browns were expected to be a 4.5-point favorite. Now we see them laying a touchdown following an ugly 6-24 loss at Jacksonville last week. Sure the Browns whooped up on the Steelers a couple weeks back, but their other two wins have come by a combined 3 points and one of those they had to rally from a 25-point deficit. Cleveland is a lot closer to a 1-5 team than what most people think and it’s a big reason why I’m taking this awful Oakland team getting a touchdown.
The Raiders have shown some life since returning from their Week 5 bye, which also was when they fired head coach Dennis Allen and promoted Tony Sporano to interim head coach. They gave the Chargers all they could handle in a 28-31 loss in Week 6 and this past Sunday lost by a final of just 13-24 to the now 5-1 Cardinals.
One of the big reasons why I like the Raiders to at least keep this one close enough to cover, is the Browns have not been good defensively. Which is a surprise, considering most thought that would be their strength this season. Cleveland comes in ranked 17th against the pass (241.5 ypg) and are dead last against the run (155.5 ypg). Even though Oakland is dead last in rushing (69.3 ypg), there’s reason to be optimistic that they will have some success on the ground against Cleveland. The Browns gave up 185 yards and 2 scores to Jacksonville last week, who even after that performance comes into this week ranked 30th in the league in rushing at 86.0 ypg.
I also have some major concerns with the Cleveland offense, which looked lost in their first game without starting center Alex Mack. Brian Hoyer completed just 16 of 41 attempts for 215 yards and was sacked 3 times, while the Browns rushing attack accounted for just 69 yards on 30 attempts (2.3 yards/carry). Oakland isn’t a defensive juggernaut by any stretch of the imagination, but neither is Jacksonville. If the offense struggles like it did against the Jaguars, forget the cover, the Raiders could be looking at their first win of the season.
There’s a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Browns. Home favorites who are allowing 130+ rushing yards/game after a contest where they were outrushed by 75 or more yards are just 89-144 ATS since 1983. That's a 72% system in favor of the Raiders. Take Oakland!
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Free Pick on Oakland Raiders +
There’s definitely some value on Oakland in this matchup. Prior to the season the Browns were expected to be a 4.5-point favorite. Now we see them laying a touchdown following an ugly 6-24 loss at Jacksonville last week. Sure the Browns whooped up on the Steelers a couple weeks back, but their other two wins have come by a combined 3 points and one of those they had to rally from a 25-point deficit. Cleveland is a lot closer to a 1-5 team than what most people think and it’s a big reason why I’m taking this awful Oakland team getting a touchdown.
The Raiders have shown some life since returning from their Week 5 bye, which also was when they fired head coach Dennis Allen and promoted Tony Sporano to interim head coach. They gave the Chargers all they could handle in a 28-31 loss in Week 6 and this past Sunday lost by a final of just 13-24 to the now 5-1 Cardinals.
One of the big reasons why I like the Raiders to at least keep this one close enough to cover, is the Browns have not been good defensively. Which is a surprise, considering most thought that would be their strength this season. Cleveland comes in ranked 17th against the pass (241.5 ypg) and are dead last against the run (155.5 ypg). Even though Oakland is dead last in rushing (69.3 ypg), there’s reason to be optimistic that they will have some success on the ground against Cleveland. The Browns gave up 185 yards and 2 scores to Jacksonville last week, who even after that performance comes into this week ranked 30th in the league in rushing at 86.0 ypg.
I also have some major concerns with the Cleveland offense, which looked lost in their first game without starting center Alex Mack. Brian Hoyer completed just 16 of 41 attempts for 215 yards and was sacked 3 times, while the Browns rushing attack accounted for just 69 yards on 30 attempts (2.3 yards/carry). Oakland isn’t a defensive juggernaut by any stretch of the imagination, but neither is Jacksonville. If the offense struggles like it did against the Jaguars, forget the cover, the Raiders could be looking at their first win of the season.
There’s a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Browns. Home favorites who are allowing 130+ rushing yards/game after a contest where they were outrushed by 75 or more yards are just 89-144 ATS since 1983. That's a 72% system in favor of the Raiders. Take Oakland!
Art Aronson
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
1* Bonus Play Oakland Raiders
The 0-6 Oakland Raiders are in Cleveland to take on the 3-3 Browns. Both teams are coming off losses. After losing 31-28 to the Chargers two weeks ago, Oakland would fall 24-13 at home to the Cardinals last week. It’s the worst start to a season for the Raiders since losing their first 13 games in 1962: "This is as bad as you're going to get through the first part of the season," safety Charles Woodson remarked after the loss to Arizona. "We haven't won a game. How much worse can it get than that, than not winning a game?" Rookie QB Derek Carr has looked brilliant at times and pretty ordinary in others so far this year, he had four TD’s in the loss to the Chargers, but finished just 16 for 28 for 173 yards vs. the tough Cardinals defense. Carr though catches a break this week in playing against a Cleveland Browns unit which ranks 23rd in opposing passing yards. After a big 31-10 win over rival Pittsburgh, the Browns looked disastrous in last week’s 24-6 setback at Jacksonville. Cleveland settled for field goals in two trips inside the 20-yard line and failed to convert on fourth-and-1 at the 24. The Browns entered the weekend with the third best rushing attack, but looked anemic, 30 attempts for 69 total yards in the end. Despite the Raiders being winless this year, I believe these teams are moving in opposite diretions right now. Oakland has performed well vs. two playoff bound teams over the last two weekends, Cleveland continues to do what it does best and that is to show a ton of inconsistency from game to game. I think “sprinkling a little” on the money line isn’t a bad idea here either; consider a second look at the visitors in this one.
AAA Sports
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
1* Bonus Play Oakland Raiders
The 0-6 Oakland Raiders are in Cleveland to take on the 3-3 Browns. Both teams are coming off losses. After losing 31-28 to the Chargers two weeks ago, Oakland would fall 24-13 at home to the Cardinals last week. It’s the worst start to a season for the Raiders since losing their first 13 games in 1962: "This is as bad as you're going to get through the first part of the season," safety Charles Woodson remarked after the loss to Arizona. "We haven't won a game. How much worse can it get than that, than not winning a game?" Rookie QB Derek Carr has looked brilliant at times and pretty ordinary in others so far this year, he had four TD’s in the loss to the Chargers, but finished just 16 for 28 for 173 yards vs. the tough Cardinals defense. Carr though catches a break this week in playing against a Cleveland Browns unit which ranks 23rd in opposing passing yards. After a big 31-10 win over rival Pittsburgh, the Browns looked disastrous in last week’s 24-6 setback at Jacksonville. Cleveland settled for field goals in two trips inside the 20-yard line and failed to convert on fourth-and-1 at the 24. The Browns entered the weekend with the third best rushing attack, but looked anemic, 30 attempts for 69 total yards in the end. Despite the Raiders being winless this year, I believe these teams are moving in opposite diretions right now. Oakland has performed well vs. two playoff bound teams over the last two weekends, Cleveland continues to do what it does best and that is to show a ton of inconsistency from game to game. I think “sprinkling a little” on the money line isn’t a bad idea here either; consider a second look at the visitors in this one.
AAA Sports
Tony George
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons
NFL Bonus Play Detroit Lions -3.5 vs Atlanta (9:30 EST Kickoff in London)
Maybe the Falcons can play better football in a different country. Is Mike Smith still head coach? Well there is your answer. The Dirty Birds are a team who is in a total mis-match here. The offensive line of Atlanta has as much to do with their demise as anything, as QB Ryan was sacked 5 times last week by the Ravens in a game they were only in at the coin flip, after that they were dominated again. The Lions D-Line is the best in football and the Lions defense ranked #1 and despite all Ryans weapons, they do not have time for plays to develop and Atlanta cannot run the ball to save their life. This is a team with no team chemistry and no identity.
Detroit’s offense should have better numbers than they do, but the defense is carrying them this season. WR Johnson has practiced but is doubtful or at least not 100%, but QB Stafford has numerous weapons at WR and a 1-2 punch at RB with Bush healthy again that should control this game from the opening bell. The Falcons have dropped 4 straight games by double digits and this is the best defense they have seen. I know the NFL many times is zig-zag week to week with numerous teams, but Atlanta after a quick start to the season has been consistently bad. On a Neutral site this line should be 7 points, I like the value on the vastly better team who is in a dogfight for their division with a hot Green Bay team, and this is a winnable road game they need.
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons
NFL Bonus Play Detroit Lions -3.5 vs Atlanta (9:30 EST Kickoff in London)
Maybe the Falcons can play better football in a different country. Is Mike Smith still head coach? Well there is your answer. The Dirty Birds are a team who is in a total mis-match here. The offensive line of Atlanta has as much to do with their demise as anything, as QB Ryan was sacked 5 times last week by the Ravens in a game they were only in at the coin flip, after that they were dominated again. The Lions D-Line is the best in football and the Lions defense ranked #1 and despite all Ryans weapons, they do not have time for plays to develop and Atlanta cannot run the ball to save their life. This is a team with no team chemistry and no identity.
Detroit’s offense should have better numbers than they do, but the defense is carrying them this season. WR Johnson has practiced but is doubtful or at least not 100%, but QB Stafford has numerous weapons at WR and a 1-2 punch at RB with Bush healthy again that should control this game from the opening bell. The Falcons have dropped 4 straight games by double digits and this is the best defense they have seen. I know the NFL many times is zig-zag week to week with numerous teams, but Atlanta after a quick start to the season has been consistently bad. On a Neutral site this line should be 7 points, I like the value on the vastly better team who is in a dogfight for their division with a hot Green Bay team, and this is a winnable road game they need.
Steve Janus
St. Louis Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday's NFL Free Pick ---Kansas City Chiefs -7---
This is a horrible spot for the Rams, coming off two physical games against their division rivals San Francisco and Seattle. Now they have to travel to Arrowhead Stadium, one of the most difficult places for opposing teams to come away with a win. Kansas City on the other hand is coming off a huge win last week against the Chargers. I strongly feel that this year's Chiefs' team is better than the one that started 9-0. They have got better and better with each week. Last time Kansas City hosted a game at home, they absolutely embarrassed the Patriots, who have since went on to win 3 straight. I look for Kansas City to get a couple of big turnovers and win this one by double-digits.
System - Road teams off an upset win as a home underdog after the first month of the season are just 131-202 (39%) ATS since 1983. BET THE CHIEFS -7!
St. Louis Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday's NFL Free Pick ---Kansas City Chiefs -7---
This is a horrible spot for the Rams, coming off two physical games against their division rivals San Francisco and Seattle. Now they have to travel to Arrowhead Stadium, one of the most difficult places for opposing teams to come away with a win. Kansas City on the other hand is coming off a huge win last week against the Chargers. I strongly feel that this year's Chiefs' team is better than the one that started 9-0. They have got better and better with each week. Last time Kansas City hosted a game at home, they absolutely embarrassed the Patriots, who have since went on to win 3 straight. I look for Kansas City to get a couple of big turnovers and win this one by double-digits.
System - Road teams off an upset win as a home underdog after the first month of the season are just 131-202 (39%) ATS since 1983. BET THE CHIEFS -7!
Chip Chirimbes
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans 1:00 ET
Bonus Play Tennessee Titans (+) over Texans-
I understand playing against a team where their quarterbacks is making first start, especially a rookie quarterback that wasn't drafted until the sixth round (See Tom Brady), but, money that is flooding in on the Texans will provide great valve with the Titans when the air clears. Tennessee will be starting their fifth quarterback in the last three seasons and the team knows it must rally on the defensive side of the ball. The advantage here going to the home team as the Houston offense in nothing to brag about. Take TENNESSEE!
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans 1:00 ET
Bonus Play Tennessee Titans (+) over Texans-
I understand playing against a team where their quarterbacks is making first start, especially a rookie quarterback that wasn't drafted until the sixth round (See Tom Brady), but, money that is flooding in on the Texans will provide great valve with the Titans when the air clears. Tennessee will be starting their fifth quarterback in the last three seasons and the team knows it must rally on the defensive side of the ball. The advantage here going to the home team as the Houston offense in nothing to brag about. Take TENNESSEE!
Alex Smart
Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers
The pundits and public are jumping off the proverbial super bowl champions bandwagon. The Seahawks at 3-3 and off two straight losses, are now not seen in a favorable light , at least by weekend warriors. The linesmakers are still not sold on the Seahawks demise as is evident by posting them as -5 point road favorites in this spot vs a Carolina Panthers side that has allowed 37 or more points in 4 of their L/5 overall. With that said, look for QB Russell Wilson and company to come up with a bounce back effort this Sunday and take advantage of a abysmal defense and get us the road cover.
One second guys, I know your saying to yourself, the pundits are telling me, that Seattle is not a great road team. Ill respond by saying they have cashed 12 of their L/16 on the road and must be respected as moneymakers for their backers away and home.
Note: Seahawks are 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series and 20-8 ATS L/28 vs NFC opposition.
Projected score: Seattle 28 Carolina 17
Seattle to cover 1/2 unit reg selection
Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers
The pundits and public are jumping off the proverbial super bowl champions bandwagon. The Seahawks at 3-3 and off two straight losses, are now not seen in a favorable light , at least by weekend warriors. The linesmakers are still not sold on the Seahawks demise as is evident by posting them as -5 point road favorites in this spot vs a Carolina Panthers side that has allowed 37 or more points in 4 of their L/5 overall. With that said, look for QB Russell Wilson and company to come up with a bounce back effort this Sunday and take advantage of a abysmal defense and get us the road cover.
One second guys, I know your saying to yourself, the pundits are telling me, that Seattle is not a great road team. Ill respond by saying they have cashed 12 of their L/16 on the road and must be respected as moneymakers for their backers away and home.
Note: Seahawks are 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series and 20-8 ATS L/28 vs NFC opposition.
Projected score: Seattle 28 Carolina 17
Seattle to cover 1/2 unit reg selection
Joseph D'Amico
Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers
NFL FREE WINNER
Play Seattle Seahawks (Game 259)
As Seattle has suffered back-to-back losses, they roll into Carolina and face a Panthers team that has just 1 win in their L5 contests. Their "D" is allowing more points (35 PPG their L5) as the season progresses. And with no ability to stop the run, the #2 Seahawks ranked rushing game will decimate the Panthers while QB, Russell Wilson will exploit the vulnerable Carolina secondary. The Seahawks defense can contain Cam Newton and the non-existent running game of the Panthers. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings in this series, 12-4 ATS their L16 road games, and 20-8 ATS their L28 vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers
NFL FREE WINNER
Play Seattle Seahawks (Game 259)
As Seattle has suffered back-to-back losses, they roll into Carolina and face a Panthers team that has just 1 win in their L5 contests. Their "D" is allowing more points (35 PPG their L5) as the season progresses. And with no ability to stop the run, the #2 Seahawks ranked rushing game will decimate the Panthers while QB, Russell Wilson will exploit the vulnerable Carolina secondary. The Seahawks defense can contain Cam Newton and the non-existent running game of the Panthers. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings in this series, 12-4 ATS their L16 road games, and 20-8 ATS their L28 vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you.
Stephen Nover
Buffalo Bills vs. NY Jets
Bonus Play NY Jets
The Jets aren't making the playoffs. But it's a mistake to write them off - especially in this game. There are reasons why the oddsmaker has made the Jets the first 1-6 team to be favored against an opponent with a winning record.
New York's defense isn't nearly as bad as the statistics may indicate. The Jets had an impossible draw facing a Murderer's Row of quarterback in their past six games going against Aaron Rodgers, Jay Cutler, Matthew Stafford, Philip Rivers, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. Those are all elite passers.
Now the Jets drop all the way down to Kyle Orton, a career backup who is more game manager than downfield attacker. Orton needs weapons and he'll be without Buffalo's two top running backs as Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both out with injuries. The Jets have a stout run defense ranking eighth. Orton is going to have to make plays - which is not his strength.
New York has just three takeaways, fewest in the NFL. That stems, though, from playing against outstanding quarterbacks. Orton has thrown 17 touchdown passes and been intercepted 14 times during the past five years.
The Bills were fortunate to beat the Lions and Vikings during the past three weeks, nipping Minnesota at home last Sunday on the final play.
The Jets are playing hard for popular Rex Ryan. They would have covered against Denver a couple of weeks ago if not for a pick-six by Geno Smith with 15 seconds left and they outplayed New England last week losing when a long field goal attempt was blocked on the final play.
New York enters this matchup having had extra rest and preparation time from having played on a Thursday and with their offense and special teams tremendously upgraded by the addition of Percy Harvin.
The Jets' offense is better now with Harvin giving Smith another receiving option besides steady Eric Decker and emerging tight end Jace Amaro. Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson are a respectable running back tandem.
The Jets have won the past four times hosting the Bills.
Buffalo Bills vs. NY Jets
Bonus Play NY Jets
The Jets aren't making the playoffs. But it's a mistake to write them off - especially in this game. There are reasons why the oddsmaker has made the Jets the first 1-6 team to be favored against an opponent with a winning record.
New York's defense isn't nearly as bad as the statistics may indicate. The Jets had an impossible draw facing a Murderer's Row of quarterback in their past six games going against Aaron Rodgers, Jay Cutler, Matthew Stafford, Philip Rivers, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. Those are all elite passers.
Now the Jets drop all the way down to Kyle Orton, a career backup who is more game manager than downfield attacker. Orton needs weapons and he'll be without Buffalo's two top running backs as Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both out with injuries. The Jets have a stout run defense ranking eighth. Orton is going to have to make plays - which is not his strength.
New York has just three takeaways, fewest in the NFL. That stems, though, from playing against outstanding quarterbacks. Orton has thrown 17 touchdown passes and been intercepted 14 times during the past five years.
The Bills were fortunate to beat the Lions and Vikings during the past three weeks, nipping Minnesota at home last Sunday on the final play.
The Jets are playing hard for popular Rex Ryan. They would have covered against Denver a couple of weeks ago if not for a pick-six by Geno Smith with 15 seconds left and they outplayed New England last week losing when a long field goal attempt was blocked on the final play.
New York enters this matchup having had extra rest and preparation time from having played on a Thursday and with their offense and special teams tremendously upgraded by the addition of Percy Harvin.
The Jets' offense is better now with Harvin giving Smith another receiving option besides steady Eric Decker and emerging tight end Jace Amaro. Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson are a respectable running back tandem.
The Jets have won the past four times hosting the Bills.
Oliver Alonso
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
Bonus Play Tennessee Titans +3.5
I understand playing against a team where their quarterbacks is making first start, especially a rookie quarterback that wasn't drafted until the sixth round (See Tom Brady), but, money that is flooding in on the Texans will provide great valve with the Titans when the air clears. Tennessee will be starting their fifth quarterback in the last three seasons and the team knows it must rally on the defensive side of the ball. The advantage here going to the home team as the Houston offense in nothing to brag about. The Texans blocks for rushing game are too primitive and the Titans have a tough front seven. I don't expect an easy day for Arian Foster. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a clockbomb. He is able to made a big play in the game but never without turnovers.
The Texans' defense depends on JJ Watt. The Titans' O-Line has been look solid and Maybe Ken Wisenhunt will order double blocks on Watt. The secondary is a hole and the linebackers an empty unit. The D-Line in a 3-4 scheme is supporting the entire defense. I expect the Titans to dominate the sccrimmage line in both sides of the ball and take the game!
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
Bonus Play Tennessee Titans +3.5
I understand playing against a team where their quarterbacks is making first start, especially a rookie quarterback that wasn't drafted until the sixth round (See Tom Brady), but, money that is flooding in on the Texans will provide great valve with the Titans when the air clears. Tennessee will be starting their fifth quarterback in the last three seasons and the team knows it must rally on the defensive side of the ball. The advantage here going to the home team as the Houston offense in nothing to brag about. The Texans blocks for rushing game are too primitive and the Titans have a tough front seven. I don't expect an easy day for Arian Foster. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a clockbomb. He is able to made a big play in the game but never without turnovers.
The Texans' defense depends on JJ Watt. The Titans' O-Line has been look solid and Maybe Ken Wisenhunt will order double blocks on Watt. The secondary is a hole and the linebackers an empty unit. The D-Line in a 3-4 scheme is supporting the entire defense. I expect the Titans to dominate the sccrimmage line in both sides of the ball and take the game!
Bill Biles
Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Bonus Play Pittsburgh Steelers ML +145
The Steelers are coming off a big win on Monday night and the Colts are on a nice winning streak. The Colts are due for a letdown game and I feel this is the one that they overlook. Bell and Brown have big games.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Bonus Play Pittsburgh Steelers ML +145
The Steelers are coming off a big win on Monday night and the Colts are on a nice winning streak. The Colts are due for a letdown game and I feel this is the one that they overlook. Bell and Brown have big games.
Jimmy Adams
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons
Bonus Play Detroit Lions
There are huge red flags for the Atlanta Falcons right now. After starting the season out on a positive note, they have since lost 4 straight, both SU and ATS. Most of the games haven't even been close to sniffing a point spread cover. The defense is undermanned and in disarray, allowing way too many points to give their offense any shot. Atlanta currently ranks 29th in total passing yards per game and 27th in rushing yards. The long trip to London won't do them any favors either. All of the quotes coming out of Falcons camp have been negative, with Roddy White and the veterans extremely frustrated. This O-line can't protect Matt Ryan, and as a result he is taking a beating.
The Lions meanwhile continue to look strong. They've won 2 in a row behind a solid defense, especially the front 7. With Atlanta's line decimated by injuries, the Lion's D-line will have no trouble putting pressure on Ryan. On the other side of the ball, Detroit can pick it's poison, either focusing on the ground attack or the passing game. Either way they will be able to exploit this Falcon's defense and cruise to a rather easy victory. Take the Lions.
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons
Bonus Play Detroit Lions
There are huge red flags for the Atlanta Falcons right now. After starting the season out on a positive note, they have since lost 4 straight, both SU and ATS. Most of the games haven't even been close to sniffing a point spread cover. The defense is undermanned and in disarray, allowing way too many points to give their offense any shot. Atlanta currently ranks 29th in total passing yards per game and 27th in rushing yards. The long trip to London won't do them any favors either. All of the quotes coming out of Falcons camp have been negative, with Roddy White and the veterans extremely frustrated. This O-line can't protect Matt Ryan, and as a result he is taking a beating.
The Lions meanwhile continue to look strong. They've won 2 in a row behind a solid defense, especially the front 7. With Atlanta's line decimated by injuries, the Lion's D-line will have no trouble putting pressure on Ryan. On the other side of the ball, Detroit can pick it's poison, either focusing on the ground attack or the passing game. Either way they will be able to exploit this Falcon's defense and cruise to a rather easy victory. Take the Lions.
Steve Williams
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals
Take the Arizona Cardinals as your free winner of the week from Steve Williams.
Cardinals host the Eagles in a battle of 5-1 teams. Philly will have their hands full on defense against the tough Arizona WR corp. Eagles prone to giving up big plays on defense. Also Sproles not yet 100 % after knee sprain two weeks ago. Cardinals off win over the Raiders. Bruce Arians is proving last year's 10-6 record (missed playoffs) was no fluke. This team seems to be on a mission to make sure they don't miss out this year. Arians is 11-3-1 ATS last 15. Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 at home.
We expect a close hard fought game between two of the better teams in the NFL today. Home-field the edge here. Cardinals pull this one out by seven, 28-21.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals
Take the Arizona Cardinals as your free winner of the week from Steve Williams.
Cardinals host the Eagles in a battle of 5-1 teams. Philly will have their hands full on defense against the tough Arizona WR corp. Eagles prone to giving up big plays on defense. Also Sproles not yet 100 % after knee sprain two weeks ago. Cardinals off win over the Raiders. Bruce Arians is proving last year's 10-6 record (missed playoffs) was no fluke. This team seems to be on a mission to make sure they don't miss out this year. Arians is 11-3-1 ATS last 15. Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 at home.
We expect a close hard fought game between two of the better teams in the NFL today. Home-field the edge here. Cardinals pull this one out by seven, 28-21.
Marc Lawrence
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Play - Oakland Raiders
Edges - Raiders: 11-2 ATS as road dogs of 6 or more points a losing record off an NFC game; and 6-1 ATS with revenge off a double-digit home loss. Browns: 0-8 ATS versus opponents with revenge who scored 7 or fewer points last game. With Oakland enjoying the benefit from a late 4:25 ET kick off, and interim head coach Tony Sparano 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS as a road dog against opponents off a SU loss, we’ll grab the points. We recommend a 1-unit play on Oakland. Thank you and good luck as always.
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Play - Oakland Raiders
Edges - Raiders: 11-2 ATS as road dogs of 6 or more points a losing record off an NFC game; and 6-1 ATS with revenge off a double-digit home loss. Browns: 0-8 ATS versus opponents with revenge who scored 7 or fewer points last game. With Oakland enjoying the benefit from a late 4:25 ET kick off, and interim head coach Tony Sparano 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS as a road dog against opponents off a SU loss, we’ll grab the points. We recommend a 1-unit play on Oakland. Thank you and good luck as always.
Ray Monohan
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
5* NFL Bonus Play Cincinnati Bengals +1
The Bengals are up against it right now. They have not won a game since their 3-0 start and this one is huge with the division leading Ravens coming to town. Cincy beat Baltimore in week 1 and I think they can do it again.
They are nearly automatic at home. The game opened with them as the favourite and now has flipped which makes it even better value. Both of these teams are banged up but the Bengals get it done in an emotional fight.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
5* NFL Bonus Play Cincinnati Bengals +1
The Bengals are up against it right now. They have not won a game since their 3-0 start and this one is huge with the division leading Ravens coming to town. Cincy beat Baltimore in week 1 and I think they can do it again.
They are nearly automatic at home. The game opened with them as the favourite and now has flipped which makes it even better value. Both of these teams are banged up but the Bengals get it done in an emotional fight.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
Andre Ramirez
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
ANDRE RAMIREZ NFL DIAMOND GAME OF THE YEAR
TODAY'S WINNER: JAGUARS +7 POINTS
Today we are laying the money on the Jaguars +7 points. The Jaguars should have received a nice confidence boost after breaking their nine-game losing streak with a home victory against the Browns. We like Miami much more in an underdog role than as chalk where they are 0-3 ATS the past three
times laying more than four points. Ryan Tannehill has picked up his game, though, since being disrespected by Joe Philbin throwing for 799 yards in his last three games. Blake Bortles is Jacksonville's future. That future isn't quite now as Bortles has turned the ball over 12 times in four starts. According to my algorithms, I have Miami winning 17-14, 13-10, and the Jaguars winning 21-17. Lay the money on the Jaguars plus the points.
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
ANDRE RAMIREZ NFL DIAMOND GAME OF THE YEAR
TODAY'S WINNER: JAGUARS +7 POINTS
Today we are laying the money on the Jaguars +7 points. The Jaguars should have received a nice confidence boost after breaking their nine-game losing streak with a home victory against the Browns. We like Miami much more in an underdog role than as chalk where they are 0-3 ATS the past three
times laying more than four points. Ryan Tannehill has picked up his game, though, since being disrespected by Joe Philbin throwing for 799 yards in his last three games. Blake Bortles is Jacksonville's future. That future isn't quite now as Bortles has turned the ball over 12 times in four starts. According to my algorithms, I have Miami winning 17-14, 13-10, and the Jaguars winning 21-17. Lay the money on the Jaguars plus the points.
