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NFL

Trends

CLEVELAND vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Jacksonville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Jacksonville is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

CINCINNATI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 11 of St. Louis's last 16 games at home

TENNESSEE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Washington
Tennessee is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

MINNESOTA vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

ATLANTA vs. BALTIMORE
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

NEW ORLEANS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

MIAMI vs. CHICAGO
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

CAROLINA vs. GREEN BAY
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Green Bay14-4-1 SU in its last 19 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. SAN DIEGO
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
NY Giants are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 9 games
Dallas is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants

ARIZONA vs. OAKLAND
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Arizona

SAN FRANCISCO vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games
San Francisco is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
 
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NFL Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts October 19, 01:00 EST

After nipping Texans 33-28 in Houston as -2.5 point favorite the Colts clicking on all cylinders have won/covered four straight. Meanwhile, Bengals hitting a rough spot got smacked 43-17 at New England then settled for a 37-37 home tie against Carolina this past Sunday. Bengals 'D' springing leaks the past two weeks giving up 80 points on 569 passing, 367 rushing yards have a tough one ahead. Colts own the leagues top pass attack (328.1 PYG), middle of the pack ground game (115.3 RYG) and score a league best 31.5 PPG. The fact that Colts flourish at home in regular season with Andrew Luck taking snaps posting a profitable 14-5 ATS mark enhances their chances in this game. Another strong betting trend in favor of Indy, home favorites enjoying extra time to prepare after Thursday Night Football have been a money grabbing 18-9-1 ATS. Finally, the problem with jumping on Cinci, the Bengals are 6-12 ATS during pumpkin month.


New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys October 19, 04:25 EST

How about them Cowboys having won five in a row including a stunning 30-23 victory over the defending Super Bowl champions right in CenturyLink Field where it was supposed to be impossible for a visiting team to win. Now, Cowboys return to Jerry's House to take on New York Giants who were completely shut down by Philadelphia losing 27-ZIP. If that were not enough, Giants may have lost Victor Cruz for the season. So, do you jump on the bandwagon and lay the expected points with Pokes ?? Buyer Beware, Cowboys are not the best bets as a home favorite (6-21 ATS). And, here's a few other betting nugget's to ponder - Teams that just beat the Super Bowl Champs face a big hurdle against the betting line next time out. They're 37-48-1 ATS split between 16-21 ATS at home, 21-27-1 ATS on the road. Have the team do a number on the Champions as underdogs then they're 13-14 ATS if the next game is at home, 10-22-1 ATS if wearing a road jersey next trip onto the field.
 
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NFL Football Trends

NFL Betting Trends for Sunday, Oct. 19th

Cincinnati at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 11-1 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Indianapolis: 15-5 ATS in home games

Tennessee at Washington, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 41-22 ATS in non-conference games
Washington: 30-48 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Miami at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Miami: 38-21 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Chicago: 6-15 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3

Cleveland at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 1-6 ATS off a home win
Jacksonville: 2-10 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

Seattle at St Louis, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 22-9 ATS against conference opponents
St Louis: 17-33 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points

Carolina at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Green Bay: 45-27 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better

Atlanta at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 0-6 ATS in road games in the first half of the season
Baltimore: 43-23 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored

Minnesota at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 57-36 OVER in weeks 5 through 9
Buffalo: 3-12 ATS after playing a game at home

New Orleans at Detroit, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 2-9 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Detroit: 50-73 ATS as a favorite

Kansas City at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Kansas City: 28-48 ATS when they allow 400 or more total yards
San Diego: 58-30 ATS when their defense forces 2 turnovers

New York Giants at Dallas, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 49-29 ATS in road games off a division game
Dallas: 26-43 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Arizona at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Arizona: 21-7 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game
Oakland: 48-70 ATS off a division game

San Francisco at Denver, 8:30 ET
San Francisco: 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Denver: 11-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road

NFL Betting Trends for Monday, Oct. 20th

Houston at Pittsburgh, 8:30 ET
Houston: 15-4 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games
Pittsburgh: 8-1 UNDER in October games
 
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NASCAR Sprint Cup Odds
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS – There are only five races remaining in the NASCAR Sprint Cup season, and after Sunday’s race at Talladega, four more drivers will be eliminated from the Chase and only eight will remain eligible to win the 2014 Sprint Cup. Because some heavyweights have their seasons are on the chopping block, there are some prices posted at the Westgate LV SuperBook that we rarely see.

Among the bottom four drivers -- who almost need to win Sunday to move on -- three have eight Sprint Cup trophies collectively, and the fourth has five Talladega wins under his belt. Huge names in desperation mode. With five races to go, six-time champ and preseason favorite Jimmie Johnson is 30-to-1 to win the championship. 2012 Sprint Cup winner Brad Keselowski is 12-to-1, and 2003 champ Matt Kenseth is 15-to-1. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is the longest shot left on the board, at 40-to-1 odds.

Outside of Matt Kenseth, who is only one point behind Kasey Kahne for the eighth (safe) position in the Chase, the three others are on red alert: they must get out front, lead some laps and try to win the race. The value certainly doesn’t seem like it’s there with Keselowski, a two-time Talladega winner who will be about 12-to-1 to win the race. Earnhardt Jr. won the Daytona 500 in February, so we know he’s going to be good in this restrictor-plate race. He's a five-time Talladega winner, but hasn't won there since 2004.

Then you’ve got Johnson in an unfamiliar situation for a fall Talladega race: he has to win. In the past, he’s coasted in this race, trying to stay out of trouble, get some positive championship points and move on to the next track before going on to win a title. He’s won twice at Talladega, both in the spring, the last time being 2011.Through five races, it’s hard not to give NASCAR a standing ovation for the excitement they’ve created so far with the bold change to the Chase format. If the mild-mannered Matt Kenseth loses his cool for the first time

in a 16-year career, then you know how intense the pressure must be. That translates well to TV and also at the bet windows here in Las Vegas. We have underdog possibilities like never before. Who knew Ryan Newman would be a contender for the title?

2014 SPRINT CUP CHAMPIONSHIP

JEFF GORDON 5-2
KEVIN HARVICK 5-2
JOEY LOGANO 4-1
KYLE BUSCH 6-1
BRAD KESELOWSKI 12-1
DENNY HAMLIN 15-1
MATT KENSETH 15-1
RYAN NEWMAN 25-1
JIMMIE JOHNSON 30-1
CARL EDWARDS 40-1
DALE EARNHARDT JR 40-1
KASEY KAHNE 40-1

Chase scenarios heading in Talladega

Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick have each clinched a spot in The Eliminator Round via their wins at Kansas Speedway and Charlotte Motor Speedway, respectively.

Below are the finishes each driver needs in Sunday’s race at Talladega Superspeedway (2 p.m. ET on ESPN) to guarantee a spot in The Eliminator Round, regardless of the finish of any other driver:

Kyle Busch: 24th or better; 25th and at least one lap led; 26th and most laps led
Ryan Newman: 19th or better; 20th and at least one lap led; 21st and most laps led
Carl Edwards: 18th or better; 19th and at least one lap led; 20th and most laps led
Jeff Gordon: 16th or better; 17th and at least one lap led; 18th and most laps led
Denny Hamlin: 15th or better; 16th and at least one lap led; 17th and most laps led
Kasey Kahne, Matt Kenseth, Brad Keselowski, Jimmie Johnson and Dale Earnhardt Jr. only control their own destiny by winning Sunday at Talladega.
 
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Geico 500 Post-Practice Notes
By: Micah Roberts

Clint Bowyer was one of three drivers to top 200 mph in the first Talladega practice session on Friday and then Kyle Busch was fastest in the afternoon session, but none of that will mean much on Sunday when the green flag drops for the Geico 500.

Of all the tracks on the Cup circuit, practice at Talladega means the least, which is why 25 drivers opted not to participate in the final practice session. Normally, on a regular type of track, one not as beastly as Talladega's wide, high-banked 2.66-mile layout, the final practice is where the teams have their last chance at tinkering with the race set-up until race day.

But at Talladega, the cars are basically set-up and ready to go when they leave their team shop in Charlotte. The drivers take them off the hauler, run a few laps to confirm the car's readiness, and then park it for fear of wrecking it due to the volatile nature of the track.

All the top practice times are done while in the draft, which doesn't give a true read of how good the car is. It's pointless to run laps alone for qualifying because qualifying doesn't mean anything, and on race day they won't be running laps alone by themselves. So what's the point of even having two sessions if most of the drivers don't need it?

Handicapping Talladega is the hardest of any track just because the bettor really has no edge. Most of that edge coming into each race comes from little indicators witnessed in practice, but at Talladega, that all goes out the window.

Then when you factor in about 38 drivers having a chance to win because the cars are more equal than anywhere else because of the restrictor plates, it puts another snag into any betting equation. Sure, the odds offered for the top drivers are higher just because of the equality across the board, but it's almost as difficult as picking the correct number on a roulette wheel, and it's almost as random.

The little edge the bettor has is by reviewing what teams have consistently run well in plate races over the past two seasons and also identifying what drivers have fared the best over their careers. Some drivers just have a knack for running well in these types of races. They see the air in the draft well and are able to maximize speed with precise timing and the understanding of the track's angles.

Those drivers are a special bunch and they're identified by having the lowest odds on the board. And for the most part, despite most cars being equal, those drivers do come through with the win. But every once in a while we get the big underdog cashing in at high odds like when Brad Keselowski won his first career race in 2009 or David Ragan last spring. It truly is a crap shoot and there is no formula to help finalize the wagers.

The drivers at the lowest odds in Las Vegas are favored mostly because of supply and demand. The drivers who the sports books know will be bet the most are offered at the lowest odds. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is one of the best in plate races and has won five times at Talladega, but none since 2004. He comes in as the 10-to-1 favorite in desperation mode of having to dig deep and recreate some of those winning moves from a decade ago. In all likelihood, he'll need to win to advance to the next round of the Chase.

The most encouraging note for bettors backing Junior is that the last time he won at Daytona before this year's Daytona 500 was in 2004, so at least you know the Hendrick Motorsports plate program is dialed in for success this season. This also bodes well for teammates Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson. Gordon, a six-time winner at Talladega, can coast around and stay out of trouble and make his move late when the field is smaller because of wrecks.

Johnson doesn't have that luxury and we're close to seeing the six-time Cup champ exit the Chase if he doesn't get a win or a lot of help from contenders ahead of him wrecking. He's won at Talladega twice before, but never in the fall when he's usually points racing.

The drivers with the best chances at 20-to-1 odds or higher are Jamie McMurray, Greg Biffle and Clint Bowyer. McMurray and Bowyer are both two-time winners while Biffle will be looking for his first Talladega win. However, Biffle did lead the most laps in the spring race.

The most consistent team over the past two seasons of plate racing has been Joe Gibbs Racing, even though Denny Hamlin's win at Talladega in May is their only victory over that span. Between Hamlin dominating Daytona speed weeks and Matt Kenseth leading the most laps last season in plate races, they have shown to have just a slight advantage over the other teams.

Good luck and may whatever formula you use to pick the winner be the right one. There really is no wrong one, at least until the race is over.
 
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GEICO 500 Preview
By Micah Roberts

Last Saturday night’s Charlotte race had some great post-race drama, but wait until you see what happens Sunday in the Geico 500 at Talladega Superspeedway when three former Cup champions (Matt Kenseth, Brad Keselowski, Jimmie Johnson) and Dale Earnhardt Jr. have their seasons and championship hopes on the chopping block.

They’re the last four in the Chase standings with five races remaining and Talladega decides who moves on to the next round where only eight drivers will participate.

The only drivers locked in to advance to the next stage of three races are Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick on the basis of their wins in the past two races. Kyle Busch can advance with a finish of 24th or better, Ryan Newmand 19th or better, Carl Edwards 18th or better, Jeff Gordon 16th or better and Denny Hamlin 15th or better. For the bottom four, they’re probably going to have to win to advance. At least that's their only sure way of advancing.

The drivers that have to win to get in have all fared extremely well at Talladega over their great careers, but the deck is stacked up against them like no other track. The edge they hold in the 32 other non-restrictor plate races is completely wiped out. At Talladega, 38 of the 43 cars starting have a legitimate shot of winning like no where else. At Texas for example, there are maybe 20 cars a case could be made for to win where the rest of the field is insignificant other than being obstacles for the elite teams to pass.

The most interesting storyline of all is that two of the drivers that are in the bottom four desperate to get in: past Cup champions Matt Kenseth and Brad Keselowski, who got into a fight following Saturday’s night’s Charlotte race.

Keselowski showed some frustration on the track with some of his actions, which he was retaliating for on an early instance, and it all boiled over when Kenseth put Keselowski in a head lock, or at least tried to.

This is all so awesome, almost like WWE, but real. Although the WWE could write a script with a 15-year veteran never losing his cool throughout, and actually being pushed around by a few, until he finally snaps and says he’s not going to take it anymore.

That’s what makes Kenseth actions Saturday night so interesting. He’s is as cool and relaxed as any driver in NASCAR history. He never cracks, but with the season on the brink, this new version of the Chase has definitely infused some new heat at this juncture of the season we have never seen before. If it can make Kenseth’s stack blow, it has really struck a nerve.

Even though there are so many other drivers participating that have a chance to win that we never talk about, like David Ragan or David Gilliland, I would expect Kenseth to fare the best out of Johnson, Keselowski and Earnhardt Jr. And if one of those drivers eighth in points or better -- No. 8 Kasey Kahne has a 1-point edge over No. 9 Kenseth -- wrecks early, which is entirely possible, someone can sneak in and Kenseth has the edge.

Not only does Kenseth have a 2012 Talladega win or two Daytona 500 wins under his belt, he’s also with Joe Gibbs Racing that have just a slim advantage over the other equal cars when restrictor-plates are mandated. He led the most laps between the four plate races last season and teammate Denny Hamlin won the first Talladega race back in May.

The most impressive driver in the first race was Greg Biffle who led a race-high 58 laps and finished second. The Roush-Racing program has been very competitive in plate races over recent years with wins by Kenseth, Ragan and Jamie McMurray.

Then you have Earnhardt Jr. who has won five times at Talladega, Jeff Gordon who has won six times and Jimmie Johnson who has won twice. For Johnson, this will be a new experience for him at Talladega where he’s normally laying low trying to point race with no real intention of winning, but rather to just keep the car on the track with no damage. Johnson basically has to win for any chance of winning his seventh Cup title.

Earnhardt Jr. won the Daytona 500 earlier this season, but that car is in the showroom at Daytona USA for the year. He has five Talladega wins, but none since 2004.

Because of his team affiliation and skills at this track, he deserves to be the favorite this week. The crowd would go absolutely nuts if he wins.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #20 Matt Kenseth (12/1)
2) #11 Denny Hamlin (12/1)
3) #4 Kevin Harvick (12/1)
4) #2 Brad Keselowski (12/1)
5) #88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. (10/1)
 
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Grand Salami - October

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.


NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result

10/8 4 22 20 UNDER
10/9 12 67.5 70 OVER
10/10 1 5.5 8 OVER
10/11 15 79.5 84 OVER
10/12 2 10 14 OVER
10/13 4 21.5 18 UNDER
10/14 9 50.5 60 OVER
10/15 3 16 19 OVER
10/16 7 39 42 OVER
10/17 6 32.5 18 UNDER
 
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Preview: Flames (3-3) at Jets (1-3)

Date: October 19, 2014 7:00 PM EDT

The Winnipeg Jets scored six goals in their first game this season. They have scored just once in the three games since.

They will look to re-ignite their sputtering offense against the Calgary Flames, who wrap up a six-game road trip Sunday.

"Certainly (we) aren't going to score goals the easy way," Jets coach Paul Maurice said. "Clearly, if there's an easy answer to that, it'd have been found out 10 minutes into not scoring.

"The simple answer is we've got to put more of the basic stuff to the net, so we can find a way to bang some ugly ones in until the offensive guys get that good feeling around the net."

Since Bryan Little netted Winnipeg's last goal to cap their season-opening 6-2 rout of Arizona, the Jets have scored just once in the last 194 minutes, 53 seconds. The Jets (1-3-0) were shut out for the second time in three games Friday night, losing 2-0 to Nashville in their home opener.

Perhaps most discouraging for Winnipeg is the early lack of production from captain Andrew Ladd. Ladd, who was tied for second on the Jets with 23 goals and finished with 54 points in 2013-14, has only one assist and a team-worst minus-4 rating.

The scoring drought is not due to a lack of effort - they've averaged 29.5 shots - and outshot the Predators 31-27.

"We're getting numbers, we're getting shots," Dustin Byfuglien said about his team's drought. "We keep running into decent goalies."

That trend likely will continue against the Flames and Jonas Hiller. He enters Sunday's matchup fresh off a 49-save effort - two shy of his career high - in a 2-1 overtime victory over the Chicago Blackhawks on Wednesday night.

"It gives you some confidence and you try to carry over those good feelings," Hiller told the Flames official website. "But at the same time, you can't just rely on that. You definitely have to be ready from 'puck drop.'"

Hiller, who signed a two-year deal with Calgary after playing seven seasons in Anaheim, is 1-2-0 this season with a 2.62 goals-against average and a .934 save percentage.

Ondrej Pavelec will start for Winnipeg. Pavelec finished last season with a 3.01 GAA, and his 2.86 mark since 2010-11 is third-worst among goaltenders with at least 100 starts.

Pavelec beat the Flames in his last meeting with Calgary, making 20 saves in a 5-2 victory. He is 1-2-0 against the Flames in his career.

The Flames will be without rookie Josh Jooris, who scored in his NHL debut in their 3-2 loss to Columbus on Friday night. The 24-year-old sustained an upper-body injury as Calgary's comeback bid fell short.

Coach Bob Hartley, though, believes it's that effort that will bring his team success in the future.

"I've said it all along. I love this group," Hartley said. "We have work to do, and there's parts of our game that needs to get better. But the one thing I'm always sure of is that they never quit."

Mason Raymond also scored for Calgary on Friday, his team-leading fourth goal. Raymond, who had 19 goals for Toronto last season before arriving as a free agent, has not registered a point in his last three games versus Winnipeg.
 
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Jets-Flames love going Over the total
Stephen Campbell

When the Winnipeg Jets and the Calgary Flames get together, high totals are the story.

The Over is a red-hot 5-0 in the last five matchups between the two clubs.

The Jets play host to the Flames in Sunday's NHL action. Winnipeg is currently -140 faves on the moneyline with a total of 5.5.
 
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Anaheim dominating St. Louis in recent contests
Stephen Campbell

The Anaheim Ducks have historically loved playing against the St. Louis Blues.

The Ducks are 6-1 in their last seven games versus St. Louis. The two clubs will meet again in the Golden State Sunday.

Anaheim is currently -140 moneyline faves with a total of five.
 

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