Sunday 02/26

[ddarkside]

Back with some picks...hoping to change the last period trend

Cagliari-Chievo
Cagliari -1/4 1.945
stake: 10
pointbet

Empoli-Treviso
Treviso (1x2) 5,5
stake: 3
betfair

bol to all

 

[joeyfitzclick]

cagliari - 1/4. what is this ?

i have cagliari - 1/2 + 130. is this a good option ?

 

[ddarkside]

cagliari - 1/4. what is this ?

i have cagliari - 1/2 + 130. is this a good option ?

-1/4 is asian handicap (it means you have half bet on pk and half on -0,5)

the difference is only with a draw result i loose half of my stake
in your case +130 is a bit low considering the draw is about +200 (or less)...you should have about +135/+140

hope this help

dd

 

[JackDee]

dd, thanks for your informed input man, appreciate it, and good luck.

 

[joeyfitzclick]

Ty for the info. I thought we were gonna get hosed until that last kick of the match.

 

[ddarkside]

Empoli scored in 94' :Sad Face:

overall balance:

staked 368,5
cashed 386,2
net +17,7

i try to loose another 5 units laying Roma in live now at betfair (1,50 actula price)...Lazio is playing well, hope they can get a draw in the second half

 

[JackDee]

you were there with empoli dd, managing a draw playing ten men down, let me suggest that you take asian handicaps instead of high priced away wins, to high a margin for the bookmaker, you can't win in the long run this way, while the handicap with 3-5% margin would have ensured a win for you here.

 

[ddarkside]

Tanks for the advice Jack...in fact i'm used to play asina handicap only, but in this match i saw more value in the high odd for away win and preferred to reduce my stake instead of playing normal stake for an asian handicap.