Strong Wildcard Playoff Pick

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As some of you read in another thread, the first game I liked KC but it was not strong enough for me to post because of the line movement which had me confused. Nevertheless it was a small play for me.

The late game I like NO +3

There is just too much hype about NO being 8-8 on the road in the last 2 years and has never won a playoff road game. They are a team built to win indoors where they are perfect at home in the last 2 years.

Most of my playoffs picks are based on hype (positive and negative).

The first game the negativity was on KC. They just lost 23-7 in week 16 to Indy. Alex Smith is not proven compare to Luck.

The positive was on Indy.....that they are a strong team at home and an average team on the road. They have the better QB.

Tomorrow's game I have my strongest play for this Wildcard weekend.

GL!!



One of the best cappers here on the rx, man know"s what he's doing & has given out many winners here,tu & gl bud.
 

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I need to analyzed today's result and look at tomorrow's line with the last 10 years of Wildcard outcomes to determine how good the play is.......

I need to know if that game will be coming my style or going the public's way.

I can only let you know tomorrow........
progress.gif

read before you ask varkey, give him time
 

Beat the System!!
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The first game I do not have a strong feel. Originally I like SD but going back in history I see when the Saturday games goes against the public than Sunday the public will win at least one game if not two.

I will wait to see what happens to the first game to let you know my strongest play in the late game.


Right now I have SD +20 in a teaser so I will wait it out.
 

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Man I hope your late play is GB..................:smoking:popcorn-eatinggif
 

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Are we waiting for line movement? Or to see if public loses this game too?
 

Beat the System!!
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Here's my review for the Wildcard weekend in the past 10 years. There has always been a "Fav" that covers in this round. Right now CINN is not covering meaning SF the favorite may cover.

The info on the CINN game from both BR and Thor conflicts. One needs CINN and the other SD. I used my own stats info and from the looks of it the stats tells me to play SF based on the last 10 yrs.

In this round the public has won one or two games in the past 10 years. Never has one side got shut out.

Originally my "Huge" Wildcard playoff pick was GB but if CINN don't cover I may have to switch to SF.
 

Beat the System!!
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Like I said before in this round there should be one favorite that covers and based on my stats from the past and using the same medium it tells me SF is the public play.
 

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Here's my review for the Wildcard weekend in the past 10 years. There has always been a "Fav" that covers in this round. Right now CINN is not covering meaning SF the favorite may cover.

The info on the CINN game from both BR and Thor conflicts. One needs CINN and the other SD. I used my own stats info and from the looks of it the stats tells me to play SF based on the last 10 yrs.

In this round the public has won one or two games in the past 10 years. Never has one side got shut out.

Originally my "Huge" Wildcard playoff pick was GB but if CINN don't cover I may have to switch to SF.

with all due respect & if I may, you should always stick with your "guns". GL!
 

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There have been firsts for the NFL all weekend including two one point victories yesterday... Why can't all dogs win and public go down. It's the NFL anything can happen. Why not go with your initial play? You had that from capping the two teams head to head right? Or was it mostly based upon past trends? Just curious thanks for your input respect your opinion. And good luck with whatever you decide...
 

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There have been firsts for the NFL all weekend including two one point victories yesterday... Why can't all dogs win and public go down. It's the NFL anything can happen. Why not go with your initial play? You had that from capping the two teams head to head right? Or was it mostly based upon past trends? Just curious thanks for your input respect your opinion. And good luck with whatever you decide...

Bump..
 

Beat the System!!
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So far all 3 games, two yesterday and one today I based on hype has been accurate. The late game if I solely based on hype my pick would be GB but I have noticed in the past that not all 4 games will come this style.
 

Beat the System!!
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with all due respect & if I may, you should always stick with your "guns". GL!


I agree that sticking with your original play over the long haul would give me better results.

But in the past when I second guest myself strongly and don't switch I find it to be on the wrong side.
 

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