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Let’s Start with How the Spooky Bowl Picks are Formulated?

Spooky started posting his bowl game selections on the forums more than 17 years ago — and that is how it all began! He has never had a losing bowl season since 1977 using these power rankings as a guide and not about to start now. Record speaks for itself.

We’ve had some unbelievable outstanding seasons, one year going 27-3 and a few average years but always have showed a profit. Bowl season is the only time Spooky truly “crunches numbers” and plays more with the numbers than his head.

The picks and numbers listed in this thread are SPOOKY'S PLAYS! If you don't want to follow — no worries! He's not looking to debate and argue the selections.

The totals (Over/Unders) will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments affect the game and they are only an opinion. As you can see, he will post Power Ratings, underdog plays and some MoneyLine plays!

IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and visit the Express for any major developments.

Understand, that right when the lines come out is a great time to jump on some early lines that stand out and get the best value for the wager. Spooky may completely reverse his thinking as time goes by, but for now he let's the numbers do the talking and everyone that has seen or followed Spooky this millennium know's how solid the picks usually are.

NOTE: ANYTIME A TEAM IS PICKED TO WIN OUTRIGHT AND ARE ALSO RECEIVING POINTS — MAKES THEM A PLAY. NO LOOKING BACK, NO THINKING ABOUT IT.

There will also be some live underdogs. So be ready. These teams are picked to win and they are getting points. Money Line Dogs. Get them while they are hot. Don't be afraid when the pointspread moves. It is done so emotionally.

QB gets hurt, RB gets suspended, who cares. The points will be adjusted. These selections are not based on 1 or 2 games but an entire season. Remember since 1977 this has not lost.

Spooky Power Ratings for All Bowl Teams

The lower the number the stronger the ranking. These numbers will change slightly after the Army/Navy game. Please remember all the power ratings are a guide to what Spooky does during bowl season. The power ratings are only based on the game matchups and does not mean Ohio State is the best team in the country based on ratings. He may move away from certain plays when the time comes, so his picks above ARE THE PICKS.

A huge THANK YOU goes out to Bobalou for all her assistance in crunching the numbers every year. Without her this wouldn't be complete until much closer to all the games.

TEAM / RANK
Ohio State 95
Alabama 119
Clemson 129
Wisconsin 153
Washington 154
Georgia 162
Penn State 162
Auburn 171
South Florida 196
Oklahoma 214
Mississippi St 219
Southern Miss 225
San Diego State 227
Virginia Tech 229
Toledo 230
TCU 235
Louisville 243
LSU 246
Appalachian St 255
Iowa 257
Troy 263
Notre Dame 264
Boise State 269
Washington State 269
UCF 270
Northern Illinois 271
Arkansas St 274
Michigan 276
Fresno State 284
Oklahoma State 284
USC 292
Miami 293
Florida Atlantic 298
NC State 298
ARMY 301
Ohio 301
Oregon 301
Northwestern 302
Utah 302
Michigan State 308
Missouri 321
Duke 322
Marshall 324
Colorado State 334
Texas 334
UAB 336
Iowa State 338
Stanford 342
Middle Tenn 355
Florida State 356
Houston 363
Memphis 365
Purdue 368
Wake Forest 370
N Texas 372
Central Michigan 374
Utah State 375
Kansas State 381
Louisiana Tech 383
Boston College 389
Navy 392
Texas A & M 394
West Virgina 399
Texas Tech 402
Western Kentucky 402
New Mexico State 411
SMU 412
Wyoming 418
Arizona State 425
South Carolina 425
Virginia 428
UCLA 432
Arizona 435
Temple 435
Florida Int. 446
Georgia State 457
Kentucky 495
Akron 535

Spooky Bowl Selections Without Pointspread

The numbers below are the guts and meat of how Spooky gets to his final picks above. This is helped used to determine MoneyLine plays, contest picks and plays NOT involving pointspreads!

In order of team to win by the most points based on power ratings. Remember these ratings will be adjusted after the Army/Navy game to a small degree!

POWER DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TEAMS
Florida Atlantic 23.7 Akron
South Florida 20.6 Texas Tech
Ohio State 19.8 USC
Northwestern 19.3 Kentucky
Michigan 14.9 South Carolina
Wisconsin 14.0 Miami
Southern Miss 13.1 Florida State
NC State 12.7 Arizona State
Troy 10.9 N Texas
TCU 10.8 Stanford
Auburn 9.9 UCF
Utah 9.7 West Virgina
Arkansas St 7.9 Middle Tenn
Fresno State 7.9 Houston
San Diego State 7.4 ARMY
Purdue 6.7 Arizona
Virginia Tech 5.5 Oklahoma State
Western Kentucky 5.5 Georgia State
Georgia 5.2 Oklahoma
Northern Illinois 5.1 Duke
Kansas State 5.1 UCLA
Central Michigan 4.4 Wyoming
Washington State 3.9 MIchigan State
Navy 3.6 Virginia
Utah State 3.6 New Mexico State
Ohio 3.5 UAB
Boise State 3.2 Oregon
Iowa 3.2 Boston College
Louisiana Tech 2.9 SMU
Iowa State 2.7 Memphis
Toledo 2.5 Appalachian St
Mississippi St 2.4 Louisville
Wake Forest 2.4 Texas A & M
LSU 1.7 Notre Dame
Missouri 1.1 Texas
Temple 1.1 Florida Int.
Alabama 1.0 Clemson
Marshall 1.0 Colorado State
Washington 0.8 Penn State

Point Spread Difference

Now let's take Spooky's Power Numbers and apply them to the current (at time of writing) pointspread coming up with a “difference”.


BOWL TEAMS POWER NUMBER VS. POINTSPREAD DIFFERENCE
Southern Miss 27.1 Florida State
South Florida 18.6 Texas Tech
Ohio State 13.3 USC
Northwestern 12.3 Kentucky
Virginia Tech 11.5 Oklahoma State
Purdue 10.2 Arizona
Fresno State 9.9 Houston
Northern Illinois 9.6 Duke
Boise State 9.2 Oregon
Mississippi St 8.4 Louisville
TCU 8.3 Stanford
Louisiana Tech 7.9 SMU
Wisconsin 7.5 Miami
Florida Atlantic 6.7 Akron
NC State 6.7 Arizona State
Marshall 6.5 Colorado State
Michigan 6.4 South Carolina
Iowa State 6.2 Memphis
Florida Int. 5.9 Temple
Appalachian St 5.5 Toledo
Troy 5.4 N Texas
Utah 5.2 West Virgina
Arkansas St 4.4 Middle Tenn
Central Michigan 4.4 Wyoming
Georgia 4.2 Oklahoma
UAB 4.0 Ohio
Washington 3.3 Penn State
Kansas State 3.1 UCLA
Notre Dame 1.3 LSU
Clemson 1.0 Alabama
Washington State 0.9 MIchigan State
Texas A & M 0.6 Wake Forest
Utah State 0.6 New Mexico State
Western Kentucky 0.5 Georgia State
Texas 0.4 Missouri
Iowa 0.2 Boston College
UCF 0.1 Auburn
Navy TBD Virginia
San Diego State TBD ARMY


On to the Individual Bowls


IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and Visit the Express for any major developments.
 

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Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl

Where: FAU Football Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida
Date & Time: Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET
Spread: FAU -17.5
Over/Under Total: 61.5
Quick Pick: Florida Atlantic -17 (buy down half point)

The Florida Atlantic Owls will stay home this year and take on the Akron Zips in the Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl. This bowl is being played on Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET. The Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl is being played at FAU’s home stadium at FAU Football Stadium.


Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl


The Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl has been around since 2014 and is played each year at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida.

The Boca Raton bowl features a team from Conference USA against the Mid-American Conference. This year, Cheribundi Tart Cherry takes over the sponsorship for the Boca Raton bowl.


Previous Matchup History

The Akron Zips and the Florida Atlantic Owls have never played each other. This will be the 1st matchup between the 2 schools in the history of the programs.

Akron Zips 7-6 (Mid-American Conference)


Akron started out their 2017 campaign losing 3 out of their first 4 games against the likes of Penn State, Iowa State and Troy, all three of which are playing in a bowl this year. They finished out their season going 6-3 to make their record 7-6 SU and 9-4 ATS. Akron played 10 of their 13 games under the posted total this year.

There are two stats that really stick out for the Zips. First, Akron is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Second, Akron has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral site. Those are two strong trends that should play out for this game and need to be taken into consideration.

The last 4 games that the Zips have played against Conference USA, they have played over the posted total in all 4 games. That being said, they have also played all 4 of their last 4 games against non-conference opponents under the posted total.

The Zips will be coming into this game off a loss to Toledo 45-28 in the Mid-American Conference Title game. On paper, the game looks like it was competitive but in all reality, it was a blowout. Toledo sort of took their foot off the gas pedal in the fourth quarter after being up 38-7. Akron could not move the ball in the first three quarters of play in the conference title game. Overall, the Zips have been lacking a true starting quarterback this year. They have used 5 different quarterbacks in 2017, including 4 different players throwing passes last week in the conference title game.

None of the QB’s have completed more than 58% of their passes and none have passed for over 1800 yards. Thomas Woodson has played in the most games and thrown the most passing attempts but his inaccuracy has killed the team. He has thrown 14 touchdowns but also has thrown 9 INT’s on the year. It is not clear at this time who will start for the Zips.


Florida Atlantic 10-3 (Conference USA)


The Florida Atlantic Owls will be staying home for their bowl this year, playing in the Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl on their home field. Head Coach Lane Kiffin said that he choose to stay home this year because he wants the college students to be able to enjoy the bowl game and a lot of times when teams travel far distances, fans and students are unable to attend the game. The Owls will have a huge home field advantage in this game as the Akron Zips will be traveling from Ohio, from the cold to the beautiful sunny weather of Boca Raton, Florida.

FAU went 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS this year. Their 3 losses all came from non-conference opponents against the likes of Navy, Wisconsin and Buffalo in the first 4 games of the year. They ran off 9 wins in a row to get them where they are right now at 10-3. FAU really turned their season around winning the last 9 games but also being beneficial to bettors going 7-2 ATS in those 9 games. In those same 9 games, 8 of those were won by double digits!

Like Akron, Florida Atlantic has fared really well on games played at a neutral site. They are 5-0, undefeated ATS, when they are on a neutral field. FAU has also been a strong team to bet on overall, going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Jason Driskel leads the Owls at quarterback. Driskel has completed nearly 66% of his passes for 1977 yards, 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Driskel will share the backfield Devon Singletary, who is the Owls leading running back. Singletary has carried the ball 275 times for 1796 yards and 29 rushing touchdowns.

FAU head coach Lane Kiffin's name has been tied to several vacant head coaching positions, mainly the Oregon Ducks position. It is very unlikely that were gone will name their head coach before the end of December so FAU will hold onto Kiffin a bit longer. On a complete side note, if you aren't following Kiffin on Twitter, I highly suggest you head over and follow him. Love him or hate him, he is hilarious on social media!


Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl Handicapping

As we said earlier, the Akron Zips simply do not have an effective quarterback to lead this team. In addition to their lack of passing, they are also just as bad running the ball, with averaging under 3.5 yards per carry on the ground. They are going to struggle badly against this Lane Kiffin led FAU team that will be playing at home.

Let's face it, we all know that Kiffin is a head case and once he gets on top of this lower-level Akron squad, he's not going to give in or take his foot off the gas pedal. He's going to make a statement in this game. Kiffin has sort of taken it personal that his name wasn't selected for some other high profile coaching jobs and if you follow Twitter you'll see the remarks he makes towards Tennessee and other high-level jobs. Kiffin should be able to have his way against Akron and win in dominant fashion.


Spooky’s Selection


We've got this game showing FAU winning by just over 3 touchdowns. We think this game will end up a blow out. The line opened at FAU-17.5 but we will buy down the half point and bet this game at MyBookie on FAU -17. Make sure you check back because we fully anticipate this line going up drastically prior to game time so be sure to get our final play before the game.

Spooky Express Pick: FAU-17


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to Spookyexpress.
 

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DXL Frisco Bowl

Where: Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 20, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET
Spread: SMU Mustangs -5
Over/Under Total: 70
Quick Pick: La Tech +5

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will take on the SMU Mustangs on Wednesday, December 20, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET in the DXL Frisco Bowl. The DXL Frisco Bowl is being played at the Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas and can be watched on ESPN.


DXL Frisco Bowl

This is the inaugural year for the DXL Frisco Bowl. This bowl was formerly known as the Miami Beach Bowl and was owned by the American Athletic Conference but they have sold the bowl and it’s rights to ESPN Events, who have relocated the bowl to Frisco, Texas.

The formal tie-ins for this bowl set to be the American Athletic Conference and the Sun Belt Conference in 2017 and 2019, while the AAC will face a team from the Mid American Conference in 2018. This year, the LA Tech Bulldogs, from the Conference USA, will take on the SMU Mustangs, from the American Athletic Conference.


Previous Matchup History

The LA Tech Bulldogs and the SMU Mustangs have faced off against each other 4 times in the history of the two schools. In those 4 games, LA Tech leads the series 3-1 SU and ATS. The last time these two schools played each other was in 2004, when the Bulldogs won by the score 41-10. They also played in 2003, where the Bulldogs won 41-6, in 2002 which happened to be the Mustangs only win by the score of 37-34 and in 2001 with the Bulldogs winning 36-6.

LA Tech 6-6 (Conference USA)


The LA Tech Bulldogs needed to win their last two games of the year to become bowl eligible and they did exactly that. They recorded wins over UTEP 42-21 and Texas San Antonio 20-6 to reach the 6-6 record. The Bulldogs had identical records SU and ATS this year at 6-6 and played half their games over and half their games under the posted total (6-6 OU).

In their last game, LA Tech RB Boston Scott carried the ball 20 times for 138 yards and a touchdown to lead the Bulldogs past UT San Antonio. The true marking point in the game was the Bulldogs defense that stopped UT San Antonio deep in their own territory.

The Bulldogs QB is J’Mar Smith and he has been hit or miss on the season. There are games where he really looks good and then there are games where he looks like he should be back in pony ball learning the basics. Smith has completed 55% of his pass attempts this year for 2758 yards, 13 TD’s and 5 INT’s. Smith must control the turnovers in this game as it is expected to be a high scoring affair, which may require him to air it out a little more than normal.
The Bulldogs are 5-3-1 (.611) all time in bowl games. That being said, the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their Bulldogs last 5 bowl games.


SMU Mustangs 7-5 (American Athletic Conference)

The SMU Mustangs are going bowling for the first time since 2012 but they will do it without the head coach that got them there! Head Coach Chad Morris led the Mustangs to a 7-5 record this year, which earned him a chance to take over the coaching position in Arkansas. Morris was named the new head coach of the Arkansas Razorbacks and will not coach the Mustangs in their bowl game.

SMU quickly named Associate Head Coach and Running Backs Coach Jeff Traylor the interim Head Coach for the DXL Frisco Bowl game. Traylor is very well liked among the players at SMU, as shown by the overwhelming outcry from players on Twitter, for Traylor to get a shot at the permanent Head Coaching position at SMU.

There were at least 15 players that went onto Twitter and expressed their feelings for Coach Traylor and the fans have gone as far as coming up with a hashtag, #JeffTraylorForHeadCoach. It should come as no surprise that these guys are going to play hard forCoach Traylor, as they want him as a permanent part of the organization.

SMU will be playing basically in their backyard, as Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas is only 34 miles from their home stadium, Gerald JFord Stadium in University Park, Texas. QB Ben Hicks will be looking to continue his season of success in the Frisco Bowl. Hicks has completed nearly 59% of his passes for 3,442 yards, 32 TD’s and 9 INT’s.

Hicks will he a plethora of receivers to throw to, 3 of which have over 800 yards on the season! Trey Quinn has been the leading receiver on the year, catching 106 receptions for 1191 yards and 12 touchdowns. Courtland Sutton, who has been a Spooky Express Fantasy Star over at Fan Picks for us for a decent part of the year, has pulled in 62 receptions for 1017 yards and 12 touchdowns. They also have James Proche, who has caught 40 passes for 816 yards and 6 touchdowns.


DXL Frisco Bowl Handicapping

This game is going to come down to what defense can step up and stop the opposing offense. SMU will play hard for their potential head coach but we’ve never been firm believers in emotions winning football games. They may play harder but skills win football games. If LA Tech can defense like they did against UT San Antonio, this game should be up for grabs for the Bulldogs.

Spooky’s Selection


Our system is calling for a 3 point win by LA Tech over the SMU Mustangs and beings the fact that the Bulldogs are underdogs in this game, getting +5 points, we will take early here at LA Tech +5. Also, since we have LA Tech as a potential straight up underdog winner, don’t be afraid to jump on the Moneyline in this game.

Spooky Express Pick: LA Tech +5


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to
Spookyexpress
 

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Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl

Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
Date & Time: Thursday, December 21, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET
Spread: Temple -7
Over/Under Total: 55.5
Quick Pick: TBD

The Temple Owls will take on the Florida International University Golden Panthers on Thursday, December 21, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET in the Bad Boys Mowers Gasparilla Bowl. This game is being played in Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida and can be seen on ESPN.


Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl

The Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl is an annual bowl that is played each year in St. Petersburg, Florida.

This particular bowl has been around since 2008 and has tie-ins with the American Athletic Conference (AAC), Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), Conference USA (C-USA), Mid-American Conference (MAC) and Sun Belt Conference. The AAC plays either a team from the ACC or the C-USA, unless none are bowl eligible at which point they would choose a team from either the MAC or Sun Belt.

This bowl has been called many sponsors in the past including MagicJack, Beef O’Brady’s and BitPay. This year, Bad Boy Mowers takes over the sponsorship for the Gasparilla Bowl. This will be the first time the Temple Owls have played in this bowl but FIU did play here in 2010 against the Marshall Thundering Herd, where they lost 20-10.


Previous Matchup History


This is the first matchup between the Temple Owls and the FIU Golden Panthers. The two teams did have two common opponents this year with both squads facing Central Florida and UMASS. Both teams lost to UCF, Temple 19-45 and FIU 17-61, and both teams defeated UMASS, Temple 29-21 and FIU 63-45.

Temple Owls 6-6 (American Athletic Conference)


The Temple Owls finished up their regular season 6-6 SU and ATS. They played half of their games under the posted total and half of their games over the posted total. They also split their games on the road and at home, going 3-3 both home and away. Temple won 3 out of their last 4 games and finished the season in 3rd place in the American Athletic Conference behind UCF (12-0) and South Florida (9-2).

The Owls found themselves in a must win situation in their final game of the year, against the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes, to become bowl eligible. Temple went on the road needing the win to continue their season and were 4.5 point favorites in the game. Junior QB Frank Nutile was pinpoint accurate on Saturday afternoon going 20 for 28 for 262 yards and 3 touchdowns.

This is the first time in Temple school history that they will appear in three bowl games over three consecutive years. The Owls are 2-4 in bowl game history and it should be noted that they haven’t won a bowl game since 2011. There are a ton of trends that support this game going over on behalf of Temple, such as they are 4-1 OU in their last 5 games on neutral sites, they are 5-2 OU in their last 7 non-conference games and also the fact that their last 5 games overall, all played over the posted total!

Temple will have some extra added motivation to win this bowl game. Temple Head Coach Geoff Collins was the defensive coordinator for FIU in 2010 and led the Golden Panthers to their only bowl game win in the history of the program.


FIU Golden Panthers 8-4 (Conference-USA)

FIU finished up their regular season 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS. They played 7 out of their 12 games over the posted total this year. They won their last 2 games of the regular season over UMASS and Western Kentucky by a combined score of 104-62. They Golden Panthersplayed their last 4 games straight, all over the posted total and 5 out of the last 6 overall, over the posted total.

The Golden Panthers finished up in 2nd place in Conference USA this year behind only Florida Atlantic in the East. They tied the record for most wins in a single season under head coach Butch Davis.

In their final game of the year, the Golden Panthers set a record for most points scored in a game, winning the game 63-45 over the UMass Minutemen. QB Alex McGough passed for 296 yards and ran for another 108 yards on the ground, while totaling 4 touchdowns on the day.

FIU has not fared well lately in non-conference games, going 2-7 in their last 9 non-conference games. They have also had issues playing on neutral sites, where they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on neutral sites. FIU is 1-1 all time in bowl games and this will be there first bowl appearance since 2011, when they played in the Beef O’Brady Bowl, which is now called the Bad Boy MowersGasparilla Bowl.


Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl Handicapping

This bowl game features two head coaches that are both in their first year with their schools, hungry to get a bowl win. If you have to pick a team that runs the ball better, it would be FIU but the numbers are so close that it really doesn’t make that much of a difference with FIU 165 RYPG vs Temple 136 RYPG. If you’re looking for who has the better turnover numbers, you would go with Temple due to the fact that they are -6 vs. FIU being -1. The numbers here are close in nearly every category and nothing stands out that makes us lean one way or the other.

Spooky’s Selection

This game is too close to call right now. We are going to sit patiently and monitor the line movement, injuries and see what happens as we get closer to the game. Be sure to check back closer to the actual game to get an updated pick, including our thoughts on the total.

Spooky Express Pick: TBD


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to Spookyexpress
 

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Bahamas Bowl

Where: Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas
Date & Time: Friday, December 22, 2017 at 12:30 PM ET
Spread: Ohio -7.5
Over/Under Total: 57
Quick Pick: TBD
The UAB Blazers will take on the Ohio Bobcats in this year’s Bahamas Bowl on Friday, December 22, 2017 at 12:30 PM ET. This game is being played at Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas and can be watched on ESPN.


Bahamas Bowl

The Bahamas Bowl has been played since 2014.

The bowl was formerly known as the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl but Popeyes did not renew the bowl sponsorship this year so there is no formal sponsorship for this bowl. The Bahamas Bowl has tie-ins with the MAC and Conference USA. The Bahamas Bowl has always been played on Christmas Eve, December 24, but this year, it will be played 2 days early on December 22. This will be the first time UAB and Ohio have played in the Bahamas Bowl.


Previous Matchup History


This is another 1st time matchup between the Ohio Bobcats and UAB Blazers. These teams have never met up against each other in regular season or bowl season.

UAB Blazers 8-4 (Conference USA)

The UAB Blazers finished up the regular season 8-4 SU and 8-3-1 ATS. They finished in third place in Conference USA behind North Texas and Southern Miss. The Blazers were a tale of two teams at home vs. on the road this year, and this could come into play as they go on the road in the first bowl game outside of the US in Bahamas. The Blazers ended up going 6-0 at home but when they were on the road, they were only 2-4!

UAB finished up the regular season winning 4 out of their last 5 games. Their only loss in that stretch of games was against the SEC’s Florida Gators 36-7. In their final game of the year, the Blazers beat UTEP and set a school record with 6 conference wins, which is the most in school history.
The Blazers relied heavily on their defense this year, playing 8 of their 12 games under the posted total in fairly somewhat low scoring games. The trends lead us to believe that UAB should play under the posted total in this bowl game as well. They have played under the posted total in 7 of their last 8 games under the posted total.

On offense, the Blazers are led by AJ Elderly. Elderly has completed nearly 62% of his passes for 2077 yards, 16 touchdowns and only 4 INT’s. Elderly is also a threat on the ground, especially inside the red zone where he likes to take off with the ball. On the season, he has rushed for 13 touchdowns on the year.


Ohio Bobcats 8-4 (Mid American Conference)


The Ohio Bobcats finished up their regular season 8-4 SU and ATS. They went 5-1 at home and 3-3 on the road. They lost their final two games of the year against Buffalo 31-24 and Akron 37-34, both of which were on the road. In their last 29 non-conference games, the Bobcats have gone 21-8 ATS so they are a decent team to bet in this non-conference matchups.

The Bobcats played 8 of their 12 games over the posted total and many of the trends support them trying to make this bowl game a high scoring affair. In their last 5 non-conference games, the Bobcats played over the posted total in all 5 games.

The Bobcats have not played well in bowl games but they are covering games. Overall, they are just 2-8 SU in bowl games but they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games for bettors. They have lost 3 bowl games straight in 2013, 2015 and 2016. They will be looking to snap that streak this year in the Bahamas Bowl.

The Bobcats have a very versatile offense. AJ Ouellette leads the team with 980 yards and 7 TD’s on 184 carries, while Nathan Rourke has carried the ball 134 times for 882 yards and 21 touchdowns and also has passed for 2018 yards and 15 touchdowns on the year. Dorian Brown has also got into the mix, carrying the ball 99 times for 605 yards and 7 touchdowns.


Bahamas Bowl Handicapping

Ohio Head Coach Frank Solich is known for taking advantage of his opponents weaknesses and allowing his team to adjust to the best style of play. His best option in this game is to utilize his running game and not try to beat the Blazers with the pass. UAB has a decent secondary and not many teams were successful trying to throw the ball on those guys. If Nathan Rourke and Ouellette can put pressure on the front D-line of UAB, they should be able to win this game on the ground by grinding out the defense and tiring them out.

Spooky Selection


We like Ohio to win a close game by a field goal but with the game being so far out, we are hesitant to lay the points at this time. We will sit tight on this one until we get a better feel for what happens over the next week. Be sure to check back over the next two weeks to find out what our final prediction is.

Spooky Express Pick: TBD

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to Spookyexpress!
 

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Don’t know what spooky is smoking but FAU is -22. Not -17. GTFOH
 

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StevieRay,
As we stated in our posts, these games were capped weeks in advance. -17 was the line when it first broke out. That's why we always recommend people check back on gameday as our pick may change pending line movement, injuries, etc.
 

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Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Where: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
Date & Time: Friday, December 22, 2017 at 4:00 PM ET
Spread: Wyoming -1
Over/Under Total: 45
Quick Pick: Central Michigan +1

The Central Michigan Chippewas will take on the Wyoming Cowboys on Friday, December 22, 2017 at 4:00 PM ET in the 2017 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. This game is being played on the famous blue carpet of Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho.


Famous Idaho Potato Bowl


The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl has been played since 1997 annually at the Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho.

The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl was formerly called the Humanitarian Bowl from 1997 until 2010. In 2011, the Idaho Potato Commission took over the official sponsorship and the name was changed to the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

This year, the bowl tie-ins are the Mountain West Conference and the Mid American Conference. This year, the Wyoming Cowboys will represent the Mountain West Conference and the Central Michigan Chippewas will represent the Mid American Conference. This is the first time that both the Chippewas and the Cowboys will appear in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.


Previous Matchup History


The Chippewas and Cowboys have only played each other two times in the history of the schools. The two schools split the games, with Central Michigan winning in 2002 and Wyoming winning in 2000. The Central Michigan Chippewas won the 2002 matchup in Mount Pleasant, Michigan by the score of 32-20. The Wyoming Cowboys won their game in 2000, at home in Laramie, Wyoming by the score 31-10. Both schools won on their home field and covered the spread.

Central Michigan Chippewas 8-4 (Mid American Conference)

The Central Michigan Chippewas finished the regular season 8-4 SU and 7-5 ATS. The Chippewas started the season 2-3 but finished strong going 6-1 to close out the regular season. They are riding a 5 game winning streak, where they have won by a combined 92 points over their opponents and covered the spread in all 5 of those games. Those games are being won by playing high scoring games, with their offense averaging have played their last 5 games over the posted total.

The Chippewas come into this game off a come from behind win over Northern Illinois 31-24. QB Shane Morris went 19 for 37 for 247 yards, 3 touchdowns and a INT. Morris has had a issue this year with protecting the ball. In the first 7 games of the year, Morris threw 11 interceptions but has straightened those horrendous numbers out by only throwing 2 INT’s in the final 5 games of the year.

The Chippewas are .300 in bowl games in the history of the program, going 3-7 in their 10 bowl game appearances. The Chippewas have lost 3 straight bowl games in 3 consecutive years (2014, 2015 & 2016).


Wyoming Cowboys 7-5 (Mountain West Conference)

The Wyoming Cowboys were 7-5 SU and ATS on the year. They were decent at home this year but did not have as much success while on the road. They were 5-2 at home but only 2-3 on the road. The Cowboys played 10 of their 12 games under the posted total.

The Cowboys finished the regular season in second place in the Mountain West (Mountain) Conference behind the Boise State Broncos. They come into this game off a loss to San Jose State 20-17. San Jose had dropped 10 straight games heading into this game but that didn’t stop them from taking advantage of a backup QB, and never letting up off the pressure.

The Cowboys haven’t played bad in bowl games, going 6-8 (.482) in 14 bowl game appearances. They have lost their last two appearances in the Poinsettia Bowl in 2016 and the New Mexico Bowl in 2011. They will be looking to snap that 2 game bowl losing streak this year in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

The Cowboys are led by highly touted NFL prospect QB Josh Allen. Allen missed the final two games of the year with a shoulder injury. Wyoming lost both of those game and they are a different team without Allen under center. Allen was expected to come in and put on a Heisman type season but it was anything but spectacular. Allen only completed 56% of his passes for 1658 yards, 13 TD’s and 6 INT’s. It is expected that Allen will declare himself eligible for the NFL draft at the conclusion of the regular season.

The real question is will he play in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl? He was recently asked if he expected to play and he stated that his shoulder was getting better with each day and if he is 100%, he will be playing in the bowl game. He stated that he owed it to the university and the team…..but he is also listed as #6 on Mel Kiper’s Big Board and that means millions of dollars. We all know that when dollar signs are involved, it changes players and we will need to wait and see if he will play in this game.


Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Handicapping


This game comes down to who can protect the ball and who can create takeaways. The Chippewas defense leads the FBS in creating turnovers with 31 on the year, while Wyoming is just one notch behind them with 30! The defenses will be ready to strike early and fast and force turnovers on the field.

Both the Chippewas and the Cowboys have had their issues with throwing INT’s on the year. Wyoming has thrown 8 INT’s while Central Michigan has thrown 13 INT’s. Both head coaches are well aware that they have quarterbacks that a INT prone and have defenses that like to steal the ball. This means that we could see a run heavy gameplan from both sides.

That will benefit Central Michigan as they have Jonathan Ward to carry the ball. Ward is just 10 yards shy of a thousand yard rushing season on just 166 carries. On the other side of the ball, Wyoming doesn’t have a single rusher in the backfield that has rushed for more than 475 yards on the year!


Spooky Selection


Our system tells us that Central Michigan is the play here. We have them winning the game by a field goal in a close, hard fought game. The pointspread when the lines broke was Wyoming -1 and the total was set at 45. We will take the point with Central Michigan here in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

Spooky Express Pick: Central Michigan


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to Spookyexpress!
 

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StevieRay,
As we stated in our posts, these games were capped weeks in advance. -17 was the line when it first broke out. That's why we always recommend people check back on gameday as our pick may change pending line movement, injuries, etc.


But it post current line or post write up when line is correct. U will catch hell
 

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Birmingham Bowl

Where: Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama
Date & Time: Saturday, December 23, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Spread: South Florida -2.5
Over/Under Total: 67
Quick Pick: South Florida -2 (Buy down half point)

The South Florida Bulls and the Texas Tech Red Raiders will face off in the 2017 Birmingham Bowl on Saturday, December 23, 2017 from Legion Field in Birmingham, Alabama. This game will kick off at 12:00 PM ET and can be watched on ESPN.


Birmingham Bowl

The Birmingham Bowl is played each year during bowl season at Legion Field in Birmingham, Alabama.

This bowl has been around since 2006, when it was known as the Papa Johns Bowl. The Birmingham Bowl does not have a formal sponsorship for this year. They’ve had prior sponsorships such as Papa Johns and BBVA Compass but this year, they do not have a feature sponsor. The Birmingham Bowl has tie-ins with the SEC and the AAC but if one team is unable to provide a bowl eligible team, they can select from Conference USA and MAC. In this years Birmingham Bowl, officials have actually reached out to the BIG 12 to provide a bowl eligible team.

This year’s Birmingham Bowl features the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the South Florida Bulls. South Florida has played in the Birmingham Bowl on 2 other occasions, going 2-0 in those games. The Bulls played in the inaugural Birmingham Bowl in 2006 against East Carolina, winning 24-7 and they also played here last year, beating South Carolina 46-39. This will be the first year that Texas Tech has played in the Birmingham Bowl.


Previous Matchup History


This is the first time that the Texas Tech Red Raiders will face the South Florida Bulls. These two teams have never met up in regular season or bowl games.

Texas Tech Red Raiders 6-6 (BIG 12)


The Texas Tech Red Raiders needed to pull off an upset win over in-state rival Texas Longhorns, on the final game of the regular season to become bowl eligible. The Red Raiders took that obstacle in stride, winning the game 27-23. Many experts close to the Red Raiders felt that if Texas Tech did not make a bowl game this year, Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury’s job could be in jeopardy but that does not appear to be the case as they won and are now going to a bowl.

Texas Tech finished the regular season 6-6 SU and 7-5 ATS. They played 8 of their 12 games under the posted total in the regular season. The Red Raiders are tough in non-conference games, going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games outside of the BIG 12. They have gone 2-7 ATS in their last 9 bowl games. They have played these bowl games as high scoring affairs, playing 7 of the last 8 bowl games over the posted total.

They also are a strong team to bet on the over when they are on a neutral site, playing over the posted total in 14 of the last 17 neutral site games. In addition, when the Red Raiders are in non-conference games, they have played 19 of their last 28 games over the posted total. As you can see, there are plenty of trends to support the over in this game!

QB Nic Shimonek leads the Red Raiders, completing nearly 69% of his passes for 3547 yards on the season. Shimonek has thrown 30 touchdown passes compared to 8 INT’s. Shimonek’s top target is Junior WR Keke Coutee. Coutee has caught 82 passes this year for 1242 yards and 9 touchdowns.


South Florida 9-2 (American Athletic Conference)


The South Florida Bulls are 9-2 SU and 7-5 ATS on the regular season. They ended the year in one of the most exciting battles of the year against undefeated Central Florida. South Florida and UCF alternated leads in the 4th quarter in a game the ended with UCF winning by a touchdown.

QB Quinton Flowers was responsible for 605 yards by himself and 5….that is right, 5 touchdowns in the game! Flowers has completed only 54% of his pass attempts this year for 2600 yards, 21 touchdowns and 6 INT’s but he has also hurt opposition with his legs. Flowers leads the team with 972 yards on 182 rushing attempts. Flowers scored 10 touchdowns on the ground for the Bulls, 1 shy of Darius Tice for the most TD’s on the ground/rushing for the Bulls.

The Bulls have gone 0-5 in their last 5 games played in the month of December. South Florida has gone 1-4 in their last 5 non-conference games. The Bulls are 5-3 in the history of the program in bowl games. They won last year, here at the Birmingham Bowl, over SEC powerhouse South Carolina 46-39.


Birmingham Bowl Handicapping


Texas Tech has a decent offense….but their defense is lacking to say the least. They are ranked 124th against the pass and 100th overall. They will have their hands full against Flowers and the Bulls, who are ranked 9th overall in offense in the FBS. They are able to run the ball and pass the ball and it will be very difficult for the Red Raiders to somehow keep this game within a grasp. The game could get out of hand really early if they don’t find a way to contain Flowers and this Bulls team.

Spooky Selection

Our system shows South Florida winning this game by 3 touchdowns. South Florida is a really strong play this year and we will play them early. The line opened at South Florida -3 but it has since dropped to South Florida -2.5. We don’t give half points so buy down the half point and go with South Florida as one of the bigger wins on the bowl season!

Spooky Express Pick: South Florida -2


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to Spookyexpress!
 

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Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Date & Time: Saturday, December 23, 2017 at 3:30 PM ET
Spread: San Diego State -6
Over/Under Total: TBD
Quick Pick: TBD

The San Diego State Aztecs will take on the ARMY Black Knights in this year’s Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl. The game is being played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas on Saturday, December 23, 2017. The game will kickoff at 3:30 PM ET and can be watched on ESPN.


Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

The Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl is an annual football game played during the bowl season.

The game has been played since 2003 and is always played at the Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. The Armed Forces Bowl has had numerous sponsors including PlainsCapital Bank from 2003-2004, Bell Helicopter from 2006-2013 and now Lockheed Martin which has sponsored the bowl from 2014 until current day.

The Armed Forces Bowl has numerous conference tie-ins depending on the year the bowl is played. That being said, the American Athletic Conference, Mountain West Conference and Independents are all allocated conferences to sort of make sure that one of the 3 military service academies will appear in this bowl, unless they are unavailable due to prior bowl commitments or non-bowl eligible.

This will be the second time ARMY has appeared in the Armed Forces Bowl. Army took on SMU back in 2010, and won the bowl by the score 16-14. This is the first time that San Diego State will be appearing in the Armed Forces Bowl. It should be noted that teams from the D-I Independents are undefeated in the Armed Forces Bowl at 3-0, while teams from the Mountain West are just 2-4 in the Armed Forces Bowl.


Previous Matchup History


San Diego State and ARMY have played each other two times in the history of the two schools. The Aztecs won both games in the series, which were in back to back years in 2011 and 2012. In 2011, SDST won in West Point, NY by the score 23-20 and in 2012 they won at home in San Diego, California 42-7.

San Diego State 10-2 (Mountain West Conference)

The San Diego State Aztecs ended the regular season by winning 4 games straight and raising their end of year record to 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS. In those final 4 games of the year, the Aztecs beat their opponents by a combined score of 157-47. They are playing well on both sides of the ball and most of all, are controlling turnovers.

The Aztecs two losses this year came at home, against Fresno State 27-3 and Boise State 31-14. The Aztecs were favored in both of those games but simply couldn’t get the ball moving in either game. They got away from the home field and the comforts of their own environment by following up that two game losing streak by traveling to Hawaii and then to San Jose State on back to back games. The Aztecs have not lost since and the closest they came to being tested was against Nevada where they won by 19 points!

SDST went undefeated on the road this year, going 5-0 on the road! The Aztecs run the ball a ton and that means they run out the clock, shortening games. In their 12 games this year, they played under the posted total in 7 of them. The Aztecs have had their struggles against the Independents recently, going 1-4 ATS against Independents.

The Aztecs have gone 8-7 in bowl games and have played in 7 consecutive bowl games dating back to 2010. The Aztecs have won back to back bowl games beating Houston last year in the Las Vegas Bowl by the score 34-10 and beating Cincinnati in 2015 in the Hawaii Bowl by the score 42-7.
San Diego State will be anchored by RB Rashaad Penny. Penny led the country in rushing yards this year with 2,027 yards and 19 touchdowns. Penny finished up the regular season rushing for 4 consecutive 200 yard games.


ARMY Black Knights 9-3 (Independent)


The ARMY Black Knights ended the year, winning the Commander in Chief’s Trophy in their win over Navy on Saturday, December 9 by the score 14-13 on a snowy afternoon in Philadelphia, PA. Navy had a chance to win the game but a missed field goal assured the win for ARMY.

The Black Knights finished up the regular season 9-3 SU and 6-6 ATS. They split their road games this year going 3-3 and also split their total plays, playing 3 games over and 3 games under the posted total. ARMY is only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Mountain West Conference.

ARMY has gone 4-2 (.667) in bowl games in the history of the school. They have won back to back bowl games in 2016 and 2010. Last year, the Black Knights defeated North Texas 38-31 in overtime to win the 2016 Heart of Dallas Bowl.

If you are looking to see a passing game by the ARMY Black Knights, you are looking in the wrong place! On the entire year, they only threw the ball 61 times and only completed 19 of those 61 attempts. The Black Knights lead the nation in rushing per game, averaging 355.8 yards per game. They are one of only two schools this year that have passed 4000 yards on the ground. The rushing attack is led by QB Ahmad Bradshaw. Bradshaw accounted for 1566 yards and 12 touchdowns on the year.


Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Handicapping

This game is all about the run and who can stop the run. If you enjoy running games, you will love this one but if you’re bored by running play after running play, tune into another channel!!! The real difference maker here will be the San Diego State defense and more particular, their 8th ranked running defense. These guys know how to stop the run! They are only allowing 110.4 yards per game on the ground and they are going to need it against an ARMY offense that runs the ball more than anyone else in the nation!

We have talked about what happens when ARMY has the ball and how SDSU's rush defense can stop them but what happens when the Aztecs have the ball? ARMY’s run defense is anything but stellar. They are allowing 166.1 yards per game and RB Rashaad Penny is on fire right now. If Penny gets his feet under him early in this game, it will be a very long day for the Black Knights defense.


Spooky’s Selection

Our system has San Diego State winning this game by a touchdown but right now, we will wait it out and see which way the line goes.BetOnline has this game at San Diego State -6 which is nearly a complete wash on the line. That being said, we will give our official play closer to gametime as we wait to see news coming out of practice, injuries and updated info for this game.

Spooky’s Express Pick: TBD

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or for the latest updates head to Spookyexpress.
 

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Dollar General Bowl

Where: Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Alabama
Date & Time: Saturday, December 23, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET
Spread: Toledo Rockets -7.5
Over/Under Total: 63
Quick Pick: TBD

The Appalachian State Mountaineers will take on the Toledo Rockets in this year’s Dollar General Bowl on Saturday Night, December 23, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET. This game is being played at Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Alabama and can be watched on ESPN.


Dollar General Bowl

The 2017 Dollar General Bowl is an annual bowl game played in Mobile, Alabama each year at Ladd-Peebles Stadium.

The Dollar General Bowl has been played since 1999 and features teams from the Sun Belt Conference and the Mid American Conference.

The Dollar General Bowl has been played under several different names since 1999 including the Mobile Alabama Bowl in 1999, GMAC Mobile Alabama Bowl in 2000, GMAC Bowl from 2001-2010, GoDaddy.com Bowl from 2011-2013, GoDaddy Bowl from 2014-2015 and the Dollar General Bowl took over in 2016 until current day.

Toledo has played in the Dollar General Bowl 2 other times, winning both games in 2005 and in 2015. In 2005, the Rockets defeated UTEP by the score 45-13 and in 2015 they defeated Arkansas State 63-44. This will be the first time that Appalachian State has appeared in the Dollar General Bowl.


Previous Matchup History

Appalachian State and Toledo have only matched up one prior time, which just so happened to be last year, with the Mountaineers winning a close battle 31-28 in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl. Many will remember that this game ended with a missed field goal after a delay of game call backed the Rockets up 5 yards. The field goal was wide right but many feel that it would have been good 5 yards closer. Last year’s game was very close throughout and was tied pretty much the entire game.

Appalachian State 8-4 (Sun Belt Conference)


The Appalachian State Mountaineers ended the regular season 8-4SU and 5-7 ATS. The Mountaineers played well at home this year at 5-1 but only went 3-3 on the road. The Mountaineers won their last 3 games of the year and covered the spread in all three of those games.

The Mountaineers took home a share of the Sun Belt Conference Title this year after knocking off UL-Lafayette 63-14 in the final game of the regular season. The Mountaineers were led by QB Taylor Lamb, who threw for 4 touchdowns and ran for another in the game. Mountaineers WR Thomas Hennigan caught all four of Lamb’s TD passes and was 1 yard shy of a 100 yard day.

Taylor Lamb has had a really good year this year, completing nearly 62% of his pass attempts for 2606 yards, 27 touchdowns and only 6 INT’s. It should be noted that 3 of those INT’s were tipped balls that were out of Lamb’s control. Lamb has spread the ball around this year, connecting with both Hennigan and WR Ike Lewis for more than 44 pass receptions each. Hennigan has 44 receptions for 556 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Lewis leads the Mountaineers with 47 receptions for 666 yards and 8 touchdowns.

The Mountaineers are 2-0 in school history in D-I Bowls. They won in both the 2015 and 2016 Camellia Bowls, beating Ohio 31-29 in 2015 and Beating Toledo in 2016 31-28.


Toledo Rockets 11-2 (Mid American Conference)


The Toledo Rockets finished up their regular season with a 11-2 SU record and went 7-6 ATS. They won their final 3 games of the year over Akron, Western Michigan and Bowling Green and covered the spread in 2 of the 3 games. Similar to Appalachian State, they were very tough at home going 7-0 but only 4-2 on the road. Both of their losses this year came on the road against Ohio 38-10 and Miami 52-30.

In the MAC Championship, Toledo manhandled Akron, taking a 38-0 lead before taking their foot off the gas pedal and cruising to a 45-28 win. Logan Woodside was 23/37 in the game for 307 yards. He threw for 2 touchdowns but also uncharacteristically threw 2 INT’s. Woodside had only threw 3 INT’s all year but was picked off 2 times in the same game against Akron for the first time of the year.

Woodside finished up the season completing nearly 65% of his pass attempts. He passed for 3758 yards, 28 touchdowns and 5 INT’s.Woodside has connected with WR Diontae Johnson 72 times this year for 1257 yards. The sophomore WR has pulled in 13 touchdowns on the year 7 of which have come in the last 6 games. The Rockets also have a thousand yard rusher on the season in Terry Swanson. Swanson has ran the ball 231 times for 1319 yards and 14 touchdowns.


Dollar General Bowl Handicapping

The question that we have is will Toledo have motivation to play this game? On paper, they are the better team but they feel sort of shunned as they think they should've been playing in a better bowl. Sure, they have to be a little intrigued by the fact that they get to avenge their loss from last year in the bowl season but they would much prefer to be playing a top level team, knowing the finished the year 11-2.

If the Rockets don’t want a repeat of last year, Logan Woodside is going to need to find a way to pick apart this Mountaineer defense that are holding opposing offenses to just 21 points per game. Toledo will need a fast start to put points on the board early because when Appalachian State gets their hands on the ball, they will use Jalin Moore to run the ball and control the clock.


Spooky’s Selection

Our system tells us that Toledo will win a close game by a field goal but the pointspread at MyBookie is currently set at Toledo-7.5. We will wait to give our final prediction on this game until closer to gametime.

Spooky’s Express Pick: TBD

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be or for the latest updates head to Spookyexpress!
 

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Hawaii Bowl

Where: Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, Hawaii
Date & Time: Sunday, December 24, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET
Spread: Houston Cougars -2.5
Over/Under Total: 49
Quick Pick: Fresno State +3 (Buy up half point)

The Fresno State Bulldogs will take on the Houston Cougars in this year’s Hawai’i Bowl. The game is being played at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, Hawaii on Sunday, December 24, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET and can be watched on ESPN.


Hawai’i Bowl

The Hawai’i Bowl is a annual bowl played at the Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, Hawaii. The Hawai’i Bowl has been played since 2002 and has always been called the Hawai’i Bowl in some way, shape or form.

They have had 2 different sponsors throughout the 15 years, including ConAgra Foods in 2002 and Sheraton Hotels and Resorts from 2003-2013. There is no formal sponsorship for this year’s Hawai’i Bowl.

The Hawai’i Bowl is normally played either on Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, December 24 or 25th. The conference tie-ins feature a team from either the Conference USA or the PAC-12 taking on a team from the Mountain West Conference. The charter policy for this bowl states that if Hawai’i is bowl eligible and have not already accepted a bowl big to another bowl, they are automatically eligible to play in the Hawai’i Bowl. If they are unable to get a team from either Conference USA or the PAC-12, they will choose from the highest ranking team from the Sun Belt, Mid-American and American Athletic Conference.

This year, Fresno State will represent the Mountain West Conference against the American Athletic Conference’s Houston Cougars. Both the Bulldogs and the Cougars have played in the Hawai’i Bowl in the past. Houston is 0-1 in the Hawai’i Bowl, losing their only time playing here against Hawai’i 54-48. The Bulldogs are 0-2 at the Hawai’i Bowl, losing in 2012 against SMU 43-10 and in 2014 against Rice 30-6.


Previous Matchup History

This will be the first time Houston and Fresno State have ever played each other. There are no real stats that can be used since this is the first matchup between these two teams.

Houston Cougars 7-4 (American Athletic Conference)

The Houston Cougars ended the year 7-4 SU and 6-5 ATS on the year. The Cougars finished in second place in the American Athletic Conference (West) behind Memphis. The Cougars played 9 of their 11 games under the posted total.

The Cougars ended the regular season with a win over Navy Midshipmen 24-14. Houston’s defense showed they were up to the task of stopping the vaunted Midshipmen rushing attack. QB D’Eriq King led the Cougars to the win by passing for 277 yards on a 21/27 day where he passed for a touchdown and ran for two others for a total of three touchdowns. The defense allowed 14 points in the first half of the game but totally shut them down in the second half.

Houston have a subpar bowl record at 11-13-1 (.460) in their history. The Cougars have played in 4 consecutive bowl games dating back to 2013. The Cougars lost in last year’s Las Vegas Bowl, falling to San Diego State 34-10. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.


Fresno State 9-4 (Mountain West Conference)

The Fresno State Bulldogs wrapped up their regular season with a 9-4 SU record and covered the spread in 10 of the 13 games. Fresno finished in the top spot in the Mountain West (West) Conference. They went up against Boise State in the final game of the year, the Mountain West Conference Championship, and lost the game in a come from behind win for Boise 17-14.

The Bulldogs defense simply couldn’t stop Boise State and QB Brett Rypien from a late 4th quarter drive to put the Broncos in front and win the game. The Bulldogs hadn’t won in Boise since 1984 and were trying to achieve a feat that they haven’t reached in over 33 years.

Fresno State have a 12-14 (.462) record in bowl games. They have lost 6 straight bowl games dating back to 2008. The Bulldogs haven’t played in a bowl game since 2014, when they lost to the Rice Owls 30-6 in the Hawai’i Bowl.

First year Head Coach Jeff Tedford led this bulldog team to one of the biggest turnarounds in college history taking over a team that was 1-11 last year and finished up this year 9-4 with a shot at the Mountain West Conference Championship and playing in a bowl. Tedford’s name has been mentioned for potential candidate for the vacant head coaching position at Oregon but Tedford immediately ruled it out stating that he was happy in Fresno and wouldn’t be going anywhere.


Hawai’i Bowl Handicapping

Jeff Tedford really turned this Fresno team around and has them believing in themselves. They are playing decent offense but the real strength is on defense, where they rank 15th at stopping the run and 16th overall. Tedford knows how to prepare a team for a bowl, shown by his 5-3 bowl record when he was at Cal.

Spooky’s Selection

Our system is predicting that Fresno State will pull the upset here and win this game by a touchdown. BetDSI has this game as Houston -2.5 and the total set at 49. We will buy the half point here and grab 3 points with Fresno State. We will also be playing the moneyline on Fresno State due to the fact that we feel they will win this game outright.

Spooky’s Express Pick: Fresno State

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or for the latest updates head to Spookyexpress.com
 

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Zaxbys Heart of Dallas Bowl

Where: Cotton Bowl in Dallas Texas
Date & Time: Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 1:30 PM ET
Spread: Utah -7
Over/Under Total: 56.5
Quick Pick: Utah -6 (Buy the extra point)

This year’s Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl will feature the Utah Utes and the West Virginia Mountaineers. The Heart of Dallas Bowl is being played at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas on Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 1:30 PM ET.

Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl

The Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl is sort of the Cotton Bowl 2.0. When the Cotton Bowl moved its location in 2010 to begin playing the bowl game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, the Cotton Bowl Stadium was awarded this bowl to begin playing in 2011.

This is now the 8th year for the Heart of Dallas Bowl.

This bowl has been called the Dallas Football Classic, TicketCity Bowl and now is referred to as the Heart of Dallas Bowl. Zaxby’s is the current sponsor and have been since 2014.

The normal tie-ins for this bowl are Conference USA and the Big 12 but the selection committee can select a team from the Pac 12 of the Big 10 if a bowl eligible team is now available. This year, West Virginia will represent the Big 12, while the Utah Utes will come in as a representative of the Pac 12.
This is the first time that the Utah Utes and the West Virginia Mountaineers have ever appeared in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. That being said, both of their conferences are undefeated in the Heart of Dallas Bowl with the Pac 12 going 1-0 and Big 12 going 2-0.

Previous Matchup History

The West Virginia Mountaineers and the Utah Utes have only met up one time in the history of the two schools but that one time….was way back in 1964! Utah won that game, which was held in Atlantic City, New Jersey in the Liberty Bowl, by the score 32-6.

Utah 6-6 (PAC 12)

The Utah Utes finished up the regular season 6-6 SU and 8-3-1 ATS. They needed to secure a win on their final game of the year to become bowl eligible and they did so by beating Colorado by the score of 34-13. RB Zack Moss rushed for a career high 196 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Colorado. Moss ended the regular season with 1023 yards and 9 touchdowns on 194 carries.

Utah ended the year, only winning 2 games in a 8 game stretch! The Utes have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams from the Big 12 Conference.
Utah has one of the best bowl records in football. They are 16-4 in their 20 bowl appearances and they are on a 4 game winning streak in bowls. Last year, the Utes beat Indiana in the Foster Farms Bowl 26-24. They played in back to back Las Vegas Bowls, winning both over Colorado State in 2014 by the score 45-10 and in 2015 against BYU winning by the score 35-28. The Utes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 bowl games and are also 9-3 when playing on a neutral site.
Utah has always been known as a running team but this year, under Whittingham, they are a pass first friendly offense. Tyler Huntley leads the Utes at QB. Huntley completed 65.4% of his passes this year for 2246 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 INT’s. Those INT’s are very concerning for not only Utah fans but also for head coach Kyle Whittingham.

Whittingham knows that turning the ball over at the rate they were this year, is not acceptable if they want to win ball games. Huntley did not play in the final game of the year against Colorado. Huntley was listed on the injury report as having an “Undisclosed” injury. Nothing would lead me to suspect Huntley will miss the bowl game.

West Virginia 7-5 (Big 12)

The West Virginia Mountaineers were not a team you would care to bet on in regular season. They were 7-5 SU but only 5-6-1 ATS in the regular season. The Mountaineers split their final 4 games of the year, losing the final two games of the year against Oklahoma and Texas but winning the 2 games prior against Kansas State and Iowa State. In their final 6 games of the year, they only covered the line in 1 game!!!

The Mountaineers are 15-20 overall in their 35 bowl appearances. They took on the Miami Hurricanes last year in the Russell Athletic Bowl and lost 31-14. They have lost 3 of their last 4 bowls overall with the only win coming in 2015 in the Cactus Bowl, where they beat the Arizona State Sun Devils 43-42.

West Virginia has struggled covering the spread in these bowl games, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games overall. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on a neutral site so the trends really don’t support the Mountaineers.

Mountaineers QB Will Grier was named Transfer of the Year after leaving the Florida Gators to play for the West Virginia Mountaineers. Grier was suspended for a year after he tested positive for performance enhancing drugs and made the career decision to take his talent to WV. Grier had a great year at West Virginia. He passed for nearly 3500 yards and completed 64.4% of his pass attempts.

He threw 34 touchdowns for the Mountaineers and threw for 300 yards in 9 games this year…..that is all the good news….the bad news….Grier had thumb surgery and his status is up in the air. Some people say he may play, others say he is out. Grier has already said he will return in 2018 for his senior season so there is no NFL draft to prepare for so if he is able to play, he very well may take the field. If he does not suit up, backup Chris Chugunov will fill in the starting spot against Utah.

Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl Handicapping

This game is so hard to handicap not knowing Grier’s status. You have a guy that has led the team all year and is playing great football but without him in the game, there is no doubt about it, the Mountaineers will struggle. They are two totally different teams with him in the game and with him on the sidelines.

Grier will visit the doctors in North Carolina this week and he will find out how much his thumb has healed. I highly doubt that he will be able to make the start, which means the Utah defense will get to pin their ears back and take aim at a backup QB in a bowl game.

Spooky’s Selection

We have Utah winning this game by a couple touchdowns. We will buy down the extra point to prevent the back door cover. Bet this game at BetDSI where they have the line at Utah-7. Shave that point and lay the 6!

Spooky’s Express Pick: Utah -6 (Buy down one point)

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide.
 

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Quick Lane Bowl

Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
Date & Time: Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 5:15 PM ET
Spread: Duke -5.5
Over/Under Total: 47.5
Quick Pick: Northern Illinois +6 (Buy up half point)

The 2017 Quick Lane Bowl will take place on Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 5:15 PM ET from Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. The Duke Blue Devils will take on the Northern Illinois Huskies and the game can be watched on ESPN.

Quick Lane Bowl

The Quick Lane Bowl is played annually during NCAA Bowl Season at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan.

This bowl has been played since 2014 and was formerly known as the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. The Quick Lane Bowl has traditionally been played on the day after Christmas on December 26, 2017.

The bowl tie-ins for the Quick Lane Bowl are the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) and the Big 10 however either conference is unable to provide their allotted team, the Mid-American Conference will act as an alternative, as they did this year with Northern Illinois.

This year the ACC will provide the Duke Blue Devils, while the Mid-American Conference will provide the Northern Illinois Huskies. This is the first time that the Blue Devils and the Huskies will play in the Quick Lane Bowl.

Previous Matchup History

This will be the first time that the Duke Blue Devils and the Northern Illinois Huskies will play each other in the history of the two programs.

Duke Blue Devils 6-6 (Atlantic Coast Conference)

The Duke Blue Devils finished up their regular season going 6-6 SU and 6-5-1 ATS. Duke finished up in 4th place in the ACC’s Coastal Conference with a 3-5 conference record, behind Miami, Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech. Duke went 4-3 at home but only 2-3 on the road this year.

The Blue Devils needed to win the final two games of their regular season just to become bowl eligible after losing 6 games straight from September 29 thru November 11. The Blue Devils took on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on November 18 and won the game 43-20 to leave their final game of the year against Wake Forest, on the road, a must win situation to continue their season and play in a bowl.

QB Daniel Jones stepped up in the game against Wake Forest and passed for 346 yards in the game to lead the Blue Devils over the Yellow Jackets and make them bowl eligible. Jones struggled with control in the game against the Yellow Jackets, throwing 3 INT’s compared to only 2 touchdowns. Jones also ran for a touchdown in the game. Jones has had his issues with control throughout the year, completing only 55.7% of his passes for 2439 yards, 12 touchdowns but also 11 INT’s.

Duke Head Coach David Cutcliffe put some minds to rest when he announced at the conclusion of the Wake Forest game that he was not interested in coaching the Tennessee Volunteers and stated that he planned on finishing his career as a Duke Blue Devil.Tennessee had reached out to Cutcliffe to express their interest in him being a potential coach of the Volunteers and he respectfully declined their offer.
Cutcliffe will now begin preparing his team for the Quick Lane Bowl. Cutcliffe is 5-4 in bowl games as head coach and Duke has appeared in a total of 12 bowl games, going 4-8 in those bowl games. Duke will be playing in their 5th bowl game in the last 6 years, going 1-3 in the 4 previous games.

Northern Illinois Huskies 8-4 (Mid-American Conference)

The Northern Illinois Huskies wrapped up the regular season, going 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS. They finished in 4th place in the Mid-American Conference (West) with a 6-2 conference record. The Huskies had a chance to finish in 2nd place in the conference but they fell short in the final game of the year against Central Michigan.

The Huskies had the lead, late in the 4th quarter, and had Central Michigan with their backs against the wall on 4th and 4 from the Huskies 29 yards line. All Northern Illinois needed to do was hold them for one more play and they would finish the season with a 9 win season but the Chippewas had other things in mind.

Central Michigan QB Shane Morris connected with Corey Willis for a touchdown and subsequently the game winner. The Huskie defense was strong in the first half, holding the Chippewas to just 4 first downs and 35 total yards. They took a 17-0 lead into the second half of the game but sort of stopped playing defense and allowed the Chippewas to fight their way back into the game and eventually win the game.

The Huskies defense shined this year, anchored by DE Sutton Smith. Smith leads the nation with 73 QB pressures and 91.6 pass-rush grade. Sutton made the first team Walter Camp All-American this year and will now set his sights on a QB that folds under pressure.

Quick Lane Bowl Handicapping

The key to winning for Duke is finding ways to score points. In their 6 wins this year, they averaged 39.3 points per game but in their 6 losses, they only averaged 12.1 points per game. This all starts with QB Jones and controlling the football. You simply can NOT throw as many interceptions as you do touchdowns and expect to score points and better yet, win football games!

Keeping in mind that the Blue Devils throw as many INT’s as TD’s, now add in the fact that Sutton will be applying pressure off the end all day on Jones! That in it of itself is a recipe for disaster! To make things even worse for the Blue Devils, they will prepare for the Quick Lane Bowl without Offensive Line Coach Marcus Johnson, who was hired as Mississippi’s Offensive Line Coach, to help boost the O’Line in preparation for Sutton and the Huskies Defense!

This line has had some early movement with most online sportsbooks opening the line at Duke -2.5 but it has now risen to anywhere from Duke -4, all the way to Duke -5.5. This is why it is so important to have multiple online sportsbooks to choose from because you are basically able to pick what sportsbook and what your line will be. If you are going with the favorite, you want to look for the lowest live available and if you are playing the dog, you naturally want to pick the largest spread available.

Spooky Selection

Our system predicts that Northern Illinois will win this game by nearly a touchdown. We recommend that you bet this game at BetDSI, where they have the line at Duke -5.5. We will be buying the half point to move the line to 6 points and playing Northern Illinois +6. Bet ‘em and forget ‘em!!!!

Also, since our system has the Huskies winning this game outright, don’t be afraid to play the Huskies on the moneyline, where you can find them anywhere from +170 to +180, depending on the sportsbook.

Spooky Express Pick: Northern Illinois +6 (Buy the extra half point)

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide.
 

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Cactus Bowl

Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Date & Time: Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 9:00 PM ET
Spread: Kansas State -2
Over/Under Total: 63.5
Quick Pick: Kansas State -2

The Kansas State Wildcats will take on the UCLA Bruins in this year’s Cactus Bowl on Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 9:00 PM ET. This game is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona and can be watched on ESPN.

Cactus Bowl

The Cactus Bowl is an annual football bowl game that has been played since 1989.

The Cactus Bowl has operated under numerous other names including the Copper Bowl, Domino’s Pizza Copper Bowl, Weiser Lock Copper Bowl, Insight Bowl, Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, TicketCity Cactus Bowl and the Motel 6 Cactus Bowl.

This bowl game is always played in the State of Arizona but the location has changed multiple times over the years. This bowl is played at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona this year but in the past was played at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Bank One Ballpark in Phoenix and Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe.
The Cactus Bowl has tie-ins with the Big 12 and Pac 12 but has also had teams from the WAC and Big East in years past. This year, the Big 12 will provide the Kansas State Wildcats, while the Pac 12 will provide the UCLA Bruins.

Kansas State has played in this bowl more than any other team in the history of the bowl, going 2-1 in their 3 previous appearances. The Wildcats have wins over Michigan in 2013 by the score of 31-14 and Wyoming in 1993 by the score 52-17. Their only loss in the Cactus Bowl came in 2001 when they lost to the Syracuse Orange 26-3. This will be the first time the UCLA Bruins have appeared in the Cactus Bowl.

Previous Matchup History

The Kansas State Wildcats and the UCLA Bruins have faced each other 3 times in the history of the 2 programs, with the Bruins holding a 2-1 edge over the Wildcats. The most recent matchup featured these two teams in the 2015 Valero Alamo Bowl, where UCLA won a high scoring game 40-35. In the two prior games, in 2009 and 2010’s regular season, the teams split the games with each team winning on their home field. UCLA won in 2009 23-9 and Kansas State won in 2010 31-22.

Kansas State Wildcats 7-5 (Big 12)

The Kansas State Wildcats finished up the regular season with a 7-5 Su and 5-6-1 ATS record. The Wildcats wrapped up the season by winning 4 of the last 5 games SU but only covered the spread in 2 of those games. The Wildcats came into the final two games of the year, needing to win at least 1 game over either Iowa State or Oklahoma State to become bowl eligible. K-State not only won one of the games, they swept both teams to improve their record to 7-5 and to become bowl eligible.

This will be the 8th straight bowl appearance for Kansas State. The Wildcats have played in 20 bowl games in their history and have a record of 8-12. They won their bowl game last year over the Texas A&M Aggies in the Texas Bowl by the score 33-28.

The Wildcats have gone 2-7 ATS in their last 9 bowl games. They are also only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games that were played on a neutral site. The Wildcats have not been a team you want to bet on when they are facing the Pac 12. In those Pac 12 matchups, the Wildcats have gone 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Pac 12 teams.

The Wildcats will be playing the Cactus Bowl without Offensive Coordinator Dana Dimel. Dimel has been hired to fill the vacant UTEP head coaching position and therefore can not be a part of the bowl season. That being said, this is Bill Snyder football and that hasn’t changed over the years and probably won’t change in the bowl game.

The Wildcats had 3 quarterbacks combined for 2177 yards but the truth be told that Kansas State and Bill Snyder use the QB spot more as another running back in the backfield than they do a passer. The Wildcats used those same 3 QB’s to complete 145 passes in the 2017 season but they also ran the ball 209 times, which is more than the amount of passes they completed!

The Wildcats started out the year with Jesse Ertz at QB but he injured his knee and subsequently had surgery which ended his season. Then came sophomore Alex Delton who played well but was also ended up getting injured in the season, which made room for Freshman Skylar Thompson. Thompson has a better QB completion percentage than both Ertz and Delton and has thrown for better numbers overall than Delton. It is anticipated that Thompson will start the bowl game for the Wildcats.

UCLA Bruins 6-6 (Pac-12)

If their regular season home/away splits are any indication of how the UCLA Bruins will play in this bowl season, it will not be good! The Bruins were 6-6 SU and 4-8 ATS this year. They were undefeated at 6-0 at home but were winless on the road going 0-6. They basically won all their home games and lost all their road games in 2017.

The day after the Bruins dropped their 6th game of the year to the USC Trojans, former head coach Jim Mora was terminated, leaving Offensive Coordinator Jedd Fisch with the task of somehow pulling the team together to win the final game of the year to become bowl eligible. Fisch pulled off the impossible and the Bruins beat Cal 30-27 to head to the Cactus Bowl.

UCLA has appeared in 35 bowl games in their history and have a 16-18-1 record in those games. In their last bowl game, they faced off against these same Kansas State Wildcats, winning a close game 40-35. The Bruins have gone 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Much of the talk in UCLA is the hype surrounding the newly hired head coach Chip Kelly. Kelly will take over a team that was ranked 21st on offense and he will add a new dimension on offense that could move them over the hump and contend in the Pac 12. Current Offensive Coordinator Jedd Fisch will coach the Bruins in the Cactus Bowl.

There have been rumors spreading rampant about what Bruins QB Josh Rosen will do at the end of the year. Rosen is a NFL prospect that has received much attention over the year and has been talked about being a top 5 draft selection all year. Rosen took to Twitter to ask the media to stop spreading false news about his intentions to forgo his senior year and enter the NFL draft.

For Rosen, returning for his senior year would be very risky. There are many things that could happen to him that could affect his pro career such as he could get injured, he may not fit the mold in Chip Kelly’s offense and thus struggle decreasing his value or he may simply lose value as other QB’s in the class make themselves available. It will be very interesting to see what Rosen ends up doing but one thing is for sure, he will be playing in the Cactus Bowl, with at least one more game to shine.

Cactus Bowl Handicapping

It is always tough for a new head coach or a replacement head coach to come in and be expected to win a bowl game but that is exactly what will be expected of former offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch. Fisch met with newly hired head coach Chip Kelly and the topic of that conversation had to be something to do with Fisch’s future. Will he stay….will he go? Only time will tell but a win here at the Cactus Bowl with an impressive offensive performance could improve his chances of remaining on as offensive coordinator.

Spooky’s Selection

We are predicting Kansas State will win this game by nearly a touchdown. This match-up at Bookmaker is Kansas State -2 and 63.5. We recommend you playing this game early just in case Rosen does skip the game in favor of entering the NFL draft. If that happens, this line will most likely go up! Play it early.

Spooky Express Pick: Kansas State -2

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide.
 

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Walk On's Independence Bowl

Where: Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 1:30 PM ET
Spread: Florida State -15.5
Over/Under Total: 49
Quick Pick: Southern Miss +16 (Buy up half point)

The 2017 Walk On’s Independence Bowl is being played on Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 1:30 PM ET. The game is being played at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana between Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Florida State Seminoles.

Walk On’s Independence Bowl

The Walk On’s Independence Bowl is one of the oldest active bowl’s being played with it’s inaugural game played way back in 1976.

The Independence Bowl is played each year at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana. The Independence Bowl gets its name from the inaugural year the game was played in 1976, the same year as the US Bicentennial.

The Independence Bowl has conference tie-ins with the SEC and the ACC. If there isn’t a team eligible from either one of these conferences, the selection committee can go outside to the Mountain West or the Conference USA. This year, Florida State will represent the ACC, while Southern Miss will represent the Conference USA.

Florida State will be making their debut in the Independence Bowl but Southern Miss is not only experienced, they are undefeated at 2-0. The Golden Eagles appeared in this bowl in 1980 against McNeese State and won by the score of 16-14 and also played here in 1988 where they beat UTEP 38-18.

Previous Matchup History

The Florida State Seminoles and Southern Miss Golden Eagles are familiar foes, facing each other 22 times in the history of the two programs. Florida State holds a 13-8-1 edge in win/loss/ties over Southern Miss. The two teams haven’t played each other since 1996, when the Seminoles won 54-14.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles 8-4 (Conference USA)

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles finished up the regular season 8-4 SU and ATS. Southern Miss ended up in 2nd place with a 6-2 Conference USA (West) record. They were a very strong team to bet on when they were on the road this year, going 5-1 on the road. The Golden Eagles won their final 3 games of the regular season by the combined score of 137-82.

The Golden Eagles ended the regular season by winning on the road over Marshall 28-27 on a failed 2 point conversion attempt by Marshall with 1:15 left in the game. Golden Eagles RB Ito Smith rushed for 150 yards and a touchdown, while Kwadra Griggs threw three touchdowns in the game.

Griggs has taken over the QB spot, passing for 1793 yards and completing 56% of his pass attempts in 9 games. Griggs was very safe with the ball this year only throwing 2 interceptions compared to his 15 touchdowns. Senior RB Ito Smith has rushed 232 times this year for 1323 yards and 13 touchdowns.

Southern Miss has split their 22 bowl games in school history. They are 11-11 (.500) and will be playing in the 3rd consecutive bowl game. The Golden Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Florida State Seminoles 6-6 (Atlantic Coast Conference)

The Florida State Seminoles had anything but a Seminole type of season. They needed to win the final 3 games of the regular season just to keep their consecutive bowl streak alive. Thankfully for the Seminoles, they planned an easy ending to their schedule with Delaware State, Florida and Louisiana-Monroe being their final 3 games of the regular season.

The Seminoles beat up on the low level Delaware State 77-6 and then headed to an in-state rivalry game against Florida. Seminoles beat the Gators 38-22 before coming into the last game against La-Monroe. The Seminoles cruised in the game to a 42-10 win, to make them bowl eligible. This three game win streak that the Seminoles put together was the first time all season that they won consecutive games.

The Seminoles ended up 6-6 SU but only 3-7-2 ATS. They played 8 of their 12 games under the posted total. The Seminoles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games that were played in neutral sites.
Florida State has played in 47 bowl and are 27-16-2 in those games. They have gone 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 bowl games and come into this bowl game on a 35 game bowl streak. This is their 36th consecutive bowl game!

As many of you know, Jimbo Fisher jumped off the sinking ship in Florida State and headed out west to take over the head coaching job at Texas A&M. The Seminoles have since hired in Willie Taggart as the head coach. Interim Head Coach Odell Haggins will coach the Seminoles in the Independence Bowl. Haggins led the team in the final game of the year and was very emotional after the game. Haggins will lead the team in the bowl but made it abundantly clear that Taggart is the head coach of the Seminoles and is directing him on how he wants the game directed.

The Seminoles defense will be without sophomore Safety Derwin James, who will bypass the bowl game in favor of declaring himself eligible for the 2018 NFL Draft. The Seminoles defense is ranked 24th in the FBS and Bowl Handicapping

It’s kind of hard not feeling bad for Florida State with the way Jimbo Fisher left but it is what it is. That being said, this team is a complete mess! They walked over the last 3 opponents but let’s not get carried away and forget who they are? Florida had a terrible year, Delaware State doesn’t belong on the same field and La Monroe was a cupcake opponent to finish the season.
They will now try to find a way to contain a dual threat of Griggs and Smith. If the Seminoles stack the box and try to prevent Ito Smith from running on them, QB Griggs will pick apart the secondary. If they try to double up the corners, Ito Smith will find holes and run on the defensive front.

Then, there is always that question of how will the Seminoles offense perform? In 5 games, they were held to three or less touchdowns? Too many questions surround the Seminoles and the deck is stacked against them.

Spooky’s Selection

We think Southern Miss could pull off a huge bowl upset here in the Independence Bowl. Obviously we are going to take the points with Southern Miss but we will buy up that half point to make it Southern Miss +16. Also, don’t sweat playing the moneyline here on Southern Miss. Many of the online sportsbooks have the Golden Eagles at +510, which would be a nice little payday for us on the bowl season!

Spooky Express Pick:
Southern Miss +16 (Buy up half point) and play moneyline!!!


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide.
 

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New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Where: New York Yankees Stadium in New York, New York
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 5:15 PM ET
Spread: Iowa -3
Over/Under Total: 46
Quick Pick: Iowa (MoneyLine)

The New Era Pinstripe Bowl will take place on Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at Yankee Stadium in New York, New York. The New Era Pinstripe Bowl is scheduled to kick off at 5:15 PM ET and can be watched on ESPN. This year, the Iowa Hawkeyes will take on the Boston College Eagles in a ACC vs. Big 10 battle!

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

The New Era Pinstripe Bowl is a rather new bowl that has only been played since 2010.

The Pinstripe Bowl is played at New York Yankee Stadium and is basically organized and operated by the New York Yankee organization.
The Pinstripe Bowl features tie-ins with the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) and the Big 12 Conference. This year, Boston College will represent the ACC, while Iowa will represent the Big 12. This will be the second time that Boston College has played in the Pinstripe Bowl. They took on Penn State back in 2014, losing the game in overtime 31-30. This will be the first time Iowa has appeared in the Pinstripe Bowl.

Previous Matchup History

This will be the first ever matchup between the Boston College Eagles and the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Iowa Hawkeyes 7-5 (Big 10)

The Iowa Hawkeyes finished up the regular season with a 7-5 SU and 5-6-1 ATS record. Iowa was a hit or miss team this year, winning tough games against Ohio State by complete domination by the score of 55-24 and going down to the final play of the game in a close loss to Penn State 21-19, yet losing games that they should have won to lower level teams like Purdue 24-15? They finished in 3rd place in the Big 10 (West) behind Wisconsin and Northwestern, both of which were teams that the Hawkeyes lost to.

Iowa ended the regular season on a winning note, destroying the Nebraska Cornhuskers 56-14. Akrum Wadley ran for 159 yards and 3 touchdowns, while the Hawkeyes posted 28 points in less than 7 minutes. TE Noah Fant set a career high in the game, catching three passes for 116 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Hawkeyes offense combined for a total of 505 yards in the game and completely dominated the Cornhuskers in the second half.

Iowa has played in 30 bowl games in the history of the program. In those 30 games, they have a record of 14-15-1(.483). The Hawkeyes have lost 5 consecutive bowl games SU and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Hawkeyes are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Open up any media source and research this game and you will certainly see headlines about Iowa Safety Brandon Snyder being arrested on Sunday for Operating a Motor Vehicle While Intoxicated. Here is my thoughts on this…..in 2017, he played 1 game and only 1 game so why does it matter? This is just another example of the media making a mountain out of a molehill. Yes, it was wrong of him and he should be processed through the judicial system but how does this affect this game? It doesn’t…move on.

Boston College 7-5 (Atlantic Coast Conference)

The Boston College Eagles wrapped up their regular season with a 7-5 SU and 8-3-1 ATS record. The Eagles were a decent team to play on the road this year, going 5-1 in the 6 road games this year. The Eagles have not cost bettors a loss since way back in September. They have covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 games overall and have been one of the hottest teams in the nation to bet on this season.

Boston College is a tough team to take on when they are playing on a neutral site. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. They are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Now that we told you the good….let’s talk about the bad! They are 1-4 ATS against teams from the Big 10 and they are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.

The Boston College run defense is not ranked high, actually they are towards the bottom of the rankings at 102nd but they have the best defensive end at stopping the run in Zach Allen. Allen had 42 defensive stop in run defense this year, which is 4 more than the next closest defender. Allen is a beast off the edge and will be a handful for Iowa to run on that side.

On offense, the Eagles are led by freshman RB AJ Dillon. Dillon ran 268 times for 1432 yards and 13 touchdowns on the season. Dillon played in all 12 games this year and averaged 5.3 yards per carry. Dillon was named to the ESPN Freshman All-American on Monday morning and fell just short to 2016 Heisman winner Lamar Jackson for the most yards in the ACC.

New Era Pinstripe Bowl Handicapping

This game will come down to who can run the ball effectively. Iowa has a running back that is capable of taking over the game in Akrum Wadley. Wadley is the workhorse for the Hawkeyes and they will use him early and often. Wadley will run against the opposite side of where Zach Allen lines up and as we stated earlier, Boston College struggles stopping the run! If Wadley can get going early, it will force Boston College out of their game and force them to adjust to the game flow early.

Spooky’s Selection

We have Iowa winning a close game by a field goal. Bookmaker has this game at Iowa -3, which makes it a complete wash. This will lead us to playing the Iowa Hawkeyes as a moneyline play since we won’t give 3 points in a close game. We will play the moneyline and take it to the bank in a hard fought game.

Spooky Express Pick: Iowa (Moneyline)

Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide.
 

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Foster Farms Bowl

Where: Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET
Spread: Arizona Wildcats -3.5
Over/Under Total: 65
Quick Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +4 (Buy up half point) and Purdue Moneyline

The Arizona Wildcats will meet up with the Purdue Boilermakers on Wednesday, December 27, 2017 in the 2017 Foster Farms Bowl. This game is being played at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California and can be watched on FOX.

Foster Farms Bowl

The Foster Farms Bowl is an annual bowl played since 2002. The Foster Farms Bowl has previously been played under numerous other names including the Fight Hunger Bowl, Diamond Foods, Inc., San Francisco Bowl, Emerald Bowl and the Diamond Walnut San Francisco Bowl.

The Foster Farms Bowl has conference tie-ins with the PAC-12 and the Big Ten. This year, the PAC-12 provide the Arizona Wildcats while the Purdue Boilermakers will represent the Big Ten. This will be the 1st time in the history of the Foster Farms Bowl that Arizona or Purdue will appear in the bowl. If you're looking for a slight edge between the conferences, the PAC-12 is 7-3 while the Big Ten is 2-2.

Previous Matchup History

The Arizona Wildcats and the Purdue Boilermakers have played each other two times in the history of the programs. Purdue has won both matchups, winning in 2005 in Tucson, Arizona by the score 31-24 and in 2003 at home in West Lafayette, Indiana by the score of 59-7. Purdue not only won both games outright, but they covered the spread in both games.

Arizona Wildcats 7-5 (PAC-12)

The Arizona Wildcats come into this game 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS. They played an even .500 on the road going 3-3 on the year. The Wildcats finished in 3rd place in the PAC-12 South with a 5-4 Conference record. The main question surrounding Arizona is what will their momentum be heading into this bowl game knowing that they lost 3 out of their last 4 games overall to end the season.

The Wildcats lost the last 3 games on the road against the USC Trojans, Oregon Ducks, and Arizona State Sun Devils. Their defense simply couldn't stop anyone from scoring towards the end of the year allowing a combined 137 points in those 3 losses. Their defense allowed over 35 points per game on average for the year. They simply cannot allow teams to score 35 points and expect to win football games.

Arizona Wildcats Head Coach Rich Rodriguez is all-too-familiar with the Purdue Boilermakers from his time as Head Coach of the Michigan Wolverines from 2008-2010. Rodriguez went 1-2 in his 3 years as Michigan Head Coach. Not only is Rodriguez's record not a winning one but his relationship with the Purdue organization has always been questionable.

Back in 2008, many of you will remember that Purdue coach Joe Tiller and Rich Rodriguez had words in regards to recruiting. Rodriguez had better success with recruiting players and Tiller made the comment in the media, “if we had early signing date, you wouldn't have another outfit with a guy in a wizard hat, selling snake oil, get a guy at the last minute but that's what happened”. Tiller was referring to losing a football recruit to Rodriguez and Michigan.
The Wildcats will be led by quarterback Khalil Tate who is averaging 10.2 yards per carry and leads the nation in that category taken beat you with his legs or his arm as he is a dual threat quarterback that is mobile, agile and tough to bring down. Tate completed 61.4% of his passes for 1289 yards. Tate through 9 touchdown passes but he also had issues with control, throwing 8 interceptions. Tate appeared in 10 games and rush the ball 133 times for another 1353 yards and 12 more touchdowns.

The Arizona Wildcats have played in 21 bowl games in the history of the program. They have an overall record of 11-9-1 in those bowl games. Arizona missed the bowl season last year and their last bowl game came in 2015 when they beat the New Mexico Lobos in the New Mexico bowl by the score 45-37.That being said, the trends recommend avoiding Arizona in this game due to the fact that they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in the month of December and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played on a neutral site.

Purdue Boilermakers 6-6 (BIG 10)

The Purdue Boilermakers finished up the regular season at .500 with a 6-6 SU and 8-4 ATS record. Purdue played 9 of their 12 games under the posted total this year. The Boilermakers finished the regular season in fourth-place in the Big Ten West Conference and ended the season winning 3 out of their last 4 games.

Purdue one those games by playing tough defense and slowing down the game. There defense allowed the 16.33 points per game in those final 3 wins over Illinois, Iowa and Indiana. The Boilermakers have been a very strong play against non-conference opponents. In their last 4 non-conference games they have gone 4-0 ATS. They have also had some recent success against the PAC-12, going 3-1-1 ATS against teams from the PAC-12.

The Purdue Boilermakers have played in 17 bowl games, having gone 9-8 in those games. This is the 1st year the boilermakers have gone bowling since the 2012 season when they lost to the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the heart of Dallas bowl by the score 58-14.

David Blough and Elijah Sindelar co-started the 1st 8 out of 9 games of the year at quarterback for the Boilermakers but when Blough went down with a season ending ankle injury, Sindelar took over under center for the Boilermakers permanently. Sindelar has really opened up the offense and has taken this team from predominantly run heavy offense to a more well-rounded offense that is averaging nearly 40 pass attempts per game. He has thrown 7 touchdown passes in the last 3 games compared to only one interception in 126 passing attempts. On the year, Sindelar has completed 55.8% of his passes for 1703 yards, 14 touchdowns and 6 INT's.

Foster Farms Bowl Handicapping

This game comes down to one offense controlling the clock and preventing turnovers against another team that simply isn't playing defense right now. Since Elijah Sindelar has taken over the full-time starting quarterback job at Purdue, they've done a really good job at controlling the ball and not turning the ball over.

They are now passing the ball much more in this offense and that should farewell for them knowing the fact that Arizona's defense has been thrashed in the 2nd half of the season. If past indications tell us anything and if history repeats itself, Purdue should raise their all-time record over Arizona to 3-0.

Spooky’s Selection

Our system is calling for an outright upset in this game with Purdue winning by a touchdown. GTbets has the line in this game at Arizona -3.5. Due to the fact that we think Purdue will win this game, we will buy the half point up and take Purdue +4 points. We will also be playing the Moneyline, where you can get it from anywhere from +140 to +150. Take the points, the moneyline and cash it all in! .

Spooky Express Pick:
Purdue Boilermakers +4 and play them as a Moneyline Dog!


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide.
 

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Foster Farms Bowl

Where: Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET
Spread: Arizona Wildcats -3.5
Over/Under Total: 65
Quick Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +4 (Buy up half point) and Purdue Moneyline

The Arizona Wildcats will meet up with the Purdue Boilermakers on Wednesday, December 27, 2017 in the 2017 Foster Farms Bowl. This game is being played at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California and can be watched on FOX.


Foster Farms Bowl


The Foster Farms Bowl is an annual bowl played since 2002. The Foster Farms Bowl has previously been played under numerous other names including the Fight Hunger Bowl, Diamond Foods, Inc., San Francisco Bowl, Emerald Bowl and the Diamond Walnut San Francisco Bowl.

The Foster Farms Bowl has conference tie-ins with the PAC-12 and the Big Ten. This year, the PAC-12 provide the Arizona Wildcats while the Purdue Boilermakers will represent the Big Ten. This will be the 1st time in the history of the Foster Farms Bowl that Arizona or Purdue will appear in the bowl. If you're looking for a slight edge between the conferences, the PAC-12 is 7-3 while the Big Ten is 2-2.


Previous Matchup History

The Arizona Wildcats and the Purdue Boilermakers have played each other two times in the history of the programs. Purdue has won both matchups, winning in 2005 in Tucson, Arizona by the score 31-24 and in 2003 at home in West Lafayette, Indiana by the score of 59-7. Purdue not only won both games outright, but they covered the spread in both games.

Arizona Wildcats 7-5 (PAC-12)

The Arizona Wildcats come into this game 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS. They played an even .500 on the road going 3-3 on the year. The Wildcats finished in 3rd place in the PAC-12 South with a 5-4 Conference record. The main question surrounding Arizona is what will their momentum be heading into this bowl game knowing that they lost 3 out of their last 4 games overall to end the season.

The Wildcats lost the last 3 games on the road against the USC Trojans, Oregon Ducks, and Arizona State Sun Devils. Their defense simply couldn't stop anyone from scoring towards the end of the year allowing a combined 137 points in those 3 losses. Their defense allowed over 35 points per game on average for the year. They simply cannot allow teams to score 35 points and expect to win football games.

Arizona Wildcats Head Coach Rich Rodriguez is all-too-familiar with the Purdue Boilermakers from his time as Head Coach of the Michigan Wolverines from 2008-2010. Rodriguez went 1-2 in his 3 years as Michigan Head Coach. Not only is Rodriguez's record not a winning one but his relationship with the Purdue organization has always been questionable.

Back in 2008, many of you will remember that Purdue coach Joe Tiller and Rich Rodriguez had words in regards to recruiting. Rodriguez had better success with recruiting players and Tiller made the comment in the media, “if we had early signing date, you wouldn't have another outfit with a guy in a wizard hat, selling snake oil, get a guy at the last minute but that's what happened”. Tiller was referring to losing a football recruit to Rodriguez and Michigan.
The Wildcats will be led by quarterback Khalil Tate who is averaging 10.2 yards per carry and leads the nation in that category taken beat you with his legs or his arm as he is a dual threat quarterback that is mobile, agile and tough to bring down. Tate completed 61.4% of his passes for 1289 yards. Tate through 9 touchdown passes but he also had issues with control, throwing 8 interceptions. Tate appeared in 10 games and rush the ball 133 times for another 1353 yards and 12 more touchdowns.

The Arizona Wildcats have played in 21 bowl games in the history of the program. They have an overall record of 11-9-1 in those bowl games. Arizona missed the bowl season last year and their last bowl game came in 2015 when they beat the New Mexico Lobos in the New Mexico bowl by the score 45-37.That being said, the trends recommend avoiding Arizona in this game due to the fact that they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in the month of December and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played on a neutral site.


Purdue Boilermakers 6-6 (BIG 10)

The Purdue Boilermakers finished up the regular season at .500 with a 6-6 SU and 8-4 ATS record. Purdue played 9 of their 12 games under the posted total this year. The Boilermakers finished the regular season in fourth-place in the Big Ten West Conference and ended the season winning 3 out of their last 4 games.

Purdue one those games by playing tough defense and slowing down the game. There defense allowed the 16.33 points per game in those final 3 wins over Illinois, Iowa and Indiana. The Boilermakers have been a very strong play against non-conference opponents. In their last 4 non-conference games they have gone 4-0 ATS. They have also had some recent success against the PAC-12, going 3-1-1 ATS against teams from the PAC-12.

The Purdue Boilermakers have played in 17 bowl games, having gone 9-8 in those games. This is the 1st year the boilermakers have gone bowling since the 2012 season when they lost to the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the heart of Dallas bowl by the score 58-14.

David Blough and Elijah Sindelar co-started the 1st 8 out of 9 games of the year at quarterback for the Boilermakers but when Blough went down with a season ending ankle injury, Sindelar took over under center for the Boilermakers permanently. Sindelar has really opened up the offense and has taken this team from predominantly run heavy offense to a more well-rounded offense that is averaging nearly 40 pass attempts per game. He has thrown 7 touchdown passes in the last 3 games compared to only one interception in 126 passing attempts. On the year, Sindelar has completed 55.8% of his passes for 1703 yards, 14 touchdowns and 6 INT's.


Foster Farms Bowl Handicapping

This game comes down to one offense controlling the clock and preventing turnovers against another team that simply isn't playing defense right now. Since Elijah Sindelar has taken over the full-time starting quarterback job at Purdue, they've done a really good job at controlling the ball and not turning the ball over.

They are now passing the ball much more in this offense and that should farewell for them knowing the fact that Arizona's defense has been thrashed in the 2nd half of the season. If past indications tell us anything and if history repeats itself, Purdue should raise their all-time record over Arizona to 3-0.


Spooky’s Selection

Our system is calling for an outright upset in this game with Purdue winning by a touchdown. GTbets has the line in this game atArizona -3.5. Due to the fact that we think Purdue will win this game, we will buy the half point up and take Purdue +4 points. We will also be playing the Moneyline, where you can get it from anywhere from +140 to +150. Take the points, the moneyline and cash it all in! .

Spooky Express Pick:
Purdue Boilermakers +4 and play them as a Moneyline Dog!


Note: This bowl game is being handicapped and broken down weeks in advance of the game being played. Please be sure to check back periodically to determine if any changes have been made and be sure to check the day of the game, to receive and over/under plays that we may provide or For the latest updates head to Spookyexpress.com
 

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