Let’s Start with How the Spooky Bowl Picks are Formulated?
Spooky started posting his bowl game selections on the forums more than 17 years ago — and that is how it all began! He has never had a losing bowl season since 1977 using these power rankings as a guide and not about to start now. Record speaks for itself.
We’ve had some unbelievable outstanding seasons, one year going 27-3 and a few average years but always have showed a profit. Bowl season is the only time Spooky truly “crunches numbers” and plays more with the numbers than his head.
The picks and numbers listed in this thread are SPOOKY'S PLAYS! If you don't want to follow — no worries! He's not looking to debate and argue the selections.
The totals (Over/Unders) will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments affect the game and they are only an opinion. As you can see, he will post Power Ratings, underdog plays and some MoneyLine plays!
IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and visit the Express for any major developments.
Understand, that right when the lines come out is a great time to jump on some early lines that stand out and get the best value for the wager. Spooky may completely reverse his thinking as time goes by, but for now he let's the numbers do the talking and everyone that has seen or followed Spooky this millennium know's how solid the picks usually are.
NOTE: ANYTIME A TEAM IS PICKED TO WIN OUTRIGHT AND ARE ALSO RECEIVING POINTS — MAKES THEM A PLAY. NO LOOKING BACK, NO THINKING ABOUT IT.
There will also be some live underdogs. So be ready. These teams are picked to win and they are getting points. Money Line Dogs. Get them while they are hot. Don't be afraid when the pointspread moves. It is done so emotionally.
QB gets hurt, RB gets suspended, who cares. The points will be adjusted. These selections are not based on 1 or 2 games but an entire season. Remember since 1977 this has not lost.
Spooky Power Ratings for All Bowl Teams
The lower the number the stronger the ranking. These numbers will change slightly after the Army/Navy game. Please remember all the power ratings are a guide to what Spooky does during bowl season. The power ratings are only based on the game matchups and does not mean Ohio State is the best team in the country based on ratings. He may move away from certain plays when the time comes, so his picks above ARE THE PICKS.
A huge THANK YOU goes out to Bobalou for all her assistance in crunching the numbers every year. Without her this wouldn't be complete until much closer to all the games.
TEAM / RANK
Ohio State 95
Alabama 119
Clemson 129
Wisconsin 153
Washington 154
Georgia 162
Penn State 162
Auburn 171
South Florida 196
Oklahoma 214
Mississippi St 219
Southern Miss 225
San Diego State 227
Virginia Tech 229
Toledo 230
TCU 235
Louisville 243
LSU 246
Appalachian St 255
Iowa 257
Troy 263
Notre Dame 264
Boise State 269
Washington State 269
UCF 270
Northern Illinois 271
Arkansas St 274
Michigan 276
Fresno State 284
Oklahoma State 284
USC 292
Miami 293
Florida Atlantic 298
NC State 298
ARMY 301
Ohio 301
Oregon 301
Northwestern 302
Utah 302
Michigan State 308
Missouri 321
Duke 322
Marshall 324
Colorado State 334
Texas 334
UAB 336
Iowa State 338
Stanford 342
Middle Tenn 355
Florida State 356
Houston 363
Memphis 365
Purdue 368
Wake Forest 370
N Texas 372
Central Michigan 374
Utah State 375
Kansas State 381
Louisiana Tech 383
Boston College 389
Navy 392
Texas A & M 394
West Virgina 399
Texas Tech 402
Western Kentucky 402
New Mexico State 411
SMU 412
Wyoming 418
Arizona State 425
South Carolina 425
Virginia 428
UCLA 432
Arizona 435
Temple 435
Florida Int. 446
Georgia State 457
Kentucky 495
Akron 535
Spooky Bowl Selections Without Pointspread
The numbers below are the guts and meat of how Spooky gets to his final picks above. This is helped used to determine MoneyLine plays, contest picks and plays NOT involving pointspreads!
In order of team to win by the most points based on power ratings. Remember these ratings will be adjusted after the Army/Navy game to a small degree!
POWER DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TEAMS
Florida Atlantic 23.7 Akron
South Florida 20.6 Texas Tech
Ohio State 19.8 USC
Northwestern 19.3 Kentucky
Michigan 14.9 South Carolina
Wisconsin 14.0 Miami
Southern Miss 13.1 Florida State
NC State 12.7 Arizona State
Troy 10.9 N Texas
TCU 10.8 Stanford
Auburn 9.9 UCF
Utah 9.7 West Virgina
Arkansas St 7.9 Middle Tenn
Fresno State 7.9 Houston
San Diego State 7.4 ARMY
Purdue 6.7 Arizona
Virginia Tech 5.5 Oklahoma State
Western Kentucky 5.5 Georgia State
Georgia 5.2 Oklahoma
Northern Illinois 5.1 Duke
Kansas State 5.1 UCLA
Central Michigan 4.4 Wyoming
Washington State 3.9 MIchigan State
Navy 3.6 Virginia
Utah State 3.6 New Mexico State
Ohio 3.5 UAB
Boise State 3.2 Oregon
Iowa 3.2 Boston College
Louisiana Tech 2.9 SMU
Iowa State 2.7 Memphis
Toledo 2.5 Appalachian St
Mississippi St 2.4 Louisville
Wake Forest 2.4 Texas A & M
LSU 1.7 Notre Dame
Missouri 1.1 Texas
Temple 1.1 Florida Int.
Alabama 1.0 Clemson
Marshall 1.0 Colorado State
Washington 0.8 Penn State
Point Spread Difference
Now let's take Spooky's Power Numbers and apply them to the current (at time of writing) pointspread coming up with a “difference”.
BOWL TEAMS POWER NUMBER VS. POINTSPREAD DIFFERENCE
Southern Miss 27.1 Florida State
South Florida 18.6 Texas Tech
Ohio State 13.3 USC
Northwestern 12.3 Kentucky
Virginia Tech 11.5 Oklahoma State
Purdue 10.2 Arizona
Fresno State 9.9 Houston
Northern Illinois 9.6 Duke
Boise State 9.2 Oregon
Mississippi St 8.4 Louisville
TCU 8.3 Stanford
Louisiana Tech 7.9 SMU
Wisconsin 7.5 Miami
Florida Atlantic 6.7 Akron
NC State 6.7 Arizona State
Marshall 6.5 Colorado State
Michigan 6.4 South Carolina
Iowa State 6.2 Memphis
Florida Int. 5.9 Temple
Appalachian St 5.5 Toledo
Troy 5.4 N Texas
Utah 5.2 West Virgina
Arkansas St 4.4 Middle Tenn
Central Michigan 4.4 Wyoming
Georgia 4.2 Oklahoma
UAB 4.0 Ohio
Washington 3.3 Penn State
Kansas State 3.1 UCLA
Notre Dame 1.3 LSU
Clemson 1.0 Alabama
Washington State 0.9 MIchigan State
Texas A & M 0.6 Wake Forest
Utah State 0.6 New Mexico State
Western Kentucky 0.5 Georgia State
Texas 0.4 Missouri
Iowa 0.2 Boston College
UCF 0.1 Auburn
Navy TBD Virginia
San Diego State TBD ARMY
On to the Individual Bowls
IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and Visit the Express for any major developments.
Spooky started posting his bowl game selections on the forums more than 17 years ago — and that is how it all began! He has never had a losing bowl season since 1977 using these power rankings as a guide and not about to start now. Record speaks for itself.
We’ve had some unbelievable outstanding seasons, one year going 27-3 and a few average years but always have showed a profit. Bowl season is the only time Spooky truly “crunches numbers” and plays more with the numbers than his head.
The picks and numbers listed in this thread are SPOOKY'S PLAYS! If you don't want to follow — no worries! He's not looking to debate and argue the selections.
The totals (Over/Unders) will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments affect the game and they are only an opinion. As you can see, he will post Power Ratings, underdog plays and some MoneyLine plays!
IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and visit the Express for any major developments.
Understand, that right when the lines come out is a great time to jump on some early lines that stand out and get the best value for the wager. Spooky may completely reverse his thinking as time goes by, but for now he let's the numbers do the talking and everyone that has seen or followed Spooky this millennium know's how solid the picks usually are.
NOTE: ANYTIME A TEAM IS PICKED TO WIN OUTRIGHT AND ARE ALSO RECEIVING POINTS — MAKES THEM A PLAY. NO LOOKING BACK, NO THINKING ABOUT IT.
There will also be some live underdogs. So be ready. These teams are picked to win and they are getting points. Money Line Dogs. Get them while they are hot. Don't be afraid when the pointspread moves. It is done so emotionally.
QB gets hurt, RB gets suspended, who cares. The points will be adjusted. These selections are not based on 1 or 2 games but an entire season. Remember since 1977 this has not lost.
Spooky Power Ratings for All Bowl Teams
The lower the number the stronger the ranking. These numbers will change slightly after the Army/Navy game. Please remember all the power ratings are a guide to what Spooky does during bowl season. The power ratings are only based on the game matchups and does not mean Ohio State is the best team in the country based on ratings. He may move away from certain plays when the time comes, so his picks above ARE THE PICKS.
A huge THANK YOU goes out to Bobalou for all her assistance in crunching the numbers every year. Without her this wouldn't be complete until much closer to all the games.
TEAM / RANK
Ohio State 95
Alabama 119
Clemson 129
Wisconsin 153
Washington 154
Georgia 162
Penn State 162
Auburn 171
South Florida 196
Oklahoma 214
Mississippi St 219
Southern Miss 225
San Diego State 227
Virginia Tech 229
Toledo 230
TCU 235
Louisville 243
LSU 246
Appalachian St 255
Iowa 257
Troy 263
Notre Dame 264
Boise State 269
Washington State 269
UCF 270
Northern Illinois 271
Arkansas St 274
Michigan 276
Fresno State 284
Oklahoma State 284
USC 292
Miami 293
Florida Atlantic 298
NC State 298
ARMY 301
Ohio 301
Oregon 301
Northwestern 302
Utah 302
Michigan State 308
Missouri 321
Duke 322
Marshall 324
Colorado State 334
Texas 334
UAB 336
Iowa State 338
Stanford 342
Middle Tenn 355
Florida State 356
Houston 363
Memphis 365
Purdue 368
Wake Forest 370
N Texas 372
Central Michigan 374
Utah State 375
Kansas State 381
Louisiana Tech 383
Boston College 389
Navy 392
Texas A & M 394
West Virgina 399
Texas Tech 402
Western Kentucky 402
New Mexico State 411
SMU 412
Wyoming 418
Arizona State 425
South Carolina 425
Virginia 428
UCLA 432
Arizona 435
Temple 435
Florida Int. 446
Georgia State 457
Kentucky 495
Akron 535
Spooky Bowl Selections Without Pointspread
The numbers below are the guts and meat of how Spooky gets to his final picks above. This is helped used to determine MoneyLine plays, contest picks and plays NOT involving pointspreads!
In order of team to win by the most points based on power ratings. Remember these ratings will be adjusted after the Army/Navy game to a small degree!
POWER DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TEAMS
Florida Atlantic 23.7 Akron
South Florida 20.6 Texas Tech
Ohio State 19.8 USC
Northwestern 19.3 Kentucky
Michigan 14.9 South Carolina
Wisconsin 14.0 Miami
Southern Miss 13.1 Florida State
NC State 12.7 Arizona State
Troy 10.9 N Texas
TCU 10.8 Stanford
Auburn 9.9 UCF
Utah 9.7 West Virgina
Arkansas St 7.9 Middle Tenn
Fresno State 7.9 Houston
San Diego State 7.4 ARMY
Purdue 6.7 Arizona
Virginia Tech 5.5 Oklahoma State
Western Kentucky 5.5 Georgia State
Georgia 5.2 Oklahoma
Northern Illinois 5.1 Duke
Kansas State 5.1 UCLA
Central Michigan 4.4 Wyoming
Washington State 3.9 MIchigan State
Navy 3.6 Virginia
Utah State 3.6 New Mexico State
Ohio 3.5 UAB
Boise State 3.2 Oregon
Iowa 3.2 Boston College
Louisiana Tech 2.9 SMU
Iowa State 2.7 Memphis
Toledo 2.5 Appalachian St
Mississippi St 2.4 Louisville
Wake Forest 2.4 Texas A & M
LSU 1.7 Notre Dame
Missouri 1.1 Texas
Temple 1.1 Florida Int.
Alabama 1.0 Clemson
Marshall 1.0 Colorado State
Washington 0.8 Penn State
Point Spread Difference
Now let's take Spooky's Power Numbers and apply them to the current (at time of writing) pointspread coming up with a “difference”.
BOWL TEAMS POWER NUMBER VS. POINTSPREAD DIFFERENCE
Southern Miss 27.1 Florida State
South Florida 18.6 Texas Tech
Ohio State 13.3 USC
Northwestern 12.3 Kentucky
Virginia Tech 11.5 Oklahoma State
Purdue 10.2 Arizona
Fresno State 9.9 Houston
Northern Illinois 9.6 Duke
Boise State 9.2 Oregon
Mississippi St 8.4 Louisville
TCU 8.3 Stanford
Louisiana Tech 7.9 SMU
Wisconsin 7.5 Miami
Florida Atlantic 6.7 Akron
NC State 6.7 Arizona State
Marshall 6.5 Colorado State
Michigan 6.4 South Carolina
Iowa State 6.2 Memphis
Florida Int. 5.9 Temple
Appalachian St 5.5 Toledo
Troy 5.4 N Texas
Utah 5.2 West Virgina
Arkansas St 4.4 Middle Tenn
Central Michigan 4.4 Wyoming
Georgia 4.2 Oklahoma
UAB 4.0 Ohio
Washington 3.3 Penn State
Kansas State 3.1 UCLA
Notre Dame 1.3 LSU
Clemson 1.0 Alabama
Washington State 0.9 MIchigan State
Texas A & M 0.6 Wake Forest
Utah State 0.6 New Mexico State
Western Kentucky 0.5 Georgia State
Texas 0.4 Missouri
Iowa 0.2 Boston College
UCF 0.1 Auburn
Navy TBD Virginia
San Diego State TBD ARMY
On to the Individual Bowls
IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and Visit the Express for any major developments.