Southern Miss vs Tulsa 11/26/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Southern Miss winning 50% of simulations, and Tulsa 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Southern Miss commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Tulsa wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kendrick Hardy is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. G.J. Kinne is averaging 279 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TULSA -3.5

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