Southern Miss vs Rice 10/27/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Southern Miss winning 48% of simulations, and Rice 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Southern Miss commits fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Rice wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Desmond Johnson is averaging 74 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Turner Petersen is averaging 41 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is RICE +3
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