Southern Miss vs Memphis 11/24/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Southern Miss winning 50% of simulations, and Memphis 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Southern Miss commits fewer turnovers in 23% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Memphis wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Anthony Alford is averaging 53 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Brandon Hayes is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MEM -4
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