South Florida vs West Virginia 10/14/2010

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West Virginia is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over South Florida. Geno Smith is averaging 196 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Noel Devine is projected for 114 rushing yards and a 61% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where South Florida wins, B.J. Daniels averages 1.11 TD passes vs 0.99 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.52 TDs to 1.37 interceptions. Moise Plancher averages 55 rushing yards and 0.42 rushing TDs when South Florida wins and 48 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. West Virginia has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WVA -11.5

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