South Florida vs Miami (FL) 11/17/2012

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Miami (FL) is a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat South Florida. Duke Johnson is projected for 79 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where South Florida wins, Matt Floyd averages 1.42 TD passes vs 0.99 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1.23 interceptions. Demetris Murray averages 114 rushing yards and 1.46 rushing TDs when South Florida wins and 98 yards and 0.85 TDs in losses. Miami (FL) has a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA -6.5
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