South Alabama vs Louisiana-Lafayette 11/24/2012

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Louisiana-Lafayette is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over South Alabama. Terrance Broadway is averaging 292 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Alonzo Harris is projected for 81 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where South Alabama wins, Ross Metheny averages 1.69 TD passes vs 0.74 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.78 TDs to 1.15 interceptions. Demetre Baker averages 89 rushing yards and 0.88 rushing TDs when South Alabama wins and 71 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Louisiana-Lafayette has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LALAF -18
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