Snead's NHL Thread pt.2

[sneadmeister11]

Good luck PP,

adding....

fla phx

phoenix to win

strength of schedule greatly favors phx here having played pitts, calgary, minn winning 2 of 3
fla last played l.a. & atl losing both
fla trouble scoring while phx had at least 4 in 2 of last 3.

math model

fla 3 phx 4----phx 100%; over 75%
fla 3 phx 5
fla 2 phx 5
fla 2 phx 3(so)

fla 3 phx 6-----phx 100%; over 50%
fla 2 phx 3(so)
fla 0 phx 4
fla 3 phx 4(ot)

play on phoenix to win-P.O.D.

 

[aaronjacob]

So what's the final card look like?thanks and GL!!!!!!!!

 

[sneadmeister11]

So what's the final card look like?thanks and GL!!!!!!!!

so far...

play buffalo/boston under 5.5 goals
play tb/phi over 5.5 goals-P.O.D.
play on Montreal to win
play on phoenix to win-P.O.D.


still adding......

 

[sneadmeister11]

leans

ST.L
Dall
Minn/Vanc-over 5
st.L/LA under
fla/phx over

 

[finite]

Against on one. Probably with you on the other 3. Think Toronto is the right side for reasons I chose to skip. Still like your capping a lot. BOL

 

[sneadmeister11]

good luck finite,

adding.....

l.A. st.L

play st. louis to win

blues coming off a loss, while kings coming off a win
big thing here for me is blues played extremely well last time out but lost in the shootout, they be more focused here

math model

st.L 3 l.a. 0-----St.L 50%; under 75%
st.L 4 l.a. 5
st.L 1 l.a. 0(so)
st.L 1 l.a. 3

st.L 2 l.a. 3(so)----st.L 75%; over 50%
st.L 5 l.a. 2
st.L 5 l.a. 0
st.L 5 l.a. 2

play on st. louis to win


play on Fla/Phx over 5.5 goals

dall snj

snj losing G nabokov to injury, were trailing last game late and needed a late goal to tie it and won in shootout.
Dallas getting everyone healthy.

math model

dall 5 snj 4----Dall 100%; over 75%
dall 3 snj 1
dall 6 snj 1
dall 4 snj 3

dall 1 snj 5----dall 50%; under 75%
dall 3 snj 1
dall 3 snj 1
dall 2 snj 3

play on Dallas to win

 

[sneadmeister11]

and adding again....

Minn/Vanc

math model

minn 4 vanc 3-----minn 100%; over 75%
minn 5 vanc 2
minn 4 vanc 3(ot)
minn 3 vanc 2(so)

minn 2 vanc 5----vanc 100%; over 50%
minn 4 vanc 6
minn 1 vanc 4
minn 2 vanc 3

play on minn/vanc over 5 goals


nash/colr

math model

nash 0 colrdo 4-----colrdo 50%; under 75%
nash 1 colrdo 0(ot)
nash 5 colrdo 2
nash 0 colrdo 3

nash 2 colrdo 5-----colorado 100%, over 50%
nash 0 colrdo 1
nash 3 colrdo 4(so)
nash 3 colrdo 2(so)

play on Colorado to win


nyr/wash

play on ny Rangers to win

math model

nyr 4 wash 3(so)----nyr 100%; over 100%
nyr 5 wash 2
nyr 4 wash 3(so)
nyr 4 wash 3(ot)

nyr 3 wash 2-----nyr 75%; over 50%
nyr 3 wash 1
nyr 2 wash 4
nyr 6 wash 4

play ny rangers to win

 

[sneadmeister11]

Saturday's FINAL CARD:

all games OT included:

play on phoenix to win-P.O.D.
play tb/phi over 5.5 goals-P.O.D.
play buffalo/boston under 5.5 goals
play on Montreal to win
play on st. louis to win
play on Fla/Phx over 5.5 goals
play on Dallas to win
play on Colorado to win
play on ny Rangers to win
play on minn/vanc over 5 goals


:cripwalk:

 

[sneadmeister11]

chicago to win-P.O.D.
car/AtL over 5.5 goals
phx/snj over 5 goals
chi/cgy over 5.5 goals
carolina to win


record
Record 65-48-1
p.o.d. 7-3

 

[sneadmeister11]

1 for Monday

Wash/TB under 5.5 goals-P.O.D

Record 69-49-1
p.o.d. 8-3

 

[sneadmeister11]

:shootbb:arty:arty:

arty:

November 11- Birthday Pics

Phi/NYI

Play on Philly/NY Isles over 5.5

Flyers faced 2 above average goalies in A. Auld & M. Smith last 2, now they face Islander goaltending, gonna feel like Christmas for them.
Islanders can also score, goaltending for Flyers also weak.

math model

phi 4 isles 5-----phi 60%; over 60%
phi 2 isles 3(so)
phi 4 isles 3
phi 4 isles 1
phi 6 isles 4

phi 4 isles 2-----phi 50%; over 75%
phi 4 isles 5(ot)
phi 1 isles 3
phi 4 isles 3(ot)

play on philly/NYI over 5.5 goals


arty:arty:

 

[scromagnumman]

if they give me flyers team total over 2.5 goals, i'm gonna be all over it. like you said they played against 2 hot goalies and only scored 2 goals. i notice teams who go in a goal scoring mini slump usually don't stay down long. look at pitt when they went on the road trip..couldnt score. than lit up st louis for 6. look at the caps. scored little ..tonight they got 4. even edmonton had problems putting the biscuit in the net until they hit philly up for 5.
the last game between these 2 teams was 3 to 2 o t. you notice that they play a low scoring game..than come back with a high score. not always mind you. am wondering if they throw each team 2.5 or give philly the 3. i just hope the early start doesn't catch them sleeping.

any thoughts on the pitt/detriot game?? always love wings team totals. wonder if they play a low scoring affair??

 

[ainokea23]

Im with you on that was gonna make that my only play for tomorrow. Lets hope we make some cake tomorrow.

 

[ainokea23]

Hey snead been watching you for a while and your a pretty good capper. Ive found it to be a profit just playing on totals for nhl and also nba. But yeah might come to you for some reviews on some games.

 

[sneadmeister11]

any thoughts on the pitt/detriot game?? always love wings team totals. wonder if they play a low scoring affair??

I was all ready to jump on the over, but my gut tells me this Detroit/Pitts game will be low-scoring so i'm staying away from it. Good luck tommorow.

 

[sneadmeister11]

Hey snead been watching you for a while and your a pretty good capper. Ive found it to be a profit just playing on totals for nhl and also nba. But yeah might come to you for some reviews on some games.

Cool bud,

my thoughts on the wash/tb game i thought mike smith would start in net instead of kolzig so i played the under, i thought no way does kolzig get the start after smith looks extremely good. Kolzig gets the start games goes over with seconds to play. Washington is getting scoring from Semin, and couple other secondary player like Laich and M. Green, Tampa relies too heavily on one player Lecavalier, plus wash was 5-0-1 at home already this year.

 

[galante118]

happy birthday, hope we hit tonight:toast:

 

[sneadmeister11]

happy birthday, hope we hit tonight

Thanks Galante

 

[galante118]

anytime ever since the night you went 7-1 your my favorite person around lolololol:cripwalk:

 

[sneadmeister11]

anytime ever since the night you went 7-1 your my favorite person around

cool. I still highly stress capping the games yourself and forming your own opinions, and use money management.

#1 rule this year for me maximize your winnings and minimize your losses.


tor cgy

play on Toronto to win
play on Tor/Cgy over 5.5 goals


my thinking here is that Toronto will have to score 6 goals here to cover the over, after Cgy scoring 1 goal in each of last 2 games. alas, i think based on Toronto's style of play cgy good for at least 3 and Toronto good for 4++.
Cgy players hit by flu-bug plus this is their 4th game in 6 nights.
maybe a small letdown for Toronto after huge win over Mtl, but they're all playing too well right now to bet against. Antropov, Hagman, Grabovski, Kulemin, and extremely good defense of D. Moore.
Toronto's last 5 games all have gone over, even that one time it looked like it would go under there was a big 3rd period scoring barrage with Boston.

math model

Tor 5 Cgy 4----Tor 75%; over 100%
Tor 5 Cgy 3
Tor 3 Cgy 5
Tor 6 Cgy 3

Tor 2 Cgy 3----Cgy 75%; under 75%
Tor 0 Cgy 1
Tor 3 Cgy 6
Tor 3 Cgy 2(so)


Play on Toronto to win
Play on Toronto/Cgy over 5.5 goals

Good luck.