Smarty Jones to LOSE the triple crown (proposition)
+235 on the greek.com 6/5 11:20AM
1 unit
Smarty Jones is a heavy favorite (-285) to win the trip crown this evening. He has won 8 consecutive races, has blown out all expectations, & is the public’s super-heavy favorite –285 to win. The write-ups on this horse make him out to be a blow-out lock. A sure bet. He sure sounds that way.
But there are lots of opportunities for Smarty Jones to lose. He can slip out of the gate; he could get injured; rainy conditions; a strong showing by another horse; the Fix. Lots of mafia money will be on the wrong side of Smarty Jones. You think they’re gonna stand for a big loss? This wager could be decided in a flash. It’s a tremendous value with a ton a possibilities to go your way. High octane pick.
Another thing…why is a Smarty win only –285 & not –500 or –900 if he’s such a lock? Another contender, Purge, has practiced at Belmont for a month while Smarty just pulled into town Wednesday. Arrogant horse.
Voodoo reason Smarty’s goin’ down: He’s from Philly. Philly is the city where all sports teams are good enough to play a championship game, but not good enough to be champions. The Philly fan is intimate with the bitter agony of being pumped up for victory, only to be dealt a cruel death blow at the moment of truth. Smarty’s made the playoffs, lubed up the Philly fan for victory. Will he bring glory to Philly or just more crashing dreams?
The downside risk here is whether the horse lives up to the press. He’s never, ever lost a race in the history of the universe. There is no clear alternate horse the media is giving a chance. Smarty Jones is, apparently, a super-horse. So I’m probably betting into a tidal wave of history. This is the contrarian’s burden.
-Max Fart, the flatulent dog
0-0 on picks super-newbie status
+235 on the greek.com 6/5 11:20AM
1 unit
Smarty Jones is a heavy favorite (-285) to win the trip crown this evening. He has won 8 consecutive races, has blown out all expectations, & is the public’s super-heavy favorite –285 to win. The write-ups on this horse make him out to be a blow-out lock. A sure bet. He sure sounds that way.
But there are lots of opportunities for Smarty Jones to lose. He can slip out of the gate; he could get injured; rainy conditions; a strong showing by another horse; the Fix. Lots of mafia money will be on the wrong side of Smarty Jones. You think they’re gonna stand for a big loss? This wager could be decided in a flash. It’s a tremendous value with a ton a possibilities to go your way. High octane pick.
Another thing…why is a Smarty win only –285 & not –500 or –900 if he’s such a lock? Another contender, Purge, has practiced at Belmont for a month while Smarty just pulled into town Wednesday. Arrogant horse.
Voodoo reason Smarty’s goin’ down: He’s from Philly. Philly is the city where all sports teams are good enough to play a championship game, but not good enough to be champions. The Philly fan is intimate with the bitter agony of being pumped up for victory, only to be dealt a cruel death blow at the moment of truth. Smarty’s made the playoffs, lubed up the Philly fan for victory. Will he bring glory to Philly or just more crashing dreams?
The downside risk here is whether the horse lives up to the press. He’s never, ever lost a race in the history of the universe. There is no clear alternate horse the media is giving a chance. Smarty Jones is, apparently, a super-horse. So I’m probably betting into a tidal wave of history. This is the contrarian’s burden.
-Max Fart, the flatulent dog
0-0 on picks super-newbie status
