I like the Under 105 in the SJ @ TB game.
TB's defense has risen to #1 in total D and #2 in passing D. They stuffed Ga last week allowing only 24 pts and held excellent NY QB Garcia to <50% completions and only 40 pts a few weeks ago. They gave up 54 pts to Carol, but Carol scored 3 tds on special teams.
Meanwhile, TB QB-Stafford was only 14-30 in his return to starting QB for only 3 tds. SJ has shown some weak vs. the pass lately, but that was vs. 3 of the best QBs in the game (LA's Grazianni, LV's-Dolezel, and NY's Garcia). I think they'll control Stafford reasonably well.
I'm projecting a ~49-45 win for SJ and that is well under the 105 total. Of course, TB TOs or allowing spec team tds could ruin this, but SJ just doesn't make many mistakes on offense with Grieb at QB.
TB's defense has risen to #1 in total D and #2 in passing D. They stuffed Ga last week allowing only 24 pts and held excellent NY QB Garcia to <50% completions and only 40 pts a few weeks ago. They gave up 54 pts to Carol, but Carol scored 3 tds on special teams.
Meanwhile, TB QB-Stafford was only 14-30 in his return to starting QB for only 3 tds. SJ has shown some weak vs. the pass lately, but that was vs. 3 of the best QBs in the game (LA's Grazianni, LV's-Dolezel, and NY's Garcia). I think they'll control Stafford reasonably well.
I'm projecting a ~49-45 win for SJ and that is well under the 105 total. Of course, TB TOs or allowing spec team tds could ruin this, but SJ just doesn't make many mistakes on offense with Grieb at QB.
