Should we jump on now? Chase LAL, BOS?

[jdub6810]

I watch you posting loss after loss, but your record is 35-2 :think2:

you can't do a chase system without doubling each consecutive wager. Some of your series wins are really losses because you don't double each wager after a loss. after 2 losses, your 3rd win makes zero net units. after 3 consecutive losses you are permanently losing units on the series, not winning out the series with a unit win. Every series you have won out in the 4th - 6th games are losers, not winners.

I welcome you to clarify exactly how you are calculating your numbers if you think i am wrong.

:howdy:

 

[yanni_gogolak]

I watch you posting loss after loss, but your record is 35-2 :think2:

you can't do a chase system without doubling each consecutive wager. Some of your series wins are really losses because you don't double each wager after a loss. after 2 losses, your 3rd win makes zero net units. after 3 consecutive losses you are permanently losing units on the series, not winning out the series with a unit win. Every series you have won out in the 4th - 6th games are losers, not winners.

I welcome you to clarify exactly how you are calculating your numbers if you think i am wrong.

:howdy:

where do u see that i dont double my wagers? please feel free to read the entire thread before you make comments like that.

 

[jdub6810]

if you dont understand a chase system you shouldnt play it b/c it can lose you a lot of money.
basically all you do for NBA is pick a team that you think will finish above 55% or so ats, 60% is what you shoot for.
then just play the spread on that night. if it loses you double what you bet the first game. i chose a 6 game chase, so your betting would go like this
1. 1 unit
2. 2 units
3. 4 units
4. 8 units
5. 16 units
6. 32 units

or what i did was:
1. 1 unit
2. 2 units
3. 3 units
4. 4 units
5. 5 units
6. 6 units

i chose this way b/c i am not playing with a big bankroll. the downside of this is by the 6th game you are betting 6 units to win 1 unit, loss hurts a lot more than gain.

the teams i chose to track were BOS, LAL, HOU, and ATL b/c i thought that they would finish well ats. i stopped ATL with their chase loss

I saw you calculate your wins at .9 units to count in vig on a 1 unit loss. so 35 wins * .9 = 31.5 units won.

at 35-2, you are up 31.5 units, but down (6+5+4+3+2+1) units twice, or 42 units. That does not count losses on all series you won on the 4th game or later. so you are down more than 10 units, not up 17 units.

just saying if your gonna track a chase, do it right. or use real money & see what happens.