I really want to make a wager on Oklahoma. I'll do so only if I'm up entering the game =]
Most people really don't realize how much of a coin flip that game is and I'm getting points? That's what I call value.
OKL offensive line is very comparable to Alabama's and Bradford to Wilson is like Brady to J.P. Losman. Obviously my problem is OKL defense matching up against a very fast yet physical offense.
That's my in depth write up of this here game.
Most people really don't realize how much of a coin flip that game is and I'm getting points? That's what I call value.
OKL offensive line is very comparable to Alabama's and Bradford to Wilson is like Brady to J.P. Losman. Obviously my problem is OKL defense matching up against a very fast yet physical offense.
That's my in depth write up of this here game.
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yeah my ex-girlfriend works at the dominoes by my house. I get free pizza whenever I want. Its a product of being a good lover :cripwalk:
I don't count 2nd half bets boys (I mention that weeks ago) just letting you know once I update my record.
AZ @ BYU (1.3*) and BAL @ DAL (*7)
Have money to make so I see you guys tomorrow. Expect middles, scalps, and buy backs the rest of the way. This is my first year wagering on this sport and I'm still merely testing the waters. The NFL is truly my bread and butter even though I'm up more on this sport. Next year I'm going to fine tune things and I expect even greater results.
:drink:
Some middles, downgrades, advice, and shitty grammar
There is good reason why I'm starting to buy back, scalp, and attempting to hit middles (still can't believe the Navy game). This is not a lack of confidence or superstiton by my part as many of my friends intially concluded. I simply believe you should not wager bowl games like regular season games. This is my first full year wagering on this sport and I'm really just learning as I go. Did the same thing in the NFL by teasing it the past few years until I truly got a good handle of things. This is one of the reasons I've stated in the first few weeks that I wouldn't tail me if I was you. I think if you look at the first few weeks I my wagers would not exceed $100 and there was good reason for that. As the season progressed I started to get a better feel for teams hence my unit increases. Now I'm realizing (only after one day thankfully) that I should really play these bowl games lighter than the regular season. I don't want to sound redundant so I'll just give you one example of what I'm talking about. I was speaking to Pags earlier and we were talking about how Fresno had some guy starting on D who had never really seen much playing time. With the exception of the OKL vs UF game guys these bowls are treated by most coaches as a game to get players in who don't see much playing time, give some kids experience for next year, and test out new wrinkles. Bottom line I can't invest a good chunk of my hard earned money on non-conference exhibition games unless I find something truly compelling. Having said all that there is no doubt in my mind that I'm still able to outwit the books with there soft opening lines and find angles in which I think my side will win more times than it doesn't. I haven't won 175 times this season on luck alone :missingte.
Yesterdays games went almost as I expected them to. Arizona as you can see from my write up had the faster, better pass defense and that should give them the upper hand with two very comparable aerial games. If you look at the stats I think that should give my logic some credence.
In the Navy game I simply just got screwed by a long touchdown run when time was about to elapse. Note that I stated in my write up that I expected Dobbs to be the QB in this game. Had Kent started Dobbs there is no doubt in my mind Navy covers this game 65% of the time. Kipo simply can't pass and the decision to not install Dobbs in the game with 3 minutes to go simply made my pencil write in my notepad to start looking to fade Navy next year with Paul Johnson now 2 years removed from this program. Don't get me wrong I like Dobbs and I'll still back this team in good spots against vulnerable defenses but just don't expect me to play Navy often.
Bottom line I was very unlucky not to go 2-0. Had this been the regular season I probably would have.
No play in todays sh!t game
There is good reason why I'm starting to buy back, scalp, and attempting to hit middles (still can't believe the Navy game). This is not a lack of confidence or superstiton by my part as many of my friends intially concluded. I simply believe you should not wager bowl games like regular season games. This is my first full year wagering on this sport and I'm really just learning as I go. Did the same thing in the NFL by teasing it the past few years until I truly got a good handle of things. This is one of the reasons I've stated in the first few weeks that I wouldn't tail me if I was you. I think if you look at the first few weeks I my wagers would not exceed $100 and there was good reason for that. As the season progressed I started to get a better feel for teams hence my unit increases. Now I'm realizing (only after one day thankfully) that I should really play these bowl games lighter than the regular season. I don't want to sound redundant so I'll just give you one example of what I'm talking about. I was speaking to Pags earlier and we were talking about how Fresno had some guy starting on D who had never really seen much playing time. With the exception of the OKL vs UF game guys these bowls are treated by most coaches as a game to get players in who don't see much playing time, give some kids experience for next year, and test out new wrinkles. Bottom line I can't invest a good chunk of my hard earned money on non-conference exhibition games unless I find something truly compelling. Having said all that there is no doubt in my mind that I'm still able to outwit the books with there soft opening lines and find angles in which I think my side will win more times than it doesn't. I haven't won 175 times this season on luck alone :missingte.
Yesterdays games went almost as I expected them to. Arizona as you can see from my write up had the faster, better pass defense and that should give them the upper hand with two very comparable aerial games. If you look at the stats I think that should give my logic some credence.
In the Navy game I simply just got screwed by a long touchdown run when time was about to elapse. Note that I stated in my write up that I expected Dobbs to be the QB in this game. Had Kent started Dobbs there is no doubt in my mind Navy covers this game 65% of the time. Kipo simply can't pass and the decision to not install Dobbs in the game with 3 minutes to go simply made my pencil write in my notepad to start looking to fade Navy next year with Paul Johnson now 2 years removed from this program. Don't get me wrong I like Dobbs and I'll still back this team in good spots against vulnerable defenses but just don't expect me to play Navy often.
Bottom line I was very unlucky not to go 2-0. Had this been the regular season I probably would have.
No play in todays sh!t game
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