Service Plays Wednesday 7/9/14

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Argentina, Netherlands clash on Wednesday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox


2014 WORLD CUP SOCCER

NETHERLANDS vs. ARGENTINA

Kickoff: Wednesday, 4:00 p.m. EDT
Arena Corinthians – Sao Paulo, Brazil

Line:
Argentina +140, Netherlands +207, Tie after Regulation +225
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +170, Under -192)

Argentina hopes to celebrate its nation's Independence Day on Wednesday when it meets the Netherlands in the semifinals of the 2014 World Cup.

Neither team has had an easy path to the semifinals, as the Dutch trailed Mexico by a 1-0 score 87 minutes into their Round of 16 match before scoring twice in a seven-minute span to win 2-1. The game-winner came on a disputed penalty kick. Then in the quarterfinals, the Netherlands needed a penalty-kick shootout to decide a scoreless match with heavy underdog Costa Rica. Backup goalkeeper Tim Krul, a last-minute substitution for the shorter Jasper Cillessen, saved two shots to lead the Netherlands to victory. The Maracana has won all five of its matches in this tournament, with all five victories coming by a one-goal margin. In the Round of 16 contest, Argentina failed to score until the 118th minute in a 1-0 win over Switzerland, but got on the board in the 8th minute in the quarterfinals and barely held on for a 1-0 win over Belgium. That sent the Maracana into the semifinal round for the first time since 1990 to meet a Dutch club that will be playing in its third semifinal in the past five World Cups, a run that includes a runner-up showing in 2010 when it fell 1-0 to Spain. While Argentina is likely to see the return of forward Sergio Aguero, who missed the quarterfinal match because of a thigh injury, the team will be without starting midfielder Angel di Maria, who suffered a thigh injury of his own in the win over Belgium. The Netherlands will once again be missing defensive-minded midfielder Nigel de Jong, who suffered a groin injury versus Mexico. His likely replacement, Leroy Fer, is also hurting with an injured hamstring is considered questionable for Wednesday. This is a rematch of the 1978 final when Argentina beat the Netherlands 3-1 in extra time. However, the Dutch returned the favor by beating the Maracana in the 1988 World Cup quarterfinals.

The Netherlands had scored multiple goals in each of their first four World Cup matches, outscoring their opponents by a wide 12-4 margin, but were unable to score against Costa Rica despite 20 total shots, with 15 of those going on goal. The Dutch allowed only six total shots (three on goal) to the Ticos, and held sizable advantages in possession (64% to 36%) and corner kicks (11-1). But the Netherlands played sloppy in the quarterfinal win, committing 15 fouls and picking up two potential costly yellow cards (defender Bruno Martins and forward Klaas-Jan Huntelaar), while being whistled for 13 offsides. Plenty of Dutch players have tallied in the goal-scoring column in this tournament so far, a list that includes the club's top player, forward Arjen Robben (three goals), forward Robin van Persie (three goals) and forward Memphis Depay (two goals).

Superstar Lionel Messi has arguably been the best player in the World Cup, and has carried Argentina with four of his team's seven goals, and he also set up teammate Angel di Maria's one-timer with a perfect pass at the 118th minute to escape past Switzerland in the Round of 16. Messi has made 180 passes in the tournament despite constant double and triple teaming from opponents. The other three World Cup tallies for the Maracana came on a fortunate own goal by Bosnia-Herzegovina, Marcos Rojo's game-winner versus Nigeria and Gonzalo Higuain's volley in the 8th minute for the lone goal of the quarterfinal victory. Although Argentina has not dominated in this tournament as many experts expected they would versus a perceived weak schedule, they have won possession in all five matches with 55% against Bosnia-Herzegovina, a whopping 70% versus Iran, 57% against Nigeria, 61% versus the Swiss and a slight 51% advantage against Belgium. The Maracana have also fired 39 shots in the knockout stage with 29 going on goal (74%), giving them 57 total shots with 42 on net (74%) in the past three matches combined. After generating only two corner-kick chances in their World Cup opener, they have produced 38 corner kicks over the past four contests, totaling 16 in the two knockout-stage wins. The Maracana played a very clean tournament in group play with only 24 total fouls and one yellow card (Rojo). However, in the knockout stage, they have been whistled for 30 fouls, including four yellow cards (Rojo, di Maria, midfielder Lucas Biglia and defender Ezequiel Garay). Rojo was not allowed to play in the quarterfinals because of his two yellow cards, but he will be back to help his team on Wednesday.
 
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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Yankees at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
NYY: McCarthy (3-10, 5.01 ERA w/ARZ)
CLE: Tomlin (5-6, 4.11 ERA)

Series recap: These two teams have split the first two games as the Indians knocked off the Yankees as +135 home underdogs on Tuesday, 5-3. New York won by that exact score on Monday as a ‘dog, as the Yankees are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with Cleveland since 2012.

What to watch for: McCarthy makes his Yankees’ debut after getting traded from the Diamondbacks, as the righty is coming off consecutive road victories at Pittsburgh and San Diego. In spite of last night’s loss, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven road contests, while posting the ‘over’ in seven of the past 10 away games. The Indians own a 5-1 record in their last six Game 3’s of a home series, while winning five of their past six home contests against AL East opponents.

Nationals at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
WSH: Fister (7-2, 2.93 ERA)
BAL: Norris (7-5, 3.62 ERA)

Series recap: Following Monday’s 8-2 victory in extra-innings by the Orioles at Nationals Park, bad weather postponed Tuesday’s contest until August. The Orioles have won six of the last seven meetings with their Beltway rival, as Baltimore cashed tickets of +175 with six runs in the 11th inning on Monday.

What to watch for: Norris makes his first start since June 21, as Baltimore has won each of the last four starts made by the righty prior to a stint on the disabled list. The Nationals have stumbled to a 4-7 record the last 11 road games since winning three straight at San Francisco in early June. Washington has compiled an 8-2 record in Fister’s past 10 starts, but both defeats came on the highway.

Royals at Rays – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
KC: Ventura (6-7, 3.07 ERA)
TB: Cobb (4-6, 4.28 ERA)

Series recap: Kansas City cruised past Tampa Bay on Monday, 6-0, but the Rays rebounded with a 4-3 home triumph on Tuesday. Tampa Bay is riding an 11-3 stretch the past 14 games, as the Rays look to improve on a 3-8 record in the last 11 matchups with the Royals.

What to watch for: The Royals have won three of Ventura’s four starts as an underdog this season, but the lone defeat came at home to Tampa Bay back in April in a 1-0 setback. Cobb has struggled at Tropicana Field, as the Rays have posted a 1-5 record in his six home starts, while the righty is facing the Royals for the first time since suffering a head injury on a line-drive last June that sidelined him for two months.

Pirates at Cardinals – 8:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Cumpton (3-2, 4.61 ERA)
STL: Lynn (9-6, 3.17 ERA)

Series recap: The Cardinals finished off a pair of victories over their division rivals with walk-off homers on consecutive nights. St. Louis topped Pittsburgh on Monday, 2-0 with a two-run homer, while receiving a solo shot from Kolten Wong in last night’s 5-4 triumph as -110 favorites. Pittsburgh suffered back-to-back road losses for the first time since late May against the Mets, while falling to 12-5 in the last 17 games overall.

What to watch for: St. Louis has cashed the ‘under’ in seven of Lynn’s previous nine starts, including five of the last six outings at Busch Stadium. The Pirates have dropped four of five visits to St. Louis this season, but Pittsburgh owns a 4-1 record in Cumpton’s five starts since the beginning of June.

Athletics at Giants – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
OAK: Hammel (8-5, 2.98 ERA w/CHC)
SF: Cain (1-7, 4.27 ERA)

Series recap: The A’s have cruised past the Giants in each of the first two contests of this four-game set. Oakland limited San Francisco to just one run in the two victories, while winning last night, 5-1 as -155 home favorites. The Bay Bridge Series has been owned by the A’s of late, as Oakland is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with San Francisco.

What to watch for: Hammel makes his Oakland debut after getting acquired from the Cubs this past weekend, as the righty was 5-2 in seven home starts with Chicago. It’s been a tough season for Cain, as San Francisco is 0-5 in his past five outings in spite of allowing just two earned runs in his last two trips to the mound. The home-cooking has dried up for the Giants, who have put together a dreadful 3-14 record in the past 17 games at AT&T Park, while scoring two runs or less in seven of the last 10 home contests.
 
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MLB

'Rubber Match'

The closing matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as Colorado takes on San Diego at Coors Field. Colorado on a 4-18 skid thanks in large part to a pitching staff that has given up a whopping 6.31 runs/game have Jair Jurrjens taking the ball. That hardly bodes well for Rockies, in his first start for Colorado Jurrjens was hit for eight runs in 4 2/3 innings. On the other mound, San Diego will count on Eric Stults carrying a 3-11 record, 4.96 ERA to the mound. Despite having the most losses in the Majors and a dreadful 0-7 record with a 5.44 ERA in road stadiums (2-7 TSR) they're is hope for Friars. The left-hander has shown positive signs the past three outings recording a 1.86 ERA which includes tossing seven shutout innings in a victory last outing. Stults owning a career 8-1 TSR vs Colorado including 4-1 with Padres, Rockies on a 2-7 skid vs the NL West, 1-7 slide vs a left-handed starter the nod is towards Padres.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Houston at Texas[/h] The Astros look to follow up last night's 8-3 in over the Rangers as they face a Texas team that is 2-12 in its last 14 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Houston is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
WEDNESDAY, JULY 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: San Diego at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 12.138; Colorado (Jurrjens) 14.589
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over
Game 903-904: Miami at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 14.677; Arizona (Collmenter) 13.182
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110); Under
Game 905-906: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 14.715; NY Mets (Gee) 15.882
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under
Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Beeler) 15.527; Cincinnati (Simon) 17.190
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-180); Over
Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.167; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.077
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170); Under
Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 13.677; St. Louis (Lynn) 16.140
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Over
Game 913-914: Toronto at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stroman) 16.303; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.484
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under
Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (McCarthy) 15.855; Cleveland (Tomlin) 17.485
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over
Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.942; Boston (De La Rosa) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Over
Game 919-920: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 14.855; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 13.885
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under
Game 921-922: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 16.388; Texas (Darvish) 15.366
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under
Game 923-924: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 15.778; Seattle (Elias) 17.178
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-150); Over
Game 925-926: LA Dodgers at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.549; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.448
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+115); Under
Game 927-928: Washington at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 13.286; Baltimore (Chen) 14.650
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Over
Game 929-930: Oakland at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Hammel) 15.138; San Francisco (Cain) 13.772
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over
 
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[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Seattle at Phoenix[/h] The Storm head to Phoenix tonight to face a Mercury team that is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.
WEDNESDAY, JULY 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Washington at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.260; Chicago 114.231
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 153
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2); Over
Game 603-604: Seattle at Phoenix (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 103.974; Phoenix 119.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 16; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10; 151
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10); Under
Game 605-606: New York at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.220; San Antonio 113.245
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 155
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Over
 
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Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday, July 9, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

It’s getaway day for a few MLB teams on Wednesday, meaning bettors get four matinee games to wager on, always a nice thing. Perhaps a baseball/Argentina-Netherlands parlay? Two of the four afternoon games are potential playoff matchups: Dodgers at Tigers ( +900 on Sportsbook.ag to be the World Series matchup) and Blue Jays at Angels, although both of those clubs may have to go the wild-card route and face off in that one-game playoff. Here’s a look at those two games and three others Wednesday.

Dodgers-Tigers (-130, 7.5)

It’s a matchup of former Cy Young winners as Los Angeles’ Zack Greinke (Royals, 2009) faces Detroit’s Max Scherzer (Tigers, 2013). It’s not out of the question that both win another Cy Young this year. Greinke (11-4, 2.66) leads the Dodgers in wins, starts, innings and strikeouts, although I don’t think you will find anyone who thinks he’s better than teammate Clayton Kershaw. Greinke has allowed just one earned run in his past two starts, both Dodgers wins. He is 5-3 with a 2.59 ERA on the road. Victor Martinez is a career .304 hitter off him with a homer and eight RBIs. Miguel Cabrera is 10-for-35 with a homer but 11 strikeouts. Torii Hunter is 9-for-33 with three home runs. Scherzer (10-3, 3.47) has allowed a total of four earned runs over his past three starts, all wins for Detroit. He pitched at Dodger Stadium on April 8 and allowed two runs over seven innings in a no-decision. Here’s guessing Matt Kemp gets the day off. He’s 0-for-18 career off Scherzer.

Key trends: L.A. is 1-4 in Greinke’s past five road starts. The Tigers are 1-4 in Scherzer’s past five against teams with a winning record.

Early lean: Why is this total not at 6.5? Two great pitchers plus an early start after a night game. Go big on “under” at -105.



Blue Jays at Angels (-162, 8)

Found this interesting stat that really has nothing to do with Wednesday’s game but that I still wanted to share: The Angels on Monday became the only expansion team in the modern era to have an all-time record currently of at least .500. The Halos started play in 1961 and they are 4,272-4,272 entering Tuesday. They weren’t the first expansion club to get to .500 as Arizona got to 652-644, but the Snakes have since slipped well back under. The Angels have the second-best record in baseball this year since May 7, and I’m still not sold the A’s will hold them off in the AL West because L.A. will make a move too. Struggling lefty C.J. Wilson (8-6, 4.23) gets the call for the Angels. He has been roughed up for 16 runs over 13 innings in his past three starts, although L.A. has won two of them. He lost in Toronto on May 12, allowing five runs in six innings. Rookie Marcus Stroman starts for Toronto. Stroman (4-2, 3.44) had the best outing of his young career July 4, shutting out Oakland for seven innings. He pitched 1.2 innings of relief May 11 against the Angels and allowed six hits and four runs.

Key trends: The Jays are 0-7 in their past seven against lefty starters. The Angels are 1-6 in Wilson’s past seven against teams with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Toronto’s past four against lefties. The over is 5-0 in Wilson’s past five against Toronto.

Early lean: The Jays are just bad right now. However, Stroman is pretty good. I’d go Jays at -155 on the runline.



Yankees at Indians (-112, 8.5)

I can’t imagine the Yankees are done dealing because acquiring Brandon McCarthy from Arizona hardly solves New York’s rotation problems, although he should be an upgrade over Vidal Nuno, who was shipped to the Snakes. McCarthy (3-10, 5.01) makes his Yankee debut in this one, and it’s generally accepted pitching in the AL is tougher than the NL so I wouldn’t expect much from him looking at those numbers. He did pitch well his final two Arizona starts, however, winning both. Nick Swisher is 4-for-11 with two homers and five RBIs career off McCarthy. The Tribe lost outfielder Michael Bourn to the DL on Monday. Josh Tomlin (5-6, 4.11) starts for Cleveland. He has sandwiched a complete-game one-hitter with three starts allowing five earned runs in each. Derek Jeter is just a .182 career hitter off Tomlin.

Key trends: The Indians are 1-5 in Tomlin’s past six home starts against teams with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in Tomlin’s past five at home.

Early lean: I don’t trust either pitcher, so go over at -105.



A’s at Giants (-103, 7)

It’s the Oakland debut of Jason Hammel, the “other” piece in that Jeff Samardzija trade, but Hammel had been just as good as Shark this season. Hammel (8-5, 2.98) has been consistent of late, allowing exactly two earned runs over his past three starts. At least he gets to break in against a National League team. He hasn’t faced the Giants this year. Michael Morse is 3-for-8 with a homer off him. Matt Cain (1-7 4.27) starts for the Giants. He might have turned a corner, allowing just a combined two runs over his past two starts, although the Giants have still lost the past five times he has taken the mound. No Oakland player has faced him too much. Brandon Moss is 2-for-12 with a homer and four strikeouts.

Key trends: The Giants are 1-6 in Cain’s past seven at home against teams with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in his past four against Oakland. The Giants are 2-7 in Cain’s past nine against the A’s.

Early lean: I’m guessing the Giants won’t be a home dog by first pitch. Take them now while they are.



White Sox at Red Sox (+110, 8)

In my mind, the biggest all-star snub by far in either league is that White Sox lefty Chris Sale didn’t get a spot. He’s 8-1 with a 2.16 ERA that would be second in the AL if he had enough innings to qualify (Sale missed around a month on the DL). He will be qualified after pitching Wednesday. Sale is one the five AL guys on the Final Vote chosen by fans. That closes Thursday afternoon. Sale threw a complete game last time out, allowing a run to Seattle while striking out 12. Sale faced the Red Sox April 17 and held them to one hit, a solo homer by Xander Bogaerts, over seven innings while striking out 10. The Red Sox will call up Rubby De La Rosa for this start as Saturday’s doubleheader messed up their rotation a bit. De La Rosa had a 2.51 ERA in five starts for the Red Sox earlier this year. He has never faced a White Sox hitter.

Key trends: The White Sox are 2-5 in Sale’s past seven against teams with a losing record. Boston is 1-8 in its past nine against lefties. The under is 4-0 in Sale’s past four against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Love the under here at -115.
 
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Who’s Hot – AL Edition
By Mike Rose

The All-Star Game is just around the corner, and there are some teams which are clearly All-Star teams for MLB betting fans in our eyes.

Check out the clubs who have been increasing your bankrolls all year long in the American League.

Oakland Athletics (55-33, +$1,353) – The A’s probably had one of the best teams in baseball before they made the blockbuster move of the trading season, but now that they have RHP Jason Hammel and RHP Jeff Samardzija, they certainly have an elite team which can win the AL West and make a serious play at the World Series. Samardzija was a winner in his first start with his new team to get the club up to 28-15 at home and 22-games above .500 for the season, and he is going to really look for a big time turnaround with his won/loss record after pitching so well and getting so little help with the Chicago Cubs.

Remember too, that this is the only team in baseball averaging five runs per game to boot. For a team which plays in a ballpark that is considered one of the most pitching-friendly in the game, posting 92 home runs, seventh best in the league, is no mistake. These A’s are for real.

Baltimore Orioles (48-40, +$1,033) – We still have a hard time imagining that the Orioles have the best team in the AL East right now. They just took four straight from the Texas Rangers and two out of three at Fenway Park from the Boston Red Sox, and that has propelled them to one of the best money marks in the game.

However, it’s interesting to note that all of Baltimore’s damage has come away from Camden Yards this year. The O’s have the best road mark for bettors in the American League with a 25-19 record. It’s playing on the road that has consistently gotten the Orioles in trouble in the rough and tumble AL East over the course of the last few seasons, but with more than half of this season gone, that doesn’t seem to be an issue any longer.

The question? Does Baltimore really have the goods to go after one of the big time pitchers who could be on the trading block in the next few weeks? That could make all the difference in the world to a team with a real lack of quality at the front of the rotation.

Los Angeles Angels (51-36, +$949) – The A’s had to be looking in their rearview mirrors when they pulled the trigger on the Samardzija deal, as they know that the Halos are just 3.5-games back as we near the All-Star Break.

Whereas Baltimore has been doing it on the road, the Halos have been doing it at home. They are 30-14 at the Big A this year, and what’s amazing is the fact that three of those games have been lost because of blown saves. The Angels are quietly remaking their shoddy bullpen, and the move to bring in RHP Jason Grilli might end up being one of the most unheralded, yet important trades of the season. We know that LA can hit the ball. We just don’t know if it can close out games when it is ahead. If not for this pen, the Angels would have the best team in baseball.
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Hondo

Hondo took a beating Tuesday night in Cleveland, where the Tribe rocked Tanaka to send the deficit soaring to 1,435 kneppers.
Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will do launch with the Astros — 10 units on Keuchel to win his duel with Darvish.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#913 TORONTO @ #914 LA ANGELS - 3:35 PM
•Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (4-2, 3.44 ERA, WHIP: 1.167) - Stroman has pitched superbly in his last three starts, permitting a total of three runs over 21 2/3 innings, but has only one win to show for it. Stroman did not factor in the decision in a 1-0 loss at Oakland on Friday despite striking out a career-high seven in seven scoreless innings of three-hit ball. He was rocked by the Angels in a relief appearance May 11, giving up four runs on six hits in 1 2/3 innings.

•Angels LH C.J. Wilson (8-6, 4.23 ERA, WHIP: 1.278) - Wilson is coming off three consecutive ugly starts but, like Stroman, is 1-0 in that span despite getting tattooed for 16 runs over 13 innings. He served up three homers and was battered for six runs over 4 1/3 innings against Houston in his last turn and lasted only 3 2/3 frames in his previous outing, giving up four runs and walking four. Wilson fell to 3-4 lifetime against Toronto after allowing five runs in six innings May 12.

--KEY STAT: WILSON is 19-6 OVER (+12.9 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 5.8, OPPONENT 4.9.

--WILSON is 23-6 OVER (+16.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 6.1, OPPONENT 5.2.

#915 NY YANKEES @ #916 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Yankees RH Brandon McCarthy (3-10, 5.01 ERA, WHIP: 1.377) - McCarthy is making his New York debut after being acquired from the Arizona Diamondbacks for Vidal Nuno last week. The 31-year-old won his last two starts for Arizona, allowing a combined three runs over 12 2/3 innings. McCarthy is 6-4 with a 4.38 ERA in 17 career appearances (nine starts) against Cleveland.

--KEY STAT: MCCARTHY is 4-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 2.7, OPPONENT 5.0.

--MCCARTHY is 2-12 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.4, OPPONENT 5.4.

--MCCARTHY is 11-21 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.8, OPPONENT 5.1.

--MCCARTHY is 13-27 against the run line (-20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.5, OPPONENT 5.0.

•Indians RH Josh Tomlin (5-6, 4.11 ERA, WHIP: 1.157) - Tomlin has lost four of his last five starts, with the victory being a one-hit shutout against Seattle. The outing versus the Mariners is the exception during the stretch as he allowed eight or more hits in each of the other four turns, including 10 (and five runs) in 5 2/3 frames against Kansas City on Friday. Tomlin is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA in four career starts versus New York.

--KEY STAT: TOMLIN is 0-7 against the run line (-9.5 Units) after a game where he did not walk a batter over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TOMLIN 1.9, OPPONENT 6.7.

#917 CHI WHITE SOX @ #918 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•White Sox LH Chris Sale (8-1, 2.16 ERA, WHIP: 0.870) - Left-handed batters are hitting .121 in 2014 against Sale, who pitched a six-hitter while striking out a season-high 12 in a 7-1 victory over Seattle on Friday. "I knew I was probably going to throw a few sliders (Friday) more than normal, but that's about it," Sale told reporters after realizing the Mariners' lineup featured six lefties. Sale, who has 96 strikeouts in 87 1/3 innings this season, received a no-decision after allowing one run and fanning 10 in Chicago's 3-1 loss to Boston on April 17.

--KEY STAT: SALE is 9-22 against the run line (-16.9 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 3.3, OPPONENT 3.7.

--SALE is 9-22 against the run line (-16.2 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 3.2, OPPONENT 3.7.

--SALE is 1-12 against the run line (-13.6 Units) against American League East opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 2.5, OPPONENT 3.7.

•Red Sox RH Rubby De La Rosa (2-2, 2.51 ERA, WHIP: 1.020) - De La Rosa has appeared in five games for Boston and is 2-0 in two home starts while allowing five hits and striking out 11 in 14 scoreless innings. The 25-year-old Dominican pitched one inning for Triple-A Pawtucket on Sunday before “we took him out so he would be a candidate (to pitch Wednesday), for sure,” Red Sox manager John Farrell told reporters. De La Rosa, who received a no-decision in his last major-league start when he struck out seven and yielded one run and four hits in seven innings of Boston's 2-1 loss at Oakland on June 21, would fill a void caused by Saturday's doubleheader after Friday's game was rained out.
_______________________________________

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_____________________________

#919 KANSAS CITY @ #920 TAMPA BAY - 7:10 PM
•Royals RH Yordano Ventura (6-7, 3.07 ERA, WHIP: 1.241) - Ventura pitched a career-high 8 1/3 innings in his last outing Friday when he allowed one run and six hits in a victory at Cleveland. The 23-year-old from the Dominican Republic has lasted at least seven frames in four of his last five starts and is 4-2 since the beginning of June. Ventura gave up two hits in six scoreless innings of a no-decision against Tampa Bay on April 8 in his season debut.

•Rays RH Alex Cobb (4-6, 4.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.255) - Cobb has won his last two starts despite giving up seven runs (six earned) combined over 10 innings after suffering through a 1-5 stretch. The Boston native yielded one or fewer runs five times in 12 appearances, but went only 2-1 in those strong starts due to poor offensive support. Raul Ibanez is 3-for-11 with two homers versus Cobb, who is 1-2 in four career starts against the Royals with a 5.04 ERA.

--KEY STAT: COBB is 14-4 UNDER (+9.5 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COBB 4.1, OPPONENT 1.9.

#921 HOUSTON @ #922 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (8-5, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.169) - Keuchel was enjoying a sensational first 2 1/2 months before running into a rough patch over his last three starts, going 0-2 and giving up 14 runs (13 earned) over 18 innings. He was fortunate to escape with a no-decision in his last turn after allowing five runs and a season-worst 13 hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Angels. Keuchel had his best outing of the year against Texas on May 13, registering his first career shutout.

--KEY STAT: KEUCHEL is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 4.5, OPPONENT 7.2.

--KEUCHEL is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 4.6, OPPONENT 5.6.

•Rangers RH Yu Darvish (8-4, 2.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.189) - Darvish has also hit a rut over his last four starts, surrendering at least four runs in three of them. All three of the rough outings have come away from home, including Friday's start at the New York Mets when Darvish gave up four runs in five innings of a no-decision. Darvish is 4-1 with a 2.29 ERA lifetime versus the Astros but did not factor in the decision despite eight scoreless innings of one-hit ball on April 11.

--KEY STAT: DARVISH is 14-4 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.5, OPPONENT 2.6.

--DARVISH is 13-3 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.0, OPPONENT 3.2.

--DARVISH is 17-4 UNDER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.7, OPPONENT 2.2.

#923 MINNESOTA @ #924 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Twins RH Kyle Gibson (7-7, 4.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.242) - Gibson has recorded just six outs in two of his last three outings after pitching seven shutout innings in three consecutive starts. He gave up six runs (five earned) and six hits in two innings against the New York Yankees in his last turn, two starts after giving up seven runs and four hits in two innings against the Los Angeles Angels. Gibson defeated Seattle on May 16 when he allowed one runs and six hits in seven innings and is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts against the Mariners.

--KEY STAT: GIBSON is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

--GIBSON is 7-0 OVER (+7.1 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GIBSON 6.4, OPPONENT 6.1.

•Mariners LH Roenis Elias (7-7, 4.19, WHIP: 1.213) - Elias has experienced back-to-back poor outings after winning four of his previous five decisions. He gave up five runs in both losses – a six-inning stint against Cleveland on June 28 and a five-inning outing against the Chicago White Sox last Friday. Elias lost to the Twins on May 17 when he allowed four runs and six hits.
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS INTERLEAGUE PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________________


#925 LA DODGERS @ #926 DETROIT - 1:05 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (11-4, 2.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.173) - Since giving up a season-high five runs at Kansas City on June 23, Greinke is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts, striking out 18 against just two walks in that span. He matched his longest start of the season with eight innings at Colorado on Thursday and has worked at least into the sixth in eight consecutive starts. Greinke is 8-4 with a 2.62 ERA in 15 games (13 starts) at Detroit.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 14-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.8, OPPONENT 1.9.

--GREINKE is 16-43 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.5, OPPONENT 4.4.

--GREINKE is 16-36 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

--GREINKE is 17-31 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.4, OPPONENT 4.0.

--GREINKE is 22-37 against the run line (-27.9 Units) in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.5, OPPONENT 4.4.

--GREINKE is 20-32 against the run line (-22.2 Units) in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

--GREINKE is 15-33 against the run line (-23.9 Units) in road games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.4, OPPONENT 4.0.

--GREINKE is 20-8 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.8, OPPONENT 2.6.

--GREINKE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.8, OPPONENT 2.2.

•Tigers RH Max Scherzer (10-3, 3.47 ERA, WHIP: 1.190) - Like Greinke, Scherzer has also recovered well from a recent rocky outing as he is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA in three starts since giving up 10 runs to Kansas City on June 17. He let up just two hits and struck out seven in eight frames against Tampa Bay on Thursday to improve to 6-1 with a 3.52 ERA at home. The 29-year-old, who owns a 3.89 ERA in eight career meetings (six starts) with Los Angeles, is 4-0 with a 2.76 ERA this year when given five days of rest between starts.

--KEY STAT: SCHERZER is 19-2 (+16.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 6.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

--SCHERZER is 24-13 against the run line (+11.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SCHERZER is 14-3 against the run line (+12.5 Units) in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 6.8, OPPONENT 3.2.

--SCHERZER is 13-3 against the run line (+11.7 Units) in home games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 6.0, OPPONENT 2.6.

#927 WASHINGTON @ #928 BALTIMORE - 7:05 PM
•Nationals RH Doug Fister (7-2, 2.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.050) - Fister continues to churn out quality starts for the Nationals, giving up three runs and seven hits over seven innings to beat Colorado on Wednesday. It marked the ninth time in 10 starts Fister has permitted three runs or fewer and the sixth start in that span in which he has pitched at least seven innings. Fister is 3-2 with a 5.30 ERA against Baltimore but has won all five of his home starts this season.

•Orioles RH Bud Norris (7-5, 3.62 ERA, WHIP: 1.160) - Norris has been sidelined with a groin injury but comes off the 15-day disabled list to make his first start since June 21. Norris won his last four starts before getting hurt and allowed a total of two runs over 19 2/3 innings in his last three outings. Norris is 2-0 with a 3.66 ERA in three career starts against the Nationals, but must be wary of Ryan Zimmerman, who is 4-for-11 with a pair of homers against him.

#929 OAKLAND @ #930 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
•Athletics RH Jason Hammel (8-5, 2.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.021) - Hammel will be making his debut for Oakland after being acquired from the Chicago Cubs on Friday. The 31-year-old was traded hours after allowing two runs and five hits over six innings in a victory at Washington. Hammel, who has yielded two runs in each of his last three outings, is 0-2 with a 3.02 ERA in nine career games (eight starts) against San Francisco.

--KEY STAT: HAMMEL is 8-2 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMMEL 5.1, OPPONENT 2.3.

--HAMMEL is 7-0 OVER (+7.3 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMMEL 5.7, OPPONENT 3.6.

--HAMMEL is 12-3 OVER (+8.9 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMMEL 5.0, OPPONENT 4.6.

•Giants RH Matt Cain (1-7, 4.27 ERA, WHIP: 1.257) - Cain is 0-4 in seven starts since posting his lone victory of the season May 15 versus Miami. The 29-year-old has gone 0-1 over his last two outings despite allowing a total of two runs in 13 1/3 innings. Cain has posted a 2.11 ERA in 10 career starts against the Athletics but owns a 3-5 record.

--KEY STAT: CAIN is 3-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CAIN 2.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

--CAIN is 3-11 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CAIN 2.4, OPPONENT 4.6.

--CAIN is 16-6 OVER (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CAIN 4.3, OPPONENT 4.7.

--CAIN is 14-3 OVER (+11.1 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CAIN 5.1, OPPONENT 4.7.
____________________________________________________
 

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SportsAtari 7/9


MLB PLAY OF THE DAY



Chicago White Sox ML (-113)


Risking 3.39 units to win 3 units


7:10pm start


R. De La Rosa/Sale must start



The Red Sox are still hosting the White Sox and they’re still losing. Chicago goes for their 4[SUP]th[/SUP] in a row and 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] win in a row in this series. They’ve won 5 of 6 while outscoring opponents 25-9 in that stretch. They are 3 games out of .500 and pushing to cross that mark before the All-Star Break.


Chris Sale is the right guy to back here as he makes a final push to get an All-Star nod. In his last game, Sale struck out a season best 12 hitters and only gave up 6 hits in a dominant 7-1 win over the Mariners. He’s 3-0 with a 2.89ERA in his last 4 and 8-1 with a 2.16ERA overall.


Boston has only won a single game in 8 tries at home and continues to sit at the bottom of the AL East with a 39-51 record. Rubby De La Rosa is still a relative unknown in the league but his first 6 starts so far have been impressive. A 2-2 record with a 2.51 ERA is something to consider here as he continues to get called up from Triple-A to help out an inefficient team searching for answers. De La Rosa will have to experience a tough outing sooner or later and even if it doesn’t come tonight, the White Sox will have the hotter bats and a stronger arm on the mound to grab the win.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 SAN DIEGO @ #902 COLORADO - 3:10 PM
•Padres LH Eric Stults (3-11, 4.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.463) - Stults ended an eight-game losing streak by scattering four hits over seven scoreless innings against Colorado in his last turn. He has allowed just four earned runs in 19 1/3 frames over his last three starts but has served up 16 home runs on the season. Stults is 0-1 with a 3.09 ERA in two starts against Colorado this season and has a career mark of 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA in 13 appearances (nine starts) versus the Rockies.

--KEY STAT: STULTS is 22-8 UNDER (+12.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 2.7, OPPONENT 3.6.

•Rockies RH Jair Jurrjens (0-1, 15.43 ERA, WHIP: 2.784) - Jurrjens was torched for eight runs and 12 hits in 4 2/3 innings in his Colorado debut on Friday, and that wasn’t even the worst part of the experience. The 28-year-old suffered through chest tightness and breathing difficulties and was taken to a hospital to be examined after being removed. Jurrjens has had success against San Diego in his career, going 4-1 with a 3.23 ERA in six career outings.

--KEY STAT: JURRJENS is 22-7 UNDER (+14.1 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was JURRJENS 4.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

#903 MIAMI @ #904 ARIZONA - 3:40 PM
•Marlins RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.252) - Eovaldi yielded three runs and six hits in six innings of a 3-2 loss at St. Louis on July 4 and is 1-2 in his last seven starts. It was a big improvement from his previous turn, when the 24-year-old Texas native escaped with a no-decision after allowing five runs and eight hits in seven innings of Miami's 7-6 loss to Oakland on June 27. Eovaldi is 2-0 with a 3.72 ERA in six games (three starts) against Arizona, with the active roster recording only six hits in 38 at-bats against him.

•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (7-5, 3.98, WHIP: 1.285) - Collmenter allowed five runs and 11 hits in six innings of a 5-2 loss at Atlanta on Friday after yielding only two runs in his previous two starts. The 28-year-old Michigan native had permitted 13 runs while going 0-2 in his three prior turns. Collmenter, who has an ERA of 6.00 in the first inning and 3.61 in all other frames, struck out eight while allowing only one hit in two career appearances - both in relief - covering seven innings against Miami.

#905 ATLANTA @ #906 NY METS - 7:10 PM
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (7-5, 3.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.282) - Santana has won his past two starts following a three-start losing skid, allowing two runs in each outing to down Philadelphia and Arizona. His first two victories of the season came against the Mets, firing eight shutout innings in his 2014 debut on April 9 and holding New York to one run in seven innings 10 days later. Santana has walked three hitters and struck out 20 in his past 20 innings.

--KEY STAT: SANTANA is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 5.7, OPPONENT 5.6.

--SANTANA is 32-13 UNDER (+16.9 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 3.8, OPPONENT 3.9.

•Mets RH Dillon Gee (3-1, 2.73 ERA, WHIP: 1.063) - Gee rebounded from missing the second half of 2012 with a blood clot in his shoulder to make 32 starts last season, and pitched effectively before experiencing severe pain in his back after a May 10 start against Philadelphia. New York manager Terry Collins told reporters he expects to limit Gee to 90 to 95 pitches. Gee struck out 16 in 8 2/3 innings during his rehabilitation stint with Class A-Brooklyn.

--KEY STAT: GEE is 10-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 6.2, OPPONENT 3.6.

--GEE is 10-1 UNDER (+9.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.5, OPPONENT 2.2.

--GEE is 14-4 UNDER (+9.8 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.4, OPPONENT 3.1.
_________________________________________

Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer
We're just over a month away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.

If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.

We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.

"You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
_____________________________

#907 CHICAGO CUBS @ #908 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
•Cubs RH Dallas Beeler (0-1, 0.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.167) - Beeler was impressive in his major-league debut June 28 against Washington, allowing one unearned run and four hits over six innings. He issued three walks and was on the wrong end of a 3-0 decision but also racked up six strikeouts. Beeler has gone at least six innings in nine straight starts between the majors and the minors.

•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (11-3, 2.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.055) - Simon can double up his previous career-high for wins with his next victory. The 33-year-old has recorded seven straight quality starts, going 5-0 with a 2.63 ERA over that span, and is coming off an outing in which he held Milwaukee to two runs over 7 1/3 innings. Simon is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA in 13 games (three starts) against the Cubs.

--KEY STAT: SIMON is 10-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.8, OPPONENT 2.0.

--SIMON is 13-0 (+14.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.2, OPPONENT 1.8.

--SIMON is 14-1 (+14.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.5, OPPONENT 2.3.

--SIMON is 13-0 (+14.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.2, OPPONENT 1.9.

--SIMON is 15-1 (+15.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.5, OPPONENT 2.3.

--SIMON is 8-0 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 5.1, OPPONENT 2.0.

--SIMON is 11-2 UNDER (+8.7 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.2, OPPONENT 1.9.

#909 PHILADELPHIA @ #910 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (3-8, 4.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.517) - Hernandez has lost three straight starts and six of his last seven after getting tagged for five runs and 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings Friday at Pittsburgh. The 33-year-old Dominican has battled control problems lately, issuing 31 walks in 51 2/3 innings over his last nine outings. Hernandez doesn't have a decision in one start and one relief appearance against the Brewers.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 8-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.4, OPPONENT 5.1.

--HERNANDEZ is 6-18 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.3, OPPONENT 5.2.

•Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (9-3, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Lohse is close to locking up his fourth straight season of double-digit wins, but he has failed to pick up the elusive 10th victory his last two times out. The 35-year-old allowed four runs (three earned) in five innings in a loss at Cincinnati on Friday, matching his shortest start of the year. Lohse is 5-4 with a 3.12 ERA in 14 starts against his former team, and beat the Phillies on April 8 in Philadelphia.

--KEY STAT: LOHSE is 8-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.4, OPPONENT 1.9.

--LOHSE is 20-2 (+18.1 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

--LOHSE is 24-4 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 6.3, OPPONENT 3.9.

--LOHSE is 23-12 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

--LOHSE is 8-0 against the run line (+9.8 Units) versus an National League team with they batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.4, OPPONENT 1.9.

--LOHSE is 24-9 against the run line (+16.8 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.4, OPPONENT 3.1.

--LOHSE is 17-5 against the run line (+15.2 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

--LOHSE is 19-5 UNDER (+13.7 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 3.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

--LOHSE is 17-5 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 3.6, OPPONENT 2.7.

--LOHSE is 13-2 UNDER (+10.7 Units) when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.0, OPPONENT 2.3.

#911 PITTSBURGH @ #912 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Pirates RH Brandon Cumpton (3-2, 4.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.329) - Cumpton will be recalled from Triple-A Indianapolis to start in place of Gerrit Cole, who is sidelined with a tight lat. The 25-year-old Cumpton last pitched for Pittsburgh on June 27, when he settled for a no-decision after limiting the New York Mets to two runs over seven innings. He won his only career start against St. Louis, scattering three hits over seven scoreless frames on July 30, 2013.

•Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (9-6, 3.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.315) - Lynn rebounded from a rough road outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers by tossing 6 2/3 scoreless innings in a triumph over Miami on Friday. The 27-year-old has won three of his last five starts but hasn't been victorious in consecutive decisions since defeating Atlanta and the New York Yankees on May 16 and 27, respectively. Lynn fell to 4-3 lifetime against the Pirates after yielding four runs over six frames on May 10 at Pittsburgh.

--KEY STAT: LYNN is 25-7 (+16.3 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2.

--LYNN is 11-2 UNDER (+6.9 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 4.3, OPPONENT 2.4.
________________________________________________
 
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MLB betting cheat sheet

Tanaka Tumbles to Earth

New York Yankees hurler Masahiro Tanaka suffered his third loss in the past four games Tuesday, allowing five runs over 6 2/3 frames in a 5-3 defeat in Cleveland (+143, 7.5 O). Tanaka's value has taken a hit as a result; he was once ranked in the top-10 but now finds himself 27th ($465).

Great Scott

Lefty Scott Kazmir takes the hill Thursday as the Oakland Athletics wrap up a four-game interleague series in San Francisco. Kazmir has been lights-out at home (6-1, 1.57 ERA, 1-7 O/U) but less so away from Oakland, going 4-2 with a 3.57 ERA and a 6-3 O/U mark in nine road starts.

Pitching Notes

* Washington starter Tanner Roark would like to reverse his ugly road trend Wednesday as he leads the Nationals (+108, 9) into Baltimore. Roark is 3-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 6-1-1 O/U record away from Nationals Park, compared to a 4-4 record, a 2.02 ERA and a 2-6-1 record at home.

* Boston Red Sox lefty Jon Lester has caught fire of late, surrendering just five earned runs over his last five starts - a span of 37 2/3 innings. Lester and the Red Sox, who are 5-0 SU and 1-4 O/U in those outings, take on the visiting Chicago White Sox on Thursday afternoon.

Hitting Notes

* Miami Marlins outfielder Marcell Ozuna continued his surprising season Tuesday, belting his 15th home run in the ninth inning of a 2-1 win over Arizona. Miami improved to 8-7 SU and 9-4-2 O/U when Ozuna goes deep entering Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks (-125, 8.5).

* Lester may be streaking, but he'll need to be wary of veteran Paul Konerko on Thursday afternoon. The White Sox DH/first baseman is 10-for-28 lifetime versus the Red Sox ace, with three home runs and seven RBIs.

Totals Streak

Oakland Athletics (7-2-1 O/U): The only thing keeping this from being an 8-1-1 stretch for the best team in baseball is a pair of eighth-inning runs scored in Tuesday's 6-1 triumph that nudged the total just past 6.5. The Athletics are 43-43-4 O/U on the season.

Injury Notes

* Atlanta hopes to have injured catcher Evan Gattis (back) participating in bullpen sessions over the weekend. The Braves are 8-3 S/U, 5-6 O/U and a surprising +368 units in 11 games since Gattis went down with the injury.

Weather Watch

* Wind will be blowing out to left field at 9 mph Wednesday evening at Fenway Park, where the Red Sox host the White Sox. Teams combined to hit just seven home runs in six games under similar wind conditions in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 10-1 in umpire Andy Fletcher's last 11 games involving Cincinnati. Fletcher will call the balls and strikes Wednesday when the Reds (-176, 7.5) host the Chicago Cubs.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at CHICAGO
Play On - Home teams (CHICAGO) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

WASHINGTON at CHICAGO
Play On - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) revenging a road loss versus opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team 82-36 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) off an road win where they scored 85 or more points, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games 54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty was rained out with the Nationals on Tuesday and likes Argentina and the under (2 goals) on Wednesday.

The deficit is 307 sirignanos.
 
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Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost on Tuesday in World Cup Soccer with a $25 play on the Draw +$220 Germany/Brazil.

"Mr Chalk" lost on Tuesday in MLB in the American League with the Mariners -$120/Twins.

For Wednesday in World Cup Soccer E&B like a $25 play on Argentina +$140/Netherlands and a play on the Draw +$220.

In Interleague play on Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$125/Dodgers.

Ben lee is 0-3 -$171 for week thirty seven 169-198-5 -$3060

"Mr Chalk" is 47-36 -$392 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted
 

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