The Duke's Sports
San Antonio (+3) for 2 Units
So far, the Suns' transition game off Spurs' misses has been too overwhelming for the slower Spurs to contend with. Moreover, San Antonio can't find anyone able to slow down Nash. Nevertheless, we'll jump on the Spurs here considering the talent pool the Spurs have and the on-court intelligence, which is a by-product of their leader - Popovich. The Spurs are 8-2 ATS off a SU loss, 9-3-1 ATS on 1 day of rest, and 13-3 ATS when their opponent scores 100+ in their previous game. The Spurs will need more contributions from Ginobili, Parker, Duncan, and Jefferson. We believe it happens in this spot. Suns are just 3-8 ATS as a small home playoff favorite.
San Antonio (+3) for 2 Units
So far, the Suns' transition game off Spurs' misses has been too overwhelming for the slower Spurs to contend with. Moreover, San Antonio can't find anyone able to slow down Nash. Nevertheless, we'll jump on the Spurs here considering the talent pool the Spurs have and the on-court intelligence, which is a by-product of their leader - Popovich. The Spurs are 8-2 ATS off a SU loss, 9-3-1 ATS on 1 day of rest, and 13-3 ATS when their opponent scores 100+ in their previous game. The Spurs will need more contributions from Ginobili, Parker, Duncan, and Jefferson. We believe it happens in this spot. Suns are just 3-8 ATS as a small home playoff favorite.
Bob Balfe
St. Louis Cardinals -105
The Cardinals have been on fire to start the season, particularly due to great pitching from Wainwright. Philadelphia has a good pitcher in Hamels, but he clearly has faded since his dominate performances in the World Series a few years ago. Look for the Wainwright to pitch another gem and Hamels to struggle against a potent Cardinal offense. Take St. Louis.
St. Louis Cardinals -105
The Cardinals have been on fire to start the season, particularly due to great pitching from Wainwright. Philadelphia has a good pitcher in Hamels, but he clearly has faded since his dominate performances in the World Series a few years ago. Look for the Wainwright to pitch another gem and Hamels to struggle against a potent Cardinal offense. Take St. Louis.
Dave Cokin
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PENNY, B vs. (R) KENDRICK, K
Play: Philadelphia (ML +110)
"The Cardinals and Phillies staged a classic pitching duel on Tuesday night, with both Adam Wainwright and Cloe Hamels in dominant form in a game eventually capture in extra frames by the Phillies. Look for the offenses to provide more punch tonight. No question Brad Penny has been prety solid so far for the Cards, but I can see him scuffling against the lefty-laden Philly lineup. On the flip side, even though it has been a rough spring for Kyle Kendrick, the Phils righty does own a 3-0, 2.25 lifetime slate aginst the Redbirds. More than anything, however, this is simply a matter of line value, as I've always been a strong believer in backing power teams at home when they're priced like this. I'm taking the small dog odds with Philadelphia tonight."
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PENNY, B vs. (R) KENDRICK, K
Play: Philadelphia (ML +110)
"The Cardinals and Phillies staged a classic pitching duel on Tuesday night, with both Adam Wainwright and Cloe Hamels in dominant form in a game eventually capture in extra frames by the Phillies. Look for the offenses to provide more punch tonight. No question Brad Penny has been prety solid so far for the Cards, but I can see him scuffling against the lefty-laden Philly lineup. On the flip side, even though it has been a rough spring for Kyle Kendrick, the Phils righty does own a 3-0, 2.25 lifetime slate aginst the Redbirds. More than anything, however, this is simply a matter of line value, as I've always been a strong believer in backing power teams at home when they're priced like this. I'm taking the small dog odds with Philadelphia tonight."
Jimmy Boyd
9:05p San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns
Take: San Antonio Spurs +3-105 in 5h
4* Major NBA Playoffs *BEST BET* on Spurs +3
Despite allowing Phoenix to shoot nearly 52% from the field in Game 1, the Spurs found themselves down just 1 with just over 4 minutes to go in the game. Steve Nash went off in Game 1, looking very fresh after getting several days to rest his strained right hip. Expect the Spurs to tighten the screws defensively tonight, and don't expect Nash to be nearly as good without as much time in between games to recover. San Antonio's big 3 were as advertised in Game 1, but they didn't get much help. Coach Popovich has called out the other guys and I expect them to respond. After losing a close Game 1 in Dallas, we saw the Spurs respond to steal Game 2 with an impressive 102-88 win. After allowing the Mavs to shoot over 47% from the field in Game 1, they held them to just 36.5% shooting in Game 2. This is clear evidence of the adjustments that were made and the heightened level of focus and intensity that the Spurs came with after falling behind a game. I expect the same tonight. The Spurs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and we'll take them in this bounce back spot here.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
MLB May 05 '10
8:05p Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros
Take: Houston Astros -103 in 4h
3* System SMASH on Astros -103
Look for the Astros to end their 8-game skid tonight. Right away I really like the fact that plays on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125, Houston in this case, poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), after a combined score of 4 runs or less, are 10-1 the last 3 seasons. Also, plays against road teams. Arizona in this case, NL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.350) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), in May games, are a time-tested 202-97 the last 5 seasons. Myers is 26-9 against the money line in his career vs. NL teams scoring 5.3 or more runs/game on the season. This tells me he has risen to the occasion against the best lineups he has faced. I expect him to pitch well tonight and Houston should finally be poised to score some runs against Lopez, who was roughed up badly by the Cubs in his last start.
-= TOP PLAY =- Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
MLB May 05 '10
7:10p San Francisco Giants vs Florida Marlins
Take: San Francisco Giants -130 in 3h
5* Never Lost MLB *Monster Mismatch* of the Month on Giants -130
Barry Zito is sizzling. He is off to a 4-0 start with an ERA of just 1.53 and a WHIP of only 0.877. In his 2 road starts, he's carrying an ERA of just 0.68 and a WHIP of only 0.675. On top of these dominant numbers, Zito has never lost to the Marlins. He is 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.109 in 5 career starts against Florida. In addition, the Marlins have had trouble finding any rhythm at the plate against southpaw starters, averaging just 3.6 runs per game against them this season. Another thing in our favor here is that the Giants have proven they can win in Florida. They have won 9 of their last 14 when visiting the Marlins and 7 of the last 10 overall. Lastly, the Marlins have lost both of Nate Robertson's home starts and he is carrying an ERA of 8.00 in those games. We'll take the Giants.
Free pick 1 unit on Cubs
Wunderdog free pick...Suns/Spurs Over 205.5
Bol Everyone. After what should have been a HUGE day yesterday got spoiled with the Under in the Jazz/Lakers game, I need a little today. Hopefulloy you all are pounding the books!
9:05p San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns
Take: San Antonio Spurs +3-105 in 5h
4* Major NBA Playoffs *BEST BET* on Spurs +3
Despite allowing Phoenix to shoot nearly 52% from the field in Game 1, the Spurs found themselves down just 1 with just over 4 minutes to go in the game. Steve Nash went off in Game 1, looking very fresh after getting several days to rest his strained right hip. Expect the Spurs to tighten the screws defensively tonight, and don't expect Nash to be nearly as good without as much time in between games to recover. San Antonio's big 3 were as advertised in Game 1, but they didn't get much help. Coach Popovich has called out the other guys and I expect them to respond. After losing a close Game 1 in Dallas, we saw the Spurs respond to steal Game 2 with an impressive 102-88 win. After allowing the Mavs to shoot over 47% from the field in Game 1, they held them to just 36.5% shooting in Game 2. This is clear evidence of the adjustments that were made and the heightened level of focus and intensity that the Spurs came with after falling behind a game. I expect the same tonight. The Spurs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and we'll take them in this bounce back spot here.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
MLB May 05 '10
8:05p Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros
Take: Houston Astros -103 in 4h
3* System SMASH on Astros -103
Look for the Astros to end their 8-game skid tonight. Right away I really like the fact that plays on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125, Houston in this case, poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), after a combined score of 4 runs or less, are 10-1 the last 3 seasons. Also, plays against road teams. Arizona in this case, NL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.350) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), in May games, are a time-tested 202-97 the last 5 seasons. Myers is 26-9 against the money line in his career vs. NL teams scoring 5.3 or more runs/game on the season. This tells me he has risen to the occasion against the best lineups he has faced. I expect him to pitch well tonight and Houston should finally be poised to score some runs against Lopez, who was roughed up badly by the Cubs in his last start.
-= TOP PLAY =- Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
MLB May 05 '10
7:10p San Francisco Giants vs Florida Marlins
Take: San Francisco Giants -130 in 3h
5* Never Lost MLB *Monster Mismatch* of the Month on Giants -130
Barry Zito is sizzling. He is off to a 4-0 start with an ERA of just 1.53 and a WHIP of only 0.877. In his 2 road starts, he's carrying an ERA of just 0.68 and a WHIP of only 0.675. On top of these dominant numbers, Zito has never lost to the Marlins. He is 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.109 in 5 career starts against Florida. In addition, the Marlins have had trouble finding any rhythm at the plate against southpaw starters, averaging just 3.6 runs per game against them this season. Another thing in our favor here is that the Giants have proven they can win in Florida. They have won 9 of their last 14 when visiting the Marlins and 7 of the last 10 overall. Lastly, the Marlins have lost both of Nate Robertson's home starts and he is carrying an ERA of 8.00 in those games. We'll take the Giants.
Free pick 1 unit on Cubs
Wunderdog free pick...Suns/Spurs Over 205.5
Bol Everyone. After what should have been a HUGE day yesterday got spoiled with the Under in the Jazz/Lakers game, I need a little today. Hopefulloy you all are pounding the books!
jeff benton wednesday
1-1 yesterday +10 DIMES...overall, 30-37-3 MINUS 55 dimes since i started posting.
Wednesday's Action 30 Dime: SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Spurs
Don’t care that the home team has won all four Suns-Spurs meetings this season and five in a row dating to last year. Don’t care that Phoenix has cashed in all four clashes this year. Means nothing to me – just as the Mavericks’ dominance of San Antonio didn’t mean squat when I backed the Spurs in Game 2 of that opening-round series after they lost Game 1.
You may recall that in my analysis that day I praised Spurs coach Gregg Popovich for his ability to make adjustments from Game 1 to Game 2 of a playoff series, especially after losing the opener. Sure enough, San Antonio followed up that six-point series-opening loss in Dallas – a game in which George Hill and Richard Jefferson combined for five total points – with a 102-88 rout as a three-point underdog (with Hill and Jefferson contributing 26 points).
Well, here we are in the same situation again: San Antonio lost Game 1 handily, it got virtually nothing from its bench (Hill scored seven points, Jefferson scored five), and it is once again is a similar small underdog in Game 2. And I’m telling you, as was the case with Game 2 in Dallas, the Spurs are going to win this game outright – and win it handily.
In fact, just ask yourself these questions:
Do you see the Spurs letting Steve Nash score 17 first-quarter points (and 33 for the game) tonight?
Do you see Jefferson and Hill going a combined 3-for-12 (0-for-5 on three-pointers) for 14 total points tonight?
Do you see the Spurs allowing the Suns to shoot 52 percent from the field and score 56 points in the point (many of those uncontested layups by Nash)?
Do you see Suns guard Jason Richardson hitting 10 of 16 shots for 27 points?
My answer to those questions is an emphatic NO! And yet the Suns needed every single one of those breaks to put away the Spurs in Game 1 (as it was, San Antonio used second-quarter runs of 12-0 and 13-0 to twice rally from 14-point deficits). Well, I’m here to tell you that there’s no chance in hell a Popovich-coached team, down 1-0 in a series, is going to fall behind by 14 points again. In fact, in their Game 2 victory in Dallas, the Spurs led wire to wire!
Finally, chew on this fact: The Spurs and Suns met in four playoff series from 2003-07. Well, not only did San Antonio win all four series, but it never once lost consecutive games in any of those series. That streak isn’t ending tonight, as the Spurs bounce back big with an outright win and take control of this series!
1-1 yesterday +10 DIMES...overall, 30-37-3 MINUS 55 dimes since i started posting.
Wednesday's Action 30 Dime: SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Spurs
Don’t care that the home team has won all four Suns-Spurs meetings this season and five in a row dating to last year. Don’t care that Phoenix has cashed in all four clashes this year. Means nothing to me – just as the Mavericks’ dominance of San Antonio didn’t mean squat when I backed the Spurs in Game 2 of that opening-round series after they lost Game 1.
You may recall that in my analysis that day I praised Spurs coach Gregg Popovich for his ability to make adjustments from Game 1 to Game 2 of a playoff series, especially after losing the opener. Sure enough, San Antonio followed up that six-point series-opening loss in Dallas – a game in which George Hill and Richard Jefferson combined for five total points – with a 102-88 rout as a three-point underdog (with Hill and Jefferson contributing 26 points).
Well, here we are in the same situation again: San Antonio lost Game 1 handily, it got virtually nothing from its bench (Hill scored seven points, Jefferson scored five), and it is once again is a similar small underdog in Game 2. And I’m telling you, as was the case with Game 2 in Dallas, the Spurs are going to win this game outright – and win it handily.
In fact, just ask yourself these questions:
Do you see the Spurs letting Steve Nash score 17 first-quarter points (and 33 for the game) tonight?
Do you see Jefferson and Hill going a combined 3-for-12 (0-for-5 on three-pointers) for 14 total points tonight?
Do you see the Spurs allowing the Suns to shoot 52 percent from the field and score 56 points in the point (many of those uncontested layups by Nash)?
Do you see Suns guard Jason Richardson hitting 10 of 16 shots for 27 points?
My answer to those questions is an emphatic NO! And yet the Suns needed every single one of those breaks to put away the Spurs in Game 1 (as it was, San Antonio used second-quarter runs of 12-0 and 13-0 to twice rally from 14-point deficits). Well, I’m here to tell you that there’s no chance in hell a Popovich-coached team, down 1-0 in a series, is going to fall behind by 14 points again. In fact, in their Game 2 victory in Dallas, the Spurs led wire to wire!
Finally, chew on this fact: The Spurs and Suns met in four playoff series from 2003-07. Well, not only did San Antonio win all four series, but it never once lost consecutive games in any of those series. That streak isn’t ending tonight, as the Spurs bounce back big with an outright win and take control of this series!
Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, May 05, 2010
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Boston w/Lackey -165 7:10 EST
Date: Wednesday, May 05, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are BACK and it is good to be back as that means one thing...IT IS TIME TO MAKE SOME MONEY!!! Last year we were 151-88 for PLUS $4830, two years ago we were 120-65 for PLUS $4140 and yest that is playing just $100 per selection! Today we are featuring another GRAND SLAM BASEBALL DOMINATOR WINNER and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN! 5/5/2010
GRAND SLAM BASEBALL DOMINATOR WINNER
Boston w/Lackey -165 7:10 EST
