GC BIG 12 Play
Hump day 6* Rivalry Game of the Year- Televised and head lines another powerful card that has a Double Perfect RPI Scale power indicator and the NCAAB Total of the week with a huge simulation model. Tuesday top plays 2-0. Big 12 play NCAAB Play below
The big 12 NCAAB play is on Oklahoma St. Game 762 at 9:00 eastern. Ok. St will look to rebound off their overtime loss at TCU on Saturday and they are a solid 16-2 at home of late and have revenge over Iowa. St tonight. The Cowboys are 4-1 off a loss and have won 14 of 16 on Hump day. Iowa St has the 322nd ranked road defense in the nation and have lost 14 of the last 15 times here on this court. They are 1-4 on the road of late and are 0-5 straight up as a dog of 4 or less. Look for Oklahoma St to bounce back and get the win. On Hump day the 6* Rivalry Game of the year takes center stage and is televised and chocked wit powerful indicators. There is also the NCAAB Total of the Week with a Huge Simulation model and totals angles going and a Double Perfect RPI Scale Side. Get on all 3 now and flatten your book big with the most powerful and exclusive data in the industry. For the Bonus Play. Take Oklahoma St. GC
Hump day 6* Rivalry Game of the Year- Televised and head lines another powerful card that has a Double Perfect RPI Scale power indicator and the NCAAB Total of the week with a huge simulation model. Tuesday top plays 2-0. Big 12 play NCAAB Play below
The big 12 NCAAB play is on Oklahoma St. Game 762 at 9:00 eastern. Ok. St will look to rebound off their overtime loss at TCU on Saturday and they are a solid 16-2 at home of late and have revenge over Iowa. St tonight. The Cowboys are 4-1 off a loss and have won 14 of 16 on Hump day. Iowa St has the 322nd ranked road defense in the nation and have lost 14 of the last 15 times here on this court. They are 1-4 on the road of late and are 0-5 straight up as a dog of 4 or less. Look for Oklahoma St to bounce back and get the win. On Hump day the 6* Rivalry Game of the year takes center stage and is televised and chocked wit powerful indicators. There is also the NCAAB Total of the Week with a Huge Simulation model and totals angles going and a Double Perfect RPI Scale Side. Get on all 3 now and flatten your book big with the most powerful and exclusive data in the industry. For the Bonus Play. Take Oklahoma St. GC
Sportswagers
Tampa Bay @ ANAHEIM
Tampa Bay +109 over ANAHEIM
OT included. We’ve mentioned several times over the past month or so that Anaheim’s performance up to that point was unsustainable because of some extreme “puck luck” this season. Like most things, it evens out over time and the Ducks are now starting to pay the price for what they really are. Don’t get us wrong, Anaheim is still a very good hockey team. When you employ Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Ryan Kesler among others, you’re going to win a lot games but the advanced stats said that regression was inevitable. Anaheim is 1-4 over its last five games. Its lone win over that span occurred against Carolina in a game the Ducks were outshot 36-17. Aside from that very lucky 2-1 victory over the ‘Canes, the Ducks have allowed five goals or more in three of their last four. That’s a bit unsettling and so is the loss of three key players in Sami Vatanen, Matt Beleskey and goaltender Fredrick Andersen.
The Lightning’s stock has dropped recently with just three wins over their last eight games. Those recent results have them underpriced in this one but pay no attention, as the Bolts five losses over that span occurred against L.A. twice, St. Louis twice and Nashville. Incidentally, one loss to the Blues and one to the Preds went into OT. The Bolts are the team to beat in the East. No team in the NHL has a stronger collection of point-producing forwards. The return of solid puck-moving defenseman Jason Garrison helps to get those players the puck. Bolts GM, Steve Yzerman knows a thing or two about the importance of winning on the road in the playoffs. As we head down the stretch and with the Bolts on a current five-game trip, winning on the road becomes paramount in an attempt to get them in the mindset that they're very capable of winning road games. The Bolts have been near unbeatable at home and they have to start bringing that same intensity on the road. No question they have the talent and they’ll now face a team whose regression has not ended yet.
Our Pick
Tampa Bay +109 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.18)
Minnesota @ CALGARY
CALGARY +102 over Minnesota
OT included. We’re not sure when the market is going to realize or accept that the Flames aren’t going anywhere. Whether or not they make the playoffs remains to be seen but this team is at least on par with the Wild and should not be a dog at home against them. Calgary has won three of four and six if its past eight. They rallied from a 3-0 deficit against Boston on Monday to defeat the B’s in OT. The Flames only loss over their last four was against the suddenly red-hot Kings. It’s a rare night when these Flames don’t show up and give it their all and it’s contagious as can be. Players like Lance Bouma, David Jones and Mason Raymond have proved to be as difficult to play against as many others on this focused team. Calgary has scored at least one PP goal in seven of its past 10 games and they have also allowed the fewest third period goals in the entire league. As a dog at home against a team they can compete with any day of the week, we’re buyers.
Minnesota is 2-2 over its last four games but only one of those two wins was somewhat deserved. The Wild did not outplay any of their last four opponents. In its 6-3 win over Carolina, Minnesota scored six times on 24 shots on goal. In its other three games over that span, Minnesota scored two or less in all of them. Over their last three games, the Wild posted shot totals of 22, 24 and 23 respectively. Against Vancouver on Monday, Minnesota recorded 22 shots on net against a Vancouver team minus four of its seven regular defensemen. The boost of energy this team received when they picked up Devan Dubnyk is quickly wearing out. There’s a slight chance that Darcy Kuemper will be in goal tonight because the Wild play in Edmonton tomorrow but we’re pretty sure it’ll be Dubnyk, which won’t deter us in the least. If it’s Kuemper, all the better. The market sees the Wild as the superior team here but we’re not in agreement. Calgary creates a lot more scoring chances than the Wild and they’re also in better form right now. The Wild had a big run but it’s over and now is the right time to fade them again. Wrong side favored.
Our Pick
CALGARY +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)
Tampa Bay @ ANAHEIM
Tampa Bay +109 over ANAHEIM
OT included. We’ve mentioned several times over the past month or so that Anaheim’s performance up to that point was unsustainable because of some extreme “puck luck” this season. Like most things, it evens out over time and the Ducks are now starting to pay the price for what they really are. Don’t get us wrong, Anaheim is still a very good hockey team. When you employ Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Ryan Kesler among others, you’re going to win a lot games but the advanced stats said that regression was inevitable. Anaheim is 1-4 over its last five games. Its lone win over that span occurred against Carolina in a game the Ducks were outshot 36-17. Aside from that very lucky 2-1 victory over the ‘Canes, the Ducks have allowed five goals or more in three of their last four. That’s a bit unsettling and so is the loss of three key players in Sami Vatanen, Matt Beleskey and goaltender Fredrick Andersen.
The Lightning’s stock has dropped recently with just three wins over their last eight games. Those recent results have them underpriced in this one but pay no attention, as the Bolts five losses over that span occurred against L.A. twice, St. Louis twice and Nashville. Incidentally, one loss to the Blues and one to the Preds went into OT. The Bolts are the team to beat in the East. No team in the NHL has a stronger collection of point-producing forwards. The return of solid puck-moving defenseman Jason Garrison helps to get those players the puck. Bolts GM, Steve Yzerman knows a thing or two about the importance of winning on the road in the playoffs. As we head down the stretch and with the Bolts on a current five-game trip, winning on the road becomes paramount in an attempt to get them in the mindset that they're very capable of winning road games. The Bolts have been near unbeatable at home and they have to start bringing that same intensity on the road. No question they have the talent and they’ll now face a team whose regression has not ended yet.
Our Pick
Tampa Bay +109 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.18)
Minnesota @ CALGARY
CALGARY +102 over Minnesota
OT included. We’re not sure when the market is going to realize or accept that the Flames aren’t going anywhere. Whether or not they make the playoffs remains to be seen but this team is at least on par with the Wild and should not be a dog at home against them. Calgary has won three of four and six if its past eight. They rallied from a 3-0 deficit against Boston on Monday to defeat the B’s in OT. The Flames only loss over their last four was against the suddenly red-hot Kings. It’s a rare night when these Flames don’t show up and give it their all and it’s contagious as can be. Players like Lance Bouma, David Jones and Mason Raymond have proved to be as difficult to play against as many others on this focused team. Calgary has scored at least one PP goal in seven of its past 10 games and they have also allowed the fewest third period goals in the entire league. As a dog at home against a team they can compete with any day of the week, we’re buyers.
Minnesota is 2-2 over its last four games but only one of those two wins was somewhat deserved. The Wild did not outplay any of their last four opponents. In its 6-3 win over Carolina, Minnesota scored six times on 24 shots on goal. In its other three games over that span, Minnesota scored two or less in all of them. Over their last three games, the Wild posted shot totals of 22, 24 and 23 respectively. Against Vancouver on Monday, Minnesota recorded 22 shots on net against a Vancouver team minus four of its seven regular defensemen. The boost of energy this team received when they picked up Devan Dubnyk is quickly wearing out. There’s a slight chance that Darcy Kuemper will be in goal tonight because the Wild play in Edmonton tomorrow but we’re pretty sure it’ll be Dubnyk, which won’t deter us in the least. If it’s Kuemper, all the better. The market sees the Wild as the superior team here but we’re not in agreement. Calgary creates a lot more scoring chances than the Wild and they’re also in better form right now. The Wild had a big run but it’s over and now is the right time to fade them again. Wrong side favored.
Our Pick
CALGARY +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)
Sportswagers
Louisville @ SYRACUSE
#720 SYRACUSE +125 over Louisville
7:00 PM EST. Louisville comes in as the #12 ranked team in the country. They are 20-5 overall and they’re going to the Dance regardless of how they fair the rest of the way. The Cardinals are still a major force on the defensive end but we’re not as convinced as a lot of folks that they’re all that. Louisville is just 8-4 in conference play. Its only win against the top five teams in the conference came against North Carolina in OT. The Cardinals other ACC victories came over the lesser teams in the conference. Louisville has played just seven road games all season. They are 5-2 in those games but its victories came against Western Kentucky, Wake, Pitt, Miami, Boston College and that aforementioned OT victory over UNC. Rick Pitino loves to schedule games he can win and so the Cardinals don’t often schedule games with risk involved. Louisville played 13 of its first 14 games at home and most of those came against cupcakes. Pitino agreed to play Kentucky because a loss to that team would increase Louisville’s strength of schedule immensely and a loss to the Wildcats would in no way harm their tournament résumé. Pitino knows how to play the “build your résumé” game. The Cardinals lost to Duke by 11 and they lost to Virginia by five in a game they scored a measly 47 points in. They are a poor 3-point shooting team and their guard play does not compare to Syracuse’s strong group. One of our favorite angles is to play on a small unranked dog at home against a ranked opponent and that applies here.
The Orange are not ranked but one could easily argue that they’re a top-25 team that has underachieved. Talent wise, Syracuse can match up with most. Rakeem Christmas is coming off back-to-back sup-par efforts against B.C. and Duke with the Orange losing to Duke by just eight points while whacking the Eagles by 14 in Boston College. Christmas isn’t likely to be silent again in this big game. Then there’s Michael Gbinije. All he’s done is average 22½ points while making 65% of his field goal attempts and a stunning 54.5% of his 3-pointers over the past four games. Oh, yeah Gbinije has also averaged 4½ assists and 4½ boards over that same span and he was Syracuse’s sixth man earlier in the year, which is an indication of the talent on this roster. Right now Syracuse is assured of nothing. They are a bubble team that needs some notable wins. They have some close defeats to some very good teams but they have not been able to get the big one yet. Syracuse can control its own destiny in regards to getting an at-large bid. They close out the season against four ranked teams in its final six games and it all begins here. The Orange are poised to play their best game of the season and we’re betting that they win outright against a Louisville team that is not as good as their record suggests.
Our Pick
#720 SYRACUSE +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)
Louisville @ SYRACUSE
#720 SYRACUSE +125 over Louisville
7:00 PM EST. Louisville comes in as the #12 ranked team in the country. They are 20-5 overall and they’re going to the Dance regardless of how they fair the rest of the way. The Cardinals are still a major force on the defensive end but we’re not as convinced as a lot of folks that they’re all that. Louisville is just 8-4 in conference play. Its only win against the top five teams in the conference came against North Carolina in OT. The Cardinals other ACC victories came over the lesser teams in the conference. Louisville has played just seven road games all season. They are 5-2 in those games but its victories came against Western Kentucky, Wake, Pitt, Miami, Boston College and that aforementioned OT victory over UNC. Rick Pitino loves to schedule games he can win and so the Cardinals don’t often schedule games with risk involved. Louisville played 13 of its first 14 games at home and most of those came against cupcakes. Pitino agreed to play Kentucky because a loss to that team would increase Louisville’s strength of schedule immensely and a loss to the Wildcats would in no way harm their tournament résumé. Pitino knows how to play the “build your résumé” game. The Cardinals lost to Duke by 11 and they lost to Virginia by five in a game they scored a measly 47 points in. They are a poor 3-point shooting team and their guard play does not compare to Syracuse’s strong group. One of our favorite angles is to play on a small unranked dog at home against a ranked opponent and that applies here.
The Orange are not ranked but one could easily argue that they’re a top-25 team that has underachieved. Talent wise, Syracuse can match up with most. Rakeem Christmas is coming off back-to-back sup-par efforts against B.C. and Duke with the Orange losing to Duke by just eight points while whacking the Eagles by 14 in Boston College. Christmas isn’t likely to be silent again in this big game. Then there’s Michael Gbinije. All he’s done is average 22½ points while making 65% of his field goal attempts and a stunning 54.5% of his 3-pointers over the past four games. Oh, yeah Gbinije has also averaged 4½ assists and 4½ boards over that same span and he was Syracuse’s sixth man earlier in the year, which is an indication of the talent on this roster. Right now Syracuse is assured of nothing. They are a bubble team that needs some notable wins. They have some close defeats to some very good teams but they have not been able to get the big one yet. Syracuse can control its own destiny in regards to getting an at-large bid. They close out the season against four ranked teams in its final six games and it all begins here. The Orange are poised to play their best game of the season and we’re betting that they win outright against a Louisville team that is not as good as their record suggests.
Our Pick
#720 SYRACUSE +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)
