Greg Shaker | CBB Total
pick
724 UConn / 723 Harvard Under 136.0 Bookmaker.comAnalysis:
The Line: Opening number here of 136.5 and a quick move down to the current level prior to be WA. I would expect this number to remain stable throughout the betting period, maybe drift up a bit, and spike one way or the other late if the number gets out of line.
Why We Bet It: It's all about Defense here on UConn's home court and you can best bet that even though this is not a conference game, these guys are not taking Harvard lightly and will make a strong effort to limit quality outside looks. They have certainly been able to do that this year with other teams coming here, limiting all comers to 36.5% shooting and 28.7% from outside of the arc. We have seen a reasonably low pace from Harvard this year and most recently much less tempo over their last 4 and 5 of 6 played. UConn has a perfect 5-0 UNDER this year at this venue and they are also 7-1 UNDER their last non-conference game. UNDER has also been the Rule when Harvard plays quality squads over the last few years, especially when they have been the Dog. Most Trends don't mean Squat, these do. We have 131.1 for a Fair Number here
Biggest Concerns: As always when playing Unders there is the chance that we could see a 3 possession point differential toward the end of the contest. That most always means fouls and both of these teams do hit those at a high rate. Other than that there are no major concerns here..
Added Notes: You can play this one down to 133.5 based on my number..
pick
724 UConn / 723 Harvard Under 136.0 Bookmaker.comAnalysis:
The Line: Opening number here of 136.5 and a quick move down to the current level prior to be WA. I would expect this number to remain stable throughout the betting period, maybe drift up a bit, and spike one way or the other late if the number gets out of line.
Why We Bet It: It's all about Defense here on UConn's home court and you can best bet that even though this is not a conference game, these guys are not taking Harvard lightly and will make a strong effort to limit quality outside looks. They have certainly been able to do that this year with other teams coming here, limiting all comers to 36.5% shooting and 28.7% from outside of the arc. We have seen a reasonably low pace from Harvard this year and most recently much less tempo over their last 4 and 5 of 6 played. UConn has a perfect 5-0 UNDER this year at this venue and they are also 7-1 UNDER their last non-conference game. UNDER has also been the Rule when Harvard plays quality squads over the last few years, especially when they have been the Dog. Most Trends don't mean Squat, these do. We have 131.1 for a Fair Number here
Biggest Concerns: As always when playing Unders there is the chance that we could see a 3 possession point differential toward the end of the contest. That most always means fouls and both of these teams do hit those at a high rate. Other than that there are no major concerns here..
Added Notes: You can play this one down to 133.5 based on my number..
