IC
4 Unit Play. Take Minnesota +9.5 over the Miami Heat (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est). Let's ride the Twolves once again as they hit the road to Miami. One of my most favorite plays is to fade a team off of a new trade. I faded the Pistons the first few days from the AI trade and we cashed just fine. In that same token, I am going to fade the Miami Heat today as O'Neal and Moon cross over for them. It takes a team to get used to new players and consequently this team will have some hiccups today and will not be in complete sync until the first few games are done and over with. Do note however, that I think this is a great trade for the Heat as this adds more scoring, a rebounding presence and O'Neal will fit into the half court game the Heat have here. The Heat are a dynamic looking team with young talent and Moon will fit right in with the solid young guards that Miami has. But, this will take time to gel and I like the Timberwolves today to stay inside single digits. Look, this team should have won at Washington given their slow start, massive come back, at one point leading by 5 late in this game only to lose the game and cover. Miami beat this team by 3 points on the road earlier this year so Minny has revenge from that game, tack on the fact they are beginning to play better with no Al Jefferson for the year and Mchale is giving some of his young players such as Cardinal and McCants more time to build the depth of this team, I like the Twolves to hang tough in a low scoring contest. I believe it will take some time for the Heat to gel and the Twolves are beginning to figure out how to play with out Jefferson as the top five plus, the some of the reserves are making up the ground. The Twolves are 14-3 ATS when facing a team on the road with a winning record.
gl,
Indian Cowboy.