Service Plays Veteran's Day Wednesday 11/11/09

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NBA ADDITIONAL

Wednesday, November 11

Trend Report

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
Chicago is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Chicago

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. INDIANA
Golden State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Golden State is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
ndiana is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Golden State
 
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

New Orleans Hornets at Phoenix Suns (-5.5, 215.5)

We all owe Steve Nash a big apology.

Heading into the NBA season, the former two-time MVP was not even mentioned in MVP talks. There was LeBron, Kobe and Dwight – but not Nash. Kid Canada graciously accepts our apologies and continues to lead the Suns to a 7-1 (5-3 ATS) start with number like 18 points and 13 assists per game.

"I want to win a championship," Nash told NBA.com. "If I do, it'll be the best accomplishment of my career, but if I don't, my career has been really rewarding. I think I still have a lot to play for whether I win a championship or not."

He’ll take on Hornets guard Chris Paul Wednesday, who many consider to be the best point guard in the NBA. Paul is scoring almost 27 points per game but is dishing out only 9.8 assists per game – down from 11 and 11.6 in the past two seasons. New Orleans is off to a disappointing 3-5 start and has covered the spread just twice on the road this year.

Phoenix, on the other hand, returns home for only the third time after winning three straight games on the road – covering the oddsmakers’ number in all three.

Pick: Phoenix


Charlotte Bobcats at Detroit Pistons (-3.5, 172)

Take the Pistons’ top two scorers out of the equation and you have the result of Sunday’s 88-81 win over the Philadelphia 76ers, which played well under the 191.5-point total set by books.

Detroit got production from its makeshift starting five while Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince watched from the sideline, but only 26 points off the bench. Hamilton is nursing a bum ankle that will keep him out Wednesday night while Prince is out of action for a while after injuring his back.

"You're talking about a guy you can trust and a person who has been to a championship and won it," head coach John Kuester said of Prince. "We'll miss his experience and leadership and his ability to talk to players."

Detroit already ranks among the worst offenses in the NBA and now faces a team that thrives on defense and low-scoring, grimy games. Charlotte is scoring just over 85 points a night but its defense sits third in the league. The Bobcats will be coming off a game against Orlando Tuesday.

Pick: Under
 
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NCAAB ADDITIONAL

Wednesday, November 11

Trend Report

7:00 PM
ROBERT MORRIS vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
Syracuse is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Syracuse is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

9:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

11:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CALIFORNIA
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
California is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
California is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets (-110, 5.5)

How do you get the taste of a 5-1 loss to the Maple Leafs out of your mouth?

Detroit has brushed its teeth about six times a day since laying an egg in Toronto Saturday night but it might just take a win to rid them off the aftertaste. But picking up that much needed win is easier said than done.

The Red Wings visit the Blue Jackets, who are coming off back-to-back wins. Columbus has fought hard for its current record – its last five games have been decided by one goal. The Jackets have been tough at home, going 4-1-0-2 to start the season.

Knowing they’re in for a war Wednesday, the Red Wings worked on winning the battles. Detroit focused on improving its power play which is just 1-for-18 over the last five games. That should sparked the team’s scoring, which has been limited over the last four games.

Goaltender Jimmy Howard will get the start between the pipes. He gave up five goals against the Edmonton Oilers in his most recent start and has just one victory in his last 10 appearances.

Pick: Over


Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils (-131, 5.5)

The Ducks have got nice and comfy at the Honda Center, going 3-1 in their last four home games. That cushy ride is over with Anaheim embarking on a four-game road swing starting in New Jersey Wednesday night.

Adding to this rough patch of schedule is the goaltending controversy stirred up with the return of veteran keeper Jean-Sebastien Giguere. The former playoff MVP made it very clear to the franchise that he wants to be the No. 1 option over budding star Jonas Hiller, who is 6-5-1 with a 2.76 GAA.

"I'd rather retire than be a backup goalie," Giguere told the L.A. Daily News. "Something needs to happen. You get a guy like (Hiller) that's going to be a free agent at the end of the year and myself, making the money I'm making, either I'm leaving or he's leaving.

"I want to play; that's when I have fun. Right now, this is not fun."

Chances are, with Giguere’s laundry list of medical and personal issues, the team will side with Hiller. Needless to say, front office politics is not what the Ducks need to focus on heading into this road trip.

Pick: New Jersey
 
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NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 11

Wednesday, November 11

TOLEDO (4 - 5) at C MICHIGAN (7 - 2) - 11/11/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 11

Wednesday, 11/11/2009

TOLEDO at C MICHIGAN, 8:00 PM ET ESPN2
TOLEDO: 5-10 ATS in road games
C MICHIGAN: 4-0 ATS off loss by 21+ points
 
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NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 11

Trend Report

Wednesday, November 11

8:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Toledo is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games
Central Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Flames but missed with the Nuggets (-2)

Tuesday night. Today it's Central Michigan. The surplus is 620 sirignanos.
 
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DCI
INDIANA 119, Golden State 112
Chicago vs. TORONTO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BOSTON 104, Utah 94
DETROIT 88, Charlotte 85
NEW JERSEY 97, Philadelphia 96
Atlanta 105, NEW YORK 102
Denver 105, MILWAUKEE 99
Portland 101, MINNESOTA 91
ORLANDO 95, Cleveland 91
HOUSTON 103, Memphis 88
SAN ANTONIO 98, Dallas 97
Oklahoma City 99, L.A. CLIPPERS 98
PHOENIX 110, New Orleans 100
 
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DCI
Season: 85-59 (.590)

BUFFALO 3, Edmonton 2
NEW JERSEY 3, Anaheim 2
WASHINGTON 4, N.Y. Islanders 3
Los Angeles vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Detroit vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHICAGO 3, Colorado 2
 
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DCI
2K Sports Classic
at campus sites
CALIFORNIA 74, Detroit 54
NORTH CAROLINA 109, North Carolina Central 56
SYRACUSE 86, Robert Morris 64
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Los Angeles at Carolina

The Kings look to take advantage of a Carolina team that is 1-10 in its last 11 against teams with a winning record. Los Angeles is the pick (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-170). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Detroit at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.645; Columbus 11.360
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under

Game 53-54: Edmonton at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.936; Buffalo 11.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 55-56: Los Angeles at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.875; Carolina 10.564
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-170); Over

Game 57-58: Anaheim at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.630; New Jersey 12.159
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-135); Under

Game 59-60: NY Islanders at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.010; Washington 12.271
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 61-62: Colorado at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.992; Chicago 11.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-160); Over
 
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DUNKEL
Toledo at Central Michigan

The Rockets look to bounce back from their 31-24 defeat to Miami (OH) and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Toledo is the pick (+17) according to Dunkel, which has Central Michigan favored by only 14. Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+17).

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 103-104: Toledo at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 75.619; Central Michigan 89.802
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 14; 64
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 17; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+17); Over
 
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DUNKEL
NBA

Denver at Milwaukee

The Bucks are coming off a 102-87 win over New York and look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following an ATS victory. Milwaukee is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Golden State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.536; Indiana 120.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 227
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 223 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5); Over

Game 703-704: Chicago at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.330; Toronto 123.536
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 208
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5); Over

Game 705-706: Atlanta at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.238; New York 116.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Philadelphia at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.940; New Jersey 116.154
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 3; 186 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Utah at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.629; Boston 126.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Charlotte at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.394; Detroit 118.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 172
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Over

Game 713-714: Denver at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.337; Milwaukee 121.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4); Under

Game 715-716: Portland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.782; Minnesota 109.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 14; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-7 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Cleveland at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.565; Orlando 126.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 719-720: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 112.507; Houston 125.625
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8; 215
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8); Over

Game 721-722: Dallas at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.086; San Antonio 122.171
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 723-724: New Orleans at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.251; Phoenix 122.724
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 113.982; LA Clippers 117.564
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2 1/2); Under
 
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DUNKEL
Robert Morris at Syracuse
The Orange look to build on their 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 home games. Syracuse is the pick (-18) according to Dunkel, which has the Orange favored by 24. Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-18)

Game 727-728: Detroit at California
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 49.742; California 66.827
Dunkel Line: California by 17
Vegas Line: California by 18
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+18)

Game 729-730: North Carolina Central at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina Central 29.500; North Carolina 81.620
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 52
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-45 1/2)

Game 731-732: Robert Morris at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 53.045; Syracuse 76.976
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 24
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 18
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-18)
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Toledo (4-5 SU and ATS) at Central Michigan (7-2, 6-2 ATS)
Central Michigan looks to bounce back from just its second loss of the season and move another step closer to the Mid-American Conference West Division title when it hosts the Rockets at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.

Toledo is coming off consecutive upset losses to MAC foes Temple (40-24 as a one-point home favorite) and Miami, Ohio (31-24 as a five-point road chalk). The Rockets field one of the worst defenses in Division I-A, giving up 31 points or more in eight of their nine games this year and nine of 10 going back to the end of last season. Overall, Toledo is surrendering 37.4 points and 425 total yards per game, including 177.8 rushing yards per contest.

The Chippewas have been idle since Halloween, when their seven-game winning streak came to a halt with a 31-10 loss at Boston College as a 5½-point road underdog. Central Michigan gave up a season-high in points while the 10 points was the lowest offensive output since a season-opening 19-6 loss at Arizona. The Chips (5-0, 4-1 ATS in conference) lead the MAC’s West Division by one game over Northern Illinois, and they’ve won their three home games by a combined score of 152-29, outgaining those three opponents by an average of 258 ypg (454-196).

Central Michigan has owned this rivalry lately, winning the last four meetings following a 10-game winning streak by the Rockets. Last year, the Chippewas went to Toledo and squeaked out a 24-23 win, but failed to cover as a 3½-point road favorite, ending a 4-0 ATS run against the Rockets as the underdog improved to 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes.
The SU winner is 11-0 ATS in Toledo’s last 11 games and 11-2 ATS in Central Michigan’s last 13.

Both teams feature strong quarterbacks. Toledo’s Aaron Opelt is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,863 yards with 15 TDs and six INTs, while Chippewas senior Dan LeFevour is connecting at a 68.8 percent rate for 1,848 yards with 16 TDs and five INTs.

The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after SU loss and 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-covers, but otherwise they’re in pointspread ruts of 8-19 on the road, 5-12 as a road underdog and 1-4 after a bye.

Other than a 7-15-3 ATS slump in November, the Chippewas are riding positive ATS streaks of 36-15-3 overall, 16-4-1 at home, 22-7-2 in conference, 22-8-2 as a favorite, 13-3 as a home favorite, 4-1 as a favorite of more than 10 points (all at home), 6-1-1 after a bye and 16-5-2 versus teams with a losing record.
Toledo comes into this contest on “under” runs of 8-1 against winning teams, 11-5-1 as an underdog, 3-1-1 after a bye and 6-0 as a double-digit underdog. The under is also 4-1 in Central Michigan’s last five overall and 7-3 in its last 10 as a favorite. Finally, the under is 4-2 in the last six meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CENTRAL MICHIGAN and UNDER


NBA

Cleveland (4-3, 3-4 ATS) at Orlando (6-2, 5-3 ATS)
The Cavaliers get their first crack at the Magic since being upset in last year’s Eastern Conference finals as LeBron James and Co. resume a three-game road trip with a stop at Amway Arena.

Since opening the season with consecutive upset losses to Boston at home and Toronto on the road, Cleveland has won four of its last five games. The one defeat was Thursday’s 86-85 home setback to Chicago, but the Cavs rebounded the following night with a 100-91 win at New York as an eight-point road favorite. Cleveland has alternated ATS wins and losses in its last six games.

Dwight Howard (15 points, 10 rebounds) and three teammates scored in double figures Tuesday as Orlando capped a brief two-game road swing with a 93-81 win at Charlotte as a four-point favorite, which followed Sunday’s embarrassing 102-74 loss at Oklahoma City as a six-point chalk. The Magic are unbeaten in three home contests (2-1 ATS), averaging 117.3 points per game (51.8 percent shooting) and allowing 103 ppg (48.8 percent).
The Magic eliminated the heavily favored Cavaliers in six games in last spring’s Eastern Conference Finals, going 5-1 ATS. Orlando also went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against Cleveland in the regular season and has cashed in 10 of the last 11 meetings since the 2007-08 season, including six straight at Amway Arena. Going back further, the Magic are on 20-8-1 ATS roll against Cleveland. Finally, the home team went 8-1 SU (6-3 ATS) in the nine head-to-head clashes last year.

The Cavs have covered in eight of their last 11 when coming off three or more days of rest, but they’re otherwise in ATS slumps of 4-9-1 overall going back to last year’s playoff series against Orlando, 3-9-1 against the Eastern Conference, 2-6-1 against the Southeast Division and 1-4 on Wednesday.

The Magic, who are 2-3 ATS since starting the season with three straight spread-covers, are on positive pointspread stretches of 10-4 against Central Division opponents and 11-3 against Eastern Conference foes.
For the Cavaliers, the “under” is on runs of 6-0 overall, 8-2 on the road, 5-0 against the Eastern Conference and 5-2 on Wednesday. Conversely, Orlando carries “over” trends of 6-2 at home, 6-1 against the Eastern Conference, 4-0 on Wednesday and 6-1 against teams with a winning record. Also, the over is 6-1 in the last seven series meetings overall and 13-6-1 in the last 20 battles in Orlando.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and OVER


Dallas (5-2 SU and ATS) at San Antonio (3-3 SU and ATS)

The Spurs and Mavericks get together for the first time since last year’s opening-round Western Conference playoff series, with Dallas making the short trek to AT&T Center.
Dallas heads to San Antonio off of last night’s 121-103 rout of the Rockets as a 6½-point home favorite, as Jason Terry (24 points) and Dirk Nowitzki (23) were among six players to score in double figures. The Mavericks have won and covered five of six since a season-opening upset loss to Washington, and they’ve scored 107, 129 points and 121 points in their last three games after averaging just 93.5 ppg in their first four contests. However, Dallas also has given up more than 100 points in each of its last three games after surrendering 85, 84 and 80 in its previous three.

Playing without All-Stars Tim Duncan and Tony Parker, the Spurs still managed to snap a two-game SU and ATS slide Monday, getting past Toronto 131-124 as a 4½-point home favorite. San Antonio entered the fourth quarter down by two points, but outscored the Raptors 38-29 in the final stanza. Manu Ginobili led the way with a season-high 36 points, while Richard Jefferson (24 points) and seldom-used guard George Hill (22) also had huge games.
Dallas knocked its division rivals out of the playoffs in five games last spring, going 4-1 ATS. Including four regular-season meetings, the Mavericks went 6-3 SU and ATS against the Spurs last year, including 3-2 SU and ATS at the AT&T Center. Additionally, Dallas is on an 11-3 ATS run in San Antonio, but the favorite covered in six of the final eight clashes in 2008-09.

The SU winner is 8-0 ATS in Dallas’ games this year and 6-0 ATS in San Antonio’s contests. Going back to last year, the winner has cashed in 11 straight Spurs games and 21 of the Mavericks’ last 23 outings. Finally, the SU winner has gotten the money in each of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry.

Dallas is on ATS runs of 5-1 overall, 9-3 on Wednesday and 6-2 against Southwest Division opponents. San Antonio has now covered in four of its last five at home, but is otherwise in ATS slumps of 1-5 against winning teams, 2-5 against the Western Conference, 2-7 versus division rivals and 4-11 on Wednesday.
The under has cashed in seven of the Mavs’ last eight when they play on back-to-back nights, but the over for Dallas is on runs of 8-3 on the road, 8-3 on Wednesday and 6-1 versus the Southwest Division. Likewise, the Spurs are on a slew of “over” streaks, including 9-3 overall, 11-1 at home, 4-1 when playing on one day of rest, 5-1 on Wednesday and 6-1 against Southwest Division opponents. Finally, five of the last six series battles between these clubs last year – including three straight in San Antonio – topped the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS and OVER
 

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