Sports Pick Predictions
3-1 last night for 7 units! Nice win on the Colorado/SF OVER 10....THEY SCORED 19!!! Louisville and the under....CASH!!!! Thursday is when the football games start up again, so we're going to go with baseball games until then, but keep it on the smaller side. It's all about quality over quantity right now---there are still some value in some of these baseball games though. Thursday, we ready....it's going DOWN!!! Monster card this week!!!
New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5, -120 (2 units)
LA Dodgers -1.5 RUNLINE, +115 (2 units)
Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5, -115 (2 units)
3-1 last night for 7 units! Nice win on the Colorado/SF OVER 10....THEY SCORED 19!!! Louisville and the under....CASH!!!! Thursday is when the football games start up again, so we're going to go with baseball games until then, but keep it on the smaller side. It's all about quality over quantity right now---there are still some value in some of these baseball games though. Thursday, we ready....it's going DOWN!!! Monster card this week!!!
New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5, -120 (2 units)
LA Dodgers -1.5 RUNLINE, +115 (2 units)
Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5, -115 (2 units)
LineCatchers
The Marlins took game 1 of this 3 game set against the Mets on Monday with a 9-6 victory in a game where the New York defense committed six errors. Tuesday’s Bonus Play is all about value and I believe this is on the road team, especially with the Line at (-108).
The Mets hand the baseball to lefty Jon Niese who is having yet another solid season in the New York rotation. The lefty has a 3.74 ERA in 14 road starts this year and has been on one the most consistent pitchers in the NL this campaign. In 25 trips to the mound this season, Niese has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 23 of those outings. Over his last 4 starts, Niese has an ERA of 3.33 whilst averaging 6 2/3 IP.
Brad Penny gets the nod for the Marlins and will make his third start of 2014 tonight. Penny has allowed 5 ER in 10 IP in 2 starts this year and has walked more batters than he has struck out (7BB / 6K). Opponents are hitting .278 against Penny in his combined 13 IP from starting and relief pitching.
The Mets have averaged over 5 runs per game against the Marlins this season and with Penny on the mound tonight, I like their chances to put enough runs on the board to get the W. Also worth noting is that Jon Niese has allowed just 3 ER in his last 15 IP against Miami.
New York Mets - 108
The Marlins took game 1 of this 3 game set against the Mets on Monday with a 9-6 victory in a game where the New York defense committed six errors. Tuesday’s Bonus Play is all about value and I believe this is on the road team, especially with the Line at (-108).
The Mets hand the baseball to lefty Jon Niese who is having yet another solid season in the New York rotation. The lefty has a 3.74 ERA in 14 road starts this year and has been on one the most consistent pitchers in the NL this campaign. In 25 trips to the mound this season, Niese has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 23 of those outings. Over his last 4 starts, Niese has an ERA of 3.33 whilst averaging 6 2/3 IP.
Brad Penny gets the nod for the Marlins and will make his third start of 2014 tonight. Penny has allowed 5 ER in 10 IP in 2 starts this year and has walked more batters than he has struck out (7BB / 6K). Opponents are hitting .278 against Penny in his combined 13 IP from starting and relief pitching.
The Mets have averaged over 5 runs per game against the Marlins this season and with Penny on the mound tonight, I like their chances to put enough runs on the board to get the W. Also worth noting is that Jon Niese has allowed just 3 ER in his last 15 IP against Miami.
New York Mets - 108
DAVE ESSLER
Free MLB Play and Thoughts
952 ATL / 951 PHI – Over 7.5
Analysis: I know, Braves and over aren’t always in the same sentence, Larry. You guys know I hate Minor and his flyballs, and the Braves have hit Kendrick. One or both of these teams get most of the runs. I don’t have the time to elaborate, but the work’s been done and we’ll see if there are more or add thoughts later.
Here are my thoughts as of now.
It’s hard to pass up Niese at that price, and I’d have loved the under and still do, but don’t get the tick up there at all. Miami does fare better against LHP and does have the better pen, so I would have to agree w/Fish here.
Instinct also says the Cubs fare better against LHP especially at home, but the money is going the other way. At Wrigley with a good hitting pitcher like Gallrado, if they think the Brewers are the winners, I think it goes over.
Since the Cardinals have had trouble all season with LHP, at that price they’re begging for Wainright money but I would take the Pirates, or the RL, which is pricey but perhaps in a parlay.
Since Lyles CAN be a great ground ball pitcher, I could easily take the Rockies ML or RL, and at 10.5 I lean under.
I like Miley in the bigger park in San Diego.
Punt, pass and kick Kerhshaw. Obviously Fister/RL but almost looks to easy at this point. At this price perhaps Dodgers in a parlay. Maybe people are over thinking this one?
I have to lean to Carassco although the money is not. PERHAPS again people over thinking. Indians don’t lose EVERY game against LHP and probably have the better pen and the starter that might pitch deeper.
I like the Yankees over before it gets to 9, and it’s too easy to take NY so I lean Boston RL.
I would almost always, as many of you know, fade Dickey in a Dome where there is no wind to help, and that was actually my first lean last night.
Again, if we could get 8.5 in the Astros game I’d take the over, and since Houston has far more power against LHP’s I could make a good case for Houston RL here.
I don’t like Milone but in a bigger park I could make a reasonable case for the Twins. That is where the money is at this point.
With the total coming down in the Royals game, the sharp side is the Rangers RL, but that’s one that you’d have to take a deep breath to bet.
I like Paxton/Seattle. Oakland is almost appearing desperate and out of character trading for everyone, and now Dunn. Rarely does that work.
Boy, they really hate Latos. At that price I do not, not giving the Reds a DH and the fact that many of them saw Norris in the NL.
Free MLB Play and Thoughts
952 ATL / 951 PHI – Over 7.5
Analysis: I know, Braves and over aren’t always in the same sentence, Larry. You guys know I hate Minor and his flyballs, and the Braves have hit Kendrick. One or both of these teams get most of the runs. I don’t have the time to elaborate, but the work’s been done and we’ll see if there are more or add thoughts later.
Here are my thoughts as of now.
It’s hard to pass up Niese at that price, and I’d have loved the under and still do, but don’t get the tick up there at all. Miami does fare better against LHP and does have the better pen, so I would have to agree w/Fish here.
Instinct also says the Cubs fare better against LHP especially at home, but the money is going the other way. At Wrigley with a good hitting pitcher like Gallrado, if they think the Brewers are the winners, I think it goes over.
Since the Cardinals have had trouble all season with LHP, at that price they’re begging for Wainright money but I would take the Pirates, or the RL, which is pricey but perhaps in a parlay.
Since Lyles CAN be a great ground ball pitcher, I could easily take the Rockies ML or RL, and at 10.5 I lean under.
I like Miley in the bigger park in San Diego.
Punt, pass and kick Kerhshaw. Obviously Fister/RL but almost looks to easy at this point. At this price perhaps Dodgers in a parlay. Maybe people are over thinking this one?
I have to lean to Carassco although the money is not. PERHAPS again people over thinking. Indians don’t lose EVERY game against LHP and probably have the better pen and the starter that might pitch deeper.
I like the Yankees over before it gets to 9, and it’s too easy to take NY so I lean Boston RL.
I would almost always, as many of you know, fade Dickey in a Dome where there is no wind to help, and that was actually my first lean last night.
Again, if we could get 8.5 in the Astros game I’d take the over, and since Houston has far more power against LHP’s I could make a good case for Houston RL here.
I don’t like Milone but in a bigger park I could make a reasonable case for the Twins. That is where the money is at this point.
With the total coming down in the Royals game, the sharp side is the Rangers RL, but that’s one that you’d have to take a deep breath to bet.
I like Paxton/Seattle. Oakland is almost appearing desperate and out of character trading for everyone, and now Dunn. Rarely does that work.
Boy, they really hate Latos. At that price I do not, not giving the Reds a DH and the fact that many of them saw Norris in the NL.
Andre Gomes | MLB Total - 972 HOU / 971 ANA Over 9 Bookmaker.com
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 9 @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker
LAA's SP C.J. Wilson is coming from 3 quality starts in which he allowed 3, 1 & 1 ER's but his pheripals didn't improve at all: high pitch count numbers & poor K/BB ratios. In those 3 starts he couldn't reach the 7th IP and had a pedestrian 10/10 K/BB.
However, I feel that he faced some favorable matchups as suddenly the A's couldn't hit while the Red Sox offense has been struggling for a long time. This can't be said about this HOU lineup that is elite vs. LHP's this season - I have them ranked #3 in the league! This is a bad matchup for him…
On the other end, I expect the Angel's offense to produce some runs off B. Peacock. Like Wilson, Peacock faced OAK on his last start, and even though he managed to allow just 1 ER in 5.1 IP's of work note that he walked 5 (!) batters! I don't think that he will have such "luck" against this LAA potent lineup.
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 9 @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker
LAA's SP C.J. Wilson is coming from 3 quality starts in which he allowed 3, 1 & 1 ER's but his pheripals didn't improve at all: high pitch count numbers & poor K/BB ratios. In those 3 starts he couldn't reach the 7th IP and had a pedestrian 10/10 K/BB.
However, I feel that he faced some favorable matchups as suddenly the A's couldn't hit while the Red Sox offense has been struggling for a long time. This can't be said about this HOU lineup that is elite vs. LHP's this season - I have them ranked #3 in the league! This is a bad matchup for him…
On the other end, I expect the Angel's offense to produce some runs off B. Peacock. Like Wilson, Peacock faced OAK on his last start, and even though he managed to allow just 1 ER in 5.1 IP's of work note that he walked 5 (!) batters! I don't think that he will have such "luck" against this LAA potent lineup.
OMEGA SPORTS PICKS
1.2 to win 1.0 units TOTAL UNDER 7½-120 (MIL BREWERS vrs CHI CUBS)
( Y. GALLARDO -R / J. ARRIETA -R )
The under is 16-6 in Barry’s last 24 home plate umpire appearances,
and 11-3 in the brewers last 14 as a road favorite. Gallardo been very
solid on the road with a 2.39 ERA and a 1.1 whip. Arrieta has been
solid, and did get beat up his last outing, but looking historically,
he tends to have great bounce back games. Each team average just over
3.5 runs per game since the ASB, and I expect at least one of these
pitchers to pitch somewhat lights out tonight, and the other not to
get more run support than average.
1.65 to win 1.5 units TOTAL UNDER 6½-110 (ARI D`BACKS vrs SDG PADRES)
( W. MILEY -L / O. DESPAIGNE -R )
The D-backs and the Padres are 1-6 O/U in their last seven meetings,
and those games have averaged just south of 5.5 runs per game. Wade
Miley is pitching excellent, with his last 4 starts going under the
total. He is also flexing an ERA of just 1.83. He has faced the padres
four time over the past couple of seasons, and been 0-3-1 O/U.
Despaigne has been pitching well at home, with a 2.25 ERA, and even
better at night, sporting a 1.96 ERA and a 1-5 O/U mark. Behind the
plate is Doug Eddings, who in National league games, has gone 1-9-1
O/U and in San Diego games he is 1-5 o/u the last 6, and in d-backs
games, he is 1-4. His overall runs per game come in just over 5.5
making this a great 1.5u play for us tonight
1.2 to win 1.0 units TOTAL UNDER 7½-120 (MIL BREWERS vrs CHI CUBS)
( Y. GALLARDO -R / J. ARRIETA -R )
The under is 16-6 in Barry’s last 24 home plate umpire appearances,
and 11-3 in the brewers last 14 as a road favorite. Gallardo been very
solid on the road with a 2.39 ERA and a 1.1 whip. Arrieta has been
solid, and did get beat up his last outing, but looking historically,
he tends to have great bounce back games. Each team average just over
3.5 runs per game since the ASB, and I expect at least one of these
pitchers to pitch somewhat lights out tonight, and the other not to
get more run support than average.
1.65 to win 1.5 units TOTAL UNDER 6½-110 (ARI D`BACKS vrs SDG PADRES)
( W. MILEY -L / O. DESPAIGNE -R )
The D-backs and the Padres are 1-6 O/U in their last seven meetings,
and those games have averaged just south of 5.5 runs per game. Wade
Miley is pitching excellent, with his last 4 starts going under the
total. He is also flexing an ERA of just 1.83. He has faced the padres
four time over the past couple of seasons, and been 0-3-1 O/U.
Despaigne has been pitching well at home, with a 2.25 ERA, and even
better at night, sporting a 1.96 ERA and a 1-5 O/U mark. Behind the
plate is Doug Eddings, who in National league games, has gone 1-9-1
O/U and in San Diego games he is 1-5 o/u the last 6, and in d-backs
games, he is 1-4. His overall runs per game come in just over 5.5
making this a great 1.5u play for us tonight
Expert: Ben Burns
Boston vs. NY Yankees - September 2, 2014 - 7:05 PM
Pick: @ NY Yankees
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Sep 2 - 7:05 PM
Reason For Pick:
9* American League Personal Favorite, Yankees
Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis - September 2, 2014 - 8:15 PM
Pick: @ St. Louis
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Sep 2 - 8:15 PM
Reason For Pick:
9* National League Personal Favorite, St. Louis,
