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Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 10:05 PM EST.
Baltimore Orioles (53-58) at Los Angeles Angels (70-42)
(L) Chris Waters (0-0) vs. (R) Jon Garland (10-6)
The Baltimore Orioles have lost five of the last six meetings versus the Los Angeles Angels and six of its last seven at Angel Stadium.
Baltimore's Chris Waters (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his major league debut. The southpaw went 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 18 games, including 16 starts with Triple-A Norfolk.
Los Angeles' Jon Garland (10-6, 4.30 ERA) is 2-0 with a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 7-2 with a 4.40 ERS in 11 career outings, including 9 starts versus the Orioles
Take the Angels at home with Jon Garland on the mound. Los Angeles has taken 11 of the last 14 games against Baltimore played at Angel Stadium and right-hander Garland has won his last six starts against them, 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA this season.
Los Angeles Angels -200
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Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 10:05 PM EST.
Baltimore Orioles (53-58) at Los Angeles Angels (70-42)
(L) Chris Waters (0-0) vs. (R) Jon Garland (10-6)
The Baltimore Orioles have lost five of the last six meetings versus the Los Angeles Angels and six of its last seven at Angel Stadium.
Baltimore's Chris Waters (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his major league debut. The southpaw went 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 18 games, including 16 starts with Triple-A Norfolk.
Los Angeles' Jon Garland (10-6, 4.30 ERA) is 2-0 with a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 7-2 with a 4.40 ERS in 11 career outings, including 9 starts versus the Orioles
Take the Angels at home with Jon Garland on the mound. Los Angeles has taken 11 of the last 14 games against Baltimore played at Angel Stadium and right-hander Garland has won his last six starts against them, 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA this season.
Los Angeles Angels -200
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The Duke's Sports
Cincinnati (-120) [Volquez over Bush] for 2 Units
Brewers/Reds 7:10: The Brewers' Dave Bush has been shaky on the road (7.11 ERA) and should struggle in this spot; after all, Bush sports a bloated 8.38 ERA in four lifetime starts vs the Reds. The Reds counter with Edinson Volquez who pitches well at home. Volquez controls a 6-1 mark with a 3.34 ERA at home for Cincy. He also threw well at Milwaukee July, 8, 2008 - allowing just 1 ER in 7 innings. We'll look for Volquez to regain form tonight vs Milwaukee.
ChiSox (-139) [Floyd over Robertson] for 1 Unit
Cincinnati (-120) [Volquez over Bush] for 2 Units
Brewers/Reds 7:10: The Brewers' Dave Bush has been shaky on the road (7.11 ERA) and should struggle in this spot; after all, Bush sports a bloated 8.38 ERA in four lifetime starts vs the Reds. The Reds counter with Edinson Volquez who pitches well at home. Volquez controls a 6-1 mark with a 3.34 ERA at home for Cincy. He also threw well at Milwaukee July, 8, 2008 - allowing just 1 ER in 7 innings. We'll look for Volquez to regain form tonight vs Milwaukee.
ChiSox (-139) [Floyd over Robertson] for 1 Unit
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Insider Sports Report
Boston/Kansas City (MLB) OVER 8.
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Boston/Kansas City (MLB) OVER 8.
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TOM FREESE
Blue Line Club
Detroit at Chicago (8:10pm)
Chicago is 7-0 off a day off and they are 7-0 their last 7 games vs. lefty starters. The White Sox are 22-8 their last 30 games vs. losing teams and they are 12-2 with Gavin Floyd if their opponent scored 5 or more runs in their last game. Detroit is 7-21 their last 28 games as underdogs and they are 2-10 their last 12 games vs. winning teams. The Tigers are 16-36 in the last 52 road starts made by Nate Robertson and they are 4-13 in his last 17 August starts. Detroit is 2-7 the last 9 starts made by Robertson vs. the White Sox. PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Floyd vs. Robertson)
Blue Line Club
Detroit at Chicago (8:10pm)
Chicago is 7-0 off a day off and they are 7-0 their last 7 games vs. lefty starters. The White Sox are 22-8 their last 30 games vs. losing teams and they are 12-2 with Gavin Floyd if their opponent scored 5 or more runs in their last game. Detroit is 7-21 their last 28 games as underdogs and they are 2-10 their last 12 games vs. winning teams. The Tigers are 16-36 in the last 52 road starts made by Nate Robertson and they are 4-13 in his last 17 August starts. Detroit is 2-7 the last 9 starts made by Robertson vs. the White Sox. PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Floyd vs. Robertson)
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">GATOR REPORT
MLB 70% Super Situations:
MLB Tuesday: Play On MLB (NL) home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is >= 2.250 over his last 3 starts, 31-10 SU since 1997 (75.6%). PLAY: San Francisco -125
MLB Tuesday: Play Over MLB (NL) road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, in August games. 38-13 Over the last five seasons. (74.5%) PLAY: Milwaukee / Cincinnati OVER 9 (-120)
________________________________________
MLB Top Angles:
MLB Tuesday: Moyer (Phil) is 11-1 SU against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).
MLB Tuesday: Carpenter (Stl) is 40-7 SU against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record).
MLB Tuesday: Pittsburgh is 1-16 SU against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MLB Tuesday: Dickey (Sea) is 1-14 SU against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times per game since 1997. (Team's Record).
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MLB 70% Super Situations:
MLB Tuesday: Play On MLB (NL) home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is >= 2.250 over his last 3 starts, 31-10 SU since 1997 (75.6%). PLAY: San Francisco -125
MLB Tuesday: Play Over MLB (NL) road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, in August games. 38-13 Over the last five seasons. (74.5%) PLAY: Milwaukee / Cincinnati OVER 9 (-120)
________________________________________
MLB Top Angles:
MLB Tuesday: Moyer (Phil) is 11-1 SU against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).
MLB Tuesday: Carpenter (Stl) is 40-7 SU against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record).
MLB Tuesday: Pittsburgh is 1-16 SU against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MLB Tuesday: Dickey (Sea) is 1-14 SU against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times per game since 1997. (Team's Record).
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JIMMY THE MOOSE
Game: Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays Aug 5 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
Reason: Oakland is 1-11 in their last 12 road games. The A's are 8-21 in their last 29 games overall. Oakland is 8-25 in their last 33 games as an underdog. In their last 15 games vs. AL East opponents the A's are 2-13. The A's have lost Smith's last 3 starts. Oakland is 1-7 in his last 8 starts as an underdog. Toronto is 11-4 in their last 15 home games. In their last 12 games as a favorite they are 10-2. Toronto is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The Jays Scott Richmond will be making his second career start and he looked pretty good in his first one. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.
Game: Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays Aug 5 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
Reason: Oakland is 1-11 in their last 12 road games. The A's are 8-21 in their last 29 games overall. Oakland is 8-25 in their last 33 games as an underdog. In their last 15 games vs. AL East opponents the A's are 2-13. The A's have lost Smith's last 3 starts. Oakland is 1-7 in his last 8 starts as an underdog. Toronto is 11-4 in their last 15 home games. In their last 12 games as a favorite they are 10-2. Toronto is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The Jays Scott Richmond will be making his second career start and he looked pretty good in his first one. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.
Ben Burns | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet904 PHI (-155)Bodog vs 903 FLA
Analysis: I'm laying the price with PHILADELPHIA. Give the Marlins credit, as they've managed to hang around in the playoff race for a lot longer than most people would have expected. They're in tough tonight though. They just dropped two of three vs. the Rockies, including a disheartening loss on Sunday, which saw them blow a lead which they held for most of the game. Now they travel to Philadelphia to face a red hot Phillies team which has won seven of eight games. Making matters worse, they're up against a pitcher who they've never beaten.
In 10 career starts against the Marlins, Jamie Moyer has gone a perfect 10-0. All 10 of those starts came as a member of Philadelphia and the Phillies won by a combined score of 63-27. Moyer had a 3.03 ERA in those games with an outstanding 0.98 WHIP. Philadelphia closer Brad Lidge had this to say about Moyer's dominance of the Marlins: "He's such a good pitcher, sometimes he can use a team's aggressiveness against them. Florida has a very aggressive team - they hit a lot of home runs. Jamie's style matches up good against them. He's such a master of what he's doing, he can see what they're swinging at and move it a couple of inches." Moyer will be opposed by Josh Johnson, who's coming off his first win since August of 2006. While Johnson has been relatively solid for the Marlins, he's still only made two road starts. He has a 4.36 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in those games and has averaged just 5.2 innings per start. Nothing too impressive about that. He also has a poor 4.64 ERA in five career appearances against the Phillies. Look for Moyer to continue his series dominance as the Phillies remain red hot and pad their lead in the East. *Annihilator
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Ben Burns | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet906 CIN (-124)Bodog vs 905 MIL
Analysis: I'm playing on CINCINNATI. I won with the Reds yesterday and I feel that they provide us with excellent value again today. Volquez is 13-3 as a starter (13-4 overall) with an excellent 2.74 ERA. That's significantly better than Bush's 5-9 record and 4.73 ERA in his 19 starts. That doesn't tell the whole story about Bush though. To get a better idea about Bush we need to look more closely at his stats.
For starters, Bush really prefers to pitch during the day. In five daytime starts, he's 3-2 with a 3.53 ERA. On the other hand, in 15 night appearances (14 starts) he's gone 2-7 with a 5.18 ERA. His home/road numbers are even more revealing. In 11 home starts, Bush is 4-3 with a solid 3.30 ERA. However, in eight road starts he's 1-6 (Brewers are 1-7) with a brutal 7.11 ERA. This isn't just a one-year fluke either. Last season, he had a 4.26 ERA at home but a 6.14 ERA on the road. In 2006, he was 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA and but 3-7 with a 5.38 ERA on the road. You get the idea.
In addition to his problems on the road, Bush has really struggled vs. the Reds. Indeed, in eight career starts vs. Cincinnati, all of them as a member of the Brewers, he's gone 1-3 with an awful 8.38 ERA and 1.862 WHIP. Not surprisingly, Milwaukee lost the last five of those games, going 2-6 overall. The Brewers are 0-5 in Bush's five starts at Cincinnati losing by a combined score of 51-26. In those games, Bush allowed 29 earned runs in just 18 1/3 innings. That's a 14.24 ERA! Meanwhile, Volquez was dominant in his lone start against the Brewers, which came just a few weeks ago. In that game, Volquez allowed just one run through 7 1/3 innings, striking out 10, en route to a 8-2 Milwaukee win. Look for Volquez to get the better of Bush as the Reds hand the Brewers their third straight loss.
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Ben Burns | MLB Total
double-dime bet922 TEX / 921 NYY UNDER 11.5 Bodog
Analysis: I'm playing on the Rangers and Yankees to finish UNDER the number. It's true that both these teams can put up plenty of runs. We saw that last night, as the series opener sailed above the total. The betting public was all over the 'over' in that game and they'll be favoring the over again. That has helped caused the over/under line for tonight's game to be significantly higher, which I feel has provided us with excellent value. It's important to note that last night's game featured a pair of right-handed starters. However, tonight's game features a pair of southpaw starters.
Pettitte gets the call for the visitors and he's seen the UNDER go 8-2 his last 10 starts and a highly profitable 17-6 on the season, including 9-2 on the road. Note that he has a excellent 3.50 ERA in those 11 road starts. Pettitte has also seen the UNDER go 7-2-1 his last 10 starts against Texas. Harrison goes for Texas and his numbers admittedly aren't too great. However, he has shown flashes of real potential, like when he held the best team in the league (Angels) to just two runs through seven innings, en route to a 3-2 Texas victory. Note that he'll have the advantage of facing the Yankees for the first time.
The Rangers entered last night's game with an impressive .302 average against right-handed starters while scoring a whopping 6.2 runs per game. Conversely, they enter tonight's game averaging just 4.6 vs. left-handed starters with a .265 average. The Yankees entered last night's game hitting .275 against right-handers, while averaging exactly five runs per game. However, they enter tonight's game averaging 4.4 runs vs. left-handers with a .264 batting average. They've seen the UNDER go 6-1 their last seven games against southpaw starters with ALL seven of those games producing 11 runs or less. Looking back further and we find the UNDER is 20-12-1 against southpaws this season and a highly profitable 67-48-6 the past three years. Look for tonight's game to be lower-scoring than expected once again with the final combined score falling beneath the inflated number.
double-dime bet904 PHI (-155)Bodog vs 903 FLA
Analysis: I'm laying the price with PHILADELPHIA. Give the Marlins credit, as they've managed to hang around in the playoff race for a lot longer than most people would have expected. They're in tough tonight though. They just dropped two of three vs. the Rockies, including a disheartening loss on Sunday, which saw them blow a lead which they held for most of the game. Now they travel to Philadelphia to face a red hot Phillies team which has won seven of eight games. Making matters worse, they're up against a pitcher who they've never beaten.
In 10 career starts against the Marlins, Jamie Moyer has gone a perfect 10-0. All 10 of those starts came as a member of Philadelphia and the Phillies won by a combined score of 63-27. Moyer had a 3.03 ERA in those games with an outstanding 0.98 WHIP. Philadelphia closer Brad Lidge had this to say about Moyer's dominance of the Marlins: "He's such a good pitcher, sometimes he can use a team's aggressiveness against them. Florida has a very aggressive team - they hit a lot of home runs. Jamie's style matches up good against them. He's such a master of what he's doing, he can see what they're swinging at and move it a couple of inches." Moyer will be opposed by Josh Johnson, who's coming off his first win since August of 2006. While Johnson has been relatively solid for the Marlins, he's still only made two road starts. He has a 4.36 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in those games and has averaged just 5.2 innings per start. Nothing too impressive about that. He also has a poor 4.64 ERA in five career appearances against the Phillies. Look for Moyer to continue his series dominance as the Phillies remain red hot and pad their lead in the East. *Annihilator
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Ben Burns | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet906 CIN (-124)Bodog vs 905 MIL
Analysis: I'm playing on CINCINNATI. I won with the Reds yesterday and I feel that they provide us with excellent value again today. Volquez is 13-3 as a starter (13-4 overall) with an excellent 2.74 ERA. That's significantly better than Bush's 5-9 record and 4.73 ERA in his 19 starts. That doesn't tell the whole story about Bush though. To get a better idea about Bush we need to look more closely at his stats.
For starters, Bush really prefers to pitch during the day. In five daytime starts, he's 3-2 with a 3.53 ERA. On the other hand, in 15 night appearances (14 starts) he's gone 2-7 with a 5.18 ERA. His home/road numbers are even more revealing. In 11 home starts, Bush is 4-3 with a solid 3.30 ERA. However, in eight road starts he's 1-6 (Brewers are 1-7) with a brutal 7.11 ERA. This isn't just a one-year fluke either. Last season, he had a 4.26 ERA at home but a 6.14 ERA on the road. In 2006, he was 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA and but 3-7 with a 5.38 ERA on the road. You get the idea.
In addition to his problems on the road, Bush has really struggled vs. the Reds. Indeed, in eight career starts vs. Cincinnati, all of them as a member of the Brewers, he's gone 1-3 with an awful 8.38 ERA and 1.862 WHIP. Not surprisingly, Milwaukee lost the last five of those games, going 2-6 overall. The Brewers are 0-5 in Bush's five starts at Cincinnati losing by a combined score of 51-26. In those games, Bush allowed 29 earned runs in just 18 1/3 innings. That's a 14.24 ERA! Meanwhile, Volquez was dominant in his lone start against the Brewers, which came just a few weeks ago. In that game, Volquez allowed just one run through 7 1/3 innings, striking out 10, en route to a 8-2 Milwaukee win. Look for Volquez to get the better of Bush as the Reds hand the Brewers their third straight loss.
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Ben Burns | MLB Total
double-dime bet922 TEX / 921 NYY UNDER 11.5 Bodog
Analysis: I'm playing on the Rangers and Yankees to finish UNDER the number. It's true that both these teams can put up plenty of runs. We saw that last night, as the series opener sailed above the total. The betting public was all over the 'over' in that game and they'll be favoring the over again. That has helped caused the over/under line for tonight's game to be significantly higher, which I feel has provided us with excellent value. It's important to note that last night's game featured a pair of right-handed starters. However, tonight's game features a pair of southpaw starters.
Pettitte gets the call for the visitors and he's seen the UNDER go 8-2 his last 10 starts and a highly profitable 17-6 on the season, including 9-2 on the road. Note that he has a excellent 3.50 ERA in those 11 road starts. Pettitte has also seen the UNDER go 7-2-1 his last 10 starts against Texas. Harrison goes for Texas and his numbers admittedly aren't too great. However, he has shown flashes of real potential, like when he held the best team in the league (Angels) to just two runs through seven innings, en route to a 3-2 Texas victory. Note that he'll have the advantage of facing the Yankees for the first time.
The Rangers entered last night's game with an impressive .302 average against right-handed starters while scoring a whopping 6.2 runs per game. Conversely, they enter tonight's game averaging just 4.6 vs. left-handed starters with a .265 average. The Yankees entered last night's game hitting .275 against right-handers, while averaging exactly five runs per game. However, they enter tonight's game averaging 4.4 runs vs. left-handers with a .264 batting average. They've seen the UNDER go 6-1 their last seven games against southpaw starters with ALL seven of those games producing 11 runs or less. Looking back further and we find the UNDER is 20-12-1 against southpaws this season and a highly profitable 67-48-6 the past three years. Look for tonight's game to be lower-scoring than expected once again with the final combined score falling beneath the inflated number.
One time
C'mon, already pounding out the requests. Four posts yesterday requesting picks starting in the AM and three of them for Hitman.
Service Plays Monday 8/4/08
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
William Kidd?
William Kidd?
Service Plays Monday 8/4/08
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
hitman ?:uzi:
hitman ?:uzi:
Service Plays Monday 8/4/08
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
anyhitman? thanks
anyhitman?
thanks
Service Plays Monday 8/4/08
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
Hitman
Hitman
:WTF:Why not buy it just once...at least it would justify the begging.
Or if not, sit back and be patient like the rest of us till it gets posted.
C'mon, already pounding out the requests. Four posts yesterday requesting picks starting in the AM and three of them for Hitman.
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
William Kidd?
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
hitman ?:uzi:
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
anyhitman?
thanks
Views: 11,665
Posted By B.S.S.
Hitman
:WTF:Why not buy it just once...at least it would justify the begging.
Or if not, sit back and be patient like the rest of us till it gets posted.
