Service Plays Tuesday 7/22/14

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AKA Mr. Chalk.
Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for July 21, 2014


St. Louis Cardinals
 

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Bob Balfe

Boston -115

Peavy/Happ
The RedSox are finally starting to hit and they are putting on a show. This is a team that always starts slow and come 2nd half of the year start to make their push. Jake Peavy is too good of a pitcher to be 1-8 this season. If this team can start giving their guys some run support the sky is the limit. Take Boston.
 

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LBSmuggler
40* 17-7+322 units
20* 50-22+541 units
10* 98-71+253 units

20* Royals -115
10* Pirates -113
 
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brad wilton
50 dime
yanks and texas under 9

In the last 4 days he has gone 4-0 . i been tracking the ats edge fuckers and the top 4 in the last 4 days are

Brad wilton 4-0
sean micheals 4-0
trace adams 4-0
craig davis 3-1

Not bad. but stick with these guys they have pretty good the last 4 days. today is day 5 so we will see what they do
 
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ATARI SPORTS

MLB PLAY OF THE DAY

Washington Nationals -1 (-144)

Risking 2.51 units to win 1.72 units

8:40pm start

Zimmerman, Flande must start

Washington paid out for us yesterday and they’ll look to do so again today with another huge mismatch on the mound. 38 hits in 4 days has the Nationals in a groove that we like to see when we’re putting money behind them. They’ve won 5 of 6 while the Rockies have dropped 6 in a row. Washington welcomes back Bryce Harper after his day off and they look to win their 4th on the road and their 5th in a row over Colorado.

The Rockies are hurting once again and will not be giving their team a fair shot of winning this one with Yohan Flande getting the start. He’s 0-2 with a 7.36ERA in 14.2 innings of work surrendering 21 hits. He wasn’t able to strike out a single batter in his last start on July 6 and went back to Triple A to give up another 8 runs in 6 innings over 2 games. Awful.

Jordan Zimmerman is 6-5 with a 3.03ERA and will make his first start after mildly straining his bicep on July 11. He sat out the All-Star Game and got enough rest to be good to go without any pitch count restrictions. He’s the kind of pitcher that gives you confidence in his ability to control the game and to limit opportunities from the opposing team.

The Nats are simply hitting well with Ryan Zimmerman scoring in 5 straight games and getting on base 8 games in a row. Ian Desmond was 5-5 last night after a HR and 2 RBIs. Look for the Nats to continue this hot streak tonight with your MLB PLAY OF THE DAY.
 
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WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Atlanta Dream@Minnesota Lynx 8:00PM EST

MINNESOTA LYNX -5.5

the WNBA All Star Game is history,but it was the best All Star game I can remember with an unexpected win from the East thanks to rookie Shoni Shimmel with a 29point record breaking performance

but today the league continues and "Showtime"Shoni and her teamates from the Atlanta Dream have to travel to Minnesota to play the reigning WNBA Champions Lynx

and they have to do it without coach Michael Cooper who will be missing the nexr games because of a surgery, Cooper was diagnosed with tongue cancer in early stadium and is scheduled to be out for about 3 weeks,assistant coach Karleen Thompson will take over for this time

The Minnesota Lynx might have back Rebbekah Brunson for the first time this season,last year she was the best rebounder of the league and she will stabilize the Lynx defense,it looks like Seimone Augustus will still be sidelined with her knee injury, at home the Lynx should be favored over a Atlanta Team that struggles on the road, the Dream have lost 8 straight games in Minnesota, Maya Moore is still in fantastic form, against Tulsa the Lynx outscored their opponents 53-28 in the paint and 23-4 in transition

the Atlanta Dream will miss their new aquisition, veteran Delisha Milton Jones who is ruled out for the season with a ACL injury,this could be a high scoring game again between these two teams, at New York where the dream lost 75-77 last week we saw again that the Dream still have problems on the road, I go with the Minnesota Lynx today - 5.5 ,it will be interseting to see if Shoni Shimmel get a little bit more game time after her fantastic All Star performance Maya Moore vs Angel Mc Coughtry this is the best the WNBA have to offer
 
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Sammy P

New York at Seattle
Play:: Seattle -110

The Seattle Mariners got the job last night against the NY Mets in a 5-2 win. The score wasn't indicative of the game as the Mariners hit the ball all over the park on Mets starter Jon Niese and deserved to put up more runs. Seattle has been able to hang around the wildcard playoff race with a 53-46 record. Playing in the difficult AL West has been a challenge, but the starting pitching has been Seattle's saving grace. The Mariners have Erasmo Ramirez on the mound tonight as they look to rest over worked starters Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma another day. Ramirez hasn't had the prettiest of starts this season, but he has turned the corner as of late giving up just two earned runs in his last four starts. Jacob deGrom takes the hill for the Mets tonight and this young starter has been impressive at times. The Mets just don't have the bats to take advantage of a weaker starter being plugged into the rotation here. New York has now lost three straight games and they've scored just 3 runs in those losses. Seattle is getting a very cheap price here at home. Back the better team at home tonight.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

CHICAGO +104 over Kansas City

The White Sox took the opener last night and have now won three of their last four. Scott Carroll has an ERA of 4.19 after nine starts and six relief appearances covering 68.2 innings. He started the year in the rotation but was subsequently demoted to the pen after four rough starts in his first five outings. A string of solid, long relief outings earned him another shot in the rotation and the results have been promising. Since being reinserted into the rotation, Carroll’s groundball rate is off the charts at 62% over his last four starts. His line-drive rate of 16% over that same span reveals that weak contact is being made off him. Carroll has allowed no runs in 11.2 innings over his last two starts and while the sample size is small and the risk is still present, Carroll and the South Side should not be a pooch at home to Bruce Chen and the ice-cold Royals.

K.C. has dropped four in a row and seven of eight. Chen is taking the place of the injured Jason Vargas and that’s the only reason he’s being handed the ball. After struggling in four April starts, Chen missed more than two months with a back injury. He threw four rehab starts, where he had a horrific 8.22 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in 15 IP. Chen has a 6.46 ERA at this level and has only made one MLB start since April. Age (37), fly-ball%, and xERA history all warn of significant downside and in no way can this stiff be trusted as the chalk.


Miami +170 over ATLANTA

After undergoing urethra surgery and then injuring his shoulder as he tried to ramp up for spring training, Mike Minor has been uninspiring in his first 14 starts this season. Minor has always been a fly-ball pitcher. He continually finishes near the top of the league in fly ball percentage, which leads to a good deal of home runs allowed and Minor has certainly fit the bill in that respect. He’s already been tagged for 14 jacks in just 83 innings. Overall, Minor has a BAA of .295, an ugly WHIP of 1.46 and an ERA of 4.86, which isn’t far off his xERA of 4.77. At home, Minor has been just as bad with a 1-4 record and an ERA of 4.76. Minor has a good history and there is a chance of a turnaround but we wouldn’t be looking to spot -180 or thereabouts to find out. Injuries take a toll and some pitchers never recover. Minor could be one of those guys.

Jacob Turner could be one of the sneakiest, good plays of the year. He’s appeared in just 17 games this season with nine of those coming as a starter. His ERA is 6.22 and that’s why he’s being offered such a big tag here but we would not put much emphasis on that ERA. He was moved to the pen to work some things out and it may have paid off. He’s always had nasty stuff so now would be the time to buy low. Turner is another post-hype prospect who has made significant gains recently as a reliever. His skills out of the Miami bullpen: 8.0 K’s/9, 1.7 BB/9, 56% groundball rate. As a groundball pitcher with a 10% swinging strike rate lurking behind his poor surface stats, Turner has the goods to deliver significant profits in the second half. Turner is still very young (23), with a 1st-round pedigree and he also has many gems under his belt in his 42 career starts. He’s been moved back to the rotation and has a chance to absolutely thrive here against a lineup that can be made to look silly from time to time. Definite overlay.


N.Y. Mets +105 over SEATTLE

Erasmo Ramirez continues to mix his swing-and-miss stuff with being too hittable. Batters have been able to square up his fastball when he doesn't locate it in the strike zone effectively, as shown by the 10 HR’s he has allowed in 53 IP innings. Ramirez has just four pure quality starts in 11 attempts. He has just one win on the year in those 11 starts and in his last start he walked five batters in four innings before given the hook. Ramirez is a huge risk. His 4.58 ERA, 4.97 xERA and 1.58 WHIP confirm that. Ramirez has spent the last month at Triple-A Tacoma where he didn’t fare much better with a 0-1 record, a 4.12 ERA and 4.81 xERA over four starts. The timing of this call-up suggests that the M’s may have made this move in hopes of attracting some buyers at the trade deadline but we’re not going to be one of them.

Max Scherzer, David Price, Zack Greinke, Stephen Strasburg, and Chris Sale are all strikeout artists that have thrived in that department all season and especially so over the past month. Jacob deGrom takes a back seat to none of them. deGrom has put it all together recently, as over his last three starts, he has a 27/4 K/BB in 19 innings to go along with an outstanding 17% swinging strike rate. That 17% swing and miss rate is the highest of any pitcher in the majors in July. deGrom has 38 K’s and a 1.65 ERA over his last five starts covering 33 innings. At home, the Mariners average only 3½ runs per game while having a .235 BA and .657 OPS. Taking back a tag, the Mets with deGrom starting are a far better option than Seattle spotting a price with Ramirez starting.
 
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WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish - Soccer

#Pick #1 UEFA Champions League 12:00PM EST

Ludogrets -1,-1.5 over Dudelange -122

Tue 7/22 104 Ludogorets 1947 (UCL) -1,-1½ -122 -256 o3 +107
12:00PM 105 Dudelange (UCL) +1,+1½ +102 +754 u3 -127
106 Draw +391

#Pick#2

UEFA Champions League 12:00PM EST

Sparta Prague -1.5 goals over Levadia Tallin 2x -144



Tue 7/22 107 Sparta Prague (UCL) -1½ -144 -380 o3,3½ +104
12:00PM 108 Levadia Tallinn (UCL) +1½ +129 +1076 u3,3½ -119
109 Draw +516



#Pick # 3

UEFA Championsleague

Partizan Belgrade -1,-1.5 goals over HB Thorshavn -108



Tue 7/22 119 Partizan Belgrade (UCL) -1,-1½ -108 -236 o3,3½ +130
2:00PM 120 HB Torshavn (UCL) +1,+1½ -112 +693 u3,3½ -150
121 Draw +383



#Pick#4

UEFA U19 Championship 2:30PM EST

Portugal vs Hungary OVER 3.5 goals +117

Tue 7/22 1507 Portugal U19 (UEFA-Cham) -1,-1½ -114 -225 o3½ +117
2:30PM 1508 Hungary U19 (UEFA-Cham) +1,+1½ -101 +635 u3½ -137
1509 Draw +398


THURSDAY
and last but not least a late game from Major League Soccer 10PM EST

#Pick#5

Real Salt Lake City -.5,-1 goal -111

Thu 7/24 101 Montreal Impact (USA-MLS) +½,+1 -104 +416 o2½ -120
10:00PM 102 Salt Lake (USA-MLS) -½,-1 -111 -138 u2½ +105
103 Draw +293
 
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Britney Deluca

Take MINNESOTA +125 to make the tribe see double today!
Take TORONTO +105 to have a tea party of their own tonight!
Take PHILADELPHIA +120 to make the big men feel small!
 

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