Andre Gomes | MLB RunLine
Free pick
902 WAS -1.5 (+105)
Bookmaker.com vs 901 PHIAnalysis: MLB - 901 Philadelphia Phillies @ 902 Washington Nationals
(Starting Pitchers: D. Buchanan vs. J. Zimmermann)
Play #1
In my opinion, the Nationals have a great spot to win easily vs. PHI tonight. They enjoyed a nice day-off yesterday, and we are dealing w/ the #3 ranked offense in the league in L7 days according to my numbers w/ 0.370 wOBA. Also, note that Ryan Zimmerman has returned to the lineup, so we expect WAS to be decent offensively. They will face David Buchanan in here, and I simply don't trust him. Buchanan had just "OK" numbers in AAA w/ 3.98 ERA & 4.17 FIP and he was solid in his first start vs. LAD in which he had game log numbers of 3.60 ERA & 2.27 FIP! However, he had only 2 K's and quite naturally, he was due for a letdown in the next start that indeed happened: 4 R's, 3 ER's and again, just 2 K's vs. 2BB's! I expect him to have some troubles tonight vs. WAS.
On the other end, Jordan Zimmermann is due for some quality outings. In his L4 outings, he has allowed 5, 3, 4 and 3 ER's but his advanced numbers showed that he has been a bit unlucky as of late:
Vs. MIA: ERA=5.40 vs. FIP=2.47
@ PIT: ERA=6.00 vs. FIP=5.40
Vs. NYM: ERA=4.50 vs. FIP=3.74
@ ARI: ERA=7.94 vs. FIP=3.95
As you can see, in all those L4 starts, Zimmerman had ERA > FIP numbers! PHI offense is struggling lately - I have them ranked #25, #21 and #22 in the last month / L14 days & L7 days and so, we have a clear mismatch on the mound & offensively as well favoring the Nationals tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Washington Nationals RL-1.5 (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ +105 / 2.05 on
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