Service Plays Tuesday 6/3/14

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Against – Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) well rested team – playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent tired team – playing their 3rd game in 5 days
36-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.0% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents
107-57 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 44.3 units )
 
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River city sharps

3 units - kansas city royals (+110)

Runs have been awfully hard to come by for the St. Louis Cardinals, who have been shut out in consecutive games. Tonight they will try their luck against the Royals James Shields (6-3, 3.36 ERA) as the Cardinals will send lefty Jaime Garcia (1-0, 4.12 ERA) to the hill. The Royals have really responded when Shields gets the ball as they have won the last five starts he has made and eight of the last nine. Shields pitched really well early in the season but has been roughed up in his past two outings. Garcia hasn't faced the Cardinals since 2011, but does have an 0-1 record with a 7.30 ERA in those starts. The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games and hitting has been a big problem, batting just .200 in those games. The Royals have also really enjoyed some success against LHP, as they are 14-6 in their last 20 road games vs. a left-handed starter. They have also handled this interleague thing pretty well as they are 5-1 this season in IL games. Too much value here for us to ignore the road puppy!
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Against – Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) well rested team – playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent tired team – playing their 3rd game in 5 days
36-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.0% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents
107-57 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 44.3 units )
 
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Three big betting trends for the NHL Stanley Cup final

Moneyline favorites are a perfect 7-0 SU in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup final since 2007.

The Stanley Cup final not only marks the final journey for two teams looking to become NHL champions, it also represents the final game action for bettors before the start of the three-month offseason.

Bettors will note several interesting trends - not only those involving the Los Angeles Kings and the New York Rangers, but those relating to previous Stanley Cup championships. And if past history in either case continues in this year's title showdown, following the trends could pay handsomely.

Here are three trends going into this year's Stanley Cup final:

Favorites Dominate Game 1

The favored team has been automatic since 2007 when it comes to setting the tone, going a perfect 7-0 SU in Game 1. The favorites ranged from a narrow -107, the moneyline the Kings cashed in on with their 2-1 win over New Jersey in the 2012 Stanley Cup opener, to the -188 pricetag the Vancouver Canucks converted in their 1-0 triumph over Boston in the 2011 championship curtain raiser. The Under has also been a strong play in Game 1, with Chicago's 4-3 overtime win over Boston in last year's Stanley Cup opener representing just the second Over in the past seven Game 1s.

Unders Lead the Way

The trend of fewer goals being scored later in the postseason really takes hold in the final, where the Under has been the predominant play for the better part of the previous seven Stanley Cup series. Teams have amassed a 15-24-4 O/U mark in those contests, with the Boston Bruins-Vancouver Canucks seven-game thriller in 2010 (5-1-0 O/U) serving as the only outlier in that time. The Under has been a particularly strong play over the previous two Stanley Cup finals, coming through in eight of the 12 games.

Kings of the Overs

Los Angeles has had a wild ride to the final - rallying from a 3-0 first-round deficit against San Jose and needing Game 7 victories to win each of its first three series. But the most amazing development in the Kings' quest to win a second Stanley Cup may be the extent to which it has bucked its incredible regular-season O/U trend.

Los Angeles had the best Under mark in the league at 22-41 O/U - thanks in large part to the league's best goals-against total - but has turned that on its face in the postseason, going 13-5-3 O/U entering the final. That includes six straight Overs to end its conference final win over Chicago.
 
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Ecks and Bacon

E&B and "Mr Chalk" hd Np for Monday.

For Tuesday in Soccer E&B like Bosnia/Mexico and a play on the draw.

For Tuesday in MLB "Mr Chalk" likes two.

(1) Tigers-$140/Blue Jays

(2) Rockies -$165Diamondbacks

Ben lee is 138-156-5 -$2630 through Thirty One weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 26-24 -$517 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
 

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -170 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

Jordan Zimmermann has won 15 of the last 20 games when pitching in the month of June and he has won 15 of the last 19 games when pitching as a favorite of -175 to -250.Jordan Zimmermann has won 6 of the last 8 games when pitching on a Tuesday and he has won 17 of the last 25 games when pitching with five or six days of rest.

=====================================================



50* Play Colorado -160 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Milwaukee -150 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 

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BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL



10* Play New York Yankees +110 over Oakland (MLB TOP PLAY)

New York is 80-57 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons
New York is 96-77 coming off an OVER the total the last three seasons
New York is 63-46 after scoring two runs or less in their last game


10* Play Miami +100 over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Tampa Bay is 11-21 in road games this season
Tampa Bay is 19-30 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Tampa Bay is 14-21 when playing on a Tuesday the last two seasons

=============================================

5* Play San Francisco +110 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play NY Mets +100 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

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XpertPicks

TUESDAY BASEBALL



  • Play New York Yankees +105 over Oakland---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

    7:00 PM EST

Scott Kazmir has lost 12 of the last 16 games vs. AL East Division Opponents and he has lost 21 of the last 36 games when pitching on a Tuesday. Scott Kazmir has lost 56 of the last 100 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he has lost 62 of the last 119 road games.




  • Play Chicago White Sox +190 over Los Angeles Dodgers----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    10:00 PM EST

Dan Haren has lost 16 of the last 23 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has lost 26 of the last 42 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season. Dan Haren has lost 31 of the last 51 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 31 of the last 53 games coming off a team win.
 

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Kevin's Pick(s):
The Red Sox lost 3-2 last night as Justin Masterson pitched his best game of the season.
2 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers - ORIOLES TO WIN (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Jimenez vs Saunders
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
The Baltimore Orioles head to Texas with a 28-27 record and 17-15 road record. The Rangers are 29-28 on the season and 13-13 at home. Baltimore has won two straight in Houston after dropping their previous 4 games. The Rangers are coming off a long road trip that was finished off with a series loss in Washington. Ubaldo Jimenez will pitch for Baltimore and he has been inconsistent so far this year with a 2-6 record, 4.65 ERA, .256 OBA and 1.48 WHIP. In his last start he went 6 innings giving up just 3 hits and 1 earned run with 8 strikeouts. 4 of his 6 May starts were solid and he put together a 2-2 record, 3.12 ERA and .219 OBA. Also take note that he is 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA, .199 OBA and 1.14 WHIP in his 7 night starts (9.00 ERA over 4 day starts). Joe Saunders will be on the rubber for Texas making his third start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA, .289 OBA and 1.85 WHIP over his first two starts. In 21.1 innings in the minors this season batters were hitting .317 against him. The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series, and 38-15 in their last 53 games following an off day. The Rangers have won just 4 of their last 14 home games, and are 2-8 in their last 10 games following an off day. They are also just 1-4 in their last 5 vs AL East opponents. Baltimore has won 5 straight vs Texas, including 4 straight in Arlington. I'll take the Orioles behind Jimenez tonight at a pick 'em price.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = L.A. Angels @ Houston Astros - ANGELS TO WIN (-130)
Listed Pitchers: Wilson vs. McHugh
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.54 units)
C.J. Wilson has had a couple spotty starts this season, but other than that has been lights out. In particular, Wilson has been strong in his last three outings, posting an ERA of only 1.57. Included with his stellar ERA is a 0.96 WHIP and .284 OBP. The last time Wilson had a rough outing was against the Blue Jays, giving up 5 runs on 6 hits. However, while the Astros are heading up, they don't possess quite the same offense as the Blue Jays do. Additionally, Wilson has looked good against the 'Stros in the past. His last five starts against them produced a 1.82 ERA. Another big thing to note here is that the Angels should be getting Josh Hamilton and Mike Trout back. Hamilton and Trout are listed as probable. Collin McHugh has been quite fine the Astros this season. He bounced around with the Mets and Rockies the past two seasons and looked like a disaster with both seasons higher than a 7.00 ERA. I don't know if he'll keep a 2.80 ERA up this season. He has also had trouble at home. His home numbers show a 5.00 ERA in 18 innings pitched. McHugh pitched against this same team two games ago and gave up only 2 hits. However, that was without Trout and Hamilton. I think getting Wilson at -130 against the Astros is pretty good value.
 
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EZWINNERS

1 STAR SELECTION: (901) Philadelphia Phillies +$160
(Risking $100 to win $160)
(Action)

1 STAR SELECTION: (921) Seattle Mariners +$135
(Risking $100 to win $135)
(Action)

1 STAR SELECTION: (927) Minnesota Twins +$135
(Risking $100 to win $135)
(Action)

1 STAR SELECTION: (929) Chicago White Sox +$170
(Risking $100 to win $170)
(Action)
 
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ACCUSCORE - MLB 70+% TRENDS

SV-Home Wins 65% or More 33-12, 73.3% +1065 -
ARI 907 vs COL 908 -- Value on Colorado Rockies -165

OU-Betting Line of 9 TO 9.5 STREAK 9-1, 90% +790 -
BAL 917 vs TEX 918 -- Under 9.5

ML-Home Wins 65% or More 33-12, 73.3% +696 -
ARI 907 vs COL 908 -- Over 50% on Colorado Rockies -165

AL WEST DIV GAME ML STREAK 6-0, 100% +467 -
LAA 919 vs HOU 920 -- Over 50% on Los Angeles Angels -132

ML-Home Line is -150 to -169 STREAK 9-1, 90% +466 -
SEA 921 vs ATL 922 -- Over 50% on Atlanta Braves -153
MIN 927 vs MIL 928 -- Over 50% on Milwaukee Brewers -150
ARI 907 vs COL 908 -- Over 50% on Colorado Rockies -165
 
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POWERPLAYWINS

Power Plays Of The Day

* MLB Oakland A's -125
* MLB St Louis Cardinals -125
* MLB Texas Rangers -110
 
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GC: MLB Play

Tuesday card has a big Triple perfect Blowout system and a Rare Never lost totals system that averages an amazing 13 runs per game. Monday MLB Sweeps led by Dog of the year winner on Cleveland. MLB System play below


On Tuesday the MLB System play is on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 904 at 7:10 eastern. The Reds and all home favorites are winning over 85% of the time since 2004 off a road dog win if they scored 4 or less runs and are taking on a teams, like the Giants that are off a road win by 5 or more runs. This is a solid game 1 series system and the hoe team wins by nearly 3 runs per game. In the series the Reds have won 6 of the last 7 and it looks like they have an advantage in the pitching department too. The Reds have Homer Bailey going and he has been solid in his last 2 home starts vs San Francisco allowing just 2 earned runs in 16+ innings of work. Tonight he will oppose Tim Lincecum who has been dreadful going 0-3 with a 8.65 era vs the Reds. T-Lin has lost 7 of his last 8 road starts made in the month of June and has struggled on the road again this season with an era approaching 5. Look for Cincinnati to take the opener here tonight. On Tuesday we have another Powerful card led by a 100% totals system that averages over 13 runs. There is also a triple perfect blowout system. Congrats to those who jumped on for Mondays MLB Sweep led by the MLB Dog of the year winner on Cleveland. Don't miss out as we smoke your book on Ruby Tuesday. For the Bonus Play take the Reds. GC
 
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
Time: Tuesday 06/03 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: San Diego +109 (moneyline) at BetPhoenix

The San Diego Padres were the last team in MLB to score at least seven runs in a game. They went through their first 36 games without doing so as the offeense has been nowhere to be found. They have certainly gotten better in time as they have since scored seven or more runs in four of their last 18 games. Despite the lack of punch, they have stayed in touch at just six games below .500. The Pirates are searching for answers, as a season of great expectations is getting behind them. They are three games under .500, which includes an ugly 11-17 road mark. San Diego has been at their best when least expected as they are 5-1 in their last six as a home dog, and they have owned the Pirates at 37-14 in the last 51 meetings. Play on San Diego.
 

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