STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
TUESDAY, JUNE 17TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 CINCINNATI @ #902 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (6-5, 1.85 ERA, WHIP: 0.775) - Cueto bounced back from one of his worst outings of the season on June 6 with six dominant frames in a 5-0 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday. The NL leader in innings pitched (102) and major league leader in WHIP (0.77) allowed three hits and did not walk a batter while matching a career high with 12 strikeouts. Cueto also ranks second in NL in ERA and recorded back-to-back three-hitters against the Pirates in April, fanning a total of 16 batters en route to a pair of convincing wins.
--KEY STAT: CUETO is 22-9 UNDER (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.9, OPPONENT 2.7.
--CUETO is 16-3 UNDER (+12.8 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.7, OPPONENT 2.7.
•Pirates RH Brandon Cumpton (2-2, 6.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.530) - Since getting lit up for a career-high 11 runs (10 earned) versus the Dodgers on May 31, Cumpton has bounced back with consecutive victories. The 25-year-old needed 91 pitches to get through five innings, but limited the Chicago Cubs to two runs on five hits and a pair of walks in a 4-2 win on Wednesday. Cumpton lost to the Reds in his season debut on Apr. 24 to fall to 1-1 with a 1.35 ERA against them in four career appearances (three starts).
#903 PHILADELPHIA @ #904 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (2-6, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.365) - Kendrick followed two sub-par performances by allowing two runs on seven hits in six innings to pick up the win versus San Diego on Thursday. The 29-year-old did not walk a batter after issuing a season-high five free passes in his previous outing and 26 on the campaign. Kendrick owns an impressive 7-2 career mark versus the Braves but settled for a no-decision in his last encounter despite yielding three runs on four hits in six frames.
--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 44-18 against the run line (+20.0 Units) in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.4, OPPONENT 4.3.
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (5-3, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.286) - Santana permitted six runs for the third time in his last five starts to take the loss versus Colorado on Thursday. The 31-year-old Dominican has fared well in two career starts against the Phillies, posting a 1-0 mark with a 0.69 ERA while limiting them to a .140 batting average. Santana allowed one run on four hits and struck out 11 in six innings but settled for a no-decision in his last meeting with Philadelphia.
--KEY STAT: SANTANA is 0-11 against the run line (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 3.5, OPPONENT 4.7.
#905 CHICAGO CUBS @ #906 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (2-6, 2.77 ERA, WHIP: 1.176) - Samardzija wasn't at his best last time out, allowing four runs and a season-high nine hits over six innings in a loss at Pittsburgh. It was only the fourth time in 14 outings this season that he failed to record a quality start, but it marked the second time in his last three times out. Samardzija is 3-1 with a 4.93 ERA in 14 appearances (five starts) against Miami, including a win at home on June 7 in which he allowed two runs over seven frames.
--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 4-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 5.3.
•Marlins RH Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 5.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.320) - DeSclafani is back in the majors after making four starts at Triple-A New Orleans, and he has taken over Jacob Turner's spot in the rotation. The 24-year-old was solid in winning his major-league debut against the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 14 but was tagged for five runs in 5 1/3 innings of a loss to Philadelphia his second time out. In his first two big-league starts, he struggled the second time through the order - allowing opponents to hit .304 from the fourth inning on after holding them to .250 over the first three frames.
#907 NY METS @ #908 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Mets LH Jonathon Niese (3-3, 2.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.118) - Niese has not factored in the decision in any of his last four starts despite allowing two runs or fewer in each. He turned in his third straight quality start last time out, striking out eight and holding Milwaukee to one run over 7 2/3 innings. The 27-year-old is 4-1 with a 1.87 ERA in six starts against St. Louis and was the winner in his only career outing at Busch Stadium.
--KEY STAT: NIESE is 9-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.7, OPPONENT 2.1.
--NIESE is 10-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.6, OPPONENT 2.9.
--NIESE is 15-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.0.
--NIESE is 12-3 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games against National League Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.5, OPPONENT 3.5.
--NIESE is 31-9 against the run line (+18.5 Units) in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.6.
--NIESE is 26-10 OVER (+15.7 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.3, OPPONENT 5.2.
•Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-5, 2.88 ERA, WHIP: 1.115) - Wacha has taken the loss in his last two starts after going more than a month between defeats. The 22-year-old did not allow more than three runs in any of his first 13 starts this season but saw that streak end last time out, as he gave up four runs over five innings in a loss at Tampa Bay. Wacha is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Mets.
--KEY STAT: WACHA is 1-7 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was WACHA 2.3, OPPONENT 3.6.
#909 MILWAUKEE @ #910 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (7-2, 3.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.010) - Lohse has been terrific most of the season and is nearly halfway to his career-best win total of 16 set in 2012 with St. Louis. He received a no-decision in his last turn when he gave up one unearned run and four hits in eight innings against the New York Mets. Lohse is 3-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 career starts against Arizona.
--KEY STAT: LOHSE is 19-2 (+17.1 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.2, OPPONENT 2.4.
--LOHSE is 12-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.5.
--LOHSE is 21-6 against the run line (+19.0 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.6, OPPONENT 3.0.
--LOHSE is 23-8 against the run line (+17.7 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.4, OPPONENT 3.0.
--LOHSE is 16-5 against the run line (+14.0 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.2, OPPONENT 2.4.
--LOHSE is 27-10 against the run line (+21.1 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.3.
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-6, 4.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.292) - Miley is 0-3 in a six-start stretch since defeating the Chicago White Sox on May 10. He wasn’t involved in the decision in his last outing when he gave up four runs and seven hits in five innings against the Houston Astros. Miley is 3-1 with a 5.70 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers.
#911 COLORADO @ #912 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Rockies RH Jhoulys Chacin (1-4, 4.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.358) - Chacin turned in his best outing of the season last Thursday while holding Atlanta to two hits over seven scoreless innings. The 26-year-old missed the first month of the season with a right shoulder sprain and posted a 5.35 ERA in his first seven starts, but he threw an efficient 85 pitches against the Braves. Andre Ethier is 12-for-29 with a home run against Chacin, who is 8-6 with a 3.71 ERA in 17 career games (16 starts) against the Dodgers.
--KEY STAT: CHACIN is 20-6 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 3.0, OPPONENT 3.5.
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (8-3, 2.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.141) - Greinke settled in after a rocky first inning last Thursday against Cincinnati, but he suffered his first loss in five starts at Great American Ball Park after allowing two runs over six frames. The 2009 Cy Young award winner faced Colorado at Coors Field on June 7 and received a no-decision after yielding four runs (three earned) on a season-high 11 hits over seven innings. Drew Stubbs has eight hits in 18 career at-bats against Greinke, who is 3-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 11 career starts (10 games) against Colorado.
--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 43-16 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.4, OPPONENT 3.4.
--GREINKE is 18-6 UNDER (+11.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.6, OPPONENT 2.6.
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