Hondo -
Hondo slipped deeper into the red Monday night when the Royals succumbed in the 12th in San Diego to overwhelm his comeback triumph with the Marlins and push the filthy figure to 770 clendenons.
Tuesday night: Mr. Aitch will stick with the Marlins over the Metamucils — 10 units on Alvarez. Also, 10 apiece on Tillman to slay the Rays and Nicasio to show Ross who’s boss.
Hondo slipped deeper into the red Monday night when the Royals succumbed in the 12th in San Diego to overwhelm his comeback triumph with the Marlins and push the filthy figure to 770 clendenons.
Tuesday night: Mr. Aitch will stick with the Marlins over the Metamucils — 10 units on Alvarez. Also, 10 apiece on Tillman to slay the Rays and Nicasio to show Ross who’s boss.
PSYCHIC
(1-5)
4 unit Brooklyn +7.5 (MAJOR)
WIZARD
(1-10)
8 unit Portland +6.5
JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)
1 unit San Diego -108
Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)
69% over 191.5 Miami/Brooklyn
Iceman
(1-3)
2 unit Boston -140
Genius
(1-10)
7 unit Boston -130
Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-10)
9 unit Tampa -145 (AL Game of the month)
Michael Cash Money
(1-10)
7 unit Portland +6.5
The Sports Report
(1-10)
8 unit LA Angels -140
(1-5)
4 unit Brooklyn +7.5 (MAJOR)
WIZARD
(1-10)
8 unit Portland +6.5
JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)
1 unit San Diego -108
Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)
69% over 191.5 Miami/Brooklyn
Iceman
(1-3)
2 unit Boston -140
Genius
(1-10)
7 unit Boston -130
Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-10)
9 unit Tampa -145 (AL Game of the month)
Michael Cash Money
(1-10)
7 unit Portland +6.5
The Sports Report
(1-10)
8 unit LA Angels -140
Joe Gavazzi MLB (Saturday 1-5, Sunday 2-4)
MLB
San Francisco Giants (Hudson) (-115) at Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) 7:05 ET
4% San Francisco (-115)
We follow the momentum of two teams and two pitchers that are headed in opposite directions. Following the 11-10, 13-inning win last night on this field, the Giants are now on runs of 10-1 and 6-0. In their last 3 games at PNC Park, SF has scored 29 runs on 52 hits. Pittsburgh is 12-20 this season due to a recent 4-12 slide. In 16/32 of their games, they have scored 2 or less runs. It has been 9 games since a Pittsburgh starter recorded a quality start. The bullpen (closer Grilli on the DL) has a 115 index, among the worst in baseball and the largest decline (from 155 LY) of any team in MLB. Morton has no wins in his previous 12 starts. He is 0-4 this year, losing his last 4 starts with a 4.21 ERA YTD and a mediocre 25/14 KBB. Contrast that to Hudson. SF has won 5/6 Hudson starts over which time he has a 4-1 record with 2.17 ERA. In 45 2/3 IP, Hudson has allowed just 34 BR with a 31/2 KBB. Those peripherals are among the MLB leaders. Hudson has worked 7+ innings in each of his 6 starts, allowing 2 or less earned runs in 5/6. A pair of road outings have resulted in a 1.23 ERA. Follow both team and pitcher momentum for a Top Play victory!
NY Mets (Colon) at Miami Marlins (Alvarez) (-120) 7:10 ET
3% Miami (-120)
The Mets limp in with a recent 1-4 mark after falling 4-3 in the 9th last night at Miami. On a field where the Marlins are 15-5 for the year, Miami is recently 9-1, averaging 6.3 RPG. For the season, Miami has a .305 BA at home. Though Alvarez is just 1-2, he has a 3.28 ERA. In his most recent 3 starts, Alvarez has worked 21 innings, allowing just 6 runs on 16 hits with a 12/4 KBB. A trio of appearances against the Mets has resulted in a record of 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA. Though Colon has a 29/4 KBB, he has gotten ripped on the road. It is a reason for his record of 2-4 with a 5.65 ERA. In a trio of road starts, spanning 16 2/3 IP, Colon has allowed 16 runs and 27 hits for an 8.64 road ERA with a .365 BAA. In his most recent 4 starts, Colon is 1-3 with a 7.61 ERA. That includes his most recent start, a 7-4 loss at Colorado. In that game, Colon lasted just 4 2/3 IP, allowing 7 runs on 10 hits. Play the strong home field of Miami with a pitcher who is in far better current form.
Seattle Mariners (Elias) at Oakland A’s (Chavez) (-1 ½ R, +130) 10:05 ET
3% Oakland (-1 ½ R, +130)
Break up the Mariners! A 3 game win streak has lifted the Mariners to a recent record of 8-2, in which they have averaged 5.5 RPG. Elias has been a pleasant surprise for the Mariners with a 3.09 ERA. That has been even better in 4 road starts, where Elias is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA. That all ends tonight against an Oakland team, who lost 4-2 on this field last night. Now Oakland, an outstanding 13-6 away, has dropped to 6-7 on this field with 4 consecutive defeats. Look for the bounce back by an Oakland team that is 8-4/loss this season. Oakland has won all 6 Chavez starts. For the season, Chavez has a 1.89 ERA with 41/8 KBB. This includes his most recent outing, a 12-1 Oakland victory vs. Texas. In that game, Chavez worked 7 IP, without allowing a run, on only 1 hit, with an 8/1 KBB. In 9 appearances vs. Seattle, the majority in relief, Chavez has a 0.53 ERA and .180 BAA. With that type of dominance, we choose to convert this to an underdog price on the run line. Note that 14/19 Oakland wins have come by 2 or more runs, while 4/6 of Oakland victories in Chavez starts have come by 2 or more runs. We risk the reward on this call for a reversal of current team form.
Texas Rangers (Ross) at Colorado Rockies (Nicasio) (-115) 8:40 ET
4% Colorado (-115)
Playing home field team momentum and pitcher form at a value price with a Colorado team that is 20-14 vs. a Texas team that is 17-15. Talk about Perception/Reality! The Rangers limp in with a recent record of 2-6, scoring 33 runs (14 of those in one game vs. LAA). Following a hot beginning to the season, Ross has faded rapidly. In his most recent 3 starts, Ross is 0-3, lasting just 14 2/3 IP, allowing 19 runs on 24 hits. Colorado has the biggest home/road dichotomy in MLB. The Rockies are 8-9 away, averaging 4.0 RPG with a .254 BA. But at Coors Field, Colorado is 12-5 with a .344 BA, averaging 7.4 RPG. With last night’s 8-2 victory vs. Texas, Colorado has recently won 7/8 vs. the Rangers on this field. The Rockies enter tonight on a 7-2 run, outscoring the opposition 70-39. Nicasio comes off an outstanding start in which he beat the Mets 7-4, working 7 innings, allowing no runs on 3 hits. Pure momentum play at a value price!
MLB
San Francisco Giants (Hudson) (-115) at Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) 7:05 ET
4% San Francisco (-115)
We follow the momentum of two teams and two pitchers that are headed in opposite directions. Following the 11-10, 13-inning win last night on this field, the Giants are now on runs of 10-1 and 6-0. In their last 3 games at PNC Park, SF has scored 29 runs on 52 hits. Pittsburgh is 12-20 this season due to a recent 4-12 slide. In 16/32 of their games, they have scored 2 or less runs. It has been 9 games since a Pittsburgh starter recorded a quality start. The bullpen (closer Grilli on the DL) has a 115 index, among the worst in baseball and the largest decline (from 155 LY) of any team in MLB. Morton has no wins in his previous 12 starts. He is 0-4 this year, losing his last 4 starts with a 4.21 ERA YTD and a mediocre 25/14 KBB. Contrast that to Hudson. SF has won 5/6 Hudson starts over which time he has a 4-1 record with 2.17 ERA. In 45 2/3 IP, Hudson has allowed just 34 BR with a 31/2 KBB. Those peripherals are among the MLB leaders. Hudson has worked 7+ innings in each of his 6 starts, allowing 2 or less earned runs in 5/6. A pair of road outings have resulted in a 1.23 ERA. Follow both team and pitcher momentum for a Top Play victory!
NY Mets (Colon) at Miami Marlins (Alvarez) (-120) 7:10 ET
3% Miami (-120)
The Mets limp in with a recent 1-4 mark after falling 4-3 in the 9th last night at Miami. On a field where the Marlins are 15-5 for the year, Miami is recently 9-1, averaging 6.3 RPG. For the season, Miami has a .305 BA at home. Though Alvarez is just 1-2, he has a 3.28 ERA. In his most recent 3 starts, Alvarez has worked 21 innings, allowing just 6 runs on 16 hits with a 12/4 KBB. A trio of appearances against the Mets has resulted in a record of 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA. Though Colon has a 29/4 KBB, he has gotten ripped on the road. It is a reason for his record of 2-4 with a 5.65 ERA. In a trio of road starts, spanning 16 2/3 IP, Colon has allowed 16 runs and 27 hits for an 8.64 road ERA with a .365 BAA. In his most recent 4 starts, Colon is 1-3 with a 7.61 ERA. That includes his most recent start, a 7-4 loss at Colorado. In that game, Colon lasted just 4 2/3 IP, allowing 7 runs on 10 hits. Play the strong home field of Miami with a pitcher who is in far better current form.
Seattle Mariners (Elias) at Oakland A’s (Chavez) (-1 ½ R, +130) 10:05 ET
3% Oakland (-1 ½ R, +130)
Break up the Mariners! A 3 game win streak has lifted the Mariners to a recent record of 8-2, in which they have averaged 5.5 RPG. Elias has been a pleasant surprise for the Mariners with a 3.09 ERA. That has been even better in 4 road starts, where Elias is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA. That all ends tonight against an Oakland team, who lost 4-2 on this field last night. Now Oakland, an outstanding 13-6 away, has dropped to 6-7 on this field with 4 consecutive defeats. Look for the bounce back by an Oakland team that is 8-4/loss this season. Oakland has won all 6 Chavez starts. For the season, Chavez has a 1.89 ERA with 41/8 KBB. This includes his most recent outing, a 12-1 Oakland victory vs. Texas. In that game, Chavez worked 7 IP, without allowing a run, on only 1 hit, with an 8/1 KBB. In 9 appearances vs. Seattle, the majority in relief, Chavez has a 0.53 ERA and .180 BAA. With that type of dominance, we choose to convert this to an underdog price on the run line. Note that 14/19 Oakland wins have come by 2 or more runs, while 4/6 of Oakland victories in Chavez starts have come by 2 or more runs. We risk the reward on this call for a reversal of current team form.
Texas Rangers (Ross) at Colorado Rockies (Nicasio) (-115) 8:40 ET
4% Colorado (-115)
Playing home field team momentum and pitcher form at a value price with a Colorado team that is 20-14 vs. a Texas team that is 17-15. Talk about Perception/Reality! The Rangers limp in with a recent record of 2-6, scoring 33 runs (14 of those in one game vs. LAA). Following a hot beginning to the season, Ross has faded rapidly. In his most recent 3 starts, Ross is 0-3, lasting just 14 2/3 IP, allowing 19 runs on 24 hits. Colorado has the biggest home/road dichotomy in MLB. The Rockies are 8-9 away, averaging 4.0 RPG with a .254 BA. But at Coors Field, Colorado is 12-5 with a .344 BA, averaging 7.4 RPG. With last night’s 8-2 victory vs. Texas, Colorado has recently won 7/8 vs. the Rangers on this field. The Rockies enter tonight on a 7-2 run, outscoring the opposition 70-39. Nicasio comes off an outstanding start in which he beat the Mets 7-4, working 7 innings, allowing no runs on 3 hits. Pure momentum play at a value price!
Eric Henderson
Today's Selections
MLB: Detroit (ML -175), Detroit (RL +110), Tampa Bay (ML -146), LA Angels (ML -138), LA Angels (RL +150), Atlanta (ML -117), Miami (ML -120), Miami (RL +175), Colorado (ML -118), Colorado (RL +165)
NHL:bruins/canadiens over 5, black hawks/wild over 5
NBA:none
Today's Selections
MLB: Detroit (ML -175), Detroit (RL +110), Tampa Bay (ML -146), LA Angels (ML -138), LA Angels (RL +150), Atlanta (ML -117), Miami (ML -120), Miami (RL +175), Colorado (ML -118), Colorado (RL +165)
NHL:bruins/canadiens over 5, black hawks/wild over 5
NBA:none
Joe Gavazzi - 3% Miami Heat
Analysis: NBA Playoffs Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat (-8) 7:00 ET TNT 3* Miami (-8) Back today with a strong double play on TNT in NBA including this Free 3* winner along with my (2) strongest MLB. Join me in the winning! Brooklyn was extended to the limit in a 7-game series, holding off Toronto 104-103 on Sunday for the series victory. Garnett stood tall with a 12/11 line. The Nets were led by Johnson with 26. They turned over the ball only 8 times and Pierce blocked the game winning shot with less than a second on the clock. Certainly, Brooklyn will have Miami's full attention. The Heat took the collar from the Nets in the regular season, going 0-4 SU ATS by a combined 12 points with 3 losses by a single point. That includes the last two meetings of the series on this floor, when Brooklyn prevailed 88-87, 96-95. Brooklyn "flipped the switch" at the start of the new year. They enter tonight with a record of 38-20 SU, 35-23 ATS in 2014. The many Brooklyn veterans will not be awed by the two-time defending champs. Unlike Brooklyn, Miami is well-rested, having swept their series with Charlotte, covering 3/4 of the games. That rest factor is key in Game 1 of a playoff series, translating into a situation that has covered over 70% of the time since 1990. We follow that scenario for a Top of the Ticket Play.
Analysis: NBA Playoffs Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat (-8) 7:00 ET TNT 3* Miami (-8) Back today with a strong double play on TNT in NBA including this Free 3* winner along with my (2) strongest MLB. Join me in the winning! Brooklyn was extended to the limit in a 7-game series, holding off Toronto 104-103 on Sunday for the series victory. Garnett stood tall with a 12/11 line. The Nets were led by Johnson with 26. They turned over the ball only 8 times and Pierce blocked the game winning shot with less than a second on the clock. Certainly, Brooklyn will have Miami's full attention. The Heat took the collar from the Nets in the regular season, going 0-4 SU ATS by a combined 12 points with 3 losses by a single point. That includes the last two meetings of the series on this floor, when Brooklyn prevailed 88-87, 96-95. Brooklyn "flipped the switch" at the start of the new year. They enter tonight with a record of 38-20 SU, 35-23 ATS in 2014. The many Brooklyn veterans will not be awed by the two-time defending champs. Unlike Brooklyn, Miami is well-rested, having swept their series with Charlotte, covering 3/4 of the games. That rest factor is key in Game 1 of a playoff series, translating into a situation that has covered over 70% of the time since 1990. We follow that scenario for a Top of the Ticket Play.
