jeff benton tuesday
0-1 yesterday for -25 Dimes. his last three days awful...overall, since i started posting 27-29-2 +10 Dimes.
Tuesday's Action 15 DIME: CAVALIERS in the FIRST-HALF ONLY vs. Bulls ... NOTE: This is play on the Cavaliers minus the points in the first half. The first-half line is a solid -7 across the board.
5 DIME: BREWERS (-1 1/2 runs vs. Pirates) ... NOTE: Randy Wolf MUST start this game for Milwaukee or this play is VOID! Also, even though there's some doubt as to who will start for the Pirates, I want you to stick with the play regardless who they put on the mound.
Cavaliers (First-Half ONLY!)
Once again, the play here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread (about 7 points) in the first half ONLY.
If you put a gun to my head, I’d say Cleveland is going to win this game in a rout and cover the hefty double-digit number. But I’m not 100 percent (or even 60 percent) confident that’s going to happen because there’s just no way of knowing when Cavs coach Mike Brown will lift his starters with a big lead. Also, the Bulls for the most part have shown a lot of heart in this series (especially in the first two games in Cleveland), and I don’t think they’ll mail it in down 15-plus in the final quarter.
Besides that, to lay 12 points or so for the game and even feel remotely comfortable that you’ve got a winning ticket in your hand, the Cavs will have to be up by about 20 at the two-minute mark. Can that happen? Sure it can. Will it happen? I have no idea and I’m not willing to gamble on it.
That said, what I am certain of is this: The Cavs will come out of the gate like a team possessed, and LeBron James (of course) will be the one leading that charge. This one reminds me of Mike Tyson in his prime, when Iron Mike would bull-rush his opponent at the opening bell and start throwing haymakers and more times than not, the opponent wouldn’t be able to survive the onslaught and the fight would be over in a round or two. Think of Cleveland in the role of Tyson and Chicago in the role of overmatched opponent.
After all, the last thing the Cavs want is the Bulls to think they have a shot to win this game, and the only way to crush their spirit is with a big first half – as was the case in Game 1, when Cleveland raced out to a 32-18 first-quarter lead and led by 15 at the break. All Brown has to do to motivate his team is show them tape of that Game 1 first half, and then immediately replace that tape with one from Game 2, when the Cavs had a six-point first-quarter lead, relaxed in the second quarter, allowed the Bulls to pull within two by halftime and then needed a furious fourth quarter to put Chicago away. That’s really all it will take to get the Cavs’ attention and get them in the proper mindset to flex their muscles and bully the Bulls like they know they can.
Look for Cleveland to not only cover this first-half number, but to have the overall spread covered by the time the horn sounds to end the second quarter. Whether they keep up that same killer instinct for a full 48 minutes and win this one by 13 or more, I have no idea – and frankly, I don’t care. Just as long as they’re up big at halftime (and they will be), that’s all that matters.
Brewers (-1½ runs)
Tough to argue with 22-0. That’s the Brewers record against the Pirates in the last 22 meetings in Milwaukee.
Also tough to argue with 53-4. That’s the combined score by which the Brewers have defeated the Pirates in the last four meetings, all since last Tuesday. That includes a 20-0 loss in the series-finale in Pittsburgh on Thursday, followed by last night’s 17-3 disaster.
Finally, tough to argue with 0-7 and 0-11. The former is the Pirates record in their last seven games overall (and they’ve been outscored 72-12 – a 60-run differential – during the losing streak). The latter is Pittsburgh’s record the last 11 times they’ve been matched up against Randy Wolf, tonight’s starter for the Brewers. Those 11 games in which Wolf has dominated Pittsburgh span nine years and four different teams!
Wolf’s was on the mound Thursday in Pittsburgh when Milwaukee hammered out that 20-0 win, and the veteran lefty gave up just six hits in six innings. Then again, a left-handed pitcher carving up the Pirates isn’t exactly unique. Pittsburgh is batting a pathetic .210 overall against left-handers, including .182 in 10 road games.
You want some more scary numbers? The Pirates’ team ERA now stands at a ridiculous 7.74, including 8.72 by the team’s starters. On the road, those numbers jumped to 9.00 overall and 11.01 from the starters – mindboggling!
It’s not known for sure whom Pittsburgh will hand the ball to tonight – could be Brian Burres, who was just called up from Triple-A last week, or it could be Jeff Karstens, who has a 7.31 ERA in Triple-A, but the Bucs are so desperate for an arm they may call him up. Doesn’t really matter, though, because after seven straight losses overall, 22 straight losses in Milwaukee and four straight losses to the Brewers in the last week by 49 runs, the Pirates will be defeated before they even take the field.