Service Plays Tuesday 4/13/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers (-9.5, 198.5)

Even though the Lakers have lost six of their last 10 games, the team’s defensive prowess remains sharp heading into the postseason.

Over the last five outings, Los Angeles is surrendering 93.8 ppg which has equated to five consecutive unders. The Lakers’ offense has only averaged 93.6 ppg in that span which could have something to do with Phil Jackson’s gameplan.

"I want to get some guys playing. I want to get some rhythm,” he said. “We have some things that we want to implement that guys will have an opportunity to work on."

Pau Gasol took the potential game-tying 3-pointer in the final seconds of Sunday’s loss so it’s clear Jackson is experimenting with the offensive blueprints.

Kobe Bryant will not be in the lineup on Tuesday and in the five games he missed this season, the Lake Show went under the posted total in all five with an average game total of 92.3 points.

Pick: Under


Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors (+7.5, 232.5)

If the Jazz can win their last two games and get a loss from Denver, Utah will claim the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference playoffs.

While this game may look like a pushover, the Warriors are brimming with confidence after fighting back from a 20-point deficit to defeat Oklahoma City on Sunday.

"We really weren't focusing on anything behind us," Monta Ellis said after the game. "That's why we've been playing the way we've been playing. We'll go down in history as the team that gave [Don Nelson] that record so that's a good thing but the positive thing is everybody's playing together and having fun."

Keith Smart exercised coaching duties in lieu of Nelson in that game and said when the team went “small ball” it opened up the floor. The Warriors scored at least 30 in each of the last three quarters.

These two teams met on March 31 and combined to score 232 points and that was with Golden State shooting 36 percent from the field and 15 percent from downtown. The Warriors will probably keep this one close but the safer play looks to be the expected abundance of points.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies (-142, 10)

It’s never too early to start to panic for Mets backers. After suffering though two miserable seasons, Mets fans entered 2010 with modest hope. But if the season’s first six games are any indication of what lays ahead, those expectations might need to be lowered even more.

New York went 2-4 on its opening six-game homestand. And it wasn’t like the Mets were hosting the Dodgers and Philles. Those two series loses came at the hands of the Florida Marlins and Washington Nationals.

“We have to get the intensity back we had on Opening Day,” Mets outfielder Jeff Francoeur told the New York Post.

Really? The season is barely a week old and Met players are already waiting for a wakeup call?

Expect New York’s bats to hit the snooze button against the Rockies.

Pick: Under


Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (-170, 8)

In case you hadn’t noticed, the D-backs have been crushing the ball in the early going. Arizona, a mediocre to lousy offensive team in 2009, is second in runs scored and slugging percentage after its first six games.

The offense exploded for a single-inning, club-record 13 runs in the fourth inning against the Pirates on Sunday. But the Diamondbacks aren’t letting the 4-2 start get to their heads.

"It's over," center fielder Chris Young told the Arizona Republic. "It's a good start, but at this point, it really doesn't matter.”

Oddsmakers aren’t paying much attention to Arizona’s offense or Dodger ace Clayton Kershaw’s rocky first start.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Eastern Conference: Round 1 preview and picks

Washington Capitals (1) vs. Montreal Canadiens (8) – season series (2-1-1 for Washington)

Expect a bunch of goals in this series. Both teams put everything at the net and neither have the goaltending to win 2-1 games. Ovechkin gets all the headlines, but it’ll be Nicklas Backstrom who gives the Caps the boost they’ll need.

The Canadiens limped into the postseason and don’t have the makeup to compete with Washington, especially when the Caps get the puck deep and start circling and cycling.

Hal Gill and the rest of the Montreal defense are going to have a terrible time chasing the puck in their own end and the team’s under-sized forward unit will need a lot of power play goals to make this series interesting.

Pick: Capitals in five games


New Jersey Devils (2) at Philadelphia Flyers (7) – season series (5-1 for Philadelphia)

You can’t knock Philadelphia’s intensity. The Flyers hung on down the stretch of the regular season and look to overcome some questionable goaltending (what else is new?) with gritty play, leaning on their big defense. They’ll have their hands full, too.

Don’t be surprised if Ilya Kovalchuk takes hold of this series, his first taste of NHL playoff hockey. The Devils have enough depth up front that he doesn’t feel like he needs to do everything for this club and everybody seems to be gelling in the dressing room. He might be just what New Jersey needs to help Brodeur make another deep run.

Pick: Devils in six games


Buffalo Sabres (3) vs. Boston Bruins (6) – season series (4-1 for Boston)

The Bruins are a tough read here. Injuries have ripped this team apart, rookie goalie Tuukka Raask has emerged to put reigning Vezina Trophy winner Tim Thomas on the bench and Boston’s offense has been terrible all year. So there are some question marks with the Bruins.

Buffalo, meanwhile, has one constant: goaltender Ryan Miller, a Hart Trophy candidate this season. Miller can win this series on his own if it comes down to it.

Keep an eye on the totals for this series. We could be in for a lot of unders.

Pick: Buffalo in four games


Pittsburgh Penguins (4) vs. Ottawa Senators (5) – season series (2-2 tie)

It’d be easy just to pencil Pittsburgh past the Sens, but Sidney Crosby’s club has some work ahead of it. Jason Spezza shook off a bad start to the season to finish strong and Daniel Alfredsson continues to roll along as one of the better captains in the league.

Ottawa will need both of those guys to step up huge with the enigma Alex Kovalev on the shelf. Meanwhile, Brian Elliott is holding the fort in goal, or was during the regular season anyway. This will be his first taste of the postseason.

The Pens look to be rounding into form just in time for the start of this series. Evgeni Malkin’s really hitting his stride over the last week or two (remember, he topped the playoff scoring board last year) and Jordan Stall is as steady as ever. This is the best team down the middle in the league, which means a lot this time of year.

Pick: Penguins in five games



NHL Western Conference: Round 1 preview and picks

The Western Conference was the superior conference this season with seven teams earning at least 100 points.

Each team, however, has its own set of issues, whether it is a rookie goaltender (Chicago, Detroit), a lack of offense (Phoenix, Nashville), a banged up defense (Vancouver), inexperience (Los Angeles, Colorado), or a playoff curse (Joe Thornton, err, I mean San Jose).

To be used strictly for recreational purposes, here are my picks for each series.

Avs vs. Sharks (season series 2-2)

According to oddsmakers, this is the most lopsided matchup of the first round.

The Avs ended October 10-2-2 and goaltender Craig Anderson was named the player of the month.

Since then, Colorado has gone 33-28-7 and ended the season 3-7-3 over its final 13 games.

San Jose placed first in the Western Conference with a 51-20-11 record and finished the regular season on an 8-1-1 run.

San Jose has depth on offense and defense, and a top tier goaltender in Evgeni Nabokov. Every year, however, they falter in the playoffs.

The Sharks, and particularly Joe Thornton, seem to lack the confidence in the postseason that they exhibit during the regular season.

San Jose may not win the Stanley Cup this year, but they should get by the Avalanche with ease.

Series prediction: Sharks in 5.


Preds vs. Hawks (season series, 4-2 Chicago)

Nashville was not expected to make the playoffs, but has put together a solid regular season. The Preds also finished strong, ending the season on an 11-3-1 run.

Chicago is relying on rookie Antti Niemi to lead the way between the pipes. The 26 year-old won the starting job from Cristobal Huet and has posted seven shutouts in 34 games.

If the Preds have any chance to win this series, it will be because of Pekka Rinne. He will steal one, maybe two games, but the Preds will come up just short.

Series prediction: Hawks in 6.


Kings vs. Canucks (season series, 3-1 Vancouver)

Vancouver went from 11th in NHL scoring last year to being the top offensive team in the Western Conference. Defense and goaltending are the concerns for the Canucks.

The Canucks’ defensive corps is banged up and All-Star goaltender Roberto Luongo is having his worst season statistically since joining Vancouver. Luongo ended the season by allowing 17 goals in four games, and gave up at least three goals in seven of Vancouver’s final eight games.

Los Angeles has quietly amassed 101 points and has a mix of young stars and accomplished veterans. The Kings will continue to surprise, and will improve as the series with the Canucks progresses.

Series prediction: Kings in 7


Wings vs. Coyotes (season series 2-2)

Most people will be picking the Red Wings in this series, and it’s difficult to blame them.

The Wings ended the season on a tear, winning 17 of their last 22 games. They are finally healthy and have found a solution in net: rookie goaltender Jimmy Howard.

Because of Detroit’s perennial success and recent streak, it’s easy to forget the club is playing a team that won 50 games this season and finished ahead of them in the standings.

Phoenix is used to playing close games. The Coyotes won 29 times by one goal. Goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov has had a phenomenal season, and Phoenix found scorers in trade deadline acquisitions for Wojtek Wolski and Lee Stempniak.

I think the right play is on the Coyotes.

Series prediction: Coyotes in 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL 4/14/10

Season: 422-281 (.600)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 1, best-of-7 series
Philadelphia vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PITTSBURGH 4, Ottawa 3
Western Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 1, best-of-7 series
SAN JOSE 4, Colorado 3
PHOENIX 3, Detroit 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the day: Celtics at Bulls

Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls

A key game tips off Tuesday in Chicago when the Bulls host the Boston Celtics with playoff implications on the line for both squads. Let’s see how these two teams stack up.

Bull rush

When Chicago cruised past Toronto, 104-88, Sunday, they overtook the Raptors for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

The victory put the Bulls (39-41) in the driver's seat as the NBA enters the final week of the regular season. Heading into Monday, Chicago leads Toronto (38-42) by a game for the final playoff spot in the East. If the Bulls win out, here tonight and tomorrow at Charlotte, they are in.

If Chicago stubs its toe, Toronto has the tiebreaker edge over the Bulls should the two teams finish tied in the standings.

"We've still got a long way to go," said coach Vinny Del Negro. "We've got to refocus and get our energy back for Tuesday. Every game is like a playoff game for us."

Garden of evil

Meanwhile, Boston and Atlanta will finish as the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds, in some order.

Ironically, Milwaukee will have the most say in how this scenario shakes out. The Bucks face both the Hawks (last night) and the Celtics this week and will face either Atlanta or Boston in the opening round of this year’s playoffs.

Atlanta finishes up Wednesday night at home against Cleveland, who will likely continue to rest its regulars. Boston will wrap things up Wednesday night against the Bucks at home in the Garden, where the club is just 12-27-1 ATS this season and 1-4 straight up in its last five games.

As a result, the boo birds have come out in Boston.

When leaving the court at half time, trailing 52-31 against Washington on Friday, Kevin Garnett responded to the catcalls by saying, “Then don't come to the (expletive) games."

Pine time

Boston coach Doc Rivers insisted Garnett was kept out of the lineup Saturday for purposes of rest, not because of injury.

"I thought he looked tired yesterday, so I'm sitting him," Rivers said before the game against the Bucks. "We need him, but we're only going to go as far as he's healthy and he's rested."

As for sitting Garnett, Rivers said, "You know he doesn't take that very well. It was a discussion, but it is what it is."

Rivers said Paul Pierce and Ray Allen also might get a break in one of the last two games, here tonight and/or in Wednesday’s finale against the Bucks.

"I'm not as concerned, honestly, with them," Rivers said. "Ray has been playing terrific. In some ways you don't want to screw that rhythm up. Paul has been so up and down that we need to get his rhythm back. But Kevin, it's very, very important about getting his rest."

Just say Noah

During Friday's double-overtime loss at New Jersey, the Bulls appeared to have their signals crossed regarding the number of minutes center Joakim Noah was allowed to play. Noah's playing time has steadily increased since he returned from 10 games off with plantar fasciitis on March 20.

Against the Nets, Noah wasn't on the floor when center Brook Lopez tipped in a missed shot, tying the score with 0.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter. He also wasn’t on the floor much in the overtimes. Coach Vinny Del Negro said later he didn't want Noah to exceed 35 minutes.

Bulls general manager Gar Forman countered by saying he checked with vice president John Paxson, who was watching from home, and Del Negro did have the okay to play Noah in overtime.

"I wanted to put him in if there with 10 seconds to go, or the 3.6 seconds, but I hadn't got the authority yet to do that," Del Negro said. "And I wasn't able to play him extended minutes because of the 35 (minute) mandate. So there was some miscommunication there a little bit.

"Then when I got the OK to put him back in, I put him back. I wasn't going to play him 40, 45 minutes, or something like that, just because it was back-to-back games and Joakim's future and his health and everything is a big concern to everyone."

Trend setters

Chicago is 6-12 SU and ATS the last 18 games in this series, including 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS the last eight at home. However, the Bulls are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last home games the past four seasons.

Boston is 9-7 SU and 10-4-2 ATS in its last road games of the year, including 4-0 SU and ATS as a dog of less the five points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rays Monday night.

Tuesday it's the White Sox. The deficit is 160 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
431 - 311 run 59 %

Bonus Play TUES Tampa Rays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 805-347 (.699)
ATS: 617-571 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1450-1349 (.518)
Over/Under: 586-610 (.490)
Over/Under Vary Units: 766-794 (.491)

CHICAGO 99, Boston 98
Utah 118, GOLDEN STATE 112
L.A. LAKERS 108, Sacramento 94
PHOENIX 114, Denver 109

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, APRIL 13

NBA

Boston (50-30, 33-45-2 ATS) at Chicago (39-41, 40-38-2 ATS)

The Bulls look to take another step closer to securing a second straight playoff berth and fifth in the last six years when they host the Celtics at the United Center. Chicago entered Sunday’s game in Toronto tied with the Raptors for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, but departed Canada with a one-game lead in the standings after crushing the Raptors 104-88 as a 2½-point road favorite. Then with the Bulls taking Monday off, the Raptors went to Detroit and pounded the Pistons 111-97 to pull within a half-game of Chicago. Both teams finish the season Wednesday, with the Bulls playing at Charlotte and the Raptors hosting New York, and if they finish with the same record, Toronto would get the playoff nod based on winning the season series. The Bulls have alternated SU wins and losses in their last five games, but they’re 8-4 in their last 12 following an ill-timed 10-game losing streak. Also, they snapped a three-game ATS slide with Sunday’s blowout win in Toronto. Chicago has also alternated SU wins and losses in its last eight home games, but is still just 4-8 SU and ATS in its last 12 at the United Center. Boston is coming off Saturday’s big 105-90 trouncing of the Bucks, easily covering as a two-point road underdog just 24 hours after getting humiliated at home by the lowly Wizards (106-96 loss). The Celtics, who won in Milwaukee without All-Star Kevin Garnett (rest), are just 3-5 SU in their last eight games and 3-6 ATS in the last nine, and they’re locked in a battle with Atlanta for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference, trailing the Hawks by 1½ games. Boston now sports a better record on the road (26-14) than at home (24-16), and the C’s have been miles better covering pointspreads on the highway (21-18-1 ATS) than in Beantown (12-27-1 ATS). These teams played a thrilling opening-round series in last year’s playoffs, with the top-seeded Celtics barely holding off No. 8 seed Chicago in seven games (3-3-1 ATS). Boston then took the first two meetings this year (118-90 as an 11½-point home favorite; 106-80 as a 9½-point road chalk), but the Bulls scored their own double-digit rout in the most recent battle on Jan. 14 (96-83 as a 6½-point road underdog). Since the start of last year’s playoff series, the visitor is 7-2-1 ATS in the 10 head-to-head matchups and Boston is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four trips to the Windy City. Also, the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11. Boston has cashed in five of seven against the Eastern Conference and is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven versus the Central Division, but it is also 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven Tuesday contests, 0-5 in its last five after SU win and 0-4 ATS in its last four after a spread-cover. Meanwhile, Chicago has covered in six of seven against the Atlantic Division and 22 of 31 after an ATS triumph. Chicago is on “under” runs of 9-4 overall, 6-2 at home, 8-3 against the Eastern Conference, 5-2 after a day off and 36-15 following a double-digit victory. However, the Celtics carry “over” trends of 6-1 overall, 4-1 against the Eastern Conference, 5-0 versus Central Division competition and 20-8-1 when playing on two days’ rest, though the under is 10-3 in their last 13 after a SU win and 5-2 in their last seven on Tuesday. Finally, these teams have topped the total in nine of the past 12 meetings overall, but seven of the last 10 at the United Center have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Denver (53-28, 35-40-6 ATS) at Phoenix (52-28, 46-33-1 ATS)

Two of the four squads locked in a dogfight in the Western Conference playoff standings duke it out in the desert as the Nuggets visit the Suns at U.S. Airways Arena. Denver moved a half-game ahead of Utah and Phoenix into the No. 3 spot with Monday’s 123-101 victory over Memphis, easily cashing as an 11-point home favorite. But with the Mavericks winning easily at the Clippers on Monday, Dallas still holds a one-game advantage over the Nuggets for the coveted No. 2 seed in the West. Utah (which plays at Golden State tonight) and Phoenix are tied for fourth in the playoff pecking order, a half-game behind the Nuggets and 1½ games back of the Mavs. With Monday’s win over the Grizzlies, Denver improved to 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games, which comes on the heels of a 1-5 and 0-8-1 ATS slump. The normally high scoring Nuggets had been held under triple digits in four straight games, eight of nine and 11 of 13 prior to Monday’s outburst. Also, Denver has lost five of its last seven on the highway (1-5-1 ATS), averaging just 96.8 ppg in the last five. Phoenix is coming off Sunday’s 116-106 win over Houston, barely cashing as a nine-point home favorite despite trailing by a point with less than three minutes to play. The Suns are scorching hot right now, going 26-7 SU and 23-9-1 ATS since Jan. 28, including 12-2 in the last 14 (9-4-1 ATS). They’ve also won seven straight home games (6-0-1 ATS, all as a favorite). For the season, Phoenix is 31-9 SU and 24-15-1 ATS at U.S. Airways Center. Denver took the first meeting this season 105-99, but failed to cover as a nine-point underdog. Since then, the Suns have ripped off back-to-back blowout wins over the Nuggets, rolling 109-97 as a 5½-point road ‘dog on Feb. 3 and 101-85 as a 2½-point home chalk on March 1. The host has dominated this rivalry, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings and cashing in 11 of the last 14. Phoenix has gotten the money in all three matchups this year and is 6-1 ATS in the last seven series clashes in the desert. Also, the favorite has covered the number eight times in the last 11 battles. The Nuggets are 5-1-3 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of five to 10½ points, but otherwise they’re in ATS funks of 4-10-1 overall, 1-5-1 on the road, 1-3-2 overall as a ‘dog (all on the road), 2-7-1 when playing on back-to-back nights and 1-4 on Tuesday. Conversely, Phoenix is on pointspread tears of 23-9-1 overall, 6-0-1 at home, 12-3-1 as a home chalk, 8-0-1 when laying five to 10½ points at home, 17-5-1 as a favorite regardless of venue, 15-5-1 when coming back from a day off and 17-7-1 versus Western Conference foes. It’s been all “unders” for the Nuggets recently, including 4-1 overall, 4-0 on the road, 4-1 against the Western Conference, 4-0 versus the Pacific Division, 37-16 as an underdog and 35-17 as a road pup. Phoenix is also on “under” streaks of 3-1-1 overall, 4-0 against winning teams, 5-2 versus the Western Conference, 4-0 against the Northwest Division and 5-1 when playing after a day off.
Finally, these teams have stayed low in four straight meetings following a 5-1 “over” surge in the rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHOENIX and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Cincinnati (4-3) at Florida (4-3)

Bronson Arroyo (0-0, 1.12 ERA) goes after his 14th consecutive quality start when he takes the mound for the surging Reds against lefty Nate Robertson (1-0, 1.80) and the Marlins at Sun Life Stadium. Cincinnati dropped its first two games of the season to the Cardinals, but has come back to win four of the last five, including Monday’s 6-5, 10-inning win. The Reds blew a 5-4, seventh-inning lead, then got out of a bases-loaded, one-out jam in the bottom of the ninth. Dating to last season, Dusty Baker’s club is on positive runs of 14-6 overall, 6-1 on the highway, 5-1 on Tuesday, 6-2 against the N.L. West, 11-4 as an underdog and 5-1 versus left-handed starters, though the Reds have dropped seven of their last eight road games against southpaws. Florida had a modest two-game win streak halted Monday, but it is still 4-2 in its last six. The Marlins are also on surges of 6-2 against right-handed starters, 11-0 in the second game of a series and 29-15 as a home favorite. These teams split their six-game season series in 2009, but the Reds are now 13-5 in the last 18 meetings. Also, going back to 2007, the home team is on a 15-6 roll in this rivalry. Arroyo was sharp in his season debut Thursday, holding the Cardinals to one run on four hits in eight innings, walking three and striking out eight. Although he failed to get a decision, Cincinnati prevailed 2-1 with a walk-off homer in the bottom of the ninth. With Arroyo on the hill, the Reds are on runs of 4-1 overall and 6-2 against the N.L. West. Going back to the beginning of August 2009, Arroyo has delivered 13 straight quality starts, pitching at least seven innings and allowing three earned runs or fewer in all 13 games. He’s 5-3 with a 1.84 ERA during this stretch (20 runs allowed in 97 2/3 innings, including 2-1 with a 1.60 ERA in five road stats, going exactly seven innings in all five of those contests. Finally, Arroyo is 0-2 with a 3.75 ERA in eight career appearances (five starts) against Florida. Cincy lost four of those five starts, including a 3-2 home decision last September, with Arroyo giving up three runs in eight innings. Robertson’s debut with Florida was a success, as he gave up a run on eight hits with no walks and four strikeouts in five innings at the Mets, picking up a 3-1 victory Thursday. It was the first time Robertson pitched for a team other than the Tigers since making six appearances with Florida in 2002. In two career outings in Miami, Robertson has allowed four runs in 1 1/3 innings. Also, his only career start against the Reds came in 2006, when he pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings in leading the Tigers to a 1-0 home victory. As a team, the Reds have topped the total in seven of their last nine road games dating to last season, and the over is 6-1-2 in their last nine on Tuesday, but the under is 3-1-1 in their last five overall and 19-8-1 in their last 28 on the road against lefty starters. Additionally, with Arroyo pitching, Cincinnati is on “under” runs of 18-6-2 overall (8-0 last eight), 4-1-1 on the road, 6-0 after he gets four days of rest, 7-0 against winning teams, 5-2 versus the N.L. East and 5-0 in the second game of a series. On the flip side, Florida carries “over” trends of 7-1 overall, 23-7 at Sun Life Stadium, 10-1-1 against right-handed starters and 37-16-3 at home versus righty starters, though the under is 5-1-1 in the Marlins’ last seven against the N.L. Central. Finally, the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven Reds-Marlins battles, but the over has hit in nine of the last 11 meetings in South Beach. Also, three of Arroyo’s last four starts against the Marlins have topped the total (2-0 “over” in Florida).

ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (3-4) at Toronto (5-2)

The surprising Blue Jays send young lefty Ricky Romero (0-0, 1.29) to the mound at the Rogers Centre as they continue a four-game series against the White Sox, who will hand the ball to Gavin Floyd (0-0, 3.00). Chicago snapped a four-game losing skid with Sunday’s 5-4 home victory over the Twins, then went north of the border to open this series Monday and rallied for an 8-7, 11-inning win. Prior to Monday, the White Sox had lost five straight to the Blue Jays and 10 in a row in Canada, and they’re still just 3-14 in the last 17 meetings overall and 2-13 in the last 15 clashes in Toronto. Additionally, Chicago is in slumps of 1-5 on Tuesday, 1-5 in the second game of a series and 8-19 as a road underdog. Toronto dropped its first game of the season in Texas, blowing a 4-3 bottom-of-the-ninth-inning lead and falling 5-4, then ripped off five straight road wins before stumbling in last night’s home-opener. Still, the Jays are on positive runs of 8-1 at home, 7-1 as a favorite, 4-1 against right-handed starters and 4-0 on Tuesday. Floyd held the Indians to two runs on five hits in six innings Thursday, but it wasn’t enough as the White Sox fell 5-3 at home. Other than a 5-1 run on Tuesday, the ChiSox have struggled lately with Floyd on the mound, going 1-6 in his last seven starts overall and 0-4 in his last four on the road (all as an underdog). Last year, Floyd was 5-8 with a 5.47 ERA in 17 starts on the road, compared to 6-3 with a 2.47 ERA in 13 home outings. Floyd is 9-3 with a 7.64 ERA in four appearances (three starts) against the Blue Jays, giving up 15 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. Two of those starts came last year, and he lost 14-0 at home and 8-2 on the road, allowing a total of 12 runs (11 earned) in 9 1/3 innings. Romero was outstanding in his first start on Thursday, holding the Rangers to a run on five hits in seven innings, but he didn’t get a decision even though Toronto eventually prevailed 3-1 on the road. However, going back to his rookie season last year, the Jays are still just 4-9 in Romero’s last 13 trips to the mound (2-4 at home). He went 8-4 with a 4.41 ERA in 14 home starts last year, and he’s never faced the White Sox.
It’s been all “unders” for the White Sox lately, including 34-16-2 overall, 34-16-2 on the road, 19-6-1 as a road underdog, 10-5 versus the A.L. East, 7-0 with Floyd on the mound, 6-0 with Floyd as an underdog and 5-0 when Floyd faces A.L. East squads. Meanwhile, Toronto is on “over” stretches of 6-1-1 at home, 6-1-1 as a favorite, 5-0 against the A.L. East, 15-6-2 against right-handed starters and 3-0-1 on Tuesday. Lastly, Monday’s series opener easily cleared the posted total, and the over has cashed in eight of the last 11 in this rivalry, though the under is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at the Rogers Centre.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO

 

[freud5137]

Feist

4/13 07:10 PM MLB (917) OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS (918) SEATTLE MARINERS.
Take: (918) SEATTLE MARINERS
Reason: After starting on the road last week, the Mariners are home this week. Seattle righty Doug Fister is a control specialist, perfect for this big park in Safeco. In his career he has a 2.25 ERA in 16 innings against the light hitting A's. Oakland has had a nice start, but this is a young team with holes everywhere and they will come back to earth soon. An excellent spot for the home dog. Play the Mariners.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports)

free internet play: Mets/Rockies over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Freddy Wills 4-13

Yankees RL +105 (2.5 Dime Play)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Monarch


NY Yankees -164 (Pettitte) (1 unit)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Merril

Bluejays -112
A's/Mariners Under 8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SUPER POGODAK SOCCER 4/13

Charlton - Colchester
Bet on Charlton @ 1.95

Hihon - Tenerife
Bet on Hihon @1.95

Ascoli - Triestina
Bet on Ascoli @2.20

Milton - Oldham
Bet on Milton @1.95


"Bulgarian Paid service" 6-11 (0-1)

Sporting Gijon - CD Tenerife
Bet on Sporting Gijon@ 1,85

FC Brüssel - K.V. Turnhout
Bet on FC Brüssel @ 2,0

Prestatyn - Neath
Bet on Prestatyn @ 2,20

Forest Green - Crawley
Bet on Forest Green@ 2.40

Moulins - Pacy Eure
Bet on Moulins@ 2.70

Valladolid - Sevilla
Bet on Sevilla @ 2.00


The Joker (34-31-1) (1-0)

Bet on Sporting Gijon at 2.0 to beat Tenerife (actual odds 1.97 right now)
La Liga, 19:00 BST

 

[BrockLanders]

The Vegas Killers

John Harrison - Cincinatti Reds/Florida Marlins OVER 8.5

Sal Capri - Colorado Rockies -140

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

MLB

1 unit Reds +112
1 unit Pirates +172

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee won on Monday with the Cubs -$150/Brewers.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" is heading west with the Dodgers -$170/Diamondbacks.

"Mr Chalk" is 5-2 +$120 for the 2010 MLB season

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo back to KC

Down goes Frasor! The Blue Jays closer blew it in the ninth last night, which resulted in a Hondo loss that reduced his bankroll to 315 ainges.

Today, he'll test his don't ask Dontrelle theory one more time -- 10 units on Bannister to put Mr. Aitch on the stairway to greater financial independence.