JOE GAVAZZI
CIT Final
Cal-Irvine at Columbia (-1) 7:00 ET CBC TV
Must put aside my affection for this Columbia team, whom we used often with great profit in this year’s Ivy League season. Due to injuries last season, the Lions have, in effect, 6 returning starters on the court for HC Kyle Smith. Lo and Mullens are a premier Ivy backcourt, but they meet their match tonight in Irvine starters, Nelson and Young, an experienced duo who has started together for 3 seasons. If the Lions are to win this game, their bigs (Rosenberg, Petrasek and Meisner) will have to float to the perimeter, where Columbia connects on nearly 10 triples per game in their 26 attempts. Certainly, the smaller Lions, who took their lumps on the interior vs. Yale big men, Sears and Sherrod, will struggle on the defensive end. For, the Anteaters rotate 4 interior players ranging from the 6’10” Mike Best to the 7’6” Mamadou N’Diaye. While Columbia romped past smaller NJIT (80-65) on Sunday, Irvine was using their interior size (and the suspension of Coastal Carolina’s best boy, Wiggins, to dominate the Chants (66-47) in Conway. Anteaters have become road warriors in this event, winning three times at N. Dakota, LA Lafayette and CCU. Having traveled to numerous outposts in the West, it does not appear they will be overwhelmed by, tiny and largely uninhabited, Levien Gym on the upscale Columbia campus on the Upper West Side. Against arguably the best team Columbia has faced on this court all season, the Lions end their season at home 17-5 SU.
NIT Semifinals
Madison Square Garden
BYU vs. Valparaiso (-2) 7:00 ET ESPN
In the NIT Semi-Final lid lifter, its offense vs. defense with the 94’ Cougars facing off against the Valpo defense that allows just 63 PPG on 38% shooting. With a +9.4 rebound margin, it could well be one and done for the up-tempo Cougars. Anyone who has watched BYU play in recent seasons must love their up-tempo game. They are one of the more improved teams from start to finish of this season, as they enter on a 12-3 SU run (12-1 SU excluding Gonzaga). With triple/double machine, Collinsworth, leading the way, the Cougars are explosive with veterans Fisher and Kaufusi. But, the real improvement comes with the maturation of 1st year players Emery, Davis and Seljaas. Valpo is the tortoise in the matchup. They are the more experienced team with all 5 starters back from a 28-6 SU team of last year. Their big man, Peters, is the best player on the floor, ably abetted by Carter, Hammink and Walker. Must note the strong tendencies of BYU 11th year HC Rose, whose teams are a perennial 60% plus ATS play as chalk, but continually falter in the underdog role, where they are just 26-47 ATS, including 3-8 ATS L2Y and stand just 23-40 ATS in competitively priced games, where the line is +3 to -3.
George Washington vs San Diego St. (-3) 9:30 ESPN
The George Washington Colonials make the relatively short drive to New York City to face the San Diego St. Aztecs, who make the west to east journey for this NIT Semifinal matchup at Madison Square Garden. Tip time for the second half of the double header is at 9:30 ET as televised by ESPN. The game features A-10 member George Washington, who is 26-10 SU for the season vs San Diego St, who is 28-9 SU for the season. Though neither of these teams was good enough to qualify for the NCAA Tourney, they have taken advantage of this NIT event to further their progress this season and be one of 16 teams who are still playing this 2016 CBKB season.
George Washington was on the periphery of the bubble through the beginning of March, but a CCT loss to eventual A-10 Champion, St, Joes, ended their NCAA dreams. Yet, they have prospered in this event, beginning with a narrow (82-80) victory at home against Hofstra, followed by a solid road win at Monmouth, and a third victory again at home vs Florida. Concerns in today’s matchup against a quality San Diego St. team is that their only road win of note in the regular season was at VCU. In reality, this was a team that did not play to their potential. More was expected from the squad that added Wake transfer, Cavanaugh, to a front court that also featured Big Man Supreme, Kevin Larsen. Floor leader Joe McDonald returned to run the show with Dartmouth transfer, Alex Mitola, adding a three point threat. Then there was Glue Guy Patricio Garino, which figured to add cohesion that never evolved for 5th year HC Mike Lonergan. Hard to understand why this three star fundamental team that allows just 69 PPG could never accomplish more. Tonight they go up against an Aztec team, who has put it all together.
San Diego St. limped through the preseason with a record of 7-6 SU after a combined 58 wins the last two years and ascending to the 3rd Round of the NCAA last season. But under the tutelage of 17th year HC Fisher, the Aztecs have put it all together for this event. Before accepting this NIT bid, in the wake of a heartbreaking CCT Final loss to Fresno St., Fisher asked his troops what their level of commitment would be. To a man, they assured Fisher they were united in their goal to win the NIT title. With resounding home court victories by 24 over IPFW, by 15 over Washington, and 16 over Georgia Tech (combined coverage of 34 points), the Aztecs look like the team to beat in this event. If defense wins championships, they should be a lock. For along with a +5.6 rebound margin, San Diego St. allows just 60 PPG, 37% from the field, and 30% from the arc. That’s good enough for us to back them in this spot as the best remaining team in the Tourney.