Service Plays Tuesday 3/1/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Tuesday's best NHL bets

Montreal Canadiens at Atlanta Thrashers (-105, 5.5)

Montreal is getting some good news between the pipes, while the Thrashers could use a little of their own.

The Canadiens expect No.1 Carey Price to be back in the cage on Tuesday night after battling an illness that kept him on the bench this weekend. Price has a 2.41 goals-against average this season and a 91.9 save percentage. Price should get some decent offensive support with Mike Cammalleri and Tomas Plekanec clicking again.

Cammalleri missed about a month with a shoulder injury but has scored in each of the past two games to provide a vital offensive spark to the club. Cammalleri has two goals and two assists in his last two games.

“We’re excited to be back playing with each other. I’m sure he’s almost already sick of me. We’ve been talking about a bunch of plays,” Cammalleri said of linemate Tomas Plekanec, who netted his 20th goal of the season in the team’s most recent game, a 4-3 win over Carolina. Overall, the team has won two of its past three games and scored 11 goals over that span.

Meantime, Atlanta will have a hard time slowing down the hot Habs. The Thrashers likely will be without starting goalie Ondrej Pavelec who is battling an undisclosed injury. Also, recently acquired Radek Dvorak, Rob Schremp and Brett Festerling are expected to miss the game pending completion of their respective transactions.

Pick: Montreal

Dallas Stars at Phoenix Coyotes (-155, 5.5)

It took nearly three weeks, but the Dallas Stars are adapting to life without leading-scorer Brad Richards.

Over the past six games, Loui Eriksson has three goals and five points and recently acquired defender Alex Goligoski has a goal and two assists in three games with Dallas. Together, the duo has helped lead the team to consecutive convincing wins – a 4-1 win at Detroit and a 3-2 victory against Nashville.

“It wouldn’t have mattered if we played St. Mary’s School for the Deaf, Dumb and Blind, we needed a win last night and it is great that it came against one of the better teams in the league,” Dallas coach Marc Crawford said. “Now we’ve got to keep the momentum going.”

Meantime, the momentum is going the other way for the Coyotes. Phoenix has dropped three straight and given up a whopping 17 goals in the process. The team desperately needs help on the blue line, where it remains without injured stalwart Ed Jovanovski and David Schlemko.

The team acquired Rostislav Klesla from Columbus on Monday, but it is unknown if the transaction will be finalized in time for him to take the ice on Tuesday night. The Coyotes better be good at paper work – they desperately need him.

Pick: Dallas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' roll:

Tuesday's best basketball bets

NBA

New York Knicks at Orlando Magic (-7, 213)

The Knicks love when everyone writes them off against quality opponents. And why shouldn’t they? Even rebuilt, the team just losst to the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers. But when the chips are down against a contender, there aren’t many teams better than New York.

The team from Manhattan is a sparkling 6-2-1 ATS as an underdog of seven points or more this season. Most recently, the Knicks stunned the basketball world with a 91-86 win over the Heat. Miami entered the game as a 10-point favorite.

"The bigger the game, the bigger the stage, the bigger they play," Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni said.

Orlando, however, often shrinks from the spotlight.

The Magic are just 14-12 ATS this season as favorites of seven or more points and often fail to focus against lesser teams. Orlando is coming off consecutive straight up and against the spread wins versus Charlotte and Oklahoma City, but lost to the Kings in Florida last week by six.

"We've been talking for a long time -- all we seem to do is talk," Magic center Dwight Howard said. "You guys know what the difference is. You watch the games. If guys don't want to play, they need to sit down. We can't just have guys or anybody out there not playing hard.

"We're professional athletes. This is what we do for a living. If you can't go out there and go hard for two hours, then you shouldn't be playing."

Pick: Knicks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College Funds

NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide at Florida Gators (-6, 123.5)

The Crimson Tide simply can’t shoot from beyond the arc. The team is an abysmal 22-of-86 from downtown the past seven games and is making a mere 30 percent of its triples on the season. That’s bad news for a team that relies so heavily on its defense to win games.

Alabama is fourth in the country in points allowed per game (58.2) and fourth in opponents field goal percentage (37.3) and needs to play that well to win. The team is a horrendous 3-7 SU when giving up more than 60 points. Don’t fall for the team’s 45.2 percent shooting percentage either – the Crimson Tide have made nearly 110 dunks this season, meaning more than 15 percent of its baskets are slams around the rim.

That’s not the only troubling issue on offense. Senior Senario Hillman started the team’s first 10 games but has played sparingly since and was scoreless in 12 minutes in the team’s most recent game.

Hillman needs just 13 points to reach 1,000 for his career and just six steals to become the program’s all-time leader. However, he appears to be so far in the dog house, neither of those milestones are a given.

"He's so active," Alabama coach Anthony Grant said. "He can do so many things, and he's starting to get a comfort level from an offensive standpoint as well as far as what he can and can't do. ... He's playing good basketball, and we certainly need him to continue."

He can’t play though, if he’s never on the floor.

Pick: Florida

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend (BBF): Tuesday's wagering tips

Injury of interest

Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs: Parker is reportedly going to be out of action for two to four weeks with a strained calf after suffering the injury Sunday against Memphis. Parker is putting up 17.1 points and 6.6 assists per game for the Spurs, who have dropped four straight against the number.

Key trends

NBA: Golden State has played under the total in nine of its last 12 games and is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 meetings with Indiana. The Warriors are pegged as 6-point underdogs for Tuesday’ matchup.

NBA: New Orleans has covered the number in just three of the club’s last games.

NBA: Dallas has played over in 13 of its last 16 games and has covered in six of its last seven overall.

NBA: Orlando has played under in nine of its last 10. The Magic are set as a 7-point home favorite against New York on Tuesday with the total pegged at 213.

NHL: Colorado has won just six times over its last 26 games. The Avalanche are set as huge +245 underdogs at San Jose on Tuesday.

NHL: Columbus has won eight of its last 11 games but has won only six times in the club’s last 19 dates in Vancouver. The Blue Jackets are set at +170 for Tuesday’s game.

NHL: Florida is 5-14 in its last 19 games and has won just four times in its last 29 games in Carolina.

NCAAB: Purdue has won and covered each of its last six games heading into Tuesday’s contest against Illinois.

NCAAB: Kentucky is just 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine games. The Wildcats host Vanderbilt on Tuesday.

Number of note

4.5 – The Colorado Avalanche have given up an average of 4.5 goals over their last eight games, helping over bettors cash in five times over that span. The club has also allowed at least one power-play goal in each of those eight games. Colorado’s penalty killing unit ranks last in the NHL shutting down only 76.7 percent of the power plays it faces.

Notes and tips

NBA refs can have a huge impact on your bets. Check out our NBA referee stats here, where you’ll find extensive information about specific referees' tendencies. Right now, Sean Wright, Tony Brothers and Mark Ayotte are all helping out over bettors in a big way while Mark Lindsay, James Capers and Michael Smith are the biggest homer refs in the Association.

Monday's NHL trade deadline came and went after 16 total trades, but without many big names changing places. The Los Angeles Kings brought Dustin Penner and his 21 goals with the Oilers and he's expected to find a home on the No. 1 line with Anze Kopitar. The Washington Capitals swung a pair of deals and hope to have both Jason Arnott and Denis Wideman in the lineup Tuesday against the Islanders. Meanwhile, the Vancouver Canucks added some depth by bringing in forwards Chris Higgins and Maxim Lapierre to town. Lapierre should suit up Tuesday against Columbus, but Higgins will be out for about another month with a broken thumb.

Milwaukee center Andrew Bogut left Monday’s practice early telling the media he “can’t comment” on the reason for his early exit. Bogut is already dealing with a sore left elbow and coach Scott Skiles said later that the big Aussie may be also dealing with a left ribcage injury. His status is now in question for Tuesday’s game against Detroit. Bogut is averaging 12.6 points and 11.5 rebounds per game.

 

[superbeets]

NCAA Basketball Picks



Missouri at Nebraska



The Huskers look to take advantage of a Missouri team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games in Nebraska. Nebraska is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskers favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-1). Here are all of today's games.


TUESDAY, MARCH 1
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 517-518: Alabama at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 64.824; Florida 71.760
Dunkel Line: Florida by 7
Vegas Line: Florida by 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-6)

Game 519-520: Central Michigan at Toledo (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 46.583; Toledo 44.330
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+4)

Game 521-522: Akron at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 57.864; Ohio 61.357
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-1 1/2)

Game 523-524: Baylor at Oklahoma State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 63.335; Oklahoma State 62.183
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+2)

Game 525-526: Illinois at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 65.572; Purdue 80.509
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 15
Vegas Line: Purdue by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-8 1/2)

Game 527-528: NC State at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 62.972; Virginia 63.001
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Virginia by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+1 1/2)

Game 529-530: Kent State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 51.962; Bowling Green 49.493
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+4)

Game 531-532: Missouri at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 70.271; Nebraska 73.241
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 1
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-1)

Game 533-534: Boston College at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 62.494; Virginia Tech 69.121
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+9)

Game 535-536: Ohio State at Penn State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 75.141; Penn State 65.530
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-6)

Game 537-538: Vanderbilt at Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 68.730; Kentucky 73.232
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 8
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8)

Game 539-540: San Diego State at Wyoming (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 71.123; Wyoming 55.890
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 15
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 12
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-12)

Game 541-542: Illinois-Chicago at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 44.367; Cleveland State 62.272
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 18
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-15 1/2)

Game 543-544: WI-Green Bay at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 54.792; Wright State 56.696
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 6
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (+6)

Game 545-546: Loyola-Illinois at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Illinois 54.097; Detroit 57.789
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 5
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Illinois (+5)

Game 547-548: Youngstown State at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 47.163; Valparaiso64.386
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 17
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 14
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-14)

Game 551-552: Gardner-Webb at Coastal Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner-Webb 45.560; Coastal Carolina 61.255
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 553-554: Charleston Southern at NC-Asheville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 49.925; NC-Asheville 51.788
Dunkel Line: NC-Asheville by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 555-556: Winthrop at VMI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 49.331; VMI 52.222
Dunkel Line: VMI by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 557-558: High Point at Liberty (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: High Point 41.249; Liberty 52.447
Dunkel Line: Liberty by 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 559-560: North Texas at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 49.182; AR-Little Rock 52.227
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[superbeets]

Today's NBA Picks



New York at Orlando



The Knicks look to build on their 20-7-1 ATS record in their last 28 games as a road underdog. New York is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: New York (+7). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, MARCH 1
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: New York at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.833; Orlando 120.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 213
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Under

Game 503-504: New Orleans at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.166; Toronto 109.896
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Dallas at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.072; Philadelphia 118.938
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 201
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1); Under

Game 507-507: Golden State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.817; Indiana 119.349
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 224
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 215
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+6); Over

Game 509-510: LA Lakers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 119.384; Minnesota 108.441
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11; 196
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 205
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9); Under

Game 511-512: San Antonio at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.254; Memphis 122.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Detroit at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.302; Milwaukee 119.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: Houston at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.783; Portland 120.158
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 3463-1176 (.746)
ATS: 1545-1572 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 4393-4485 (.495)
Over/Under: 1524-1546 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2014-2144 (.484)

Big South Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at campus sites
COASTAL CAROLINA 72, Gardner-Webb 56
LIBERTY 74, High Point 64
UNC ASHEVILLE 77, Charleston Southern 71
VMI 86, Winthrop 78
Horizon League Tournament
1st Round at campus sites
CLEVELAND STATE 75, Uic 59
DETROIT 75, Loyola (Chicago) 68
VALPARAISO 83, Youngstown State 67
WRIGHT STATE 67, Green Bay 61
Atlantic Coast Conference
VIRGINIA 65, NC State 60
VIRGINIA TECH 73, Boston College 65
Big 12 Conference
Missouri 74, NEBRASKA 72
OKLAHOMA STATE 69, Baylor 68
Big Ten Conference
Ohio State 67, PENN STATE 60
PURDUE 73, Illinois 59
Mid-American Conference
Akron 74, OHIO 73
Central Michigan 61, TOLEDO 55
Kent State 71, BOWLING GREEN STATE 68
Mountain West Conference
San Diego State 73, WYOMING 56
Southeastern Conference
FLORIDA 66, Alabama 60
KENTUCKY 77, Vanderbilt 73
Sun Belt Conference
UALR 74, North Texas 71
Non-Conference
Savannah State 60, WESTERN ILLINOIS 53
STANFORD 79, Seattle 63

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 583-257 (.694)
ATS: 427-441 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 1047-1080 (.492)
Over/Under: 451-433 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 543-548 (.498)

INDIANA 109, Golden State 104
ORLANDO 107, New York 97
Dallas vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
New Orleans 99, TORONTO 96
San Antonio vs. MEMPHIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MILWAUKEE 93, Detroit 87
L.A. Lakers 107, MINNESOTA 96
PORTLAND 102, Houston 99

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 278-221 (.557)

N.Y. RANGERS 3, Buffalo 2
WASHINGTON 3, N.Y. Islanders 2
CAROLINA 3, Florida 2
Montreal vs. ATLANTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Boston 3, OTTAWA 2
Calgary vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHOENIX 3, Dallas 2
Nashville 3, EDMONTON 2
VANCOUVER 3, Columbus 2
SAN JOSE 4, Colorado 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

605- 449 57 % Run On Bonus Plays over 2 1/2 YEARS !

Free winner TUES College Detroit -5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Texas (-9) Monday night.

Tuesday it's Kentucky. The deficit is 510 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Tuesday

Magic -7

 

[superbeets]

Today's NHL Picks



Buffalo at NY Rangers



The Sabres look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Buffalo is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120). Here are all of today's picks.



TUESDAY, MARCH 1
Time Posted 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: NY Islanders at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.114; Washington 11.011
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+180); Over

Game 53-54: Montreal at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.024; Atlanta 10.160
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-115); Under

Game 55-56: Buffalo at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.895; NY Rangers 11.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120); Under

Game 57-58: Florida at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.507; Carolina 11.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 59-60: Boston at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.166; Ottawa 11.567
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over

Game 61-62: Calgary at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.879; St. Louis 11.788
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+110); Under

Game 63-64: Dallas at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.500; Phoenix 12.243
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-155); Over

Game 65-66: Nashville at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.353; Edmonton 11.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+125); Under

Game 67-68: Columbus at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.091; Vancouver 11.127
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+170); Under

Game 69-70: Colorado at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.883; San Jose 12.287
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-285); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-285); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Illinois
Boston College
Vanderbilt

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Arkansas LR -2 over North Texas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Write-Up


Tuesday, March 1

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won/covered six of its last eight games. Knicks won four of their last five games.
-- 76ers won six of their last seven games.
-- Mavericks won their last six games (5-1 vs spread).
-- Lakers won/covered their last four games.
-- Grizzlies won 11 of their last 15 games. Spurs won five of six.
-- Rockets won five of their last six games. Portland won seven of nine.

Cold Teams
-- New Orleans lost eight of its last eleven games. Raptors lost seven of their last nine.
-- Warriors lost their last three games, by 22-16-3 points. Pacers are 1-3 in their last four home games (0-4 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Milwaukee lost 10 of its last 13 games. Pistons lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight New York road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine New Orleans road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Dallas road games.
-- Five of last six Indiana home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Laker road games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Memphis home games went over total; keep in mind that Spurs' PG Parker is out with an injury.
-- Four of last five Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Portland home games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Tuesday, March 1

Florida won five of last six games, Alabama nine of last 11; Tide is 4-3 on SEC road, losing by 5 at Arkansas, 4 at Vandy, 5 at Ole Miss. Gators are 2-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 6-32-4-2-1-9 points. Five of last six Florida games went over total; Bama's last three stayed under. SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-12 vs spread.

Oklahoma State (+6.5) lost 76-57 at Baylor Jan 22; star F Moses scored one point in only 11 minutes (fouls). Cowboys lost four of last five, are 1-3 as Big 12 home favorite- their last three home games were decided by total of nine points. Baylor lost five of its last six road games, by 15-8-7-9-18. Big 12 home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-3-1 vs spread.

Purdue (+2.5) won 81-70 at Illinois Feb 13, outscoring Illini 54-38 after halftime; Boilers won/covered last six games- this is Senior Day for both Moore/Johnson. Big 11 home favorites of 9 or less points are 26-15-2 vs spread. Erratic Illinois is 5-8 in last 13 games, 1-3-1 as road dog, losing away games by 2-10-3-1-4-19 points, with wins at Iowa/Minnesota.

NC State is 3-2 in last five games, but just 1-6 on ACC road, winning at lowly Wake Forest- their losses on road are by 9-13-10-20-24-7 points. Virginia is 3-4 at home in ACC, 1-2 as ACC favorite- they scored only 52 ppg in last four games. State allowed 74+ points in last three games. ACC home teams are 3-7 in games where spread was 2 or less points.

Nebraska (+11) lost 77-69 at Missouri Jan 12, its 4th loss in last five series games. Denmon had 27 (5-7 from arc) for Mizzou, which is 1-6 on Big 12 road, with only win at Iowa State. Big 12 home teams are 13-6 vs spread in games where spread was less than 4 points. Huskers are 5-2 at home in Big 12, with only losses by 20 to Kansas, 4 to K-State.

Huge trap game for Virginia Tech after Duke upset Saturday; Hokies are 5-6 as an ACC favorite, 4-2 at home- they lost 58-56 (-2) in Boston on Feb 5, with starting Gs going 6-25, their bench 0-7. ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 8-15 vs spread. Eagles covered six of seven on ACC road (2-5 SU) losing away games by 1-16-16-8-2 points.

Penn State (+17) shot 55% from floor, but lost 69-66 at Ohio State Jan 15, with star G Battle 5-17 from floor, 1-10 from arc; this is Senior Day for Battle, who is from Albany and one of PSU's best-ever players. Big 11 home underdogs are 13-9 vs spread this season. Lions won six of last seven home games- their home losses are to Purdue by 15, Michigan by 3. Buckeyes lost their last two road games, at Wisconsin/Purdue.

Kentucky (-1) lost 81-77 at Vanderbilt Feb 12; Commodores hit 11-20 from arc, 20-23 from foul line. Wildcats are 3-3-1 as SEC home favorite, winning home games by 24-38-6-12-6-31-8 points. SEC home favorites of 9 or less points are 9-14-1 vs spread. Vandy won six of its last seven games- they're 3-1 as SEC underdog, and won last three away games.

San Diego State lost five of last seven visits to Wyoming, but Aztecs are much better than usual this year, with only two losses to BYU. Aztecs are 3-2 as MWC road favorite, winning road games by 13-9-10-2-6-12 points. Wyoming is running more under interim coach Langley; they're 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games, with none of its last five losses by more than 13 points. MWC home underdogs of 6+ points are 4-8.

Horizon League tournament (campus sites)
Cleveland State beat Ill-Chicago twice this season, 83-59 at home (-16), 63-49 on road (-10); Vikings were +23 in turnovers, made 16-43 on arc in two games. CSU is 3-4 last seven games (1-6 vs spread)- they're 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. UIC is 4-5 as a road dog in Horizon games. Horizon League home favorites of 9+ points are 10-15 vs spread.

Detroit beat Loyola twice this year, 83-71 (+5) on road, 81-71 at home (-4.5); Titans shot 50%+ in both games, made 15-29 from arc. Horizon home favorites of less than 9 points are 22-13 vs spread. Loyola lost in first tourney game last two years, by 9-14 points; they're 2-5 as a road dog in Horizon play. Detroit covered its last three games as a favorite.

Wright State beat Green Bay twice this year, but by combined total of just five points (67-64/63-61); Raiders lost four of their last five games, are 2-6 vs spread in last eight games as a favorite. Green Bay shot 50%+ in both games vs Wright; they lost six of last eight games, but covered last five. Horizon home favorites of less than 9 points are 22-13.

Valparaiso beat Youngstown twice this year, 79-55 at home (-15), 86-78 in OT (-7.5) on road; Valpo was 19-40 from line in OT win. Crusaders are 2-3 in last five games, 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven games as a home favorite. YSU is 1-6 in this event, with four of six losses by 14+ points. Horizon League home favorites of 9+ points are 10-15 vs spread.

 

[MGMan]

Guys about 10 days ago, I went on a four day bing with no access to the forum, so my tracking to a shit. Tried to catch up and have been tracking since so here are some records. You'll notice I removed some that were about 50% and added some others that seem to get some chatter here. While ATS was on a 1-13 streak they've turned it around and the opposite is true for Indian Cowboy who was hot in college but is very cold now.

Black and bold means to follow, Red and bold means to fade.

Good luck, I'm back in the saddle.

1. Arlon 22-8, 7-2
2. A Redd 11-10
3. Burns 4-3
4. Cal Spts 4-3
5. Cappers Access 9-11, 6-6
6. College Funds 3-3
7. Dr Bob 10-6
8. ***** 1-4
9. JB 7-4
10. JohnnyD 2-4
11. JSM 2-4
12. Lang 3-4,
13. Kelso 13-13, 9-6
14. M Lawrence 2-1, 4* 1-0
15. Ness 3-2, Legend 0-1, Club 27 1-1
16. LPW (will start to track now, seems ok)
17. Root 6-8, 5-2, Pinns 2-0
18. Sammy P (21-18, 20* 13-5)
19. Sports Handicapper 4-10
20. SB Prof 5-7
21. Don Wallace 1-4
22. Northcoasts 5* Featured Handicapper 4-10, 0-5
23. Indian Cowboy 2-10
24. OWAD 33-21, 5*18-5
25. ATS Lock 14-7
26. Mighty Quinn 3-3
27. Golden Contender Bonus Play 6-19, 3-8

MG Man

 

[mojohnny2]

Thanks for your work and all the info MG, didnt know Arlon was doing so well. Owad as well.