Service Plays Tuesday 12/2/08

[PeterGriffin]

So your saying if dr. bob is opposite a big kelso play, you take dr. bob? This is my first year to the forum and service plays. I admit I got caught up in the hype and made a lot of money and then lost it (been playing with the houses money since Aug). But, theoretically, you'd have to take his plays every single day for the amount he said. You could never stray from a play. There is no way anyone on this forum has played just one capper all season. That wouldn't make sense. If you are here, you play different people. So long term success doesn't mean anything to typical gamblers because typical gamblers are all the same: you live for the gamble.

If you seriously play all of someones plays and stick to it, your more insane then someone taking a Patron pick or Kelso pick blindly.

Plus, the data posted is not stellar by any means. Shit, the guy has had a losing NBA season the last 4 of 6. I can handle losing a grand on a eddie roman "pick of my life" easier then I would playing every single play exactley how dr. bob says and losing money at the end of the season. After all that hard work and discipline.. not being able to take a shot once in a while because "i'm sticking to dr. bobs system"... that would kill me seeing others making arab money and me missing out.

Why is it 'insane' to consistently follow the advice of someone who has proven to be a winner year after year? Personally, I think that makes more sense than jumping from capper to capper just because someone has been doing well in the short-term. People get so excited whenever somebody gets hot, but what they don't realize is that they may be jumping on right at the end of the hot streak, and they could very well end up losing their ass.

But to answer your questions, the guys I follow are Dr. Bob, RAS, and Youngstown. I only play Dr. Bob's college football picks (he isn't great in the NFL, and I don't think he's that great in hoops either). I only play RAS's CBB totals (he isn't that great with sides). With Youngstown, I play pretty much all their releases, but I play their football releases bigger than the other sports.

Yes, if Dr. Bob had a play that went against Kelso's, I would play Dr. Bob's pick. I bet his college picks every week. I don't think many of his picks have conflicted with Kelso's, but I know a couple of weeks ago he had SDSU when Kelso had UNLV. I realize Kelso has had a good run with his bigger plays this year, but if you add up ALL of his plays, I'd bet just about anything Dr. Bob is winning at a better clip. I know, I know, nobody actually bets the small unit Kelso releases, I'm just saying his overall record isn't that great.

I guess I wouldn't fit into your mold of being a 'typical gambler,' but I've been gambling for roughly 15 years. I'm not rich by any means, but I've made decent supplemental income playing cards and betting on sports. Although I hang out here in the services thread to get picks from Youngstown, RAS, etc., I also cap and bet on my own games too. Part of the reason I've been able to do this for a long time is because I think I have a good money management system. I don't take dumb risks, and I don't chase. I bet enough to make it worthwhile, but I'm never going to bet enough to put myself in a big hole if I lose.

I get what you're saying. You think it's boring to follow the same person, bet the same amount, and not 'go out on a limb' once in a while. But to me that sounds a lot like just needing action, and I think that's where you can get yourself into trouble.

Just my .02.

 

[alwayslosing]

Seabass absolutely sucked in hoops last year until the playoffs. I am going to follow ATS when they have a big play, otherwise I am going to follow these guys on this site and I don't think that I will need anything else.

Sammy Farha
Randizzle
Larry Legend
Mistermj

I think these four members can make us huge profits if we stick to good money management. One thing that I like about them is that they follow a system that they use and do not force plays. It is imperative to be able to take the night off...

 

[STACKSONDECK]

IndianCowboy

Game: Los Angeles Clippers @ Dallas Mavericks - Tuesday December 2, 2008 8:30 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) ATS: Dallas Mavericks -11 (-110) (Game of the Month)

There are several injuries to report here. Camby is Questionable for this game, Kaman is out and Howard is questionable. Note, that Dallas has not played many home games this year, just 6 and they are going to play more home games than not in the next couple of weeks. There is no line for this game, Clippers beat this team by 11 at home earlier this year so this is a big revenge game for Dallas. I wish I knew Howard's status for this game more but he didn't play last game so I wouldn't expect much here and note the Clips are coming off a win against Miami. I think Dallas likely routs this team at home to get some revenge here as when they lost to the Clippers, it was the Clips first win of the season. This very well might be my first 5* in quite a while as this will be my NBA Game of the Month. Note, that the Mavs are 4-0 ATS in the Western Conference and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games between these two teams. Cuban was disgusted when this team gave the Clippers the first win of the season, and I think we catch the public a little excited about L.A. coming off the win against Miami and I think Dallas routs them here today.





IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Georgia Bulldogs @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Tuesday December 2, 2008 9:00 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) ATS: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4.5 (-110) (Game of the Month)

Look, Western Kentucky just defeated Louisville at home. That itself says a lot. Yes, this team can have a let down here but I don't think so. I mean by God, this team just defeated Petino and Louisville at home and that certainly says a lot. Georgia comes off a massive win of their own against a no-name team so they will be on a high as they head into Western Kentucky. WK is not intimidated by Georgia at all as they defeated this team 2 years ago and actually leads this series over the past few years. Remember, the Hilltoppers went to the Tourney recently and UGA is the same team that lost by 19 points to Loyolay-Chicago on neutral footing outright, they are in a world of trouble facing a vet WK team that also beat Southern Illinois in the process ax well. Western Kentucky will hammer Georgia today by double-digits as I have them winning by 12 points as the Hilltoppers have covered their last 5 at home and their last 10 of 11 game overal stemming to last year!

:wink::smoking:hno: never seen him put out a gom so i played them for the fuck of it. also didnt buy the hook:smokingbb

 

[PeterGriffin]

Don't know if you guys were referring to my post as the post that you thought was "ragging on Dr. Bob"? I just simply stated I lost big tonight due to him going 1-3. I agree that he is one of the most transparent touts in the business, but I most certainly agree with the post above of bigdaveyt as well. I think what I'm going to do is only play his 3 and 4 star plays until his capping gets stronger once he has more numbers to put into his system. For some reason basketball's been hard on him in recent years. I'm big on his college football anyways, and he's been treating me fairly well on that. Until his basketball gets up to par, I'm looking hard at Jefferson Sports, Seabass and Kelso. Taking Purdue tonight was just fucking stupid. Sometimes he doesn't take common sense into the equation, and I hate that.

JB,

I don't think anyone was referring to your post. And FWIW, my experience has been that Dr. Bob's higher rated plays typically do better, so playing the 3 and 4 stars only might be a good idea. When I play his 2 star plays, I play them small. Some people play his 'Strong Opinions' as well, but I don't bother with those.

I do agree with you that Dr. Bob sometimes misses things that seem obvious. The thing you have to understand with him is that he's ruled by numbers and statistics. He is probably the best capper there is when it comes to the technical aspects, but he sometimes misses the more situational aspects (revenge games, homefield advantage, etc.). A few weeks ago he released 5 college games, and 3 of them were road faves. I knew as soon as I saw those picks he wouldn't have a good week, and I think he went 1-4 that week.

 

[PMAC]

Pete, You're right on. talk tomorrow. I'm passing out/

 

[PeterGriffin]

Have a good one PMAC, and everyone else. Yeah, I'm hitting the hay too.

 

[glcsports]

JBLonghorn...Billy Coleman's 4 and 5 star plays have been really good and Special K's 20 stars are money 4-1 on the year. They had Villanova tonight (last night).

 

[mtomto]

JEFFERSONSPORTS
UPDATED12/2 4-1 yesterday
28-9 in College Hoops (76%)
40-19-1 in the NFL last 60 picks (68%)

NCAA HOOPS
COLORADO ST.-3.5 (rel last night)
ARIZONA OVER 129
HOUSTON+2.5
LOYOLA CHIC OVER 121
NBA
LAKERS-9
NETS-6.5
DALLAS-11

BIG WEEKDAY FOR ME, USUALLY WON'T HAVE THIS MANY PLAYS, I HAD TO CUT 4 OTHER PLAYS I LIKED. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE. ALL MY NUMBERS SHOW GOOD ADV ON THESE PLAYS

These plays were released couple of hours ago, if lines have moved one way or another, sorry--ch

3 and 1 CBB

0 and 3 NBA

 

[mtomto]

:wink::smoking:hno: never seen him put out a gom so i played them for the fuck of it. also didnt buy the hook:smokingbb

Dallas has to score 32 in the 4th to win a 2 pointer, WKY loses on his number, pushes on 4 closing at most books.

 

[mtomto]

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This one was hideous.

 

[mtomto]

thanks

What capper was this 3-0 ???!!!

Originally Posted by BETYOURASS
from another location

Idaho State/Washington State (Under 115.5)
1.00 unit

Duke/Purdue (Under 147.5) 1 unit

Troy State/Dayton (Over 144) 1 unit

 

[iamian]

What capper was this 3-0 ???!!!

Originally Posted by BETYOURASS
from another location

Idaho State/Washington State (Under 115.5)
1.00 unit

Duke/Purdue (Under 147.5) 1 unit

Troy State/Dayton (Over 144) 1 unit

It was Right Angle sports.....

:aktion033

 

[prior22usaf]

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Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:
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Mississippi +3 9:00 PM EST​