<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Computer Crushers</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Tuesday, October 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The STRONGEST PLAY in all of College Football is now 71-33 run since 2006! These are by far the STRONGEST PLAYS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL and they have a history of hitting over 68% the past 19 years! Today you can get our 500K SUN BELT CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR for only $25 and you MUST WIN THIS Game or you will not be charged!!! We are currently on an 21-6 run with all of our guranteed selec</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/7/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>500K SUN BELT CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
101 Troy -3.5 8:00 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
$25.00 Guaranteed: The STRONGEST PLAY in all of College Football is now 71-33 run since 2006! These are by far the STRONGEST PLAYS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL and they have a history of hitting over 68% the past 19 years! Today you can get our 500K SUN BELT CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR for only $25 and you MUST WIN THIS Game or you will not be charged!!! We are currently on an 21-6 run with all of our guranteed selec</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/7/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>500K SUN BELT CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
101 Troy -3.5 8:00 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
YEAH I WAS WORRIED ABOUT THIS GUY I'M NOT SHOCKED BECAUSE I SAW IT COMING SO I WAS LIMITING MY PLAYS SO I WOULD NOT BREAK HIS BACK AND I COULD GET THE PAYOUT BUT I GUESS ENOUGH WAS ENOUGH HE TAKES NO MORE CALLS AND I MISSED OUT ON A FEW HUNDRED I'LL JUST CALL IT A LOST. WE MOVE ON I'M EXCITED ABOUT THIS BETTING PARLOR THIS PLACE IS LIKE VEGAS!!!!!!:cripwalk::smoking:
Nite Owl Sports
Game: Troy Trojans @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Pick: 3 units Florida Atlantic Owls +4
When I saw the match-up of these two teams, my “knee jerk reaction” was to go with FAU Owls over the Troy Trojans. But was it because I really thought FAU has a good shot to win this game SU, and even more of one to cover the generous 4 point cushion they have been given by the linemaker, or was it because being Nite Owl Sports, it’s only natural for me to back teams nicknamed the Owls, and/or that as a Stanford graduate it’s only natural for me to root against (if not bet against) a team nicknamed the Trojans (or a combination of both of those team nickname “handicapping tools”). But in looking over the list of my CFB picks TY, I see that I have made a pick on just one of the USC Trojans games (and that pick was actually with USC, against Ohio State), and that I have made two picks against the FAU Owls, one of them being my CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year, on Minny in their 37-3 romp over these Owls, in which we won a whopping 12 units (5 units ATS on Minny, 5 units on FAU under 28.5, and two units on Minny over 35). But we’ve also backed Owl teams TY, such as in our early season ATS win on the Temple Owls as 6 point home dogs in their heart-breaking 3 point OT loss (but ATS win for us) to UConn, and of course in last Tuesday night’s ESPN game, backing the FAU Owls in another heart-breaking last second loss but ATS cover (as 3 point dogs), in a game where they never trailed until giving up a game losing TD on a “hail Mary” pass on the game’s final play. But those Owls came through for us and our subscribers ATS at the “pay window,” victorious our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. So now that we’ve cleared up all of our “Owl and Trojan issues,” we’re now ready to move on with the rest of our pick write up.
In write-up of our victorious pick on FAU in last week’s game against Middle Tenn State, we described the scenario as one involving a B-/C+ team (FAU) stepping way down in class to start conference play in the Sun Belt Conf against a team (Middle Tenn State) not as good as FAU, and with Owls in an undeserving underdog role for their first conference game, due to public (mis)perception of them as a bad team as a result of the 3 road beatings they had already absorbed TY against good teams (Minny, Texas and Mich State). This week, although Troy State is certainly better than Middle Tenn State, who they beat 31-17 in their road opener in early Sept., we believe FAU has again been “dogged” incorrectly, given that this game is being played in the “Owl’s’ nest” in SE Florida, where they tend to play much better than out on the road. And the FAU players all know that despite the 3 road beatings they have absorbed TY against Minny, Texas and Mich State, plus that frustrating last second loss at Middle Tenn State, they still have a decent chance to repeat as Sun Belt Champs and go to a bowl, just like they did LY, but only if they “drop Troy” in this huge game, as Troy is now the favorite to win the Sun Belt, and the only conference team Owls have lost to is Middle Tenn State, who already has a conference loss and (we are certain) is not going to win that conference. But it’s now or never for Owls, and their players, coaches and fans all know it.
Thus, it is no surprise to us that FAU "beat writers" report the team as having had good practices this past week and not showing any particular “hangover” effect from LW’s tough loss, and expecting a good showing from Owls tonite for both the “home folks” and the nat. tv audience on ESPN. These Owls actually beat Troy LY to “steal” the Sun Belt title from Trojans, beating them on the road as huge 15 point dogs, 38-32, in a game featuring all star performances by both QBs, with FAU’s Rusty Smith looking anything but “rusty” in completing 23 of 34 passes for a whopping 391 YP with two TDPs and no INTs, while Troy’s Omar Haegabook (how’s that for a “household name”?) not doing so badly himself, hitting on 35 of 47, also with two TDPs and no INTs, but with “only” 265 YP. But the most significant thing is that while Smith is back for his senior year, Haegabook is long gone (having either graduated or used up his college eligibility), with his replacement Jaime Hampton, who did not take a single snap in LY’s classic 38-32 barnburner, having decent but not great numbers TY. But back to FAU QB Rusty Smith, his HC Howie Schnellenberger says that Smith "has a very strong arm and can make all of the throws," and predicts that his QB will be a high NFL draft pick. And while his best years may now be behind him (as indicated by his “deer in the headlights look” on numerous “sideline shots” of him in final minute of that “come from ahead” last second loss LW at Middle Tenn State), Howie still knows talent when he sees it, having recruited a virtual "stud farm" to Univ of Miami in the early 1980s when he was Canes HC and won the NCAA title as 11 point dogs over a Nebraska team that was one of the best CFB teams in modern history. Forgive us for again (like we did in write up of LW’s victorious pick on FAU) digressing and getting "off track," but we can't resist mentioning that was one of our "sweetest" wins of all time, not only because we had Miami both ATS and on the money line (a betting strategy very similar to our 7 unit Super Bowl double victory LY on NY Giants over NE Pats), but also because we were going against SCORE's famed "Lock of the Year" on Nebraska, which cost Score clients $500 for that one pick (alot of money in 1981, and i guess now as well, with the way the US economy and stock market is going), and lost them many times that, while we collected big time at the "pay window."
But getting back to this game, against the BCS teams, FAU was forced to use their running backs for added pass protection, but with this more favorable matchup vs Troy, they will provide extra play action running and passing options in this game, which will open up the offense, much like it did in their season home opener (Owls’ only home game so far TY) against a crappy UAB team, won easily by FAU, in which the Owls looked very polished and formidable on offense.
Looking at how these two teams have performed recently in their respective modes for tonite's game (FAU as small home dogs of 1-6 points and Troy as small road faves in that same range), we see very few games L2Y, so we need to expand the ranges a bit, to FAU at home from +6 to -3, and Troy away in same range (as road faves up to -6 and road dogs up to +3), for L2Y. Using those expanded ranges, we find FAU at 3-1 SU and ATS L2Y, including their huge home upset win LY over Minny as similar (to this game) 4 point home dogs, but troy 2-0 SU and ATS in this same range. And while these records also include Troy’s 7 point covering win in 2006 as 4 point faves at FAU, Rusty Smith and most of FAU’s starters were just sophs or RS freshmen that year. And we believe it’s also relevant that FAU is now 7-1 ATS L2Y+ on conference road, as FAU's record in such competitively priced games (i.e., where they are playing “in their element”) tells us is that when Howie's teams are not overmatched, he and his boys can get then job done, as we expect they will tonite in this nationally televised ESPN game.
Based on the above, we not only are very confident that FAU will cover the 4 points in this game, we also give Owls a decent shot at victorious outright. So take Owls with the 4 point cushion NOW if you still can get it
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Game: Troy Trojans @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Pick: 3 units Florida Atlantic Owls +4
When I saw the match-up of these two teams, my “knee jerk reaction” was to go with FAU Owls over the Troy Trojans. But was it because I really thought FAU has a good shot to win this game SU, and even more of one to cover the generous 4 point cushion they have been given by the linemaker, or was it because being Nite Owl Sports, it’s only natural for me to back teams nicknamed the Owls, and/or that as a Stanford graduate it’s only natural for me to root against (if not bet against) a team nicknamed the Trojans (or a combination of both of those team nickname “handicapping tools”). But in looking over the list of my CFB picks TY, I see that I have made a pick on just one of the USC Trojans games (and that pick was actually with USC, against Ohio State), and that I have made two picks against the FAU Owls, one of them being my CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year, on Minny in their 37-3 romp over these Owls, in which we won a whopping 12 units (5 units ATS on Minny, 5 units on FAU under 28.5, and two units on Minny over 35). But we’ve also backed Owl teams TY, such as in our early season ATS win on the Temple Owls as 6 point home dogs in their heart-breaking 3 point OT loss (but ATS win for us) to UConn, and of course in last Tuesday night’s ESPN game, backing the FAU Owls in another heart-breaking last second loss but ATS cover (as 3 point dogs), in a game where they never trailed until giving up a game losing TD on a “hail Mary” pass on the game’s final play. But those Owls came through for us and our subscribers ATS at the “pay window,” victorious our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. So now that we’ve cleared up all of our “Owl and Trojan issues,” we’re now ready to move on with the rest of our pick write up.
In write-up of our victorious pick on FAU in last week’s game against Middle Tenn State, we described the scenario as one involving a B-/C+ team (FAU) stepping way down in class to start conference play in the Sun Belt Conf against a team (Middle Tenn State) not as good as FAU, and with Owls in an undeserving underdog role for their first conference game, due to public (mis)perception of them as a bad team as a result of the 3 road beatings they had already absorbed TY against good teams (Minny, Texas and Mich State). This week, although Troy State is certainly better than Middle Tenn State, who they beat 31-17 in their road opener in early Sept., we believe FAU has again been “dogged” incorrectly, given that this game is being played in the “Owl’s’ nest” in SE Florida, where they tend to play much better than out on the road. And the FAU players all know that despite the 3 road beatings they have absorbed TY against Minny, Texas and Mich State, plus that frustrating last second loss at Middle Tenn State, they still have a decent chance to repeat as Sun Belt Champs and go to a bowl, just like they did LY, but only if they “drop Troy” in this huge game, as Troy is now the favorite to win the Sun Belt, and the only conference team Owls have lost to is Middle Tenn State, who already has a conference loss and (we are certain) is not going to win that conference. But it’s now or never for Owls, and their players, coaches and fans all know it.
Thus, it is no surprise to us that FAU "beat writers" report the team as having had good practices this past week and not showing any particular “hangover” effect from LW’s tough loss, and expecting a good showing from Owls tonite for both the “home folks” and the nat. tv audience on ESPN. These Owls actually beat Troy LY to “steal” the Sun Belt title from Trojans, beating them on the road as huge 15 point dogs, 38-32, in a game featuring all star performances by both QBs, with FAU’s Rusty Smith looking anything but “rusty” in completing 23 of 34 passes for a whopping 391 YP with two TDPs and no INTs, while Troy’s Omar Haegabook (how’s that for a “household name”?) not doing so badly himself, hitting on 35 of 47, also with two TDPs and no INTs, but with “only” 265 YP. But the most significant thing is that while Smith is back for his senior year, Haegabook is long gone (having either graduated or used up his college eligibility), with his replacement Jaime Hampton, who did not take a single snap in LY’s classic 38-32 barnburner, having decent but not great numbers TY. But back to FAU QB Rusty Smith, his HC Howie Schnellenberger says that Smith "has a very strong arm and can make all of the throws," and predicts that his QB will be a high NFL draft pick. And while his best years may now be behind him (as indicated by his “deer in the headlights look” on numerous “sideline shots” of him in final minute of that “come from ahead” last second loss LW at Middle Tenn State), Howie still knows talent when he sees it, having recruited a virtual "stud farm" to Univ of Miami in the early 1980s when he was Canes HC and won the NCAA title as 11 point dogs over a Nebraska team that was one of the best CFB teams in modern history. Forgive us for again (like we did in write up of LW’s victorious pick on FAU) digressing and getting "off track," but we can't resist mentioning that was one of our "sweetest" wins of all time, not only because we had Miami both ATS and on the money line (a betting strategy very similar to our 7 unit Super Bowl double victory LY on NY Giants over NE Pats), but also because we were going against SCORE's famed "Lock of the Year" on Nebraska, which cost Score clients $500 for that one pick (alot of money in 1981, and i guess now as well, with the way the US economy and stock market is going), and lost them many times that, while we collected big time at the "pay window."
But getting back to this game, against the BCS teams, FAU was forced to use their running backs for added pass protection, but with this more favorable matchup vs Troy, they will provide extra play action running and passing options in this game, which will open up the offense, much like it did in their season home opener (Owls’ only home game so far TY) against a crappy UAB team, won easily by FAU, in which the Owls looked very polished and formidable on offense.
Looking at how these two teams have performed recently in their respective modes for tonite's game (FAU as small home dogs of 1-6 points and Troy as small road faves in that same range), we see very few games L2Y, so we need to expand the ranges a bit, to FAU at home from +6 to -3, and Troy away in same range (as road faves up to -6 and road dogs up to +3), for L2Y. Using those expanded ranges, we find FAU at 3-1 SU and ATS L2Y, including their huge home upset win LY over Minny as similar (to this game) 4 point home dogs, but troy 2-0 SU and ATS in this same range. And while these records also include Troy’s 7 point covering win in 2006 as 4 point faves at FAU, Rusty Smith and most of FAU’s starters were just sophs or RS freshmen that year. And we believe it’s also relevant that FAU is now 7-1 ATS L2Y+ on conference road, as FAU's record in such competitively priced games (i.e., where they are playing “in their element”) tells us is that when Howie's teams are not overmatched, he and his boys can get then job done, as we expect they will tonite in this nationally televised ESPN game.
Based on the above, we not only are very confident that FAU will cover the 4 points in this game, we also give Owls a decent shot at victorious outright. So take Owls with the 4 point cushion NOW if you still can get it
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Bob Balfe:
FAU +3.5 over Troy
FAU has yet to get their offense going this season and are coming off a tough last second loss to MTSU last week. This is a must win for FAU, but if Troy is looking to knock them off. Last year FAU spoiled Troys bowl bid when the won at Troy. FAU won the Sun Belt and this season has 10 returning starters on offense and 8 of defense. FAU will be just fine on offense. This team had a tough non conference schedule and at home will start to click again. FAU will also get their center Nick Paris back tonight which will allow the rest of the line to return to their natural position. Troy lost their QB and their top 3 receivers from last year. On defense they lost Elbert Mack and the #11 pick in the NFL Draft Leodis Mckelvin. You know when a Troy player gets drafted that high he is a special player. They will miss him dearly this season. This Troy team is young and their offensive coordinator Neal Brown is only 27 years old. What a great accomplishment for such a young guy, but when we put it into perspective Troy should struggle tonight on the road against a FAU team hungry after a last second loss. Take Florida Atlantic
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FAU +3.5 over Troy
FAU has yet to get their offense going this season and are coming off a tough last second loss to MTSU last week. This is a must win for FAU, but if Troy is looking to knock them off. Last year FAU spoiled Troys bowl bid when the won at Troy. FAU won the Sun Belt and this season has 10 returning starters on offense and 8 of defense. FAU will be just fine on offense. This team had a tough non conference schedule and at home will start to click again. FAU will also get their center Nick Paris back tonight which will allow the rest of the line to return to their natural position. Troy lost their QB and their top 3 receivers from last year. On defense they lost Elbert Mack and the #11 pick in the NFL Draft Leodis Mckelvin. You know when a Troy player gets drafted that high he is a special player. They will miss him dearly this season. This Troy team is young and their offensive coordinator Neal Brown is only 27 years old. What a great accomplishment for such a young guy, but when we put it into perspective Troy should struggle tonight on the road against a FAU team hungry after a last second loss. Take Florida Atlantic
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