Service Plays Tuesday 10/27/09

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NBA DUNKEL


LA Clippers at LA Lakers
The defending champions open up the regular season looking to take advantage of a Clippers team that is 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Lakers are the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 20. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-10). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27

Game 501-502: Boston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.648; Cleveland 129.676
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Washington at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.030; Dallas 126.262
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 14; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 205
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8); Over

Game 505-506: Houston at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.558; Portland 130.957
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 9 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+9 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: LA Clippers at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 111.596; LA Lakers 131.762
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 20; 206 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 208
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-10); Under
 
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NBA LONG SHEET

Tuesday, October 27

BOSTON (69 - 27) at CLEVELAND (76 - 20) - 10/27/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 116-86 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 12-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-7 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (19 - 63) at DALLAS (55 - 37) - 10/27/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (60 - 35) at PORTLAND (56 - 32) - 10/27/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 10-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (19 - 63) at LA LAKERS (81 - 24) - 10/27/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-50 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NBA ADDITIONAL

Tuesday, October 27

Trend Report

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Boston's last 21 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. PORTLAND
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. LA LAKERS
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals (-140, 6.5)

Philadelphia goalie Brian Boucher had a number of reasons to want to win Sunday’s matchup against the San Jose Sharks. He was making his first start this season, facing his former team and playing in front of his dad.

But Boucher crumbled under the pressure, letting in four questionable goals in a 4-1 loss to the Sharks.

“All four of them, they were awful goals to give up,” Boucher told the Philadelphia Inquirer. “They were backbreakers. You can’t expect to win when the goalie gives up four goals like that.”

Ray Emery has done a good job in net for the Flyers so far this season and may get the nod on Tuesday against the Washington Capitals in place of Boucher. Whoever’s between the pipes will have his work cut out for him against the Caps, who own the fourth best scoring offense in the league.

Pick: Capitals


Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers (-125, 5.5)

The Edmonton Oilers would like to forget their latest road trip which started with a 5-2 thumping in Calgary Saturday night and ended with a 2-0 loss to the Canucks Sunday.

The Oilers were forced to play three games in four nights in three different cities during that stretch and had a number of players battling the effects of the flu. But the team isn’t willing to blame Sunday’s lethargic performance on illness or fatigue.

“There was a lot missing,” Patrick O'Sullivan told the Edmonton Sun. “They played yesterday too. Yeah, our team is sick, so what? We couldn't get any rhythm and we needed to score on our power play, which we didn't do."

Edmonton’s offensive woes should continue against Colorado Avalanche goalie Craig Anderson. Anderson stopped 48 of 49 shots fired at him during Saturday’s 3-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings and has been instrumental in getting his team to the top seed of the Western Conference.

The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams.

Pick: Under
 

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Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - EAST CAROLINA PIRATES....10 DIMER - CLEVELAND CAVS 20 DIMER - EAST CAROLINA PIRATES

Much prefer to lay the highway lumber here, as even though the Pirates are a dismal 1-8 their last 9 as a road favorite, they DO own Memphis, and that is a fact.

East Carolina is 12-1 against the spread the last 13 series meetings, and that includes 7 straight covers, with 3 straight up wins in a row.

Skip Holtz' team has Virginia Tech up next, and at 4-3, a loss here would not be good for their bowl hopes, so expect the Pirates to handle their business on the road against a foe they have dominated.

Memphis is just 2-5 straight up, and and 1-5 against the spread in their lined games this season.

I don't see it happening for Tommy West's team tonight, I just don't!

Take East Carolina minus the points.

10 DIMER - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Why not?

Battle of Eastern Conference titans, and each team made a big move in the off-season, as Boston picked up Rasheed Wallace, while Cleveland got the Big Diesel.

Just hard to go against a Cleveland team that went 45-3 last season at home, while going 32-16 against the spread. Those are some solid money-making numbers for shit sure.

Including the playoffs, Cleveland has won 5 of the last 9 against Boston straight up, and they have covered in 8 of those 9.

Kevin Garnett is back and healthy for Boston, and that is certainly good for both the Celtics, and the league, but tonight is ALL about LeBron and Shaq, and an opening night win and cover.

Take the Cavs minus the points.


Paid & Confirmed By Me...
 
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DUNKEL

East Carolina at Memphis
The Pirates look to build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 meetings against Memphis. East Carolina is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-4).

Game 101-102: East Carolina at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 82.918; Memphis 75.344
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-4); Under
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

East Carolina (4-3, 2-4 ATS) at Memphis (2-5, 1-5 ATS)

Conference USA gets its turn in the national spotlight, with East Carolina traveling to Memphis in search of its fourth consecutive blowout win over the Tigers.

The Pirates are coming off a 49-13 rout of Rice, easily cashing as an 18½-point home favorite on Oct. 17. Since suffering consecutive non-conference road losses to West Virginia (35-20 as a 6½-point underdog) and North Carolina (31-17 as an 8½-point pup), East Carolina has won three of four (2-2 ATS), with the defense yielding an average of 18 points per game during this stretch, including 14.7 ppg in the three wins.

Memphis followed up a mild 35-20 upset of UTEP with a 36-16 setback at Southern Miss, falling short as a 14-piont road underdog. The Tigers’ defense has been nonexistent all year, surrendering 27 points or more in five of seven games and yielding an average of 31.8 ppg to its six Division I-A opponents.

East Carolina has posted three straight double-digit wins over Memphis by scores of 35-20 (home), 56-40 (road) and 30-10 (home). The Pirates cashed easily in all three games – all as a favorite – and they’ve covered in seven straight and 10 of 11 in this series, going 4-1 ATS in five trips to Memphis. The host has won seven of 10 SU.

East Carolina is 1-3 SU and ATS on the highway this year, the lone win coming at Marshall on Oct. 3, a 21-17 triumph as a two-point ‘dog. Furthermore, the Pirates have failed to cover in 10 of their last 12 road games, and they’re on additional ATS slides of 5-13 overall, 1-4 after a spread-cover, 3-7 against losing teams and 2-5 on artificial turf. ECU has cashed in eight of 11 in October.

Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last eight overall and 4-9-3 ATS in its last 16 in October, but the Tigers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 after an outright defeat, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 after a bye and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 as a home underdog against C-USA foes.

The under is on stretches of 9-2 for East Carolina in Conference USA play, 3-0-1 for Memphis overall, 4-0-1 for Memphis in league action and 3-1-1 for Memphis in October. Conversely, four of the last five meetings in this rivalry have gone over the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: EAST CAROLINA and UNDER


NBA

Boston at Cleveland

Shaquille O’Neal makes his regular-season debut with new teammate LeBron James and the Cavaliers, who tip off the 2009-10 season with a matchup against the Eastern Conference rival Celtics at Quicken Loans Arena.

O’Neal was acquired from Phoenix via trade in the offseason and joins his fifth NBA squad, one that finished with the league’s top SU and ATS records last year at 66-16 SU and 50-32 ATS. The Cavs’ success was mostly due to the dazzling play of James, who won his first MVP award by averaging 28.4 points, 7.6 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game. Despite the regular-season success, however, Cleveland failed to get to the NBA Finals, as they were bounced in the Eastern Conference finals by the Magic in six games (1-5 ATS).

One year after beating the Cavaliers in a thrilling seven-game playoff series en route to their 17th NBA championship, Boston also saw its 2008-09 season end at the hands of the Magic, falling in seven games (3-4 ATS) in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The Celtics, who didn’t have injured All-Star forward Kevin Garnett for their playoff run, finished with the second-best record in the conference and third-best in the NBA at 62-20 (42-39 ATS), and they cruised to the Atlantic Division title by 21 games over second-place Philadelphia.

Going back to the start of the 2006-07 season – and including their 2008 Eastern Conference semifinal series – the home team has won 18 consecutive meetings in this rivalry (9-8-1 ATS). Last year, the team’s split four games, with Cleveland going 3-1 ATS, including a season-opening 90-85 loss in Boston as a six-point road underdog. The Cavaliers are 18-6-2 ATS in the last 26 matchups with the Celtics, including five straight spread-covers at Quicken Loans Arena, and the home favorite has gotten the money in seven of the last 10 clashes.

Boston ended last season on ATS runs of 8-3-1 on the road, 3-1-1 against the Central Division and 4-0-1 as an underdog of less than five points (all on the road). The Celtics are also 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 as an underdog and 45-19-1 ATS in their last 65 as a road pup, but they have failed to cover in five of their last seven on Tuesday.

Despite ending the season with a 1-5 ATS mark against Orlando, the Cavs enters this year on ATS surges of 36-15 at home, 11-3-1 as a chalk, 13-4 when laying less than five points, 7-0 at home as a favorite in that price range and 22-5 versus Atlantic Division foes.

Three of the four meetings between these teams last year remained under the total, and each of the last four meetings at Quicken Loans Arena have stayed low. The under is also on runs of 4-0 for Boston overall, 17-8 for Boston as a road pup and 8-1 for Cleveland on Tuesday. On the flip side, the over is on stretches of 4-0 for the Celtics against the Central Division, 5-1 for the Cavs overall and 4-0 for the Cavs at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER


L.A. Clippers at L.A. Lakers

Kobe Bryant and the Lakers will raise another NBA championship banner to the rafters at Staples Center when they begin defense of their title with a designated home game against the Clippers, who will be without rookie Blake Griffin.

The Lakers closed the 2009 postseason on a 6-1 SU and ATS run, including eliminating the Magic in five games in the NBA Finals to capture the franchise’s 15th league title, including its 10th since moving to Los Angeles. Bryant followed up his 2008 MVP campaign with another spectacular season, ranking third in the league in scoring at 26.8 ppg to go with 5.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists per outing. Bryant also ranked second to LeBron James in playoff scoring, pouring in 30.2 ppg. At 65-17 (43-39 ATS), the Lakers finished with the best record in the Western Conference, one game behind Cleveland for the top mark in the league.

The Clippers are coming off yet another miserable season, as they finished 19-63, which tied for the second-worst record in the league, just two games ahead of the Sacramento Kings. The Clippers, who also had the worst ATS mark in the NBA last year (32-50), lost nine of their final 10 contests (2-8 ATS), with the lone win coming at home against the aforementioned Kings. Of those nine losses to end the year, seven were by double digits, including two embarrassing defeats to Utah (106-85 on the road) and Oklahoma City (126-85 at home) to cap the season.

The lone positive for the Clippers came when they won the NBA draft lottery and selected former Oklahoma star Griffin with the No. 1 pick. However, it was reported late Monday night that Griffin has a stress fracture in his patella tendon in his left knee and could be sidelined up to six weeks.

The Lakers have swept the last two season series from their rivals, winning all eight games, including seven by double digits. But after cashing in the first six of those eight, the Lakers failed to cover in the final two clashes last year, both as a massive 16-point favorite, winning 108-97 and 88-85. The Lakers’ 6-2 ATS run against the Clips has all come from the favorite role.

In addition to finishing last year in a 2-8 ATS nosedive, the Clippers are on addition pointspread purges of 7-19 as a road team (all as an underdog), 7-21 versus the Western Conference, 1-6 as an underdog and 25-52-1 as a ‘dog of five to 10 ½ points. Although the Lakers covered in six of their last seven playoff contests, they’re just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 against Pacific Division rivals and 2-5 ATS in their last seven when laying between five and 10½ points.

The Clippers stayed under the total in five of their last six overall last season and 12 of 17 on Tuesday, while the Lakers carrying “under” streaks of 34-16-1 overall, 19-7 at home, 29-9 as a favorite, 8-2 against the Western Conference and 9-4 on Tuesday. Also, five of the last seven in this rivalry have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and UNDER
 
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Andre Gomes Premium Picks

dime bet 501 BOS / 502 CLE Under 186.0
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers


Single Dime Play on Under 186

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 Boston Celtics (+5)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 508 Los Angeles Lakers (-10)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 186
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Detroit at Vancouver
The Red Wings look to take advantage of a Vancouver team that is 2-7 in its last 9 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100)

Game 1-2: Philadelphia at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.271; Washington 11.879
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Under

Game 3-4: Colorado at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.007; Edmonton 12.263
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-125); Over

Game 5-6: Detroit at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.484; Vancouver 11.915
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty's LCS selections
Hit with Yankees and Phillies. No play Monday.

Today it's the Blazers. The surplus is 805 sirignanos
 
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Hondo

Hondo made a small dent in the deficit last night when he flew into the winner's circle with the Eagles to lower the negative number to 1,735 schultzes.

Today, he'll open with five units on Sleek Runner to win in the fifth at the Big M, and add in a one-unit exacta box on Stormy Dixie and Distant Storm in the sixth and a one-unit exacta box on Stealth Missile and Stars Night Out in the seventh. All investments are at the urging of Post handicapper Anthony "Slim Pickin's" Affrunti (the diet's working).

Also, his team of hockey advisers suggests a play on the Flyers over the Caps -- 10 units.
 
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DCI
Season: 56-38 (.596)

WASHINGTON 4, Philadelphia 3
Colorado vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
VANCOUVER 3, Detroit 2


DCI
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Conference USA
East Carolina 30, MEMPHIS 18
 

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WAYNE ROOT
2009 Football Upset Club

Tuesday, October 27, 2009
3*East Carolina (-3) over Memphis
8:00 PM -- Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium

Mostly cloudy with a 70-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Southeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

paid/confirmed
 

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ANYONE PURCHASE BURNS 10 STAR in NHL
HE IS MATCHED UP WITH THE PREZ ON THE COLORADO VS EdmoNTON MATCH UP



SHAWN MURPHY
LARRY NESS
ARE ON PORTLAND TRAILBALZERS GIVEN TO ME BY A FRIEND WILL CONFIRM THE PLAY BY 4 PM EASTERN TIME
 

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Chris Jordan has 2 small plays for today..

Tuesday's winners ...
100♦ EAST CAROLINA - Analysis on these two winners due back by 4 p.m. eastern

50♦ BOSTON CELTICS -
 

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