King Creole
MIL (+110) vs STL
WRONG team is favored in this game. Call it what you want.... a 'hex'.... 'mojo'... whatever. But the BREWERS have had the Cardinal's number for the last year and a half. MILWAUKEE is already 3-0 vs the Redbirds in this 2009 season, and 13-2 dating back to last season. That includes 5-1 at home. Last night, it was a 1-0 thriller in extra innings.
When it comes to tonight's opponent, starter JEFF SUPPAN of the Brewers will be facing his personal 'Whippin Boys'. Suppan is "only" a PERFECT 8-0 vs St Louis in his last 8 starts dating back to the 2003 season. His ERA vs the Redbirds in those 8 starts is a microscopic 1.32. He has allowed 3 or less earned runs in ALL 8 of those starts... and 1 or less earned runs in FIVE of em! And at home 'In this Park;, the numbers are even better at 1.12. Back on May 16th (10 days ago), Suppan went seven SHUTOUT innings vs the Cardinals in another win.
In addition to his 6-1 record in his last 7 overall starts, Suppan is also a PERFECT 5--0 in his last 5 as an underdog... 26-10 vs fellow NL Central opponents... 16-5 in Game Two of a series... and 5-1 when his team allowed 2 < runs in their previous game.
ST LOUIS is a piss-poor ROAD FAVORITE, going an extremely unprofitable 3-14 in this last 17 situations. If there's one area that Adam Wainwright has struggled in this season, it's on the ROAD where his YTD ERA is 5.00... with just as many WALKS as STRIKEOUTS... and an opponent team batting average of .361. His numbers "In this Park"? An ERA of 6.00 in three starts dating back to the 2007 season.