Service Plays Tuesday 05/26/09

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Scott Delaney
Tuesday ...

40 DIME HOUSTON ASTROS (WITH Oswalt) - I know the Astros have dropped five straight to tie a season high, and I know Roy Oswalt comes into this one having allowed a minimum of three runs in four straight starts, while failing to last seven innings in any of them; but the fact is the Astros couldn’t ask for a better opponent and a better pitcher to shake off both funks.



They call him the Reds killer, he’s taking the hill tonight and I’m jumping into this one head first.



Houston is a stunning 24-6 when right-hander Roy Oswalt toes the slab against the Reds, and an even more remarkable 12-2 when he starts in Cincinnati. And how about this number: Oswalt brings in a lifetime 23-1 record against the Reds along with a 2.35 ERA.



Oswalt is a perfect 8-0 in 10 starts against the Reds the past three years, and surprisingly, the only two game he didn’t win over that duration was this season, despite a pair of outstanding performances. The fiery hurler gave up just one run over 13 innings in those contests.



Houston should get the run support he’ll need against Micah Owings, who is looking to halt a personal two-game skid and comes in after getting shellacked for five runs in three innings last Thursday night in a 12-5 home loss to Philadelphia. And while I know Owings is 2-1 in his three home starts, all three have gone over and much of that is due to his 5.63 ERA at Great American Ball Park.



We’re laying the road chalk here with the Astros tonight, as Oswalt works his magic once again.
 

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Chris Jordan
2-0 Sweep tonight ...



300♦ UNDER Tigers/Royals (LIST Jackson/Greinke) - Where do we start with what I believe will be a low-scoring, pitchers’ duel?



The Tigers have stayed low in six of their last seven while Kansas City has stayed under in three of its last four. And with Edwin Jackson and Zack Greinke toeing the slab, I have to believe we’re making the right move with the under in this game.



Jackson has been surprisingly good through the first couple months, as the right-hander has a 2.55 ERA on the year, and that’s been bolstered by a 2-1 mark in four road starts, along with a stifling 1.33 ERA. After two second-rate campaigns with Tampa Bay, Jackson has emerged with the lowest ERA of Detroit’s rotation in 2009. He’s now 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his last three outings, including last Thursday, when he allowed three runs over eight frames in a 4-3 victory against Texas.



With Greinke, we have a young and hungry pitcher who is still 7-1 with a 0.82 ERA despite the fact Kansas City has lost two of the last three times he’s toed the slab. Don’t think that fat has escaped him. He’s yet to allow a home run and continues to lead the majors in ERA. Get this, he’s gone 19 straight innings against the Tigers without allowing an earned run. He’s already tossed a three-hitter April 24 versus the Tigers this year in a 6-1 victory. Greinke is 5-0 in six home starts and has a 1.05 ERA there.



Let’s play this one low
 

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DOC

NBA

4-Unit Play Take Cleveland/Orlando Over 188


NHL

2 Unit Play. Take Pittsburgh/Carolina Under 5½
 

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DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
5/26/09- Tuesday

MLB
10*FLA/PHIL OVER 10
7*COLORADO-145
5*TWINS-106
5*HOUSTON-129

NBA
5*CLEVELAND-1.5

NHL
5*CAROLINA +110
 

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Brian Joseph
Baseball’s Best Bets

Houston Astros (-120) over Cincinnati Reds
I avoided touting Jamie Moyer’s domination of the Marlins yesterday and that dodged a loss. However, I can’t avoid Roy Oswalt’s 23-1 lifetime record and 2.35 ERA against the Reds. Factor in his 7-1 record and 3.02 ERA in 9 starts at Great American Ballpark and you have to like the Astros chances.

San Francisco Giants (-167) over Atlanta Braves
Tim Lincecum is 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 4 starts against the Braves. Even if he finally slips against Atlanta, the Braves send Kris Medlen out with his 15.00 ERA and 2.68 WHIP. Add in Lincecum’s batting line of .200/.286/.327 against current Braves and that has to help your confidence when considering the Giants. Don’t be surprised if you have to hold your breath with the Giants bullpen but it is possible that the Braves bullpen can “save” the Giants if they are behind late, too.

Seattle Mariners (+130) over Oakland Athletics
The Mariners are 10-4 vs. LH starters while the Athletics are 5-11 vs. the same. Jarrod Washburn has proven to be tough against current Athletics (.195/.277/.341 batting line in 185 PAs) even though his record against Oakland (8-15, 4.01 ERA) is not anything to sing about. Dallas Braden has had his troubles against the Mariners in very limited innings but enough to cause concern. Don’t expect this one to be high scoring — A’s games rarely are — and if the game goes to the bullpen, I’m more confident in the Athletics. Not enough to let me pass up the Mariners as an underdog against a lefty
 

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mr mike rose

Cleve +13 2*
Phila Over 10 (-05) 3*
Stl Under 8 1/2 (-15) 2*
Minn -04 5*
 

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C-Stars Sports

5000 Units Super Lock Orlando/Cleveland OVER the total
 

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Wunderdog

New York Yankees at Texas
Pick: UNDER 10.5

The Rangers' offense was scoring runs at an alarming rate to opponents, but they have really cooled off as they have produced just 27 runs in their last eight games, or just over three per contest. They will have to face Joba Chamberlain who, outside of a bad start vs. Cleveland, has pitched to an ERA under three. The Yankees will have to face Kevin Millwood, who has gone at least seven innings in eight of his nine starts, and pitching to a 3.12 ERA. The Yankees have played 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six games against a team with a winning record, while the Rangers are 13-3-2 to the UNDER in Millwood's last 18 starts. I'll go with the UNDER in this one.
 

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Johnny Guild

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Cleveland’s superstar LeBron James has played his part, but without the help from his teammates and a bench that hasn’t played a role in this series, it doesn’t look good for the Cavaliers. The Magic were a thorn for Cleveland in the regular season and continue to be in the playoffs. Take Orlando on their home court against the suddenly baffle Cavaliers. The Magic are 6-1 ATS in the last seven clashes against the Cavaliers in the Sunshine State.

Orlando Magic +1.5
 

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Tony Diamond


Cincinnati (owings) +1.19 over Houston (oswalt)

Tampa Bay (garza) -1.20 over Cleveland (pavano)

NY Yankees (chamberlain) -1.19 over Texas (millwood)

Minnesota (blackburn) -1.03 over Boston (lester)

Minnesota / Boston "over" 9.0 +1.05

Seattle (washburn) +1.29 over Oakland (braden)

Parlay: San Francisco (lincecum) -1.67 / Angels (saunders) -1.80
(parlay 1 unit to win 1.48 Units)

(if posted pitchers do not start, there is no play)


NBA
Cleveland -1.5 over Orlando
 

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